Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 4 May 2020 at 21:00:02 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 29 82 +45 17.06 99.78 2.97 101.46 3.50 56.87 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 57 +37 -5.72 19.43 -5.36 80.23 3.52 54.20 0.00 98.71 99.96 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 29 53 +30 3.51 67.09 15.16 68.33 4.01 34.37 0.00 1.22 77.88 93.00 99.48 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 48 +12 -2.14 39.13 -3.72 63.10 3.84 16.24 0.00 0.07 12.23 53.10 91.06 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 45 +14 -3.84 30.95 0.68 61.29 3.89 19.98 0.00 0.01 7.71 35.55 83.66 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 43 +7 3.23 66.42 7.68 56.33 4.03 8.46 0.00 0.00 0.55 5.05 34.16 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 43 +5 7.46 83.88 9.54 55.19 4.16 3.04 0.00 0.00 0.55 3.75 23.13 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 41 +7 -8.53 13.27 -7.85 56.86 4.04 12.30 0.00 0.00 0.85 7.11 42.84 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 40 +4 -4.98 26.11 -5.66 54.81 4.12 5.37 0.00 0.00 0.25 2.33 21.79 0.00 0.00 Burnley 29 39 -6 5.57 77.20 3.83 49.32 3.71 -9.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.15 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 39 -6 2.34 62.65 -1.18 48.90 3.75 -9.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.19 0.01R 0.00 Everton 29 37 -9 -0.59 47.67 -4.37 49.27 3.90 -9.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.47 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 29 35 -16 2.53 64.32 -5.20 45.15 3.71 -19.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.93R 0.00 Southampton 29 34 -17 3.07 67.04 -1.15 43.70 3.83 -21.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.51R 0.03 Brighton 29 29 -8 -2.75 36.27 4.62 37.73 3.62 -13.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.91R 1.68 West_Ham 29 27 -15 -6.15 21.37 -2.66 38.58 3.92 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.75R 1.93 Watford 29 27 -17 -4.41 28.40 -3.05 36.89 3.76 -21.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.98R 4.12 Bournemouth 29 27 -18 -4.66 27.32 -3.63 35.93 3.67 -24.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.16R 5.11 Aston_Villa 28 25 -22 -1.44 43.25 0.71 33.98 3.90 -30.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.03R 16.30 Norwich 29 21 -27 -4.06 29.58 -1.37 29.47 3.64 -34.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.68R 70.82Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 37 71 +26 7.91 80.53 7.95 86.86 3.96 31.28 50.91 93.97 100.00 95.80P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 70 +27 3.73 65.41 3.40 86.24 3.99 33.09 46.92 91.23 100.00 94.14P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 37 64 +14 5.26 70.82 2.11 77.03 4.09 15.01 1.41 8.08 95.33 29.94P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 37 60 +31 -4.86 29.71 9.71 75.74 3.99 36.09 0.65 5.53 93.37 37.57P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 37 60 +10 6.01 74.15 4.97 73.46 4.04 11.65 0.11 1.09 79.16 17.47P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 56 +5 2.81 62.06 1.34 68.79 4.08 5.66 0.00 0.04 35.77 6.81P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 55 -2 4.05 67.10 -2.15 67.49 4.07 -1.74 0.00 0.02 22.30 4.03P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 54 +4 5.12 71.62 6.08 66.85 4.03 4.81 0.00 0.01 19.38 3.32P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 54 +2 -0.06 49.99 -2.89 66.86 4.06 2.83 0.00 0.01 19.79 4.15P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 37 53 +7 0.57 52.72 4.60 65.50 4.06 7.25 0.00 0.01 14.06 2.66P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 53 +1 0.03 50.35 -2.30 65.87 4.00 1.94 0.00 0.01 13.48 2.75P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 51 +0 -4.00 33.62 -6.34 62.70 4.02 -0.97 0.00 0.00 3.84 0.78P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 37 50 -4 3.97 67.11 4.13 61.61 4.02 -5.35 0.00 0.00 1.56 0.21P 0.07R 0.00 Reading 37 48 +4 0.01 50.37 7.70 60.10 3.99 3.72 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.20P 0.18R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 37 48 -3 -1.73 42.81 -1.56 59.63 3.99 -4.04 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.16P 0.22R 0.00 Birmingham 37 47 -9 1.56 57.35 -0.95 58.13 3.97 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 1.21R 0.01 Stoke 37 42 -6 -6.67 23.65 -3.05 53.44 3.92 -7.