Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 13 April 2020 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        29   82  +45      17.00    99.78     2.77   101.50     3.51    56.93   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   57  +37      -5.66    19.64    -5.32    80.24     3.52    54.26     0.00    98.86    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +30       3.55    67.37    15.23    68.34     3.99    34.36     0.00     1.07    78.10    93.27    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   48  +12      -2.04    39.55    -3.54    63.06     3.85    16.13     0.00     0.07    12.17    52.86    90.64     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   45  +14      -3.77    31.24     0.73    61.27     3.88    19.97     0.00     0.00     7.53    35.56    83.67     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +7       3.05    65.43     7.38    56.42     4.03     8.58     0.00     0.00     0.55     5.32    34.66     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   43   +5       7.61    84.51     9.73    55.16     4.14     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.51     3.48    22.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   41   +7      -8.63    13.29    -7.98    56.88     4.02    12.31     0.00     0.00     0.86     7.08    43.06     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   40   +4      -5.03    25.87    -5.73    54.77     4.12     5.32     0.00     0.00     0.30     2.29    21.41     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          29   39   -6       5.58    76.95     3.88    49.35     3.73    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.29     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -6       2.32    62.45    -1.21    48.89     3.75    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.21     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          29   37   -9      -0.69    47.00    -4.53    49.27     3.91    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.50     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   35  -16       2.55    64.09    -5.22    45.13     3.71   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.97R    0.01  
Southampton      29   34  -17       3.18    67.16    -1.00    43.69     3.79   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.43R    0.04  
Brighton         29   29   -8      -2.70    36.42     4.63    37.74     3.64   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.22R    1.77  
West_Ham         29   27  -15      -6.19    21.03    -2.67    38.59     3.92   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.80R    1.92  
Watford          29   27  -17      -4.45    28.02    -3.08    36.84     3.74   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.25R    4.08  
Bournemouth      29   27  -18      -4.58    27.90    -3.47    35.93     3.68   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.83R    5.23  
Aston_Villa      28   25  -22      -1.53    42.75     0.58    33.99     3.89   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.01R   16.39  
Norwich          29   21  -27      -3.98    30.04    -1.20    29.50     3.64   -34.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.44R   70.56  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    37   71  +26       7.95    80.65     8.05    86.84     3.97    31.25    51.23    93.97   100.00    95.80P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       37   70  +27       3.68    65.05     3.37    86.22     4.03    33.04    46.64    91.36   100.00    94.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   64  +14       5.28    71.06     2.14    77.02     4.04    15.01     1.38     7.97    95.38    29.92P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   60  +31      -4.89    29.50     9.72    75.73     4.00    36.10     0.68     5.54    93.26    37.42P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   37   60  +10       5.99    74.07     4.96    73.40     4.06    11.59     0.08     1.08    78.85    17.41P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   56   +5       2.99    62.76     1.59    68.80     4.05     5.64     0.00     0.04    36.10     6.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   55   -2       4.14    67.46    -1.94    67.45     4.05    -1.81     0.00     0.01    22.03     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        37   54   +4       5.15    71.84     6.13    66.84     4.05     4.78     0.00     0.01    19.61     3.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   54   +2      -0.11    49.71    -3.03    66.91     4.07     2.90     0.00     0.01    20.07     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   53   +7       0.45    52.12     4.39    65.54     4.06     7.29     0.00     0.00    14.11     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   53   +1      -0.07    49.90    -2.44    65.88     4.01     1.96     0.00     0.01    13.36     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   51   +0      -3.93    33.84    -6.28    62.67     4.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     3.77     0.84P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             37   50   -4       4.15    67.81     4.39    61.57     4.05    -5.42     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.25P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading         37   48   +4       0.11    51.17     7.83    60.11     4.00     3.74     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.16P    0.16R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   48   -3      -1.77    42.97    -1.65    59.65     4.01    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.13P    0.26R    0.00  
Birmingham      37   47   -9       1.29    56.06    -1.31    58.17     3.96   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    1.21R    0.01  
