Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 29 March 2020 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 29 82 +45 17.13 99.78 3.07 101.45 3.52 56.82 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 57 +37 -5.65 19.62 -5.23 80.24 3.52 54.24 0.00 98.69 99.96 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 29 53 +30 3.58 67.50 15.23 68.34 4.01 34.38 0.00 1.23 78.05 93.07 99.45 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 48 +12 -2.25 38.41 -3.89 63.13 3.85 16.27 0.00 0.07 12.34 53.76 91.17 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 45 +14 -3.77 31.24 0.71 61.26 3.88 19.91 0.00 0.00 7.52 34.97 83.91 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 43 +7 3.22 66.26 7.62 56.34 4.00 8.48 0.00 0.00 0.45 4.94 33.97 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 43 +5 7.52 83.93 9.65 55.14 4.19 2.99 0.00 0.00 0.58 3.73 23.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 41 +7 -8.55 13.39 -7.86 56.87 4.03 12.30 0.00 0.00 0.81 6.98 42.70 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 40 +4 -5.09 25.47 -5.78 54.84 4.13 5.43 0.00 0.00 0.28 2.41 21.69 0.00 0.00 Burnley 29 39 -6 5.59 77.18 3.87 49.30 3.71 -9.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.18 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 39 -6 2.27 62.16 -1.26 48.92 3.78 -9.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.32 0.00R 0.00 Everton 29 37 -9 -0.59 47.50 -4.34 49.27 3.89 -9.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.52 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 29 35 -16 2.61 64.33 -5.14 45.15 3.71 -19.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.97R 0.00 Southampton 29 34 -17 3.20 67.48 -1.02 43.67 3.81 -21.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.34R 0.03 Brighton 29 29 -8 -2.64 37.05 4.72 37.74 3.65 -13.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.09R 1.76 West_Ham 29 27 -15 -6.20 21.12 -2.74 38.56 3.92 -16.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.92R 1.98 Watford 29 27 -17 -4.46 28.09 -3.10 36.86 3.74 -21.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.27R 4.29 Bournemouth 29 27 -18 -4.67 27.31 -3.62 35.95 3.69 -24.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.02R 4.97 Aston_Villa 28 25 -22 -1.65 42.31 0.39 33.99 3.90 -30.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.90R 16.39 Norwich 29 21 -27 -4.05 29.55 -1.30 29.49 3.64 -34.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.44R 70.58Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 37 71 +26 7.63 79.41 7.59 86.93 3.96 31.38 51.56 94.06 100.00 95.93P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 70 +27 3.45 64.38 3.00 86.27 3.99 33.14 46.43 91.70 100.00 94.47P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 37 64 +14 5.49 71.84 2.51 76.94 4.06 14.89 1.26 7.60 95.19 29.43P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 37 60 +31 -4.86 29.61 9.76 75.72 4.01 36.09 0.68 5.46 93.18 37.57P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 37 60 +10 6.38 75.54 5.54 73.35 4.04 11.51 0.08 1.08 78.35 16.90P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 56 +5 2.82 61.95 1.37 68.83 4.05 5.68 0.00 0.05 36.34 7.17P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 55 -2 4.02 67.14 -2.23 67.54 4.04 -1.66 0.00 0.01 22.75 4.10P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 54 +4 5.28 72.20 6.31 66.82 4.04 4.76 0.00 0.00 19.71 3.35P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 54 +2 -0.06 49.93 -2.87 66.86 4.07 2.83 0.00 0.01 20.17 4.38P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 37 53 +7 0.36 51.88 4.27 65.54 4.05 7.30 0.00 0.01 14.16 2.67P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 53 +1 0.27 51.24 -1.99 65.76 4.00 1.82 0.00 0.00 12.82 2.59P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 51 +0 -3.91 33.92 -6.22 62.70 4.01 -0.99 0.00 0.00 3.81 0.86P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 37 50 -4 4.03 67.41 4.21 61.61 4.03 -5.38 0.00 0.00 1.66 0.22P 0.07R 0.00 Reading 37 48 +4 0.11 51.06 7.87 60.09 4.01 3.70 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.20P 0.19R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 37 48 -3 -1.78 42.66 -1.66 59.70 4.01 -3.97 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.14P 0.22R 0.00 Birmingham 37 47 -9 1.32 56.09 -1.30 58.18 3.95 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.01P 1.19R 0.01 Stoke 37 42 -6 -6.84 23.13 -3.35 53.48 3.92 -7.16 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 9.79R 0.48 Huddersfield 37 42 -13 -1.29 44.87 -1.97 52.67 3.92 -15.