Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 26 April 2020 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        29   82  +45      16.94    99.80     2.77   101.50     3.49    56.97   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   57  +37      -5.57    19.98    -4.98    80.17     3.53    54.07     0.00    98.74    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +30       3.51    67.27    15.14    68.32     4.01    34.36     0.00     1.19    77.81    92.81    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   48  +12      -2.17    38.81    -3.71    63.10     3.85    16.20     0.00     0.06    12.39    53.16    90.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   45  +14      -3.90    30.65     0.54    61.31     3.88    20.03     0.00     0.01     7.57    35.69    84.17     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +7       3.06    65.71     7.39    56.39     4.04     8.54     0.00     0.00     0.56     5.20    34.53     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   43   +5       7.58    84.29     9.66    55.14     4.14     2.97     0.00     0.00     0.54     3.53    22.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   41   +7      -8.45    13.42    -7.69    56.88     4.03    12.30     0.00     0.00     0.87     7.05    42.65     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   40   +4      -5.21    25.39    -6.02    54.84     4.12     5.46     0.00     0.00     0.31     2.44    21.54     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          29   39   -6       5.62    77.43     3.96    49.32     3.69    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.06     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -6       2.39    62.85    -1.06    48.87     3.77    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.22     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          29   37   -9      -0.59    47.37    -4.34    49.25     3.92    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.52     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   35  -16       2.61    64.51    -5.14    45.19     3.72   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.01R    0.00  
Southampton      29   34  -17       3.04    66.61    -1.22    43.71     3.82   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.41R    0.05  
Brighton         29   29   -8      -2.68    36.84     4.71    37.69     3.64   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.44R    1.71  
West_Ham         29   27  -15      -6.08    21.32    -2.52    38.54     3.92   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.30R    2.06  
Watford          29   27  -17      -4.53    27.81    -3.20    36.87     3.76   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.75R    4.13  
Bournemouth      29   27  -18      -4.65    27.40    -3.51    35.95     3.67   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.72R    5.12  
Aston_Villa      28   25  -22      -1.41    43.51     0.70    33.95     3.92   -30.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.94R   16.91  
Norwich          29   21  -27      -4.09    29.23    -1.49    29.53     3.64   -34.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.38R   70.03  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    37   71  +26       7.86    80.40     7.90    86.83     3.96    31.23    50.95    93.82   100.00    95.75P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       37   70  +27       3.67    65.09     3.30    86.26     3.99    33.09    46.98    91.68   100.00    94.47P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   64  +14       5.42    71.46     2.34    76.98     4.05    14.96     1.34     7.75    95.22    29.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   60  +31      -4.82    29.68     9.76    75.75     3.99    36.12     0.65     5.59    93.23    37.65P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   37   60  +10       5.95    74.00     4.90    73.47     4.05    11.69     0.07     1.06    79.17    17.25P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   56   +5       3.05    62.85     1.65    68.76     4.06     5.60     0.00     0.05    35.37     6.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   55   -2       4.10    67.55    -2.03    67.46     4.05    -1.78     0.00     0.02    22.14     3.96P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        37   54   +4       4.97    71.01     5.88    66.88     4.02     4.85     0.00     0.01    19.68     3.37P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   54   +2       0.06    50.52    -2.70    66.87     4.07     2.83     0.00     0.01    20.42     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   53   +7       0.29    51.54     4.18    65.58     4.06     7.35     0.00     0.01    14.24     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   53   +1      -0.03    50.27    -2.36    65.84     4.01     1.92     0.00     0.01    13.15     2.72P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   51   +0      -4.21    32.76    -6.65    62.74     4.01    -0.92     0.00     0.00     3.94     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             37   50   -4       4.13    67.45     4.41    61.57     4.03    -5.40     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.26P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         37   48   +4      -0.00    50.38     7.67    60.10     4.03     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.18P    0.18R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   48   -3      -1.53    43.72    -1.29    59.64     4.01    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.18P    0.23R    0.00  
Birmingham      37   47   -9       1.38    56.41    -1.20    58.14     3.97   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    1.26R    0.01  
