Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 23 April 2020 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 29 82 +45 17.08 99.80 2.99 101.42 3.51 56.81 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 57 +37 -5.66 19.56 -5.21 80.19 3.51 54.12 0.00 98.69 99.96 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 29 53 +30 3.54 67.31 15.24 68.30 3.99 34.32 0.00 1.24 77.83 92.98 99.49 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 48 +12 -2.27 38.47 -3.93 63.12 3.85 16.27 0.00 0.06 12.42 53.26 91.16 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 45 +14 -3.90 30.52 0.55 61.28 3.90 19.97 0.00 0.01 7.57 35.32 83.55 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 43 +7 3.14 65.98 7.51 56.39 4.04 8.56 0.00 0.00 0.55 5.21 34.43 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 43 +5 7.44 83.75 9.47 55.21 4.15 3.07 0.00 0.00 0.53 3.65 23.15 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 41 +7 -8.57 13.30 -7.89 56.88 4.04 12.32 0.00 0.00 0.84 7.10 42.58 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 40 +4 -5.06 25.77 -5.76 54.82 4.13 5.40 0.00 0.00 0.29 2.34 21.67 0.00 0.00 Burnley 29 39 -6 5.65 77.45 3.95 49.30 3.70 -9.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.15 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 39 -6 2.28 62.20 -1.27 48.92 3.76 -9.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 1.24 0.01R 0.00 Everton 29 37 -9 -0.53 47.80 -4.29 49.24 3.92 -9.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.47 0.05R 0.00 Newcastle 29 35 -16 2.62 64.43 -5.13 45.17 3.72 -19.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.03R 0.01 Southampton 29 34 -17 3.11 66.84 -1.16 43.69 3.82 -21.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.45R 0.02 Brighton 29 29 -8 -2.74 36.15 4.64 37.74 3.64 -13.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.70R 1.70 West_Ham 29 27 -15 -6.01 21.52 -2.45 38.55 3.93 -16.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.04R 1.93 Watford 29 27 -17 -4.46 28.18 -3.04 36.86 3.74 -21.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.95R 4.15 Bournemouth 29 27 -18 -4.50 28.16 -3.28 35.92 3.68 -24.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.28R 5.23 Aston_Villa 28 25 -22 -1.54 42.89 0.63 33.96 3.91 -30.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.07R 16.85 Norwich 29 21 -27 -4.13 28.95 -1.58 29.54 3.63 -34.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.42R 70.12Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 37 71 +26 7.97 80.52 8.08 86.84 3.96 31.24 51.19 93.99 100.00 95.97P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 70 +27 3.59 64.92 3.22 86.23 4.01 33.09 46.65 91.42 99.99 94.30P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 37 64 +14 5.34 71.25 2.21 77.02 4.03 14.99 1.36 7.81 95.39 29.75P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 37 60 +31 -4.79 29.96 9.82 75.74 4.01 36.12 0.70 5.61 93.25 37.23P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 37 60 +10 6.18 74.84 5.25 73.39 4.06 11.57 0.10 1.08 78.37 16.97P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 56 +5 2.86 62.23 1.43 68.82 4.05 5.67 0.00 0.04 35.89 6.95P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 55 -2 4.04 67.12 -2.12 67.48 4.07 -1.76 0.00 0.01 22.39 4.17P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 54 +4 5.18 72.12 6.16 66.84 4.05 4.80 0.00 0.00 19.69 3.54P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 54 +2 0.06 50.57 -2.70 66.81 4.07 2.78 0.00 0.02 19.76 4.19P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 37 53 +7 0.25 51.50 4.10 65.58 4.09 7.38 0.00 0.00 14.67 2.85P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 53 +1 0.15 50.89 -2.09 65.81 4.03 1.85 0.00 0.00 13.23 2.64P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 51 +0 -3.96 33.68 -6.28 62.71 4.02 -0.97 0.00 0.00 4.05 0.88P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 37 50 -4 4.03 67.36 4.21 61.57 4.01 -5.42 0.00 0.00 1.51 0.22P 0.05R 0.00 Reading 37 48 +4 0.12 51.17 7.82 60.08 4.02 3.69 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.19P 0.20R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 37 48 -3 -1.69 43.07 -1.58 59.67 4.00 -3.99 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.13P 0.18R 0.00 Birmingham 37 47 -9 1.35 56.41 -1.26 58.17 3.96 -10.93 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 1.16R 0.01 Stoke 37 42 -6 -6.79 23.19 -3.28 53.48 3.94 -7.