Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 15 April 2020 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 29 82 +45 17.11 99.78 3.03 101.44 3.53 56.86 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_City 28 57 +37 -5.64 19.94 -5.19 80.21 3.51 54.15 0.00 98.79 99.95 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Leicester 29 53 +30 3.45 66.95 15.11 68.36 3.97 34.39 0.00 1.15 78.45 93.35 99.47 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 29 48 +12 -2.24 38.43 -3.89 63.12 3.83 16.27 0.00 0.05 12.32 53.51 91.01 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 29 45 +14 -3.83 30.89 0.67 61.26 3.88 19.96 0.00 0.01 7.21 34.71 83.70 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 29 43 +7 3.10 65.88 7.45 56.39 4.02 8.58 0.00 0.00 0.47 5.29 34.25 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 28 43 +5 7.58 84.49 9.67 55.18 4.15 3.03 0.00 0.00 0.53 3.55 23.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 29 41 +7 -8.58 13.12 -7.87 56.85 4.03 12.31 0.00 0.00 0.79 6.98 42.66 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 28 40 +4 -5.25 24.98 -6.08 54.85 4.12 5.45 0.00 0.00 0.27 2.47 21.80 0.00 0.00
Burnley 29 39 -6 5.70 77.72 4.05 49.31 3.72 -9.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.15 0.00R 0.00
Crystal_Palace 29 39 -6 2.37 62.77 -1.12 48.90 3.78 -9.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 1.33 0.01R 0.00
Everton 29 37 -9 -0.55 47.56 -4.30 49.25 3.90 -9.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.55 0.03R 0.00
Newcastle 29 35 -16 2.55 64.34 -5.21 45.14 3.71 -19.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.04R 0.00
Southampton 29 34 -17 3.03 66.61 -1.26 43.73 3.82 -21.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.48R 0.02
Brighton 29 29 -8 -2.72 36.65 4.65 37.72 3.62 -13.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.79R 1.65
West_Ham 29 27 -15 -6.13 21.60 -2.56 38.54 3.93 -16.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.34R 2.04
Watford 29 27 -17 -4.54 27.91 -3.22 36.89 3.75 -21.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.78R 3.85
Bournemouth 29 27 -18 -4.56 27.83 -3.38 35.94 3.68 -24.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.92R 5.09
Aston_Villa 28 25 -22 -1.43 43.49 0.69 33.96 3.89 -30.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.09R 16.63
Norwich 29 21 -27 -3.95 30.05 -1.24 29.47 3.63 -34.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.51R 70.72
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Leeds_United 37 71 +26 7.70 79.72 7.69 86.92 3.96 31.36 51.86 93.99 100.00 95.83P 0.00 0.00
West_Brom 37 70 +27 3.63 64.94 3.26 86.24 4.02 33.05 46.04 91.34 100.00 94.35P 0.00 0.00
Fulham 37 64 +14 5.25 70.80 2.12 77.01 4.05 15.01 1.37 7.87 95.45 29.63P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 37 60 +31 -4.93 29.60 9.60 75.77 4.00 36.16 0.65 5.66 93.24 37.77P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 37 60 +10 6.05 74.65 5.10 73.42 4.04 11.60 0.08 1.05 78.84 17.15P 0.00 0.00
Preston 37 56 +5 2.92 62.51 1.48 68.86 4.07 5.72 0.00 0.06 36.24 7.17P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 37 55 -2 4.19 67.65 -1.90 67.43 4.04 -1.81 0.00 0.01 21.67 3.88P 0.00 0.00
Millwall 37 54 +4 5.09 71.25 6.06 66.86 4.03 4.82 0.00 0.00 19.61 3.23P 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 37 54 +2 -0.01 50.20 -2.84 66.86 4.05 2.83 0.00 0.01 20.07 4.11P 0.00 0.00
Blackburn 37 53 +7 0.45 52.14 4.33 65.54 4.05 7.30 0.00 0.01 14.24 2.84P 0.00 0.00
Swansea 37 53 +1 0.01 50.24 -2.34 65.84 4.01 1.89 0.00 0.00 13.41 2.68P 0.00 0.00
Derby 37 51 +0 -3.84 33.96 -6.16 62.67 4.01 -1.02 0.00 0.00 3.75 0.86P 0.01R 0.00
QPR 37 50 -4 4.01 66.82 4.20 61.57 4.06 -5.40 0.00 0.00 1.63 0.23P 0.06R 0.00
Reading 37 48 +4 0.22 51.61 8.02 60.08 4.02 3.69 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.15P 0.16R 0.00
Sheff_Wed 37 48 -3 -1.76 42.80 -1.60 59.67 3.99 -3.99 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.11P 0.21R 0.00
Birmingham 37 47 -9 1.30 56.24 -1.34 58.17 3.94 -10.91 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 1.14R 0.01
Stoke 37 42 -6 -6.92 22.64 -3.45 53.48 3.94 -7.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.12R 0.49
