Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 7 May 2020 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 29 82 +45 17.09 99.80 2.99 101.46 3.52 56.88 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 57 +37 -5.71 19.42 -5.37 80.24 3.51 54.23 0.00 98.83 99.97 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 29 53 +30 3.58 67.50 15.26 68.31 4.00 34.34 0.00 1.11 77.90 93.00 99.47 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 48 +12 -2.09 39.33 -3.65 63.07 3.85 16.17 0.00 0.05 12.30 52.98 90.98 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 45 +14 -3.91 30.46 0.53 61.28 3.88 19.98 0.00 0.01 7.54 35.31 83.68 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 43 +7 3.21 66.57 7.62 56.35 4.01 8.50 0.00 0.00 0.54 5.03 33.66 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 43 +5 7.49 84.20 9.54 55.22 4.17 3.07 0.00 0.00 0.66 3.84 23.17 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 41 +7 -8.59 13.07 -7.88 56.89 4.05 12.31 0.00 0.00 0.85 7.31 42.77 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 40 +4 -5.25 25.04 -6.11 54.87 4.14 5.50 0.00 0.00 0.24 2.44 22.40 0.00 0.00 Burnley 29 39 -6 5.55 76.92 3.83 49.31 3.69 -9.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.10 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 39 -6 2.37 62.65 -1.07 48.88 3.77 -9.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.22 0.01R 0.00 Everton 29 37 -9 -0.52 47.95 -4.23 49.25 3.88 -9.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.44 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 29 35 -16 2.56 64.34 -5.11 45.12 3.72 -19.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.03R 0.00 Southampton 29 34 -17 3.10 66.75 -1.09 43.71 3.81 -21.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.53R 0.03 Brighton 29 29 -8 -2.68 36.93 4.72 37.72 3.64 -13.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.06R 1.72 West_Ham 29 27 -15 -6.21 20.95 -2.73 38.61 3.95 -16.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.68R 2.12 Watford 29 27 -17 -4.49 28.05 -3.13 36.84 3.75 -21.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.20R 3.92 Bournemouth 29 27 -18 -4.59 27.73 -3.47 35.96 3.69 -24.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.76R 5.17 Aston_Villa 28 25 -22 -1.45 43.46 0.77 33.94 3.91 -30.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.14R 16.63 Norwich 29 21 -27 -3.99 29.89 -1.41 29.49 3.63 -34.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.55R 70.40Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 37 71 +26 7.75 80.04 7.76 86.86 3.97 31.29 51.35 93.73 100.00 95.78P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 70 +27 3.72 65.33 3.39 86.22 4.01 33.06 46.39 91.28 99.99 94.15P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 37 64 +14 5.32 71.38 2.15 77.03 4.05 15.02 1.43 8.03 95.26 29.65P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 37 60 +31 -4.99 29.24 9.52 75.79 4.00 36.17 0.76 5.72 93.35 37.95P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 37 60 +10 6.15 74.83 5.19 73.41 4.06 11.59 0.08 1.13 78.49 17.09P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 56 +5 2.75 61.59 1.26 68.83 4.07 5.68 0.00 0.05 36.06 7.12P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 55 -2 4.11 67.58 -2.04 67.44 4.06 -1.81 0.00 0.01 21.90 3.83P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 54 +4 5.22 71.97 6.23 66.86 4.06 4.81 0.00 0.01 19.80 3.47P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 54 +2 -0.22 49.29 -3.09 66.92 4.08 2.89 0.00 0.01 20.43 4.37P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 37 53 +7 0.28 51.21 4.16 65.54 4.05 7.34 0.00 0.01 14.37 2.74P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 53 +1 0.04 50.60 -2.30 65.81 4.00 1.87 0.00 0.01 13.10 2.50P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 51 +0 -4.02 33.55 -6.38 62.70 4.02 -0.96 0.00 0.00 3.88 0.85P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 37 50 -4 4.28 67.95 4.60 61.56 4.03 -5.44 0.00 0.00 1.52 0.20P 0.07R 0.00 Reading 37 48 +4 0.10 51.03 7.79 60.10 4.01 3.72 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.17P 0.18R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 37 48 -3 -1.70 43.28 -1.58 59.69 4.00 -3.97 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.13P 0.23R 0.00 Birmingham 37 47 -9 1.23 56.01 -1.38 58.19 3.96 -10.88 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.01P 1.18R 0.01 Stoke 37 42 -6 -6.59 23.97 -2.96 53.47 3.94 -7.