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.20R 1.13 Middlesbrough 37 41 -10 -9.01 15.91 -9.77 53.35 3.99 -9.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.37R 0.56 Wigan 37 41 -12 -3.53 35.77 -3.38 52.54 3.99 -13.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.55R 1.32 Hull 37 41 -14 -4.52 31.55 -5.09 52.41 4.01 -15.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.50R 1.56 Charlton 37 39 -10 -4.75 31.00 0.23 49.37 3.90 -13.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.92R 4.91 Luton 37 35 -28 -2.90 38.33 -6.59 44.93 3.93 -32.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.01R 41.68 Barnsley 37 34 -20 -7.85 20.06 -6.23 43.94 3.92 -23.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.98R 48.35League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Coventry 34 67 +18 14.61 95.75 9.20 82.12 4.25 20.11 56.17 75.51 98.25 79.96P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 35 62 +23 2.20 59.47 4.61 77.92 3.99 28.74 16.86 41.31 89.30 54.33P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 35 60 +24 3.80 66.30 11.35 75.75 3.95 29.20 8.16 22.41 79.27 36.01P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 60 +17 0.70 53.04 -0.35 74.38 3.97 20.06 3.58 11.97 65.12 26.02P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 60 +13 6.14 75.94 4.20 74.97 3.93 17.11 4.24 14.10 69.47 26.08P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 59 +28 -1.30 44.04 8.31 75.91 3.82 35.34 8.32 23.88 82.86 41.30P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 36 59 +16 -3.80 33.09 -4.23 72.53 3.70 19.79 0.96 4.47 47.40 17.91P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 34 59 +5 12.96 93.35 5.90 72.10 4.23 4.18 1.42 4.83 38.54 9.65P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 34 54 +18 -2.30 39.55 3.30 69.61 4.20 20.89 0.30 1.48 23.76 7.32P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 36 52 +10 -3.37 35.76 1.09 66.04 3.61 14.74 0.00 0.01 3.52 0.96P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 35 51 +8 1.98 59.25 6.19 64.72 3.95 10.03 0.01 0.03 2.34 0.43P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 35 48 +0 -2.78 37.88 -4.07 60.52 4.02 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 45 +1 -3.97 32.75 -0.74 56.72 3.90 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 45 -11 0.69 53.72 -5.87 55.29 3.78 -14.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 42 -2 -2.21 40.74 3.64 54.85 4.02 -1.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Shrewsbury 34 41 -11 -1.70 42.60 -6.05 53.65 4.03 -12.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 40 -6 -3.44 35.28 1.39 50.32 3.86 -9.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.85R 0.00 MK_Dons 35 37 -11 -4.63 29.97 -1.72 47.19 3.84 -14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.08R 0.00 Rochdale 34 36 -18 -0.93 46.33 -1.63 48.29 4.13 -20.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.02R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 35 35 -13 -4.90 28.50 -0.99 45.40 3.81 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.79R 0.00 Tranmere 34 32 -24 -0.58 48.33 -1.27 40.91 3.86 -32.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.05R 0.00 Southend 35 19 -46 -13.30 4.36 -17.58 27.29 3.62 -53.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 20.88 Bolton 34 14 -39 -5.28 26.21 -14.69 22.24 3.76 -47.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 79.12 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Crewe 37 69 +24 9.39 84.21 10.80 82.81 4.02 26.15 16.55 66.93 99.85 75.24P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 36 69 +23 9.64 85.57 8.18 86.25 4.24 28.30 49.26 88.11 99.99 91.33P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 68 +22 3.57 64.64 1.51 83.77 4.08 27.04 23.33 74.50 99.90 82.56P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 65 +10 7.85 80.03 0.63 79.13 4.00 12.67 2.91 25.73 98.24 43.22P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 36 64 +25 8.02 81.01 15.23 80.17 4.21 28.53 7.90 42.15 99.35 56.93P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 58 +15 -0.70 47.00 3.43 71.89 4.03 17.32 0.02 1.34 70.20 19.96P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 37 58 +14 0.40 51.54 3.96 71.03 4.02 14.98 0.02 0.95 61.52 15.71P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 37 57 +6 7.14 78.42 6.90 69.27 4.00 5.91 0.00 0.24 37.29 