Huddersfield 37 42 -13 -1.23 45.25 -1.86 52.68 3.94 -15.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.31R 1.11
Middlesbrough 37 41 -10 -8.89 16.29 -9.55 53.30 4.00 -9.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 11.80R 0.53
Wigan 37 41 -12 -3.40 35.88 -3.24 52.51 4.00 -13.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.84R 1.25
Hull 37 41 -14 -4.62 31.57 -5.33 52.46 4.01 -15.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.03R 1.48
Charlton 37 39 -10 -4.54 31.77 0.54 49.36 3.91 -13.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.77R 4.74
Luton 37 35 -28 -2.96 38.09 -6.67 44.91 3.99 -32.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.52R 41.88
Barnsley 37 34 -20 -7.78 20.12 -6.11 43.91 3.90 -23.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.03R 48.51
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Coventry 34 67 +18 14.56 95.67 9.18 82.11 4.27 20.11 55.87 75.34 98.15 79.83P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 35 62 +23 2.04 58.55 4.39 77.97 4.01 28.83 17.30 42.64 89.57 55.44P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 35 60 +24 3.87 66.73 11.40 75.73 3.96 29.19 8.12 22.19 79.36 35.94P 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 35 60 +17 0.68 52.76 -0.39 74.35 3.97 20.04 3.51 11.90 65.19 26.27P 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 35 60 +13 6.21 76.10 4.35 74.91 3.92 17.03 4.27 13.78 69.54 25.72P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 35 59 +28 -1.24 44.03 8.41 75.90 3.82 35.28 8.32 23.65 82.83 41.05P 0.00 0.00
Sunderland 36 59 +16 -3.61 33.66 -3.95 72.47 3.74 19.71 0.90 4.34 47.18 17.60P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 34 59 +5 13.08 93.73 6.10 72.02 4.19 4.04 1.38 4.52 37.95 9.18P 0.00 0.00
Doncaster 34 54 +18 -2.39 39.04 3.18 69.63 4.19 20.90 0.35 1.62 23.81 7.48P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 36 52 +10 -3.40 35.59 1.03 66.08 3.64 14.81 0.00 0.01 3.83 0.99P 0.00 0.00
Gillingham 35 51 +8 1.85 58.52 5.99 64.77 3.93 10.10 0.00 0.02 2.36 0.45P 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 35 48 +0 -2.91 37.26 -4.31 60.59 4.03 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 0.00 0.00
Blackpool 35 45 +1 -3.98 32.77 -0.82 56.77 3.92 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 35 45 -11 0.88 54.47 -5.61 55.22 3.81 -14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00
Lincoln_City 35 42 -2 -2.39 39.96 3.41 54.93 4.05 -1.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00
Shrewsbury 34 41 -11 -1.53 43.56 -5.81 53.58 4.05 -12.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 35 40 -6 -3.75 33.57 0.92 50.43 3.86 -8.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.79R 0.00
MK_Dons 35 37 -11 -4.47 30.82 -1.51 47.19 3.84 -14.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.19R 0.00
Rochdale 34 36 -18 -0.83 46.97 -1.48 48.29 4.13 -20.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.86R 0.00
AFC_Wimbledon 35 35 -13 -4.93 28.48 -0.96 45.37 3.82 -15.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.04R 0.00
Tranmere 34 32 -24 -0.59 48.63 -1.24 40.91 3.87 -32.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.90R 0.00
Southend 35 19 -46 -13.27 4.43 -17.51 27.29 3.62 -53.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 20.76
Bolton 34 14 -39 -5.34 25.57 -14.77 22.24 3.76 -47.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 79.24
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1
Crewe 37 69 +24 9.37 84.16 10.73 82.82 4.04 26.16 16.73 66.92 99.86 74.99P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 36 69 +23 9.86 85.92 8.46 86.23 4.29 28.25 48.64 87.85 99.99 91.18P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 37 68 +22 3.57 64.64 1.41 83.80 4.07 27.11 23.50 74.73 99.94 82.80P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 37 65 +10 7.98 80.48 0.83 79.10 3.96 12.62 2.89 25.14 98.36 43.11P 0.00 0.00
Cheltenham 36 64 +25 7.89 80.78 15.10 80.22 4.22 28.60 8.18 42.49 99.34 56.72P 0.00 0.00
Colchester 37 58 +15 -0.98 45.59 3.04 71.92 4.04 17.38 0.02 1.51 70.34 20.36P 0.00 0.00
Northampton 37 58 +14 0.67 52.96 4.33 70.98 4.03 14.89 0.02 1.04 60.98 15.79P 0.00 0.00
Port_Vale 37 57 +6 7.30 79.13 7.10 69.19 3.98 5.82 0.00 0.26 36.37 6.62P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 37 54 +4 -2.48 39.87 -4.39 67.60 4.01 5.89 0.00 0.06 25.23 6.33P 0.00 0.00
