Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 11 April 2020 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 29 82 +45 17.11 99.80 3.04 101.44 3.50 56.86 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 57 +37 -5.65 19.57 -5.15 80.19 3.52 54.15 0.00 98.68 99.96 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 29 53 +30 3.41 66.88 14.99 68.33 4.02 34.39 0.00 1.24 77.97 93.18 99.50 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 48 +12 -2.11 38.90 -3.67 63.07 3.84 16.18 0.00 0.07 12.19 52.99 90.87 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 45 +14 -3.73 31.45 0.79 61.27 3.91 19.95 0.00 0.01 7.71 35.06 83.45 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 43 +7 3.13 66.03 7.45 56.41 4.04 8.58 0.00 0.00 0.58 5.49 34.57 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 43 +5 7.35 83.64 9.30 55.23 4.18 3.13 0.00 0.00 0.54 3.76 23.40 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 41 +7 -8.54 13.38 -7.82 56.83 4.03 12.24 0.00 0.00 0.80 6.96 42.21 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 40 +4 -5.14 25.20 -5.92 54.87 4.12 5.51 0.00 0.00 0.25 2.45 22.02 0.00 0.00 Burnley 29 39 -6 5.53 76.93 3.79 49.33 3.70 -9.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.08 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 39 -6 2.21 62.15 -1.37 48.91 3.76 -9.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.25 0.01R 0.00 Everton 29 37 -9 -0.47 48.06 -4.16 49.22 3.93 -9.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.56 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 29 35 -16 2.67 64.64 -5.01 45.14 3.74 -19.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.05R 0.01 Southampton 29 34 -17 3.04 66.47 -1.22 43.70 3.80 -21.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.33R 0.04 Brighton 29 29 -8 -2.67 36.59 4.68 37.72 3.67 -13.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.19R 1.76 West_Ham 29 27 -15 -6.19 21.12 -2.68 38.59 3.94 -16.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.03R 1.99 Watford 29 27 -17 -4.41 28.27 -3.01 36.84 3.76 -21.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.27R 4.30 Bournemouth 29 27 -18 -4.63 27.73 -3.49 35.92 3.66 -24.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.62R 5.17 Aston_Villa 28 25 -22 -1.44 43.56 0.75 33.98 3.90 -30.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.05R 16.37 Norwich 29 21 -27 -3.99 29.83 -1.28 29.51 3.66 -34.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.41R 70.36Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 37 71 +26 7.80 80.19 7.83 86.89 3.95 31.30 51.55 93.99 100.00 95.89P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 70 +27 3.72 65.36 3.35 86.25 4.00 33.07 46.42 91.34 100.00 94.24P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 37 64 +14 5.44 71.61 2.38 77.01 4.05 14.99 1.31 7.79 95.39 29.71P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 37 60 +31 -4.85 29.78 9.70 75.73 4.01 36.09 0.65 5.72 93.17 37.71P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 37 60 +10 6.22 74.98 5.34 73.38 4.05 11.53 0.07 1.07 78.33 16.71P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 56 +5 2.79 62.15 1.30 68.86 4.05 5.75 0.00 0.04 36.32 7.17P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 55 -2 4.17 67.39 -1.97 67.42 4.06 -1.84 0.00 0.01 22.03 3.82P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 54 +4 5.02 71.48 5.97 66.86 4.04 4.82 0.00 0.00 19.62 3.33P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 54 +2 0.01 50.46 -2.79 66.84 4.06 2.78 0.00 0.02 19.75 4.32P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 37 53 +7 0.26 51.34 4.07 65.62 4.09 7.40 0.00 0.00 14.82 2.90P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 53 +1 0.12 50.59 -2.15 65.83 4.02 1.88 0.00 0.00 13.21 2.74P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 51 +0 -4.04 33.43 -6.44 62.73 4.01 -0.91 0.00 0.00 3.97 0.94P 0.01R 0.00 QPR 37 50 -4 4.03 67.01 4.22 61.61 4.06 -5.34 0.00 0.00 1.71 0.22P 0.08R 0.00 Reading 37 48 +4 0.08 50.71 7.82 60.07 3.99 3.68 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.15P 0.16R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 37 48 -3 -1.64 43.36 -1.49 59.64 4.00 -4.01 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.13P 0.25R 0.00 Birmingham 37 47 -9 1.32 56.38 -1.28 58.14 3.96 -10.96 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.04P 1.23R 0.01 Stoke 37 42 -6 -6.80 23.38 -3.28 53.45 3.94 -7.