Stoke           37   42   -6      -6.71    23.51    -3.11    53.48     3.96    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.19R    0.52  
Huddersfield    37   42  -13      -1.38    44.47    -2.08    52.68     3.92   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.02R    1.04  
Middlesbrough   37   41  -10      -8.92    15.95    -9.62    53.31     3.98    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.46R    0.53  
Wigan           37   41  -12      -3.45    35.67    -3.34    52.53     3.96   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.61R    1.20  
Hull            37   41  -14      -4.57    31.59    -5.26    52.42     3.99   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.25R    1.59  
Charlton        37   39  -10      -4.74    30.95     0.30    49.38     3.91   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.95R    4.81  
Luton           37   35  -28      -2.98    37.78    -6.72    44.95     3.95   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.71R   41.68  
Barnsley        37   34  -20      -7.74    20.27    -6.08    43.93     3.89   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.12R   48.61  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Coventry             34   67  +18      14.61    95.71     9.21    82.14     4.25    20.13    56.21    75.67    98.26    80.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   62  +23       2.06    58.86     4.38    77.94     3.99    28.79    17.17    41.76    89.63    54.92P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   60  +24       3.89    66.87    11.45    75.69     3.97    29.13     7.77    22.02    78.92    35.69P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   60  +17       0.54    52.30    -0.63    74.38     3.98    20.10     3.57    12.16    65.45    26.73P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   60  +13       6.24    76.14     4.38    74.90     3.93    17.02     4.34    13.84    69.26    25.66P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   59  +28      -1.12    44.41     8.62    75.91     3.84    35.31     8.30    23.92    83.02    41.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           36   59  +16      -3.62    33.68    -3.94    72.47     3.72    19.72     0.95     4.34    46.82    17.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   59   +5      13.09    93.74     6.09    72.02     4.24     4.05     1.39     4.70    38.32     9.19P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   54  +18      -2.31    39.43     3.29    69.63     4.20    20.89     0.30     1.57    24.02     7.52P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              36   52  +10      -3.53    35.18     0.94    66.08     3.60    14.81     0.00     0.01     3.76     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   51   +8       1.82    58.71     5.92    64.79     3.92    10.11     0.01     0.01     2.36     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   48   +0      -2.84    37.80    -4.12    60.56     4.04     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   45   +1      -4.05    32.28    -0.87    56.74     3.91     0.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       35   45  -11       0.87    54.46    -5.61    55.24     3.80   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   42   -2      -2.32    40.36     3.49    54.89     4.04    -1.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   41  -11      -1.71    42.57    -6.04    53.65     4.03   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   40   -6      -3.71    34.32     0.96    50.42     3.87    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.00  
MK_Dons              35   37  -11      -4.47    30.92    -1.46    47.16     3.83   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.48R    0.00  
Rochdale             34   36  -18      -0.87    46.80    -1.55    48.28     4.12   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.96R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   35  -13      -5.00    28.20    -1.11    45.44     3.84   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.95R    0.00  
Tranmere             34   32  -24      -0.47    48.91    -1.06    40.93     3.88   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.61R    0.00  
Southend             35   19  -46     -13.25     4.41   -17.54    27.25     3.62   -53.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   21.04  
Bolton               34   14  -39      -5.31    25.95   -14.81    22.26     3.76   -47.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.96  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Crewe            37   69  +24       9.14    83.67    10.42    82.85     4.04    26.22    16.51    67.24    99.89    75.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   69  +23       9.81    85.87     8.42    86.24     4.27    28.24    49.08    87.77    99.99    91.14P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   68  +22       3.67    65.13     1.62    83.76     4.09    27.03    23.31    74.06    99.93    82.20P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           37   65  +10       7.91    80.42     0.73    79.09     3.99    12.59     2.80    25.40    98.33    43.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   64  +25       7.89    80.97    15.06    80.23     4.23    28.62     8.22    42.79    99.34    57.31P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   58  +15      -0.71    47.00     3.36    71.85     4.03    17.26     0.05     1.46    69.77    19.96P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   58  +14       0.65    52.69     4.31    70.98     4.03    14.90     0.03     0.98    61.10    15.58P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        37   57   +6       7.26    78.71     7.09    69.23     3.98     5.85     0.00     0.25    37.05     6.