Salford_City 37 50 +3 3.81 66.57 9.93 61.12 3.95 1.04 0.00 0.00 1.37 0.23P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 36 49 +3 -2.69 38.76 -0.50 63.22 4.18 3.77 0.00 0.00 5.58 1.36P 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 37 48 +4 -0.65 47.81 7.15 60.34 3.95 3.94 0.00 0.00 1.13 0.21P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 37 47 -6 1.94 59.11 2.06 57.88 3.88 -8.04 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 0.00 0.00
Walsall 36 47 -9 -2.68 38.96 -9.48 60.14 4.29 -9.71 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.24P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 36 46 -7 0.04 50.95 -2.79 58.01 4.14 -9.17 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.05P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 37 45 -8 1.19 55.99 1.68 55.50 3.89 -10.48 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00
Leyton_Orient 36 42 -8 -0.13 50.47 3.27 52.81 4.06 -12.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00R 0.00
Carlisle 37 42 -17 -3.59 35.51 -9.10 53.84 4.01 -17.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00
Oldham 37 41 -13 -7.72 20.16 -9.69 52.57 3.98 -14.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01
Scunthorpe 37 40 -12 -10.62 12.95 -11.53 53.22 4.04 -10.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01
Mansfield 36 38 -7 -14.25 5.54 -11.20 52.78 4.30 -5.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01R 0.01
Macclesfield 37 36 -15 -2.49 39.58 2.26 45.31 3.76 -19.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.44R 1.44
Morecambe 37 32 -25 -5.98 24.79 -5.71 41.25 3.80 -29.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.52R 12.52
Stevenage 36 22 -26 -17.92 1.24 -12.95 33.99 4.15 -28.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.00R 86.00
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Barrow 37 70 +29 8.87 83.08 13.48 84.34 4.02 31.95 72.01 99.81 78.55P 0.00 0.00
Harrogate_Town 37 66 +17 6.12 73.83 3.24 79.45 4.07 18.63 15.70 94.48 32.50P 0.00 0.00
Notts_County 38 63 +23 -5.31 28.40 -1.33 77.22 3.77 27.91 6.82 90.43 35.50P 0.00 0.00
Yeovil 37 60 +17 -3.68 34.68 -2.48 75.52 4.05 21.74 3.57 78.65 25.60P 0.00 0.00
Boreham_Wood 37 60 +15 5.23 71.30 8.99 74.40 4.06 18.09 1.47 68.56 14.28P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 37 58 +1 8.34 81.96 2.34 69.22 3.95 -0.48 0.07 15.86 2.33P 0.00 0.00
Stockport 39 58 -3 9.33 83.28 4.51 65.66 3.45 -6.00 0.00 2.29 0.33P 0.00 0.00
Solihull_Moors 38 55 +11 -3.61 35.49 1.40 68.59 3.78 14.83 0.01 14.36 3.29P 0.00 0.00
Hartlepool 39 55 +6 0.73 53.34 4.95 65.94 3.51 8.02 0.00 2.83 0.47P 0.00 0.00
Woking 38 55 -5 8.64 81.74 4.03 64.38 3.73 -7.51 0.00 1.35 0.18P 0.00R 0.00
Barnet 35 54 +10 0.50 52.52 1.77 70.10 4.53 11.52 0.36 26.53 6.06P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 38 54 +0 1.19 55.30 -0.93 64.84 3.82 -0.18 0.00 2.02 0.39P 0.00R 0.00
Bromley 38 52 +5 -2.13 41.32 2.33 64.80 3.81 7.78 0.00 2.24 0.42P 0.01R 0.00
Sutton_United 38 50 +5 -2.95 38.09 3.53 62.13 3.79 6.72 0.00 0.38 0.06P 0.08R 0.00
Torquay 36 48 -5 4.05 67.13 4.65 59.49 4.30 -8.67 0.00 0.22 0.03P 1.45R 0.00
Aldershot 39 46 -12 1.05 55.24 0.37 54.55 3.45 -13.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.74R 0.00
Eastleigh 37 46 -12 0.26 51.54 -3.95 56.76 3.98 -14.35 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.26R 0.00
Dag_&_Red 37 44 -4 -5.25 28.62 -2.20 55.34 3.96 -5.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.23R 0.00
Chesterfield 38 44 -10 -7.14 22.88 -8.02 54.51 3.77 -10.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.43R 0.00
Wrexham 37 43 -3 -9.99 13.67 -6.49 55.30 3.99 -2.90 0.00 0.00 0.00P 7.98R 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 39 42 -21 -6.20 25.92 -12.57 49.84 3.41 -23.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.21R 0.02
Maidenhead 38 41 -14 -1.48 44.35 1.03 49.95 3.69 -17.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.58R 0.02
AFC_Fylde 37 39 -16 -10.98 11.79 -14.64 51.99 4.07 -15.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.03R 0.02
Chorley 38 26 -34 -6.61 22.57 -4.01 32.44 3.30 -41.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.95
