Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 28 March 2020 at 22:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        29   82  +45      16.98    99.79     2.72   101.50     3.52    56.92   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   57  +37      -5.64    19.86    -5.15    80.20     3.50    54.15     0.00    98.75    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +30       3.49    67.34    15.13    68.32     4.02    34.36     0.00     1.20    77.96    92.99    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   48  +12      -2.11    38.88    -3.71    63.08     3.81    16.20     0.00     0.04    12.04    53.28    91.12     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   45  +14      -3.80    31.26     0.72    61.29     3.88    19.98     0.00     0.01     7.83    35.51    83.90     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +7       3.06    66.06     7.42    56.38     4.02     8.55     0.00     0.00     0.51     5.20    34.39     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   43   +5       7.61    84.50     9.75    55.13     4.14     2.97     0.00     0.00     0.53     3.53    22.64     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   41   +7      -8.57    13.23    -7.84    56.90     4.03    12.37     0.00     0.00     0.87     7.03    43.13     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   40   +4      -5.05    25.71    -5.72    54.80     4.14     5.36     0.00     0.00     0.28     2.34    21.54     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          29   39   -6       5.66    77.42     4.01    49.26     3.70    -9.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.03     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -6       2.27    62.24    -1.27    48.92     3.76    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.19     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          29   37   -9      -0.52    47.78    -4.22    49.25     3.91    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.50     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   35  -16       2.55    64.21    -5.15    45.15     3.70   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.01R    0.01  
Southampton      29   34  -17       3.09    66.77    -1.14    43.69     3.80   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.42R    0.04  
Brighton         29   29   -8      -2.60    37.01     4.78    37.70     3.62   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.12R    1.68  
West_Ham         29   27  -15      -6.18    21.06    -2.67    38.60     3.93   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.83R    2.04  
Watford          29   27  -17      -4.63    27.28    -3.34    36.92     3.74   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.24R    3.98  
Bournemouth      29   27  -18      -4.57    27.78    -3.46    35.91     3.65   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.51R    5.19  
Aston_Villa      28   25  -22      -1.49    43.14     0.65    33.95     3.91   -30.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.45R   16.70  
Norwich          29   21  -27      -4.10    29.30    -1.51    29.53     3.63   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.36R   70.36  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    37   71  +26       7.96    80.58     8.03    86.86     3.96    31.24    51.09    93.92   100.00    95.81P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       37   70  +27       3.58    64.58     3.19    86.25     3.99    33.07    46.88    91.63   100.00    94.50P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   64  +14       5.53    71.97     2.52    76.97     4.04    14.92     1.24     7.60    95.19    29.31P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   60  +31      -4.95    29.41     9.57    75.77     4.00    36.15     0.71     5.73    93.35    37.67P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   37   60  +10       6.31    75.31     5.43    73.37     4.05    11.54     0.08     1.02    78.62    16.69P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   56   +5       3.00    62.89     1.58    68.81     4.04     5.65     0.00     0.04    35.66     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   55   -2       4.11    67.20    -2.06    67.47     4.04    -1.77     0.00     0.02    22.28     4.05P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        37   54   +4       5.20    72.02     6.21    66.83     4.04     4.78     0.00     0.01    19.70     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   54   +2      -0.25    49.05    -3.18    66.91     4.06     2.88     0.00     0.02    20.26     4.41P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   53   +7       0.26    51.44     4.09    65.58     4.06     7.36     0.00     0.00    14.30     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   53   +1       0.10    50.54    -2.22    65.85     4.01     1.92     0.00     0.00    13.42     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   51   +0      -3.82    34.19    -6.14    62.68     4.02    -0.99     0.00     0.00     3.87     0.86P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             37   50   -4       4.15    67.57     4.42    61.59     4.04    -5.37     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.21P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading         37   48   +4       0.15    51.34     7.92    60.07     4.00     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.16P    0.18R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   48   -3      -1.75    42.70    -1.59    59.67     4.00    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.13P    0.20R    0.00  
Birmingham      37   47   -9       1.08    55.22    -1.65    58.25     3.96   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    1.22R    0.01  
