Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 14 April 2020 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        29   82  +45      17.10    99.76     3.03   101.45     3.49    56.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   57  +37      -5.72    19.61    -5.30    80.18     3.52    54.13     0.00    98.68    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +30       3.51    67.07    15.13    68.34     3.99    34.36     0.00     1.26    77.83    93.11    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   48  +12      -2.28    38.35    -3.90    63.14     3.83    16.29     0.00     0.06    12.25    53.35    91.30     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   45  +14      -3.96    30.32     0.50    61.31     3.89    20.02     0.00     0.00     7.67    35.13    83.82     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +7       3.31    66.84     7.75    56.32     4.02     8.46     0.00     0.00     0.56     5.02    33.77     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   43   +5       7.43    83.89     9.47    55.23     4.14     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.55     3.70    23.25     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   41   +7      -8.60    13.29    -7.91    56.85     4.05    12.28     0.00     0.00     0.90     6.95    42.36     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   40   +4      -5.08    25.73    -5.85    54.86     4.13     5.47     0.00     0.00     0.30     2.62    21.89     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          29   39   -6       5.62    77.25     3.96    49.33     3.71    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.20     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -6       2.47    63.18    -0.93    48.87     3.75    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.22     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          29   37   -9      -0.58    47.52    -4.33    49.28     3.89    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.58     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   35  -16       2.57    64.25    -5.21    45.18     3.70   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.99R    0.00  
Southampton      29   34  -17       2.95    65.94    -1.37    43.75     3.82   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.33R    0.04  
Brighton         29   29   -8      -2.78    36.04     4.59    37.69     3.63   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.83R    1.65  
West_Ham         29   27  -15      -6.20    20.93    -2.71    38.57     3.91   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.62R    1.93  
Watford          29   27  -17      -4.38    28.34    -2.99    36.84     3.75   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.94R    4.17  
Bournemouth      29   27  -18      -4.57    27.81    -3.48    35.92     3.65   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.65R    5.05  
Aston_Villa      28   25  -22      -1.29    44.18     1.01    33.86     3.86   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.09R   17.01  
Norwich          29   21  -27      -4.09    29.66    -1.47    29.49     3.63   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.50R   70.14  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    37   71  +26       7.87    80.27     7.89    86.85     3.97    31.27    50.93    93.95   100.00    95.84P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       37   70  +27       3.76    65.32     3.43    86.25     4.00    33.07    46.98    91.65   100.00    94.48P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   64  +14       5.58    72.11     2.63    76.94     4.05    14.90     1.31     7.62    94.97    29.49P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   60  +31      -4.92    29.34     9.66    75.76     3.99    36.14     0.68     5.49    93.38    37.40P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   37   60  +10       6.06    74.34     5.03    73.47     4.05    11.67     0.10     1.16    79.24    17.25P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   56   +5       2.81    62.25     1.29    68.78     4.06     5.65     0.00     0.07    35.36     6.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   55   -2       4.19    67.49    -1.97    67.44     4.06    -1.80     0.00     0.02    21.98     3.90P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        37   54   +4       5.07    71.44     6.03    66.89     4.03     4.85     0.00     0.00    19.72     3.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   54   +2      -0.28    48.80    -3.17    66.89     4.07     2.88     0.00     0.03    20.31     4.41P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   53   +7       0.17    50.84     3.98    65.61     4.05     7.40     0.00     0.01    14.34     2.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   53   +1       0.08    50.49    -2.27    65.82     4.02     1.88     0.00     0.00    13.33     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   51   +0      -3.87    34.03    -6.16    62.65     4.00    -1.06     0.00     0.00     3.79     0.76P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             37   50   -4       4.02    67.18     4.21    61.61     4.05    -5.35     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.25P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         37   48   +4       0.11    51.04     7.84    60.11     4.01     3.71     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.17P    0.16R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   48   -3      -1.65    43.21    -1.47    59.67     4.00    -4.01     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.12P    0.23R    0.00  
Birmingham      37   47   -9       1.30    56.23    -1.31    58.17     3.96   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    1.19R    0.00  
