Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 1 April 2020 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        29   82  +45      17.01    99.79     2.86   101.46     3.50    56.89   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   57  +37      -5.69    19.70    -5.25    80.22     3.51    54.24     0.00    98.71    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +30       3.47    67.05    15.11    68.30     4.00    34.32     0.00     1.22    77.88    92.86    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   48  +12      -1.99    39.66    -3.51    63.05     3.84    16.16     0.00     0.06    12.27    52.83    90.90     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   45  +14      -3.88    30.53     0.57    61.28     3.90    19.97     0.00     0.01     7.61    35.45    83.51     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +7       3.22    66.33     7.59    56.38     4.04     8.54     0.00     0.00     0.58     5.33    34.56     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   43   +5       7.51    84.10     9.60    55.19     4.17     3.05     0.00     0.00     0.61     3.74    23.02     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   41   +7      -8.68    12.80    -8.02    56.89     4.03    12.33     0.00     0.00     0.82     7.19    42.65     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   40   +4      -5.25    24.93    -6.12    54.88     4.10     5.49     0.00     0.00     0.25     2.47    21.88     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          29   39   -6       5.65    77.66     3.98    49.31     3.71    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.16     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -6       2.39    62.80    -1.05    48.91     3.79    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.20     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          29   37   -9      -0.82    46.32    -4.68    49.33     3.90    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.60     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   35  -16       2.63    64.45    -5.13    45.14     3.71   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.01R    0.01  
Southampton      29   34  -17       3.09    66.84    -1.13    43.71     3.80   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.31R    0.03  
Brighton         29   29   -8      -2.72    36.48     4.62    37.72     3.64   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.17R    1.79  
West_Ham         29   27  -15      -6.06    21.49    -2.51    38.55     3.94   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.27R    2.00  
Watford          29   27  -17      -4.32    28.54    -2.87    36.85     3.75   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.12R    4.04  
Bournemouth      29   27  -18      -4.49    28.00    -3.26    35.92     3.65   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.73R    5.08  
Aston_Villa      28   25  -22      -1.52    43.02     0.57    33.97     3.91   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.83R   16.52  
Norwich          29   21  -27      -4.05    29.69    -1.38    29.48     3.63   -34.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.52R   70.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    37   71  +26       7.90    80.47     7.93    86.86     3.96    31.28    51.05    94.14   100.00    95.97P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       37   70  +27       3.73    65.42     3.39    86.24     4.02    33.07    46.92    91.45    99.99    94.32P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   64  +14       5.38    71.50     2.35    77.00     4.03    14.98     1.27     7.71    95.32    29.69P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   60  +31      -4.99    29.29     9.54    75.77     4.00    36.15     0.68     5.57    93.33    37.90P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   37   60  +10       6.09    74.67     5.10    73.41     4.05    11.59     0.08     1.04    78.71    16.91P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   56   +5       2.81    62.01     1.34    68.83     4.06     5.69     0.01     0.05    36.23     6.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   55   -2       4.30    68.04    -1.75    67.43     4.04    -1.83     0.00     0.02    21.99     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        37   54   +4       5.15    71.61     6.17    66.83     4.04     4.77     0.00     0.00    19.45     3.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   54   +2      -0.05    49.94    -2.85    66.85     4.07     2.81     0.00     0.01    19.98     4.26P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   53   +7       0.48    52.29     4.41    65.51     4.07     7.28     0.00     0.01    14.20     2.61P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   53   +1       0.00    50.17    -2.36    65.88     3.99     1.96     0.00     0.00    13.50     2.77P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   51   +0      -4.02    33.55    -6.40    62.73     4.01    -0.92     0.00     0.00     3.77     0.80P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             37   50   -4       4.03    67.27     4.25    61.56     4.04    -5.42     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.22P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         37   48   +4      -0.05    50.22     7.63    60.10     4.02     3.71     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.18P    0.20R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   48   -3      -1.58    43.61    -1.42    59.64     4.00    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.15P    0.22R    0.00  
Birmingham      37   47   -9       1.57    57.46    -0.94    58.11     3.97   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    1.25R    0.01  