Stoke           37   42   -6      -6.85    22.87    -3.36    53.44     3.93    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   10.04R    0.49  
Huddersfield    37   42  -13      -1.32    45.03    -1.97    52.69     3.94   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.88R    1.10  
Middlesbrough   37   41  -10      -8.80    16.34    -9.45    53.29     3.96    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.58R    0.50  
Wigan           37   41  -12      -3.43    35.69    -3.23    52.52     3.95   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.50R    1.24  
Hull            37   41  -14      -4.75    31.09    -5.50    52.42     4.00   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.14R    1.60  
Charlton        37   39  -10      -4.65    30.92     0.41    49.36     3.91   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.10R    5.02  
Luton           37   35  -28      -2.96    38.04    -6.70    44.92     3.94   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.97R   41.71  
Barnsley        37   34  -20      -7.90    19.94    -6.31    43.94     3.89   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.12R   48.34  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Coventry             34   67  +18      14.59    95.71     9.21    82.16     4.26    20.15    56.41    75.60    98.16    80.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   62  +23       2.02    58.73     4.30    78.00     3.98    28.86    17.14    42.36    89.67    55.28P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   60  +24       3.89    66.83    11.50    75.76     3.95    29.23     8.08    22.39    79.42    36.07P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   60  +17       0.65    52.83    -0.45    74.37     3.96    20.03     3.42    11.83    65.45    26.26P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   60  +13       6.15    75.80     4.28    74.87     3.92    16.99     4.23    13.34    68.83    25.17P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   59  +28      -1.17    44.45     8.50    75.92     3.83    35.34     8.19    24.07    82.99    41.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           36   59  +16      -3.62    33.65    -3.93    72.48     3.73    19.71     0.87     4.33    47.00    17.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   59   +5      12.93    93.47     5.87    72.02     4.23     4.05     1.34     4.55    38.15     9.27P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   54  +18      -2.20    39.98     3.44    69.62     4.19    20.90     0.31     1.50    23.94     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              36   52  +10      -3.41    35.57     1.00    66.06     3.62    14.80     0.00     0.01     3.69     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   51   +8       1.84    58.49     5.97    64.78     3.97    10.11     0.00     0.04     2.51     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   48   +0      -2.86    37.42    -4.19    60.55     4.02     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   45   +1      -4.06    32.35    -0.91    56.79     3.92     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       35   45  -11       0.77    54.15    -5.80    55.26     3.83   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   42   -2      -2.35    40.25     3.46    54.91     4.02    -1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   41  -11      -1.60    43.12    -5.94    53.62     4.04   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   40   -6      -3.60    34.34     1.19    50.36     3.86    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.00  
MK_Dons              35   37  -11      -4.53    30.75    -1.63    47.16     3.85   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.31R    0.00  
Rochdale             34   36  -18      -0.81    47.13    -1.41    48.26     4.12   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.81R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   35  -13      -4.94    28.43    -0.98    45.38     3.81   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.78R    0.00  
Tranmere             34   32  -24      -0.52    48.73    -1.12    40.90     3.84   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.04R    0.00  
Southend             35   19  -46     -13.26     4.34   -17.59    27.30     3.62   -53.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   20.29  
Bolton               34   14  -39      -5.29    26.07   -14.75    22.18     3.73   -47.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.71  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Crewe            37   69  +24       9.35    84.41    10.67    82.81     4.03    26.15    16.60    66.63    99.87    75.13P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   69  +23       9.74    85.50     8.31    86.25     4.28    28.29    48.93    87.78   100.00    91.16P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   68  +22       3.66    64.92     1.57    83.78     4.06    27.07    23.36    74.43    99.92    82.39P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           37   65  +10       7.74    80.14     0.51    79.15     4.00    12.68     2.93    25.88    98.39    43.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   64  +25       7.79    80.53    14.97    80.24     4.21    28.62     8.12    42.74    99.36    57.56P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   58  +15      -0.72    47.04     3.39    71.85     4.03    17.28     0.03     1.33    69.96    19.56P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   58  +14       0.59    52.45     4.19    71.00     4.03    14.94     0.03     0.94    61.43    15.72P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        37   57   +6       7.44    79.44     7.31    69.17     3.97     5.79     0.00     0.23    36.34     6.