Stoke           37   42   -6      -6.60    23.90    -2.97    53.42     3.92    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.26R    0.54  
Huddersfield    37   42  -13      -1.12    45.68    -1.68    52.62     3.96   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.44R    1.12  
Middlesbrough   37   41  -10      -9.15    15.48    -9.92    53.35     4.00    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.46R    0.49  
Wigan           37   41  -12      -3.44    35.82    -3.27    52.51     3.99   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.92R    1.29  
Hull            37   41  -14      -4.54    31.69    -5.15    52.43     4.01   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.22R    1.62  
Charlton        37   39  -10      -4.74    30.56     0.28    49.38     3.91   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.54R    4.81  
Luton           37   35  -28      -2.95    37.98    -6.71    44.94     3.97   -32.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.53R   41.39  
Barnsley        37   34  -20      -7.83    19.72    -6.22    43.90     3.91   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.98R   48.74  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Coventry             34   67  +18      14.75    95.94     9.42    82.09     4.25    20.10    55.82    75.27    98.12    79.75P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   62  +23       2.03    58.45     4.28    77.97     3.99    28.85    17.38    42.14    89.74    55.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   60  +24       3.83    66.55    11.37    75.71     3.95    29.18     7.69    21.97    79.13    35.61P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   60  +17       0.46    51.85    -0.70    74.39     3.95    20.08     3.62    12.15    65.55    26.59P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   60  +13       6.18    75.66     4.28    74.92     3.92    17.05     4.24    13.87    69.52    25.83P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   59  +28      -1.17    44.48     8.51    75.90     3.86    35.31     8.56    23.93    82.87    41.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           36   59  +16      -3.47    34.30    -3.74    72.48     3.72    19.68     0.93     4.36    47.17    17.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   59   +5      13.16    93.54     6.24    71.99     4.24     3.98     1.41     4.69    37.54     9.34P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   54  +18      -2.11    40.35     3.52    69.59     4.20    20.84     0.32     1.59    23.87     7.54P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              36   52  +10      -3.46    35.21     0.94    66.08     3.62    14.82     0.00     0.01     3.77     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   51   +8       1.86    58.49     6.01    64.81     3.95    10.13     0.00     0.03     2.52     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   48   +0      -2.85    37.40    -4.22    60.58     4.03     0.39     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   45   +1      -4.07    32.54    -0.90    56.78     3.93     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       35   45  -11       0.71    53.70    -5.88    55.24     3.84   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   42   -2      -2.40    39.83     3.37    54.93     4.01    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   41  -11      -1.64    42.90    -5.96    53.66     4.02   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   40   -6      -3.58    34.22     1.20    50.41     3.89    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.00  
MK_Dons              35   37  -11      -4.66    30.20    -1.79    47.20     3.86   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.28R    0.00  
Rochdale             34   36  -18      -0.99    46.30    -1.67    48.32     4.15   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.87R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   35  -13      -4.97    28.51    -0.99    45.38     3.82   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.02R    0.00  
Tranmere             34   32  -24      -0.61    48.34    -1.19    40.90     3.87   -32.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.80R    0.00  
Southend             35   19  -46     -13.20     4.57   -17.44    27.28     3.60   -53.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   20.46  
Bolton               34   14  -39      -5.25    26.00   -14.65    22.17     3.77   -47.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.54  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Crewe            37   69  +24       9.30    83.99    10.66    82.80     4.04    26.14    16.58    66.85    99.85    75.22P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   69  +23       9.75    85.74     8.35    86.22     4.24    28.23    48.93    87.99   100.00    91.21P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   68  +22       3.73    64.97     1.74    83.71     4.09    26.96    23.16    74.00    99.92    82.24P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           37   65  +10       7.86    80.24     0.67    79.10     4.01    12.62     2.92    25.52    98.30    43.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   64  +25       7.83    80.93    15.03    80.23     4.24    28.62     8.36    42.98    99.38    57.27P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   58  +15      -0.81    46.43     3.23    71.90     4.04    17.33     0.04     1.46    70.16    20.20P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   58  +14       0.58    52.31     4.21    70.97     4.02    14.90     0.01     0.90    60.92    15.