Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 24 March 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        29   82  +45      17.07    99.74     3.02   101.44     3.51    56.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   57  +37      -5.68    19.73    -5.32    80.18     3.51    54.16     0.00    98.75    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +30       3.57    67.51    15.22    68.30     4.00    34.32     0.00     1.18    77.88    93.10    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   48  +12      -2.23    38.53    -3.81    63.09     3.86    16.23     0.00     0.07    12.18    53.39    91.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   45  +14      -3.77    31.01     0.74    61.27     3.87    19.94     0.00     0.01     7.75    35.23    83.72     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +7       3.15    66.05     7.56    56.33     4.01     8.48     0.00     0.00     0.50     5.03    33.69     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   43   +5       7.42    83.64     9.49    55.25     4.14     3.12     0.00     0.00     0.64     3.78    23.57     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   41   +7      -8.47    13.52    -7.71    56.83     4.04    12.24     0.00     0.00     0.80     7.01    42.40     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   40   +4      -5.05    25.64    -5.86    54.84     4.13     5.44     0.00     0.00     0.30     2.32    22.22     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          29   39   -6       5.64    77.47     3.99    49.30     3.71    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.14     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -6       2.18    61.73    -1.38    48.93     3.77    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.23     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          29   37   -9      -0.59    47.38    -4.33    49.26     3.92    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.48     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   35  -16       2.63    64.55    -5.07    45.12     3.70   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.17R    0.00  
Southampton      29   34  -17       3.05    66.50    -1.29    43.71     3.82   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.43R    0.03  
Brighton         29   29   -8      -2.71    36.52     4.69    37.74     3.66   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.15R    1.69  
West_Ham         29   27  -15      -6.21    20.92    -2.75    38.60     3.94   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.98R    2.01  
Watford          29   27  -17      -4.58    27.51    -3.31    36.94     3.75   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.32R    3.90  
Bournemouth      29   27  -18      -4.61    27.77    -3.51    35.98     3.68   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.88R    4.99  
Aston_Villa      28   25  -22      -1.42    43.33     0.80    33.94     3.93   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.31R   16.56  
Norwich          29   21  -27      -3.89    30.34    -1.17    29.45     3.62   -34.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.69R   70.82  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    37   71  +26       7.87    80.33     7.90    86.85     3.95    31.27    51.09    94.17   100.00    95.98P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       37   70  +27       3.47    64.24     3.07    86.26     3.98    33.10    46.82    91.81   100.00    94.64P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   64  +14       5.33    71.08     2.21    76.97     4.02    14.95     1.30     7.56    95.27    29.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   60  +31      -4.81    29.85     9.81    75.76     3.98    36.13     0.70     5.36    93.41    37.54P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   37   60  +10       5.94    73.75     4.89    73.42     4.05    11.61     0.09     0.99    78.67    17.12P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   56   +5       2.88    62.13     1.40    68.80     4.08     5.62     0.00     0.05    35.78     6.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   55   -2       3.91    66.33    -2.32    67.48     4.05    -1.76     0.00     0.02    22.23     3.90P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        37   54   +4       5.14    71.84     6.14    66.85     4.05     4.82     0.00     0.00    19.81     3.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   54   +2      -0.04    49.85    -2.90    66.86     4.05     2.81     0.00     0.01    19.91     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   53   +7       0.43    52.39     4.38    65.53     4.07     7.29     0.00     0.01    14.17     2.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   53   +1      -0.02    50.15    -2.41    65.89     4.00     1.97     0.00     0.00    13.37     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   51   +0      -4.16    33.11    -6.61    62.75     4.01    -0.88     0.00     0.00     4.03     0.85P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             37   50   -4       4.19    67.68     4.43    61.57     4.02    -5.43     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.23P    0.08R    0.00  
Reading         37   48   +4       0.26    51.78     8.07    60.03     4.00     3.63     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.16P    0.17R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   48   -3      -1.87    42.28    -1.80    59.73     4.00    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.16P    0.21R    0.00  
Birmingham      37   47   -9       1.31    56.45    -1.33    58.16     3.96   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    1.21R    0.01  
Stoke           37   42   -6      -6.82    23.36    -3.29    53.46     3.95    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   10.00R    0.54  
Huddersfield    37   42  -13      -1.16    45.68    -1.75    52.63     3.90   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.08R    1.08  
Middlesbrough   37   41  -10      -9.00    16.15    -9.71    53.34     3.97    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.23R    0.51  
Wigan           37   41  -12      -3.25    36.27    -3.00    52.51     3.97   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.77R    1.33  
Hull            37   41  -14      -4.55    31.82    -5.17    52.44     4.03   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.39R    1.50  
Charlton        37   39  -10      -4.50    31.84     0.67    49.35     3.90   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.10R    4.82  
Luton           37   35  -28      -3.08    37.45    -6.89    44.96     3.95   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.72R   41.39  