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.23R 0.46 Huddersfield 37 42 -13 -1.48 44.60 -2.19 52.69 3.94 -15.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.76R 1.09 Middlesbrough 37 41 -10 -8.75 16.65 -9.35 53.24 3.98 -9.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.86R 0.52 Wigan 37 41 -12 -3.60 34.98 -3.45 52.55 3.99 -13.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.68R 1.25 Hull 37 41 -14 -4.59 31.51 -5.27 52.45 3.99 -15.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.94R 1.52 Charlton 37 39 -10 -4.68 31.19 0.30 49.37 3.89 -13.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.60R 4.88 Luton 37 35 -28 -2.94 38.18 -6.67 44.92 3.93 -32.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.12R 41.68 Barnsley 37 34 -20 -7.79 20.13 -6.14 43.93 3.90 -23.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.12R 48.59League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Coventry 34 67 +18 14.68 95.78 9.29 82.13 4.23 20.11 56.07 75.69 98.27 80.30P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 35 62 +23 1.94 58.23 4.20 77.95 4.00 28.80 17.25 42.21 89.63 55.28P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 35 60 +24 3.94 67.17 11.55 75.70 3.97 29.14 8.05 22.08 79.07 35.79P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 60 +17 0.59 52.36 -0.51 74.36 3.99 20.06 3.53 11.86 65.25 26.35P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 60 +13 6.28 76.28 4.40 74.88 3.92 16.99 4.18 13.75 69.04 25.41P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 59 +28 -1.11 44.66 8.61 75.86 3.84 35.25 8.16 23.56 82.55 40.78P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 36 59 +16 -3.81 32.90 -4.28 72.53 3.72 19.78 0.91 4.46 47.58 17.79P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 34 59 +5 12.92 93.23 5.90 72.04 4.24 4.08 1.51 4.80 38.52 9.59P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 34 54 +18 -2.30 39.34 3.28 69.63 4.15 20.90 0.33 1.55 23.79 7.22P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 36 52 +10 -3.50 35.19 0.95 66.11 3.61 14.85 0.00 0.01 3.69 0.97P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 35 51 +8 1.98 59.25 6.16 64.77 3.95 10.10 0.01 0.03 2.39 0.45P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 35 48 +0 -2.66 38.36 -3.91 60.55 4.01 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 45 +1 -3.87 33.22 -0.65 56.76 3.93 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 45 -11 0.83 54.44 -5.66 55.26 3.80 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 42 -2 -2.64 38.94 3.03 54.97 4.04 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Shrewsbury 34 41 -11 -1.73 42.56 -6.10 53.66 4.04 -12.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 40 -6 -3.51 35.02 1.30 50.35 3.86 -9.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.90R 0.00 MK_Dons 35 37 -11 -4.67 29.83 -1.79 47.21 3.82 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.89R 0.00 Rochdale 34 36 -18 -0.71 47.53 -1.29 48.24 4.16 -20.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.12R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 35 35 -13 -4.90 28.74 -0.96 45.37 3.81 -15.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00R 0.00 Tranmere 34 32 -24 -0.56 48.59 -1.13 40.90 3.85 -32.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.86R 0.00 Southend 35 19 -46 -13.26 4.42 -17.50 27.26 3.62 -53.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 20.83 Bolton 34 14 -39 -5.35 26.03 -14.86 22.23 3.75 -47.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 79.17 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Crewe 37 69 +24 9.27 83.93 10.60 82.82 4.03 26.14 16.63 67.08 99.89 75.39P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 36 69 +23 9.92 86.36 8.61 86.21 4.28 28.21 48.59 87.74 99.99 91.12P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 68 +22 3.71 65.19 1.71 83.76 4.08 27.04 23.50 74.35 99.94 82.34P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 65 +10 7.81 79.77 0.61 79.10 4.00 12.62 3.02 25.73 98.36 43.41P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 36 64 +25 8.00 81.00 15.25 80.18 4.22 28.56 8.19 42.53 99.33 56.96P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 58 +15 -0.97 45.77 3.05 71.90 4.02 17.34 0.03 1.37 70.44 20.42P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 37 58 +14 0.59 52.76 4.21 70.94 4.00 14.85 0.03 0.93 60.70 15.30P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 37 57 +6 7.22 78.91 7.01 69.18 