Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 9 April 2020 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 29 82 +45 17.10 99.75 3.14 101.43 3.52 56.84 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 57 +37 -5.59 19.97 -5.17 80.20 3.54 54.15 0.00 98.74 99.97 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 29 53 +30 3.47 67.13 15.13 68.34 3.98 34.39 0.00 1.19 78.20 93.18 99.52 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 48 +12 -2.08 39.15 -3.64 63.09 3.85 16.20 0.00 0.06 12.16 53.08 90.96 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 45 +14 -3.80 30.98 0.72 61.27 3.91 19.94 0.00 0.01 7.51 35.26 83.44 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 43 +7 3.18 66.31 7.58 56.39 4.01 8.55 0.00 0.00 0.50 5.21 34.20 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 43 +5 7.58 84.06 9.64 55.15 4.15 2.99 0.00 0.00 0.49 3.57 22.88 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 41 +7 -8.63 13.12 -8.03 56.92 4.03 12.37 0.00 0.00 0.86 7.11 43.15 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 40 +4 -5.20 25.14 -6.01 54.86 4.13 5.48 0.00 0.00 0.30 2.45 21.85 0.00 0.00 Burnley 29 39 -6 5.58 76.93 3.89 49.33 3.71 -9.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.12 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 39 -6 2.32 62.48 -1.13 48.87 3.76 -9.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 1.26 0.01R 0.00 Everton 29 37 -9 -0.51 47.97 -4.26 49.23 3.93 -9.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.53 0.04R 0.00 Newcastle 29 35 -16 2.56 64.29 -5.20 45.15 3.72 -19.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.05R 0.00 Southampton 29 34 -17 2.95 66.25 -1.37 43.76 3.82 -21.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.38R 0.04 Brighton 29 29 -8 -2.59 36.95 4.86 37.70 3.62 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.84R 1.75 West_Ham 29 27 -15 -6.29 20.91 -2.88 38.62 3.95 -16.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.53R 2.02 Watford 29 27 -17 -4.46 28.23 -3.09 36.88 3.76 -21.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.97R 4.10 Bournemouth 29 27 -18 -4.60 27.76 -3.52 35.89 3.64 -24.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.35R 5.20 Aston_Villa 28 25 -22 -1.49 43.06 0.67 33.96 3.91 -30.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.34R 16.33 Norwich 29 21 -27 -3.99 29.84 -1.34 29.47 3.63 -34.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.49R 70.56Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 37 71 +26 7.76 79.88 7.80 86.86 3.95 31.27 51.21 94.12 100.00 95.97P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 70 +27 3.53 64.44 3.06 86.27 4.00 33.13 46.72 91.78 100.00 94.60P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 37 64 +14 5.53 72.03 2.53 76.97 4.04 14.93 1.27 7.50 95.16 28.93P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 37 60 +31 -4.83 29.98 9.80 75.76 4.00 36.12 0.71 5.45 93.39 37.57P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 37 60 +10 6.13 74.75 5.13 73.43 4.04 11.62 0.08 1.07 78.85 17.37P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 56 +5 2.93 62.29 1.43 68.79 4.06 5.63 0.00 0.05 35.81 7.12P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 55 -2 4.11 67.13 -2.07 67.47 4.05 -1.79 0.00 0.01 22.16 3.88P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 54 +4 5.14 71.53 6.18 66.87 4.05 4.81 0.00 0.00 19.71 3.47P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 54 +2 -0.31 48.88 -3.23 66.91 4.09 2.91 0.00 0.01 20.40 4.26P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 37 53 +7 0.37 51.80 4.31 65.55 4.04 7.32 0.00 0.00 14.08 2.72P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 53 +1 0.05 50.47 -2.28 65.84 4.03 1.90 0.00 0.01 13.35 2.69P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 37 51 +0 -3.85 34.12 -6.19 62.68 4.00 -0.99 0.00 0.00 3.79 0.88P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 37 50 -4 4.09 67.28 4.31 61.58 4.03 -5.39 0.00 0.00 1.52 0.23P 0.05R 0.00 Reading 37 48 +4 0.13 51.09 7.87 60.10 3.97 3.71 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.15P 0.15R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 37 48 -3 -1.63 43.25 -1.43 59.61 4.00 -4.06 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.14P 0.21R 0.00 Birmingham 37 47 -9 1.30 56.32 -1.31 58.18 3.97 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 1.24R 0.01 Stoke 37 42 -6 -6.91 22.96 -3.42 53.49 3.96 -7.