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 10.36R 0.53 Huddersfield 37 42 -13 -1.48 44.48 -2.14 52.73 3.93 -15.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.77R 1.04 Middlesbrough 37 41 -10 -8.85 16.53 -9.51 53.31 3.99 -9.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.60R 0.51 Wigan 37 41 -12 -3.40 35.89 -3.20 52.50 4.00 -13.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.14R 1.33 Hull 37 41 -14 -4.61 31.50 -5.31 52.47 3.99 -15.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.96R 1.55 Charlton 37 39 -10 -4.77 30.86 0.22 49.42 3.90 -12.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.20R 4.51 Luton 37 35 -28 -2.96 38.20 -6.66 44.90 3.96 -32.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.89R 41.55 Barnsley 37 34 -20 -7.68 20.38 -5.98 43.85 3.90 -23.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.35R 48.97League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Coventry 34 67 +18 14.72 95.78 9.43 82.07 4.26 20.04 55.82 75.26 97.96 79.68P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 35 62 +23 2.29 59.70 4.75 77.92 3.99 28.74 17.11 41.31 89.45 54.10P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 35 60 +24 3.74 66.16 11.24 75.73 3.95 29.20 7.98 22.35 79.30 35.91P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 60 +17 0.64 52.57 -0.42 74.37 3.95 20.04 3.50 11.83 65.26 26.18P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 60 +13 5.97 75.05 4.03 74.97 3.93 17.15 4.42 14.23 69.68 26.27P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 59 +28 -1.32 43.80 8.25 75.93 3.84 35.34 8.53 24.30 82.76 41.66P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 36 59 +16 -3.50 34.28 -3.81 72.47 3.71 19.72 0.94 4.22 46.89 17.46P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 34 59 +5 12.84 93.24 5.71 72.12 4.21 4.18 1.39 4.88 38.74 9.82P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 34 54 +18 -2.23 39.58 3.37 69.61 4.17 20.89 0.31 1.57 23.64 7.44P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 36 52 +10 -3.52 35.09 0.87 66.12 3.61 14.88 0.00 0.01 3.75 0.99P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 35 51 +8 1.83 58.42 5.99 64.76 3.95 10.07 0.00 0.03 2.39 0.46P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 35 48 +0 -2.81 37.68 -4.14 60.53 4.05 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 45 +1 -4.02 32.30 -0.85 56.78 3.91 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 45 -11 0.69 53.85 -5.84 55.30 3.80 -14.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 42 -2 -2.44 39.61 3.29 54.94 4.00 -1.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Shrewsbury 34 41 -11 -1.60 42.89 -5.92 53.63 4.04 -12.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 40 -6 -3.50 35.04 1.31 50.33 3.86 -9.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84R 0.00 MK_Dons 35 37 -11 -4.66 30.25 -1.82 47.20 3.85 -14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.22R 0.00 Rochdale 34 36 -18 -0.70 47.38 -1.31 48.21 4.12 -20.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.21R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 35 35 -13 -4.80 29.00 -0.83 45.36 3.81 -15.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.88R 0.00 Tranmere 34 32 -24 -0.64 47.91 -1.31 40.92 3.86 -32.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.68R 0.00 Southend 35 19 -46 -13.16 4.50 -17.31 27.28 3.62 -53.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 20.43 Bolton 34 14 -39 -5.25 25.82 -14.68 22.19 3.75 -47.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 79.57 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Crewe 37 69 +24 9.28 84.01 10.63 82.83 4.03 26.17 16.71 66.98 99.86 75.15P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 36 69 +23 9.79 86.07 8.35 86.26 4.26 28.29 49.02 87.89 99.99 91.22P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 68 +22 3.53 64.48 1.39 83.76 4.06 27.02 23.19 74.35 99.90 82.44P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 65 +10 7.77 79.88 0.51 79.14 3.98 12.68 2.97 25.81 98.33 43.32P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 36 64 +25 7.86 80.75 15.03 80.20 4.21 28.60 8.05 42.38 99.29 57.09P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 58 +15 -0.73 47.02 3.36 71.86 4.00 17.27 0.02 1.31 70.29 19.89P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 37 58 +14 0.38 51.48 3.89 71.02 4.01 14.99 0.04 0.97 61.35 15.68P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 37 57 +6 7.27 79.05 7.10 69.21 3.97 5.85 0.00 0.24 36.64 