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 10.20R 0.45 Huddersfield 37 42 -13 -1.36 44.93 -2.05 52.72 3.94 -15.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.95R 1.08 Middlesbrough 37 41 -10 -9.00 15.71 -9.68 53.35 3.99 -9.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.57R 0.49 Wigan 37 41 -12 -3.51 35.21 -3.41 52.54 3.99 -13.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.59R 1.26 Hull 37 41 -14 -4.49 31.74 -5.11 52.42 4.00 -15.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.35R 1.55 Charlton 37 39 -10 -4.77 30.41 0.17 49.39 3.92 -13.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.69R 4.81 Luton 37 35 -28 -3.07 37.75 -6.83 44.94 3.96 -32.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.63R 41.56 Barnsley 37 34 -20 -7.72 19.94 -6.08 43.89 3.87 -23.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.45R 48.79League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Coventry 34 67 +18 14.73 95.80 9.38 82.08 4.24 20.07 55.99 75.30 98.16 79.83P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 35 62 +23 2.15 59.02 4.56 77.91 3.98 28.74 16.74 41.64 89.39 54.81P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 35 60 +24 3.78 66.64 11.32 75.71 3.95 29.18 8.08 22.09 79.10 35.73P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 60 +17 0.57 52.20 -0.54 74.40 3.94 20.09 3.69 12.00 65.58 26.56P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 60 +13 6.16 75.83 4.21 74.94 3.93 17.08 4.31 14.19 69.43 26.15P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 59 +28 -1.25 43.95 8.37 75.92 3.82 35.32 8.53 24.18 82.98 41.40P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 36 59 +16 -3.64 33.70 -3.92 72.47 3.71 19.71 0.99 4.28 46.84 17.48P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 34 59 +5 12.94 93.38 5.87 72.07 4.23 4.13 1.34 4.75 38.55 9.40P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 34 54 +18 -2.10 40.08 3.57 69.62 4.18 20.91 0.32 1.51 23.72 7.11P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 36 52 +10 -3.51 35.36 0.90 66.07 3.60 14.79 0.00 0.01 3.68 1.03P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 35 51 +8 1.89 59.08 6.06 64.77 3.93 10.08 0.01 0.03 2.43 0.47P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 35 48 +0 -2.79 37.72 -4.12 60.57 4.01 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 45 +1 -3.88 33.29 -0.63 56.72 3.90 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 45 -11 0.67 53.71 -5.91 55.27 3.81 -14.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 42 -2 -2.35 40.01 3.42 54.91 3.99 -1.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Shrewsbury 34 41 -11 -1.85 41.81 -6.27 53.72 4.03 -12.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 40 -6 -3.60 34.37 1.14 50.40 3.85 -9.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73R 0.00 MK_Dons 35 37 -11 -4.48 30.59 -1.50 47.13 3.81 -14.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.30R 0.00 Rochdale 34 36 -18 -1.00 46.14 -1.83 48.33 4.14 -20.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.91R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 35 35 -13 -4.85 28.77 -0.87 45.37 3.78 -15.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.75R 0.00 Tranmere 34 32 -24 -0.56 48.59 -1.18 40.89 3.84 -32.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.12R 0.00 Southend 35 19 -46 -13.21 4.54 -17.41 27.28 3.60 -53.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 20.43 Bolton 34 14 -39 -5.25 26.19 -14.65 22.18 3.75 -47.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 79.57 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Crewe 37 69 +24 9.08 83.26 10.31 82.88 4.05 26.24 17.05 67.27 99.84 75.55P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 36 69 +23 9.80 86.09 8.46 86.26 4.26 28.28 48.82 87.97 99.99 91.29P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 68 +22 3.76 65.35 1.72 83.74 4.07 27.01 23.16 73.90 99.90 82.02P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 65 +10 7.74 79.97 0.45 79.15 4.00 12.71 2.91 25.88 98.35 43.85P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 36 64 +25 7.88 80.88 15.06 80.20 4.22 28.55 8.00 42.39 99.38 56.88P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 58 +15 -0.81 46.32 3.25 71.89 4.02 17.30 0.03 1.36 70.37 20.03P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 37 58 +14 0.37 51.69 3.88 71.02 4.03 15.00 0.02 0.97 61.48 15.40P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 37 57 +6 7.29 79.02 7.12 69.20 3.95 5.81 0.00 