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   54   +4      -2.55    39.33    -4.46    67.58     4.00     5.85     0.00     0.04    25.09     6.49P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     37   50   +3       4.31    68.58    10.59    61.01     3.93     0.85     0.00     0.00     1.37     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   49   +3      -2.71    38.53    -0.54    63.20     4.19     3.75     0.00     0.00     5.67     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     37   48   +4      -0.76    47.27     7.02    60.39     3.92     3.99     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47   -6       1.95    59.27     2.02    57.91     3.89    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -9      -2.59    39.22    -9.38    60.13     4.28    -9.72     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   36   46   -7      -0.06    50.25    -2.91    58.06     4.12    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    37   45   -8       1.03    55.37     1.47    55.50     3.90   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   42   -8      -0.26    49.71     3.07    52.86     4.10   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         37   42  -17      -3.61    35.17    -9.13    53.84     3.99   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Oldham           37   41  -13      -7.93    19.36   -10.01    52.62     3.95   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       37   40  -12     -10.51    13.12   -11.30    53.23     4.01   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Mansfield        36   38   -7     -14.12     5.73   -11.00    52.74     4.28    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.02  
Macclesfield     37   36  -15      -2.48    39.44     2.31    45.29     3.75   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    1.37  
Morecambe        37   32  -25      -6.01    24.96    -5.67    41.26     3.79   -29.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.46R   12.46  
Stevenage        36   22  -26     -17.93     1.36   -12.99    33.97     4.15   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.13R   86.13  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             37   70  +29       8.80    82.65    13.32    84.36     4.03    32.00    72.50    99.78    78.99P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     37   66  +17       6.21    74.27     3.35    79.37     4.05    18.53    15.41    94.33    32.46P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       38   63  +23      -5.49    27.91    -1.60    77.28     3.77    27.98     6.84    90.61    35.62P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             37   60  +17      -3.62    34.83    -2.41    75.49     4.05    21.72     3.57    78.69    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       37   60  +15       5.32    71.78     9.20    74.34     4.00    18.00     1.29    68.33    14.01P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            37   58   +1       8.32    81.93     2.29    69.21     3.96    -0.47     0.06    16.08     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          39   58   -3       9.63    83.66     4.91    65.62     3.41    -6.05     0.00     2.29     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     38   55  +11      -3.64    34.89     1.34    68.60     3.77    14.82     0.00    14.63     3.44P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         39   55   +6       0.62    52.97     4.83    65.95     3.49     8.01     0.00     2.81     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   55   -5       8.99    82.87     4.55    64.30     3.71    -7.63     0.00     1.32     0.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet             35   54  +10       0.43    52.20     1.72    70.11     4.53    11.53     0.33    26.46     5.95P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     38   54   +0       1.26    55.90    -0.82    64.81     3.82    -0.21     0.00     1.84     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            38   52   +5      -2.16    41.12     2.33    64.81     3.82     7.73     0.00     2.27     0.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      38   50   +5      -3.05    37.67     3.40    62.13     3.76     6.71     0.00     0.39     0.08P    0.06R    0.00  
Torquay            36   48   -5       3.96    66.93     4.53    59.51     4.28    -8.62     0.00     0.18     0.03P    1.46R    0.00  
Aldershot          39   46  -12       0.96    54.91     0.26    54.57     3.45   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.51R    0.00  
Eastleigh          37   46  -12       0.27    51.90    -3.96    56.80     3.98   -14.27     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.26R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          37   44   -4      -5.24    28.72    -2.20    55.36     3.95    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.08R    0.00  
Chesterfield       38   44  -10      -7.16    22.79    -8.06    54.54     3.78   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.34R    0.00  
Wrexham            37   43   -3      -9.96    13.99    -6.45    55.29     3.99    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.00P    7.96R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   42  -21      -6.25    25.72   -12.62    49.84     3.39   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.39R    0.02  
Maidenhead         38   41  -14      -1.45    44.56     1.06    49.93     3.67   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.01R    0.02  
AFC_Fylde          37   39  -16     -11.04    11.36   -14.75    52.03     4.07   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.91R    0.03  
Chorley            38   26  -34      -6.77    21.86    -4.22    32.45     3.30   -41.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.94