6.70P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 37 54 +4 -2.45 39.99 -4.39 67.55 4.01 5.82 0.00 0.06 24.95 6.67P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 37 50 +3 4.14 67.41 10.31 61.05 3.94 0.92 0.00 0.00 1.26 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 49 +3 -2.70 38.84 -0.57 63.26 4.17 3.82 0.00 0.00 5.60 1.21P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 48 +4 -0.67 47.74 7.12 60.42 3.95 4.02 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 37 47 -6 2.05 59.73 2.18 57.89 3.91 -8.01 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 36 47 -9 -2.67 38.79 -9.44 60.17 4.27 -9.68 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.21P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 36 46 -7 0.03 50.75 -2.78 57.98 4.10 -9.19 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 45 -8 1.20 56.31 1.73 55.45 3.92 -10.54 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 36 42 -8 -0.38 49.00 2.93 52.89 4.10 -12.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 37 42 -17 -3.58 35.22 -9.05 53.79 3.96 -17.85 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00R 0.00 Oldham 37 41 -13 -7.83 19.87 -9.89 52.59 3.97 -14.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Scunthorpe 37 40 -12 -10.64 12.81 -11.47 53.20 4.03 -10.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.02 Mansfield 36 38 -7 -14.17 5.75 -11.04 52.75 4.30 -5.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.02 Macclesfield 37 36 -15 -2.39 39.96 2.44 45.28 3.72 -19.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.48R 1.48 Morecambe 37 32 -25 -6.01 24.80 -5.69 41.29 3.82 -29.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.05R 12.05 Stevenage 36 22 -26 -17.71 1.36 -12.65 33.96 4.14 -28.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.42R 86.42National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 37 70 +29 8.73 82.33 13.26 84.39 4.04 32.03 72.48 99.75 79.03P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 37 66 +17 6.27 74.56 3.42 79.36 4.06 18.51 15.39 94.10 31.72P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 63 +23 -5.63 27.50 -1.81 77.32 3.76 28.03 7.02 90.97 36.25P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 37 60 +17 -3.48 35.35 -2.22 75.48 4.03 21.69 3.38 78.80 25.49P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 37 60 +15 5.29 71.46 9.10 74.39 4.03 18.08 1.30 68.26 13.87P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 37 58 +1 8.68 82.71 2.81 69.15 3.95 -0.58 0.08 15.27 2.27P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 39 58 -3 9.73 84.44 4.96 65.61 3.43 -6.05 0.00 2.30 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 38 55 +11 -3.62 35.05 1.38 68.64 3.75 14.89 0.01 14.55 3.48P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 39 55 +6 0.56 52.51 4.72 65.96 3.50 8.08 0.00 2.87 0.45P 0.00 0.00 Woking 38 55 -5 8.93 82.28 4.46 64.32 3.73 -7.63 0.00 1.34 0.16P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 35 54 +10 0.31 51.41 1.53 70.17 4.55 11.60 0.33 27.14 6.11P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 38 54 +0 1.27 55.84 -0.83 64.79 3.82 -0.19 0.00 1.81 0.33P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 38 52 +5 -2.04 42.02 2.52 64.77 3.83 7.70 0.00 2.19 0.41P 0.00R 0.00 Sutton_United 38 50 +5 -3.04 37.45 3.39 62.11 3.79 6.68 0.00 0.41 0.07P 0.07R 0.00 Torquay 36 48 -5 3.99 66.64 4.61 59.48 4.29 -8.68 0.00 0.22 0.03P 1.51R 0.00 Aldershot 39 46 -12 1.08 55.54 0.39 54.57 3.45 -13.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.45R 0.00 Eastleigh 37 46 -12 0.28 51.73 -3.87 56.77 3.95 -14.34 0.00 0.02 0.00 5.47R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 44 -4 -5.53 27.71 -2.58 55.43 3.92 -5.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.54R 0.00 Chesterfield 38 44 -10 -7.31 22.50 -8.30 54.54 3.75 -10.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.45R 0.00 Wrexham 37 43 -3 -9.82 14.12 -6.30 55.27 3.99 -2.95 0.00 0.00 0.00P 8.09R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 39 42 -21 -6.30 25.69 -12.65 49.82 3.41 -23.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.68R 0.01 Maidenhead 38 41 -14 -1.42 44.93 1.00 49.92 3.68 -17.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.74R 0.04 AFC_Fylde 37 39 -16 -11.01 11.72 -14.66 52.00 4.07 -15.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.00R 0.03 Chorley 38 26 -34 -6.90 21.84 -4.34 32.47 3.32 -41.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.92