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   54   +4      -2.48    39.77    -4.38    67.59     4.03     5.89     0.00     0.05    25.30     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     37   50   +3       4.02    67.07    10.18    61.05     3.94     0.93     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   49   +3      -2.56    39.16    -0.33    63.19     4.16     3.73     0.00     0.00     5.53     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     37   48   +4      -0.84    46.93     6.89    60.42     3.93     4.02     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47   -6       1.96    59.32     2.05    57.90     3.92    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -9      -2.73    38.71    -9.58    60.16     4.23    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   36   46   -7       0.01    50.73    -2.83    58.03     4.12    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    37   45   -8       1.27    56.48     1.82    55.43     3.93   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   42   -8      -0.16    50.14     3.27    52.83     4.09   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.01  
Carlisle         37   42  -17      -3.83    34.11    -9.40    53.87     4.00   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           37   41  -13      -7.85    20.15    -9.95    52.64     3.97   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.02  
Scunthorpe       37   40  -12     -10.61    12.78   -11.50    53.24     4.05   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.02  
Mansfield        36   38   -7     -14.38     5.47   -11.35    52.78     4.29    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.02  
Macclesfield     37   36  -15      -2.29    40.31     2.53    45.26     3.72   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47R    1.47  
Morecambe        37   32  -25      -5.96    24.79    -5.61    41.27     3.81   -29.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.22R   12.22  
Stevenage        36   22  -26     -17.85     1.40   -12.84    33.94     4.13   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.25R   86.25  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             37   70  +29       8.95    83.02    13.63    84.32     4.06    31.94    72.18    99.78    78.69P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     37   66  +17       6.36    74.72     3.62    79.40     4.07    18.55    15.62    94.38    32.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       38   63  +23      -5.23    28.74    -1.24    77.21     3.76    27.90     6.67    90.34    35.28P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             37   60  +17      -3.56    35.05    -2.27    75.50     4.06    21.69     3.67    78.64    25.96P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       37   60  +15       5.40    71.95     9.27    74.37     4.03    18.02     1.41    68.68    14.06P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            37   58   +1       8.60    82.61     2.70    69.14     3.94    -0.56     0.05    15.44     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          39   58   -3       9.65    83.96     4.92    65.65     3.43    -6.00     0.00     2.33     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     38   55  +11      -3.56    35.40     1.46    68.63     3.76    14.86     0.01    14.48     3.45P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         39   55   +6       0.62    52.71     4.75    65.91     3.51     7.98     0.00     2.83     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   55   -5       8.82    82.31     4.28    64.36     3.69    -7.54     0.00     1.30     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet             35   54  +10       0.40    51.73     1.67    70.16     4.55    11.58     0.39    27.18     6.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     38   54   +0       1.28    55.83    -0.83    64.79     3.80    -0.23     0.00     1.78     0.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            38   52   +5      -2.03    41.83     2.52    64.75     3.81     7.67     0.00     2.15     0.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      38   50   +5      -3.14    37.40     3.31    62.10     3.79     6.68     0.00     0.44     0.07P    0.07R    0.00  
Torquay            36   48   -5       3.77    65.80     4.19    59.57     4.28    -8.52     0.00     0.24     0.02P    1.55R    0.00  
Aldershot          39   46  -12       0.92    54.66     0.18    54.56     3.43   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.41R    0.00  
Eastleigh          37   46  -12       0.23    51.56    -3.98    56.80     3.98   -14.27     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.20R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          37   44   -4      -5.32    28.43    -2.36    55.34     3.95    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.14R    0.00  
Chesterfield       38   44  -10      -7.21    22.45    -8.16    54.50     3.77   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.54R    0.00  
Wrexham            37   43   -3      -9.99    13.87    -6.53    55.30     3.98    -2.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.77R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   42  -21      -6.32    25.49   -12.74    49.84     3.43   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.28R    0.02  
Maidenhead         38   41  -14      -1.50    44.31     0.94    49.97     3.68   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.55R    0.03  
AFC_Fylde          37   39  -16     -11.04    11.51   -14.72    51.98     4.10   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.48R    0.03  
Chorley            38   26  -34      -6.99    21.34    -4.58    32.52     3.31   -40.95     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.92