Stoke           37   42   -6      -6.70    23.70    -3.10    53.48     3.94    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.06R    0.56  
Huddersfield    37   42  -13      -1.61    43.61    -2.44    52.74     3.94   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.66R    1.00  
Middlesbrough   37   41  -10      -8.84    16.37    -9.52    53.28     4.00    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.97R    0.61  
Wigan           37   41  -12      -3.51    35.12    -3.42    52.53     3.98   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.97R    1.40  
Hull            37   41  -14      -4.54    31.65    -5.20    52.45     4.01   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.36R    1.51  
Charlton        37   39  -10      -4.73    30.85     0.29    49.43     3.94   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.47R    4.88  
Luton           37   35  -28      -3.15    37.51    -6.98    44.98     3.97   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.44R   41.18  
Barnsley        37   34  -20      -7.67    20.66    -6.01    43.89     3.89   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.33R   48.86  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Coventry             34   67  +18      14.59    95.69     9.22    82.15     4.23    20.15    56.24    75.69    98.28    80.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   62  +23       2.04    58.41     4.34    77.99     4.00    28.87    17.19    42.23    89.51    55.43P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   60  +24       3.99    67.21    11.65    75.71     3.99    29.16     8.06    22.07    79.14    35.51P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   60  +17       0.52    51.93    -0.61    74.37     3.97    20.06     3.48    11.97    65.26    26.19P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   60  +13       6.26    75.95     4.44    74.89     3.92    17.01     4.19    13.65    68.99    25.66P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   59  +28      -1.17    44.53     8.48    75.90     3.84    35.30     8.39    23.87    82.83    40.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           36   59  +16      -3.75    33.28    -4.20    72.52     3.72    19.77     0.84     4.44    47.46    17.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   59   +5      13.02    93.69     6.05    72.03     4.22     4.06     1.35     4.56    38.31     9.27P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   54  +18      -2.35    39.23     3.23    69.61     4.19    20.89     0.25     1.49    23.76     7.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              36   52  +10      -3.54    34.89     0.85    66.10     3.62    14.83     0.00     0.01     3.87     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   51   +8       2.00    59.23     6.16    64.73     3.93    10.04     0.00     0.03     2.37     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   48   +0      -2.72    38.00    -4.03    60.56     4.02     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   45   +1      -3.93    33.02    -0.73    56.76     3.92     0.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       35   45  -11       0.85    54.81    -5.64    55.24     3.82   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   42   -2      -2.41    39.98     3.32    54.94     4.04    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   41  -11      -1.65    42.78    -5.99    53.62     4.03   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   40   -6      -3.71    33.74     0.98    50.38     3.86    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
MK_Dons              35   37  -11      -4.60    30.41    -1.69    47.20     3.85   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.14R    0.00  
Rochdale             34   36  -18      -0.87    46.64    -1.51    48.30     4.14   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.84R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   35  -13      -4.74    28.91    -0.70    45.37     3.81   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.00R    0.00  
Tranmere             34   32  -24      -0.61    48.24    -1.20    40.89     3.85   -32.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.06R    0.00  
Southend             35   19  -46     -13.42     4.33   -17.78    27.30     3.63   -53.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.21  
Bolton               34   14  -39      -5.23    26.24   -14.62    22.21     3.73   -47.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.79  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Crewe            37   69  +24       9.33    84.20    10.70    82.79     4.07    26.13    16.99    66.65    99.84    74.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   69  +23       9.88    86.33     8.50    86.19     4.28    28.19    48.38    87.77    99.99    91.06P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   68  +22       3.78    65.34     1.73    83.74     4.10    27.02    23.40    74.39    99.93    82.47P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           37   65  +10       7.76    79.94     0.50    79.17     4.00    12.70     3.14    26.22    98.31    43.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   64  +25       7.83    80.59    15.04    80.18     4.20    28.57     8.03    42.26    99.40    57.43P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   58  +15      -0.96    45.80     3.04    71.88     4.03    17.31     0.02     1.44    70.28    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   58  +14       0.49    52.27     4.12    71.01     4.01    14.96     0.03     1.02    61.23    15.52P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        37   57   +6       7.57    79.90     7.48    69.15     3.99     5.77     0.00     0.21    36.35     6.