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.10R 0.49 Huddersfield 37 42 -13 -1.31 45.05 -1.95 52.67 3.92 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.12R 1.05 Middlesbrough 37 41 -10 -8.75 16.83 -9.39 53.28 3.99 -9.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.62R 0.53 Wigan 37 41 -12 -3.26 36.64 -3.06 52.48 3.97 -13.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.89R 1.17 Hull 37 41 -14 -4.73 30.98 -5.49 52.44 3.98 -15.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.89R 1.52 Charlton 37 39 -10 -4.69 30.90 0.35 49.35 3.90 -13.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.84R 4.82 Luton 37 35 -28 -2.98 38.08 -6.72 44.93 3.94 -32.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.86R 41.88 Barnsley 37 34 -20 -7.73 20.24 -6.08 43.91 3.91 -23.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.02R 48.53League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Coventry 34 67 +18 14.78 95.83 9.47 82.08 4.24 20.04 55.64 75.07 98.16 79.63P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 35 62 +23 2.01 58.47 4.34 78.00 4.00 28.84 17.46 42.71 89.69 55.66P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 35 60 +24 3.84 66.66 11.42 75.70 3.97 29.17 7.96 22.15 78.84 35.67P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 60 +17 0.52 52.16 -0.63 74.39 3.98 20.09 3.65 12.17 65.45 26.56P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 60 +13 6.22 75.96 4.34 74.87 3.93 16.99 4.32 13.59 69.14 25.40P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 59 +28 -1.08 44.92 8.59 75.87 3.83 35.27 8.35 23.53 82.74 40.81P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 36 59 +16 -3.63 33.70 -3.93 72.48 3.72 19.71 0.88 4.32 47.03 17.61P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 34 59 +5 12.94 93.32 5.92 72.06 4.24 4.12 1.46 4.86 38.40 9.51P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 34 54 +18 -2.27 39.66 3.29 69.60 4.21 20.88 0.27 1.56 24.02 7.54P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 36 52 +10 -3.32 36.12 1.17 66.07 3.62 14.79 0.00 0.01 3.86 1.07P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 35 51 +8 1.77 58.26 5.88 64.79 3.95 10.14 0.00 0.03 2.46 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 35 48 +0 -2.87 37.50 -4.26 60.59 4.03 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 45 +1 -3.94 32.70 -0.70 56.75 3.93 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 45 -11 0.73 53.88 -5.82 55.28 3.81 -14.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 42 -2 -2.54 39.20 3.17 54.96 4.01 -1.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Shrewsbury 34 41 -11 -1.69 42.45 -6.07 53.67 4.03 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 40 -6 -3.66 34.01 1.07 50.40 3.86 -9.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73R 0.00 MK_Dons 35 37 -11 -4.54 30.64 -1.60 47.15 3.82 -14.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.34R 0.00 Rochdale 34 36 -18 -0.80 46.88 -1.46 48.25 4.12 -20.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.24R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 35 35 -13 -4.90 28.75 -0.94 45.37 3.81 -15.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.15R 0.00 Tranmere 34 32 -24 -0.65 48.26 -1.25 40.97 3.88 -32.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.34R 0.00 Southend 35 19 -46 -13.19 4.57 -17.42 27.27 3.61 -53.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 20.49 Bolton 34 14 -39 -5.18 26.37 -14.62 22.18 3.75 -47.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 79.51 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Crewe 37 69 +24 9.10 83.65 10.33 82.83 4.03 26.19 16.62 67.15 99.88 75.50P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 36 69 +23 9.92 86.25 8.57 86.23 4.26 28.24 49.23 87.91 99.98 91.16P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 68 +22 3.83 65.64 1.87 83.72 4.05 26.98 22.83 74.38 99.91 82.42P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 65 +10 7.83 80.11 0.62 79.09 3.98 12.60 2.89 25.15 98.35 42.88P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 36 64 +25 7.90 80.97 15.14 80.22 4.23 28.61 8.35 42.83 99.38 57.38P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 58 +15 -0.86 46.23 3.15 71.92 4.02 17.36 0.04 1.37 70.45 20.12P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 37 58 +14 0.51 52.20 4.07 70.97 3.99 14.92 0.04 0.93 61.11 15.62P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 37 57 +6 7.39 79.26 7.23 69.21 3.97 5.84 