3.98 5.81 0.00 0.22 36.47 6.69P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 37 54 +4 -2.60 39.16 -4.55 67.59 4.00 5.90 0.00 0.06 25.33 6.41P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 37 50 +3 4.16 67.84 10.43 61.06 3.94 0.94 0.00 0.00 1.38 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 49 +3 -2.68 38.59 -0.54 63.21 4.16 3.76 0.00 0.00 5.60 1.25P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 48 +4 -0.67 47.41 7.13 60.37 3.94 3.94 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 37 47 -6 2.03 59.63 2.12 57.90 3.88 -8.05 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 36 47 -9 -2.74 38.80 -9.60 60.18 4.28 -9.64 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 36 46 -7 -0.16 49.92 -3.05 58.10 4.11 -9.04 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 45 -8 1.13 55.83 1.54 55.50 3.90 -10.47 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 36 42 -8 -0.23 49.76 3.12 52.86 4.11 -12.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 37 42 -17 -3.61 35.00 -9.17 53.85 3.98 -17.80 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Oldham 37 41 -13 -7.70 20.21 -9.67 52.58 3.96 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.02 Scunthorpe 37 40 -12 -10.49 13.13 -11.32 53.22 4.05 -10.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Mansfield 36 38 -7 -14.07 5.86 -10.92 52.72 4.27 -5.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Macclesfield 37 36 -15 -2.45 39.76 2.27 45.31 3.75 -19.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.49R 1.49 Morecambe 37 32 -25 -6.06 24.62 -5.80 41.29 3.80 -29.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.45R 12.45 Stevenage 36 22 -26 -17.97 1.33 -13.06 34.00 4.17 -28.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.01R 86.01National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 37 70 +29 8.75 82.59 13.32 84.31 4.03 31.94 71.78 99.78 78.19P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 37 66 +17 6.30 74.72 3.48 79.40 4.07 18.55 15.68 94.41 32.31P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 63 +23 -5.40 28.34 -1.50 77.25 3.77 27.96 6.87 90.62 35.64P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 37 60 +17 -3.74 34.46 -2.57 75.57 4.06 21.82 3.93 79.01 25.93P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 37 60 +15 5.42 71.97 9.30 74.36 4.01 18.04 1.29 68.21 14.02P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 37 58 +1 8.46 82.19 2.48 69.17 3.93 -0.53 0.07 15.78 2.37P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 39 58 -3 9.52 83.63 4.73 65.62 3.42 -6.07 0.00 2.21 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 38 55 +11 -3.62 35.15 1.36 68.62 3.77 14.87 0.00 14.55 3.54P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 39 55 +6 0.57 52.67 4.70 65.96 3.50 8.05 0.00 2.82 0.46P 0.00 0.00 Woking 38 55 -5 8.76 82.03 4.16 64.38 3.73 -7.53 0.00 1.37 0.18P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 35 54 +10 0.38 51.69 1.59 70.13 4.51 11.55 0.37 26.44 6.14P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 38 54 +0 1.22 55.41 -0.91 64.80 3.81 -0.20 0.00 1.83 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 38 52 +5 -1.98 41.96 2.64 64.77 3.82 7.70 0.00 2.32 0.48P 0.01R 0.00 Sutton_United 38 50 +5 -2.98 37.92 3.49 62.14 3.79 6.71 0.00 0.42 0.07P 0.08R 0.00 Torquay 36 48 -5 4.02 67.19 4.61 59.47 4.27 -8.68 0.00 0.20 0.04P 1.49R 0.00 Aldershot 39 46 -12 0.94 54.89 0.18 54.57 3.44 -13.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.48R 0.00 Eastleigh 37 46 -12 0.32 51.85 -3.87 56.77 3.96 -14.32 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.24R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 44 -4 -5.38 28.16 -2.38 55.39 3.93 -5.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.80R 0.00 Chesterfield 38 44 -10 -7.35 22.24 -8.34 54.52 3.77 -10.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.24R 0.00 Wrexham 37 43 -3 -10.19 13.23 -6.79 55.37 3.98 -2.82 0.00 0.00 0.00P 7.63R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 39 42 -21 -6.15 25.90 -12.42 49.81 3.40 -23.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.75R 0.01 Maidenhead 38 41 -14 -1.15 46.01 1.45 49.89 3.68 -17.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.12R 0.03 AFC_Fylde 37 39 -16 -11.05 11.79 -14.76 52.00 4.08 -15.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.17R 0.03 Chorley 38 26 -34 -6.62 22.62 -3.95 32.47 3.32 -41.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.93