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.86R 0.54 Huddersfield 37 42 -13 -1.38 44.73 -2.03 52.71 3.93 -15.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.93R 1.02 Middlesbrough 37 41 -10 -8.98 15.91 -9.69 53.32 4.01 -9.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.64R 0.49 Wigan 37 41 -12 -3.47 35.36 -3.34 52.55 3.98 -13.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.52R 1.20 Hull 37 41 -14 -4.49 32.03 -5.11 52.40 4.00 -15.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.55R 1.52 Charlton 37 39 -10 -4.77 30.63 0.17 49.38 3.91 -13.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.64R 4.66 Luton 37 35 -28 -2.99 37.93 -6.72 44.92 3.95 -32.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.90R 41.44 Barnsley 37 34 -20 -7.57 20.67 -5.79 43.88 3.89 -23.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.32R 49.12League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Coventry 34 67 +18 14.62 95.68 9.22 82.12 4.22 20.11 56.38 75.66 98.22 80.17P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 35 62 +23 2.11 59.00 4.46 77.94 3.98 28.80 16.90 42.34 89.29 55.21P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 35 60 +24 3.98 67.44 11.61 75.73 3.94 29.17 7.99 22.25 79.49 35.92P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 60 +17 0.64 52.59 -0.43 74.32 3.96 20.04 3.42 11.53 65.00 26.00P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 60 +13 6.05 75.45 4.16 74.91 3.93 17.05 4.19 13.65 69.25 25.74P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 59 +28 -1.12 44.59 8.61 75.88 3.86 35.26 8.48 23.71 82.54 40.57P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 36 59 +16 -3.83 32.98 -4.25 72.53 3.72 19.80 0.90 4.51 47.53 17.96P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 34 59 +5 12.98 93.53 5.94 72.05 4.23 4.11 1.45 4.79 38.13 9.47P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 34 54 +18 -2.38 39.01 3.16 69.65 4.19 20.96 0.30 1.54 24.22 7.48P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 36 52 +10 -3.46 35.30 0.94 66.11 3.62 14.86 0.00 0.02 3.73 0.94P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 35 51 +8 1.87 58.69 6.00 64.76 3.95 10.09 0.01 0.02 2.42 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 35 48 +0 -2.71 38.25 -3.96 60.54 4.04 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 45 +1 -3.97 32.57 -0.74 56.76 3.92 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 45 -11 0.86 54.58 -5.62 55.24 3.80 -14.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 42 -2 -2.42 39.59 3.31 54.95 4.02 -1.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Shrewsbury 34 41 -11 -1.81 42.14 -6.17 53.68 4.01 -12.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 40 -6 -3.70 33.83 1.00 50.38 3.83 -9.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.76R 0.00 MK_Dons 35 37 -11 -4.49 30.79 -1.52 47.15 3.83 -14.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.28R 0.00 Rochdale 34 36 -18 -0.89 46.98 -1.60 48.28 4.14 -20.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.95R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 35 35 -13 -4.73 29.10 -0.76 45.37 3.80 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.89R 0.00 Tranmere 34 32 -24 -0.59 48.67 -1.16 40.91 3.86 -32.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.94R 0.00 Southend 35 19 -46 -13.19 4.53 -17.39 27.24 3.60 -53.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 20.74 Bolton 34 14 -39 -5.30 25.57 -14.82 22.20 3.75 -47.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 79.25 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Crewe 37 69 +24 9.21 83.69 10.51 82.81 4.04 26.17 16.70 67.02 99.83 75.41P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 36 69 +23 9.81 85.83 8.44 86.22 4.25 28.23 48.66 87.72 99.99 91.09P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 68 +22 3.64 64.76 1.58 83.78 4.06 27.06 23.40 74.80 99.93 82.98P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 65 +10 7.88 80.54 0.69 79.11 3.98 12.63 2.97 25.78 98.42 43.40P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 36 64 +25 7.95 80.92 15.21 80.17 4.24 28.52 8.21 42.23 99.35 56.68P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 58 +15 -0.73 46.67 3.35 71.89 3.99 17.30 0.03 1.33 70.48 19.76P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 37 58 +14 0.43 51.85 3.99 70.99 4.04 14.94 0.03 0.85 60.99 15.55P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 37 57 +6 7.36 79.17 7.19 69.19 3.97 5.80 0.00 0.20 36.61 