Stoke           37   42   -6      -6.82    23.50    -3.28    53.47     3.97    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.18R    0.47  
Huddersfield    37   42  -13      -1.34    45.01    -2.02    52.66     3.94   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.06R    1.12  
Middlesbrough   37   41  -10      -8.78    16.45    -9.41    53.29     3.99    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.49R    0.54  
Wigan           37   41  -12      -3.29    36.27    -3.01    52.51     3.97   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.82R    1.32  
Hull            37   41  -14      -4.54    31.79    -5.17    52.45     4.01   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.16R    1.55  
Charlton        37   39  -10      -4.63    31.25     0.36    49.36     3.91   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.71R    4.94  
Luton           37   35  -28      -3.13    37.49    -6.94    44.96     3.93   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.84R   41.45  
Barnsley        37   34  -20      -7.85    19.65    -6.28    43.93     3.89   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.00R   48.61  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Coventry             34   67  +18      14.57    95.76     9.13    82.11     4.26    20.11    56.04    75.22    98.21    79.64P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   62  +23       2.02    58.64     4.33    77.98     3.96    28.85    17.24    42.12    89.73    55.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   60  +24       3.78    66.08    11.23    75.77     3.97    29.27     8.00    22.44    79.44    35.92P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   60  +17       0.71    52.87    -0.38    74.38     3.96    20.05     3.50    11.98    65.48    26.46P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   60  +13       6.19    75.88     4.33    74.91     3.93    17.01     4.22    13.79    68.91    25.96P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   59  +28      -1.15    44.67     8.58    75.91     3.84    35.28     8.53    24.14    82.90    40.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           36   59  +16      -3.65    33.85    -4.02    72.47     3.73    19.70     0.88     4.21    46.81    17.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   59   +5      12.94    93.15     5.91    72.03     4.23     4.04     1.30     4.60    38.13     9.40P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   54  +18      -2.24    39.59     3.43    69.63     4.18    20.92     0.29     1.49    24.08     7.33P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              36   52  +10      -3.46    35.34     0.95    66.09     3.61    14.84     0.00     0.01     3.64     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   51   +8       1.76    58.25     5.87    64.76     3.97    10.09     0.00     0.01     2.46     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   48   +0      -2.71    38.00    -4.04    60.57     4.04     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   45   +1      -3.79    33.69    -0.52    56.70     3.92     0.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       35   45  -11       0.70    53.79    -5.86    55.25     3.81   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   42   -2      -2.55    39.31     3.18    54.95     4.02    -1.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   41  -11      -1.81    42.19    -6.19    53.69     4.03   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   40   -6      -3.61    34.30     1.16    50.38     3.86    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.00  
MK_Dons              35   37  -11      -4.57    30.71    -1.66    47.17     3.83   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.96R    0.00  
Rochdale             34   36  -18      -0.75    47.39    -1.36    48.24     4.12   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.04R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   35  -13      -4.92    28.30    -0.96    45.44     3.82   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.26R    0.00  
Tranmere             34   32  -24      -0.36    49.60    -0.78    40.82     3.84   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.76R    0.00  
Southend             35   19  -46     -13.20     4.49   -17.45    27.26     3.61   -53.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.95  
Bolton               34   14  -39      -5.38    25.64   -14.89    22.24     3.76   -47.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.04  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Crewe            37   69  +24       9.09    83.47    10.34    82.84     4.05    26.20    16.74    67.20    99.86    75.36P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   69  +23       9.83    85.75     8.47    86.23     4.28    28.25    48.81    87.51    99.99    90.87P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   68  +22       3.75    65.39     1.75    83.76     4.06    27.04    23.25    74.41    99.92    82.27P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           37   65  +10       7.73    79.95     0.43    79.13     4.00    12.66     3.04    25.82    98.34    43.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   64  +25       7.93    80.90    15.17    80.19     4.21    28.57     8.10    42.46    99.29    57.31P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   58  +15      -0.97    45.99     3.01    71.92     4.05    17.35     0.03     1.36    70.38    20.03P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   58  +14       0.43    51.91     3.95    71.01     4.01    14.97     0.02     0.95    61.49    15.73P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        37   57   +6       7.38    79.34     7.24    69.18     3.97     5.79     0.01     0.23    36.37     6.