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   54   +4      -2.57    39.32    -4.50    67.58     4.01     5.89     0.00     0.04    25.32     6.47P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     37   50   +3       4.14    67.66    10.33    61.04     3.92     0.91     0.00     0.00     1.37     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   49   +3      -2.75    38.28    -0.61    63.23     4.19     3.76     0.00     0.00     5.52     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     37   48   +4      -0.68    47.48     7.12    60.37     3.92     3.97     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47   -6       2.19    60.14     2.41    57.85     3.89    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -9      -2.68    38.96    -9.48    60.16     4.27    -9.68     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   36   46   -7      -0.06    50.40    -3.01    58.06     4.11    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    37   45   -8       1.16    55.92     1.60    55.51     3.91   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   42   -8      -0.28    49.60     3.08    52.87     4.10   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         37   42  -17      -3.65    34.80    -9.19    53.86     3.99   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.01R    0.01  
Oldham           37   41  -13      -7.92    19.69    -9.94    52.63     3.95   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.02  
Scunthorpe       37   40  -12     -10.34    13.54   -11.06    53.16     4.07   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Mansfield        36   38   -7     -14.30     5.54   -11.28    52.78     4.28    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Macclesfield     37   36  -15      -2.52    39.34     2.18    45.31     3.73   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43R    1.43  
Morecambe        37   32  -25      -6.14    24.50    -5.91    41.28     3.80   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.35R   12.35  
Stevenage        36   22  -26     -17.85     1.28   -12.84    34.00     4.12   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.16R   86.16  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             37   70  +29       8.58    82.10    13.03    84.37     4.03    32.06    72.69    99.79    79.05P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     37   66  +17       6.32    74.55     3.52    79.37     4.06    18.51    15.18    94.25    31.87P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       38   63  +23      -5.36    28.25    -1.40    77.25     3.78    27.95     6.83    90.40    35.88P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             37   60  +17      -3.74    34.55    -2.48    75.53     4.06    21.74     3.56    78.67    25.47P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       37   60  +15       5.29    71.59     9.09    74.41     4.03    18.09     1.36    68.60    13.91P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            37   58   +1       8.43    82.00     2.41    69.18     3.96    -0.51     0.06    15.75     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          39   58   -3       9.65    83.87     4.88    65.63     3.43    -6.04     0.00     2.29     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     38   55  +11      -3.44    36.00     1.64    68.58     3.75    14.78     0.00    14.16     3.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         39   55   +6       0.67    52.99     4.88    65.96     3.50     8.03     0.00     2.92     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   55   -5       8.81    82.26     4.30    64.39     3.73    -7.51     0.00     1.26     0.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet             35   54  +10       0.18    50.99     1.38    70.17     4.51    11.60     0.32    26.92     6.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     38   54   +0       1.22    55.34    -0.88    64.86     3.85    -0.13     0.00     1.94     0.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            38   52   +5      -2.20    41.30     2.24    64.85     3.83     7.81     0.00     2.42     0.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      38   50   +5      -2.97    37.79     3.49    62.11     3.77     6.67     0.00     0.41     0.10P    0.07R    0.00  
Torquay            36   48   -5       3.80    66.05     4.21    59.51     4.29    -8.60     0.00     0.20     0.02P    1.45R    0.00  
Aldershot          39   46  -12       1.03    55.28     0.32    54.56     3.44   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.36R    0.00  
Eastleigh          37   46  -12       0.24    51.75    -4.00    56.79     3.96   -14.29     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.11R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          37   44   -4      -5.15    29.17    -2.05    55.29     3.94    -5.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.94R    0.00  
Chesterfield       38   44  -10      -7.26    22.26    -8.19    54.51     3.76   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.52R    0.00  
Wrexham            37   43   -3      -9.88    14.13    -6.40    55.27     4.00    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.96R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   42  -21      -6.18    25.86   -12.49    49.81     3.41   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.72R    0.01  
Maidenhead         38   41  -14      -1.28    45.15     1.25    49.89     3.67   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.88R    0.03  
AFC_Fylde          37   39  -16     -10.84    12.19   -14.41    51.98     4.09   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.98R    0.02  
Chorley            38   26  -34      -6.78    22.02    -4.35    32.45     3.29   -41.03     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.94