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        37   57   +6       7.17    78.66     6.96    69.24     3.99     5.89     0.01     0.24    36.75     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   54   +4      -2.32    40.28    -4.15    67.56     4.01     5.82     0.00     0.05    25.24     6.55P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     37   50   +3       4.03    67.05    10.21    61.05     3.95     0.92     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   49   +3      -2.51    39.08    -0.32    63.23     4.17     3.78     0.00     0.00     5.51     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     37   48   +4      -0.78    47.20     6.96    60.41     3.94     4.02     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47   -6       2.00    59.43     2.07    57.88     3.88    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -9      -2.71    38.70    -9.51    60.16     4.27    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   36   46   -7      -0.05    50.41    -2.92    58.06     4.10    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    37   45   -8       1.19    55.97     1.70    55.47     3.92   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   42   -8      -0.24    49.78     3.13    52.86     4.11   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Carlisle         37   42  -17      -3.72    34.48    -9.32    53.86     3.97   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           37   41  -13      -8.10    19.19   -10.24    52.64     3.97   -14.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       37   40  -12     -10.55    12.95   -11.45    53.24     4.05   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.02R    0.02  
Mansfield        36   38   -7     -14.22     5.87   -11.14    52.79     4.30    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.02R    0.02  
Macclesfield     37   36  -15      -2.41    40.00     2.34    45.32     3.75   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    1.37  
Morecambe        37   32  -25      -6.03    24.70    -5.79    41.29     3.80   -29.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.86R   11.86  
Stevenage        36   22  -26     -17.53     1.43   -12.41    33.87     4.13   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.72R   86.72  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             37   70  +29       8.86    82.79    13.43    84.34     4.04    31.96    72.30    99.80    78.80P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     37   66  +17       6.22    74.64     3.38    79.38     4.05    18.54    15.19    94.33    31.89P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       38   63  +23      -5.59    27.42    -1.75    77.28     3.78    28.00     7.19    90.44    35.95P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             37   60  +17      -3.74    34.33    -2.54    75.53     4.03    21.76     3.62    78.77    25.98P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       37   60  +15       5.33    71.88     9.15    74.41     4.03    18.10     1.32    68.58    14.02P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            37   58   +1       8.66    82.84     2.84    69.15     3.93    -0.58     0.04    15.32     2.24P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          39   58   -3       9.47    83.49     4.57    65.63     3.42    -6.02     0.00     2.21     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     38   55  +11      -3.56    35.54     1.40    68.65     3.77    14.89     0.01    14.59     3.41P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         39   55   +6       0.89    54.08     5.22    65.94     3.52     8.01     0.00     2.82     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   55   -5       8.79    81.88     4.23    64.36     3.74    -7.54     0.00     1.33     0.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet             35   54  +10       0.32    51.51     1.55    70.17     4.52    11.58     0.32    26.95     5.94P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     38   54   +0       1.27    55.74    -0.82    64.82     3.83    -0.16     0.00     2.03     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            38   52   +5      -2.15    41.50     2.32    64.77     3.82     7.70     0.00     2.15     0.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      38   50   +5      -2.87    38.38     3.69    62.07     3.76     6.63     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Torquay            36   48   -5       4.03    66.98     4.61    59.49     4.27    -8.67     0.00     0.25     0.02P    1.48R    0.00  
Aldershot          39   46  -12       1.08    55.35     0.44    54.53     3.45   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.98R    0.00  
Eastleigh          37   46  -12       0.20    51.45    -4.05    56.76     3.95   -14.31     0.00     0.02     0.01P    5.16R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          37   44   -4      -5.28    28.25    -2.21    55.35     3.95    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00P    7.94R    0.00  
Chesterfield       38   44  -10      -7.32    22.32    -8.24    54.49     3.74   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.22R    0.00  
Wrexham            37   43   -3      -9.90    13.90    -6.38    55.30     3.98    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.05R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   42  -21      -6.39    25.01   -12.76    49.87     3.41   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.39R    0.01  
Maidenhead         38   41  -14      -1.51    44.41     0.86    49.96     3.68   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.47R    0.02  
AFC_Fylde          37   39  -16     -10.99    11.95   -14.62    52.01     4.09   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.20R    0.02  
Chorley            38   26  -34      -6.82    21.85    -4.31    32.47     3.33   -41.05     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.95