6.86P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 37 54 +4 -2.25 40.60 -4.12 67.54 4.00 5.81 0.00 0.05 24.71 6.39P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 37 50 +3 4.10 67.21 10.30 61.07 3.93 0.95 0.00 0.00 1.32 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 49 +3 -2.47 39.50 -0.23 63.15 4.17 3.66 0.00 0.00 5.13 1.15P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 48 +4 -0.75 47.17 7.08 60.34 3.93 3.92 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 37 47 -6 1.85 59.09 1.89 57.95 3.88 -7.94 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 36 47 -9 -2.57 39.34 -9.32 60.12 4.26 -9.75 0.00 0.00 1.01 0.21P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 36 46 -7 0.03 50.65 -2.84 58.00 4.10 -9.17 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 45 -8 1.20 55.94 1.63 55.47 3.90 -10.49 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 36 42 -8 -0.45 48.95 2.75 52.93 4.13 -12.42 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 37 42 -17 -3.52 35.53 -9.01 53.78 3.98 -17.87 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Oldham 37 41 -13 -7.89 19.76 -9.91 52.58 3.95 -14.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.01R 0.01 Scunthorpe 37 40 -12 -10.43 13.24 -11.21 53.19 4.04 -10.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Mansfield 36 38 -7 -14.07 5.87 -10.88 52.74 4.29 -5.54 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02R 0.02 Macclesfield 37 36 -15 -2.45 39.78 2.30 45.30 3.74 -19.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.40R 1.40 Morecambe 37 32 -25 -6.20 24.29 -6.05 41.30 3.79 -29.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.32R 12.32 Stevenage 36 22 -26 -17.99 1.34 -13.05 34.01 4.16 -28.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.24R 86.24National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 37 70 +29 8.66 82.19 13.11 84.38 4.04 32.03 72.36 99.76 78.84P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 37 66 +17 6.38 74.86 3.60 79.39 4.05 18.56 15.37 94.42 32.16P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 63 +23 -5.33 28.52 -1.34 77.28 3.76 27.99 6.79 90.43 35.47P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 37 60 +17 -3.72 34.43 -2.51 75.52 4.06 21.75 3.63 78.49 25.35P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 37 60 +15 5.24 71.39 9.07 74.45 4.03 18.13 1.41 68.90 14.29P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 37 58 +1 8.49 82.32 2.51 69.14 3.94 -0.59 0.07 15.31 2.34P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 39 58 -3 9.53 83.57 4.69 65.63 3.45 -6.06 0.00 2.21 0.29P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 38 55 +11 -3.66 34.90 1.33 68.65 3.77 14.91 0.01 14.85 3.57P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 39 55 +6 0.61 52.90 4.79 65.93 3.52 8.02 0.00 2.90 0.53P 0.00 0.00 Woking 38 55 -5 8.94 82.29 4.41 64.34 3.75 -7.61 0.00 1.30 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 35 54 +10 0.39 51.77 1.62 70.12 4.56 11.54 0.37 26.81 6.24P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 38 54 +0 1.22 55.50 -0.90 64.80 3.83 -0.23 0.00 1.87 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 38 52 +5 -1.97 42.06 2.63 64.78 3.80 7.70 0.00 2.11 0.35P 0.00R 0.00 Sutton_United 38 50 +5 -3.04 37.32 3.42 62.13 3.79 6.71 0.00 0.41 0.09P 0.07R 0.00 Torquay 36 48 -5 3.98 66.84 4.61 59.47 4.30 -8.69 0.00 0.20 0.03P 1.48R 0.00 Aldershot 39 46 -12 1.10 55.57 0.44 54.53 3.42 -13.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.59R 0.00 Eastleigh 37 46 -12 0.14 51.23 -4.15 56.81 3.96 -14.25 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.21R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 44 -4 -5.26 28.30 -2.21 55.38 3.97 -5.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.15R 0.00 Chesterfield 38 44 -10 -7.18 22.41 -8.03 54.47 3.73 -10.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.52R 0.00 Wrexham 37 43 -3 -10.04 13.61 -6.64 55.33 4.00 -2.88 0.00 0.00 0.00P 7.91R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 39 42 -21 -6.20 25.95 -12.51 49.83 3.41 -23.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.54R 0.01 Maidenhead 38 41 -14 -1.46 44.30 0.92 49.95 3.66 -17.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.64R 0.03 AFC_Fylde 37 39 -16 -11.07 11.64 -14.74 52.03 4.10 -15.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.87R 0.01 Chorley 38 26 -34 -6.73 22.16 -4.14 32.44 3.32 -41.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.95