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   54   +4      -2.45    39.89    -4.39    67.59     3.99     5.88     0.00     0.07    25.04     6.62P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     37   50   +3       4.19    67.85    10.38    60.98     3.93     0.84     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   49   +3      -2.58    39.05    -0.34    63.17     4.18     3.71     0.00     0.00     5.48     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     37   48   +4      -0.77    47.11     6.97    60.43     3.95     4.03     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47   -6       2.24    60.46     2.42    57.87     3.90    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -9      -2.61    39.05    -9.38    60.16     4.26    -9.69     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   36   46   -7      -0.03    50.53    -2.90    58.03     4.12    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    37   45   -8       1.20    56.18     1.65    55.47     3.90   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   42   -8      -0.15    50.15     3.27    52.80     4.09   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         37   42  -17      -3.66    34.75    -9.22    53.88     3.98   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Oldham           37   41  -13      -7.80    20.14    -9.83    52.60     3.95   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       37   40  -12     -10.70    12.80   -11.53    53.27     4.04   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Mansfield        36   38   -7     -14.23     5.66   -11.13    52.76     4.29    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.02R    0.02  
Macclesfield     37   36  -15      -2.36    40.35     2.48    45.26     3.73   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    1.58  
Morecambe        37   32  -25      -6.20    24.06    -5.99    41.33     3.80   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.11R   12.11  
Stevenage        36   22  -26     -17.85     1.37   -12.82    33.96     4.15   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.27R   86.27  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             37   70  +29       8.75    82.64    13.32    84.38     4.06    32.05    72.32    99.77    78.85P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     37   66  +17       6.42    75.26     3.68    79.40     4.06    18.55    15.42    94.61    32.22P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       38   63  +23      -5.41    28.05    -1.43    77.25     3.78    27.94     6.85    90.52    36.08P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             37   60  +17      -3.56    35.32    -2.30    75.49     4.02    21.68     3.55    78.85    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       37   60  +15       5.24    71.37     8.98    74.39     4.03    18.07     1.47    68.84    14.27P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            37   58   +1       8.61    82.64     2.72    69.12     3.95    -0.58     0.06    15.47     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          39   58   -3       9.64    83.88     4.89    65.60     3.45    -6.09     0.00     2.30     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     38   55  +11      -3.56    35.58     1.45    68.60     3.75    14.81     0.01    14.47     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         39   55   +6       0.44    52.21     4.55    66.00     3.48     8.09     0.00     2.84     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   55   -5       8.99    82.52     4.55    64.31     3.73    -7.62     0.00     1.34     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet             35   54  +10       0.53    52.47     1.84    70.06     4.52    11.45     0.32    26.17     5.88P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     38   54   +0       1.28    56.02    -0.77    64.80     3.80    -0.22     0.00     1.93     0.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            38   52   +5      -2.02    41.96     2.53    64.76     3.82     7.69     0.00     2.28     0.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      38   50   +5      -2.94    38.06     3.57    62.10     3.76     6.68     0.00     0.35     0.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Torquay            36   48   -5       3.88    66.73     4.45    59.51     4.30    -8.63     0.00     0.26     0.04P    1.56R    0.00  
Aldershot          39   46  -12       0.94    54.89     0.21    54.57     3.44   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.62R    0.00  
Eastleigh          37   46  -12       0.04    50.71    -4.33    56.86     3.97   -14.18     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.08R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          37   44   -4      -5.34    28.28    -2.36    55.39     3.93    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.82R    0.00  
Chesterfield       38   44  -10      -7.45    21.97    -8.48    54.57     3.77   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.18R    0.00  
Wrexham            37   43   -3      -9.92    13.79    -6.46    55.33     3.98    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.83R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   42  -21      -6.39    25.13   -12.79    49.87     3.40   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.14R    0.01  
Maidenhead         38   41  -14      -1.32    45.00     1.16    49.87     3.68   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.58R    0.03  
AFC_Fylde          37   39  -16     -11.08    11.46   -14.81    52.03     4.08   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.11R    0.02  
Chorley            38   26  -34      -6.69    22.50    -4.15    32.46     3.30   -41.05     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.94