0.00 0.24 36.78 6.69P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 37 54 +4 -2.47 39.82 -4.39 67.54 4.01 5.84 0.00 0.04 24.96 6.36P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 37 50 +3 4.23 67.66 10.49 61.00 3.91 0.85 0.00 0.00 1.28 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 49 +3 -2.59 39.21 -0.38 63.19 4.17 3.73 0.00 0.01 5.33 1.17P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 48 +4 -0.65 47.62 7.16 60.37 3.96 3.98 0.00 0.00 1.06 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 37 47 -6 2.06 59.79 2.24 57.89 3.89 -8.03 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 36 47 -9 -2.76 38.48 -9.59 60.17 4.29 -9.67 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 36 46 -7 0.08 51.16 -2.76 58.00 4.10 -9.16 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 45 -8 1.07 55.64 1.51 55.50 3.91 -10.48 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 36 42 -8 -0.39 49.06 2.94 52.91 4.10 -12.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 37 42 -17 -3.73 34.44 -9.30 53.90 3.96 -17.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Oldham 37 41 -13 -7.81 20.02 -9.85 52.60 3.98 -14.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Scunthorpe 37 40 -12 -10.48 13.30 -11.30 53.20 4.07 -10.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Mansfield 36 38 -7 -14.41 5.46 -11.38 52.80 4.32 -5.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.02 Macclesfield 37 36 -15 -2.58 39.21 2.11 45.32 3.75 -19.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.33R 1.33 Morecambe 37 32 -25 -6.00 24.62 -5.72 41.29 3.79 -29.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.28R 12.28 Stevenage 36 22 -26 -17.77 1.41 -12.74 33.95 4.16 -28.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.35R 86.35National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 37 70 +29 8.77 82.78 13.31 84.37 4.03 32.03 72.76 99.77 78.89P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 37 66 +17 6.45 75.26 3.68 79.33 4.06 18.43 14.97 94.29 31.62P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 63 +23 -5.46 28.12 -1.58 77.26 3.78 27.98 6.85 90.52 35.70P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 37 60 +17 -3.61 34.66 -2.32 75.47 4.03 21.66 3.63 78.52 25.78P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 37 60 +15 5.16 71.14 9.00 74.41 4.01 18.10 1.39 68.73 14.34P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 37 58 +1 8.48 82.39 2.50 69.17 3.93 -0.54 0.05 15.66 2.30P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 39 58 -3 9.28 83.21 4.32 65.67 3.43 -5.96 0.00 2.40 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 38 55 +11 -3.70 34.55 1.28 68.63 3.76 14.86 0.01 14.81 3.60P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 39 55 +6 0.68 53.42 4.89 65.95 3.49 8.02 0.00 2.83 0.48P 0.00 0.00 Woking 38 55 -5 8.90 82.28 4.38 64.35 3.73 -7.57 0.00 1.26 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 35 54 +10 0.47 52.11 1.76 70.11 4.51 11.52 0.33 26.55 6.01P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 38 54 +0 1.33 55.90 -0.72 64.79 3.81 -0.23 0.00 1.81 0.30P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 38 52 +5 -2.00 42.08 2.52 64.81 3.82 7.77 0.00 2.22 0.43P 0.00R 0.00 Sutton_United 38 50 +5 -2.97 38.06 3.53 62.12 3.78 6.70 0.00 0.37 0.05P 0.08R 0.00 Torquay 36 48 -5 3.83 66.48 4.29 59.55 4.27 -8.56 0.00 0.24 0.03P 1.44R 0.00 Aldershot 39 46 -12 1.00 55.17 0.35 54.53 3.45 -13.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.63R 0.00 Eastleigh 37 46 -12 0.17 51.34 -4.14 56.81 3.97 -14.27 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.06R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 44 -4 -5.40 28.11 -2.42 55.39 3.93 -5.32 0.00 0.01 0.00P 7.63R 0.00 Chesterfield 38 44 -10 -7.09 22.78 -7.95 54.50 3.75 -10.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.30R 0.00 Wrexham 37 43 -3 -9.92 13.92 -6.41 55.29 3.99 -2.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.05R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 39 42 -21 -6.27 25.82 -12.61 49.83 3.39 -23.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.62R 0.01 Maidenhead 38 41 -14 -1.26 45.30 1.25 49.90 3.67 -17.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.12R 0.03 AFC_Fylde 37 39 -16 -11.00 11.57 -14.69 52.03 4.05 -15.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.08R 0.01 Chorley 38 26 -34 -6.79 21.86 -4.23 32.49 3.33 -41.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.94