0.20 36.67 6.70P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 37 54 +4 -2.34 40.23 -4.20 67.53 4.01 5.80 0.00 0.05 24.72 6.28P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 37 50 +3 4.12 67.31 10.31 61.04 3.92 0.93 0.00 0.00 1.32 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 49 +3 -2.75 38.44 -0.62 63.21 4.18 3.78 0.00 0.00 5.50 1.30P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 48 +4 -0.70 47.76 7.12 60.39 3.92 3.98 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 37 47 -6 1.90 59.12 1.91 57.95 3.88 -7.96 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 36 47 -9 -2.37 40.35 -9.03 60.09 4.27 -9.81 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 36 46 -7 0.03 50.80 -2.82 57.99 4.07 -9.17 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 45 -8 1.26 56.18 1.76 55.44 3.88 -10.53 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 36 42 -8 -0.29 49.51 3.07 52.85 4.11 -12.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.01R 0.01 Carlisle 37 42 -17 -3.63 34.96 -9.20 53.79 3.98 -17.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Oldham 37 41 -13 -7.70 20.20 -9.63 52.58 3.97 -14.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Scunthorpe 37 40 -12 -10.60 13.12 -11.48 53.21 4.04 -10.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Mansfield 36 38 -7 -14.15 5.66 -11.01 52.75 4.31 -5.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.03 Macclesfield 37 36 -15 -2.55 39.24 2.14 45.36 3.75 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.36R 1.36 Morecambe 37 32 -25 -6.01 24.73 -5.75 41.29 3.82 -29.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.47R 12.47 Stevenage 36 22 -26 -17.86 1.38 -12.82 34.01 4.14 -28.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.12R 86.12National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 37 70 +29 8.81 82.93 13.37 84.35 4.02 31.99 72.16 99.82 78.58P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 37 66 +17 6.21 74.46 3.35 79.42 4.06 18.58 15.64 94.36 32.61P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 63 +23 -5.42 27.97 -1.47 77.22 3.78 27.91 6.76 90.30 35.39P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 37 60 +17 -3.63 34.79 -2.41 75.54 4.03 21.77 3.58 79.19 25.79P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 37 60 +15 5.34 71.95 9.17 74.39 4.02 18.06 1.43 68.62 13.98P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 37 58 +1 8.71 83.09 2.84 69.13 3.94 -0.59 0.06 15.45 2.21P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 39 58 -3 9.34 83.02 4.44 65.64 3.42 -6.02 0.00 2.30 0.29P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 38 55 +11 -3.45 35.74 1.58 68.59 3.77 14.80 0.01 14.46 3.55P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 39 55 +6 0.69 53.08 4.93 65.92 3.51 8.01 0.00 2.81 0.49P 0.00 0.00 Woking 38 55 -5 8.95 82.62 4.50 64.33 3.73 -7.59 0.00 1.31 0.15P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 35 54 +10 0.42 52.05 1.70 70.15 4.52 11.55 0.35 26.91 6.16P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 38 54 +0 1.28 55.80 -0.78 64.79 3.80 -0.23 0.00 1.68 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 38 52 +5 -2.04 41.85 2.45 64.81 3.83 7.76 0.00 2.16 0.41P 0.01R 0.00 Sutton_United 38 50 +5 -3.05 37.51 3.42 62.14 3.78 6.72 0.00 0.40 0.08P 0.08R 0.00 Torquay 36 48 -5 3.91 66.61 4.47 59.49 4.28 -8.65 0.00 0.22 0.03P 1.46R 0.00 Aldershot 39 46 -12 1.10 55.40 0.39 54.57 3.43 -13.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.34R 0.00 Eastleigh 37 46 -12 0.00 50.66 -4.34 56.83 3.95 -14.26 0.00 0.01 0.00 5.15R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 44 -4 -5.46 27.95 -2.46 55.42 3.95 -5.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.87R 0.00 Chesterfield 38 44 -10 -7.46 21.85 -8.54 54.52 3.77 -10.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.56R 0.00 Wrexham 37 43 -3 -9.96 13.99 -6.52 55.31 3.99 -2.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.83R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 39 42 -21 -6.18 26.14 -12.57 49.85 3.40 -23.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.36R 0.02 Maidenhead 38 41 -14 -1.31 45.17 1.22 49.87 3.68 -17.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.49R 0.02 AFC_Fylde 37 39 -16 -10.99 11.74 -14.61 52.00 4.08 -15.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.86R 0.01 Chorley 38 26 -34 -6.74 22.13 -4.13 32.48 3.31 -41.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.95