6.68P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 37 54 +4 -2.47 39.81 -4.36 67.54 3.99 5.82 0.00 0.06 24.90 6.46P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 37 50 +3 3.92 66.69 9.98 61.12 3.94 1.03 0.00 0.00 1.33 0.21P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 49 +3 -2.59 39.28 -0.37 63.23 4.18 3.78 0.00 0.00 5.64 1.24P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 48 +4 -0.84 46.69 6.88 60.40 3.95 4.03 0.00 0.00 1.06 0.25P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 37 47 -6 2.06 59.82 2.18 57.91 3.88 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 36 47 -9 -2.70 39.02 -9.50 60.15 4.25 -9.69 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 36 46 -7 0.14 51.36 -2.67 58.01 4.11 -9.15 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 45 -8 1.03 55.51 1.49 55.51 3.90 -10.47 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 36 42 -8 -0.30 49.35 3.03 52.83 4.10 -12.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 37 42 -17 -3.71 34.57 -9.28 53.85 3.99 -17.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00R 0.00 Oldham 37 41 -13 -7.79 19.86 -9.78 52.59 3.96 -14.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Scunthorpe 37 40 -12 -10.52 13.10 -11.35 53.22 4.03 -10.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Mansfield 36 38 -7 -14.09 5.86 -10.93 52.72 4.30 -5.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.02R 0.02 Macclesfield 37 36 -15 -2.52 39.62 2.20 45.33 3.74 -19.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.39R 1.39 Morecambe 37 32 -25 -6.01 24.95 -5.72 41.25 3.80 -29.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.41R 12.41 Stevenage 36 22 -26 -17.74 1.36 -12.74 34.00 4.15 -28.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.16R 86.16National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 37 70 +29 8.63 82.26 13.12 84.40 4.04 32.06 72.55 99.80 78.94P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 37 66 +17 6.35 74.92 3.55 79.39 4.07 18.52 15.51 94.42 31.96P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 63 +23 -5.45 28.13 -1.53 77.26 3.78 27.96 6.63 90.37 36.03P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 37 60 +17 -3.51 35.44 -2.19 75.48 4.06 21.68 3.59 78.67 25.24P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 37 60 +15 5.22 71.38 9.02 74.37 4.04 18.06 1.34 68.41 14.10P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 37 58 +1 8.50 82.26 2.54 69.17 3.93 -0.56 0.04 15.63 2.38P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 39 58 -3 9.61 83.87 4.82 65.62 3.43 -6.05 0.00 2.23 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 38 55 +11 -3.50 35.52 1.52 68.64 3.78 14.89 0.01 15.02 3.58P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 39 55 +6 0.42 52.15 4.50 65.98 3.50 8.07 0.00 2.87 0.51P 0.00 0.00 Woking 38 55 -5 8.90 82.24 4.39 64.38 3.72 -7.53 0.00 1.30 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 35 54 +10 0.42 52.01 1.69 70.12 4.52 11.51 0.33 26.59 5.97P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 38 54 +0 1.23 55.64 -0.88 64.81 3.83 -0.20 0.00 1.90 0.33P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 38 52 +5 -2.05 41.84 2.49 64.79 3.80 7.73 0.00 2.22 0.44P 0.01R 0.00 Sutton_United 38 50 +5 -2.87 38.24 3.66 62.11 3.77 6.69 0.00 0.38 0.06P 0.06R 0.00 Torquay 36 48 -5 4.03 67.03 4.68 59.47 4.27 -8.71 0.00 0.19 0.03P 1.45R 0.00 Aldershot 39 46 -12 1.14 55.85 0.48 54.52 3.45 -13.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.81R 0.00 Eastleigh 37 46 -12 0.18 51.32 -4.09 56.82 3.98 -14.25 0.00 0.01 0.00 5.19R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 44 -4 -5.33 28.14 -2.34 55.36 3.95 -5.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.06R 0.00 Chesterfield 38 44 -10 -7.20 22.48 -8.16 54.49 3.76 -10.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.69R 0.00 Wrexham 37 43 -3 -10.02 13.74 -6.52 55.29 4.02 -2.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.90R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 39 42 -21 -6.36 25.43 -12.75 49.88 3.41 -23.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.92R 0.02 Maidenhead 38 41 -14 -1.40 44.51 1.01 49.96 3.67 -17.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.15R 0.01 AFC_Fylde 37 39 -16 -10.98 11.79 -14.56 51.94 4.08 -15.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.77R 0.01 Chorley 38 26 -34 -6.89 21.68 -4.44 32.49 3.30 -41.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.96