Barnsley        37   34  -20      -7.52    20.75    -5.77    43.91     3.91   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.04R   48.82  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Coventry             34   67  +18      14.57    95.56     9.16    82.11     4.26    20.09    56.32    75.53    98.16    79.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   62  +23       2.12    59.14     4.52    77.92     3.98    28.73    16.94    41.49    89.37    54.69P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   60  +24       3.86    66.86    11.42    75.72     3.94    29.18     8.08    22.48    79.13    35.70P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   60  +17       0.60    52.58    -0.46    74.35     3.97    20.03     3.51    11.97    65.03    26.37P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   60  +13       6.21    75.90     4.30    74.94     3.92    17.08     4.24    14.02    69.61    25.98P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   59  +28      -1.11    44.73     8.61    75.89     3.83    35.28     8.23    23.76    82.92    41.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           36   59  +16      -3.72    33.47    -4.13    72.48     3.72    19.72     0.93     4.37    47.19    17.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   59   +5      12.88    93.09     5.82    72.06     4.24     4.13     1.44     4.79    38.58     9.62P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   54  +18      -2.26    39.39     3.39    69.62     4.17    20.91     0.31     1.56    23.92     7.50P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              36   52  +10      -3.40    35.73     1.06    66.07     3.61    14.82     0.00     0.01     3.62     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   51   +8       1.93    59.10     6.09    64.73     3.94    10.03     0.00     0.01     2.27     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   48   +0      -2.89    37.29    -4.27    60.59     4.03     0.40     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   45   +1      -3.89    32.85    -0.64    56.71     3.91     0.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       35   45  -11       0.83    54.41    -5.68    55.25     3.79   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   42   -2      -2.26    40.66     3.57    54.88     4.03    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   41  -11      -1.75    42.51    -6.13    53.70     4.03   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   40   -6      -3.73    34.04     0.95    50.40     3.88    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
MK_Dons              35   37  -11      -4.57    30.25    -1.68    47.18     3.84   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.29R    0.00  
Rochdale             34   36  -18      -0.79    47.30    -1.44    48.27     4.13   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.17R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   35  -13      -4.83    29.35    -0.84    45.36     3.83   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.02R    0.00  
Tranmere             34   32  -24      -0.63    48.16    -1.25    40.95     3.86   -31.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.47R    0.00  
Southend             35   19  -46     -13.31     4.25   -17.58    27.29     3.63   -53.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   20.42  
Bolton               34   14  -39      -5.26    25.97   -14.77    22.22     3.74   -47.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.58  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Crewe            37   69  +24       9.24    83.72    10.61    82.77     4.05    26.07    16.51    66.44    99.84    74.45P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   69  +23       9.93    86.23     8.64    86.18     4.29    28.18    48.22    87.57   100.00    90.96P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   68  +22       3.52    64.44     1.36    83.82     4.05    27.12    23.88    75.24    99.90    83.17P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           37   65  +10       7.76    80.14     0.47    79.14     3.98    12.67     3.03    25.96    98.47    43.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   64  +25       7.88    80.73    15.09    80.19     4.23    28.56     8.31    42.22    99.36    57.04P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   58  +15      -0.85    46.24     3.21    71.93     4.05    17.35     0.03     1.37    70.58    20.12P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   58  +14       0.47    52.02     4.05    70.96     4.00    14.93     0.01     0.90    61.02    15.60P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        37   57   +6       7.40    79.33     7.27    69.16     3.97     5.77     0.00     0.24    36.46     6.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   54   +4      -2.40    39.90    -4.32    67.53     4.00     5.80     0.00     0.07    24.79     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     37   50   +3       3.97    66.75    10.11    61.06     3.94     0.97     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   49   +3      -2.54    39.15    -0.35    63.19     4.16     3.73     0.00     0.00     5.58     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     37   48   +4      -0.88    46.76     6.83    60.43     3.94     4.04     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47   -6       1.97    59.49     2.06    57.92     3.90    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -9      -2.70    39.05    -9.54    60.19     4.26    -9.65     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   36   46   -7       0.08    50.93    -2.72    58.04     4.09    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    37   45   -8       1.00    55.34     1.39    55.50     3.91   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   42   -8      -0.01    50.73     3.43    52.82     4.11   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Carlisle         37   42  -17      -3.73    34.44    -9.27    53.84     3.97   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Oldham           37   41  -13      -7.80    19.94    -9.83    52.60     3.96   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.01R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       37   40  -12     -10.45    13.46   -11.25    53.21     4.05   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.02  
Mansfield        36   38   -7     -14.26     5.82   -11.18    52.73     4.29    -5.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.01  
Macclesfield     37   36  -15      -2.43    40.06     2.37    45.30     3.74   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    1.38  
Morecambe        37   32  -25      -5.94    24.84    -5.60    41.28     3.80   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.39R   12.39  
Stevenage        36   22  -26     -17.84     1.32   -12.83    33.98     4.14   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.18R   86.18  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             37   70  +29       8.76    82.44    13.32    84.35     4.02    31.98    72.56    99.80    79.04P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     37   66  +17       6.35    74.98     3.50    79.41     4.05    18.58    15.45    94.44    32.16P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       38   63  +23      -5.37    28.33    -1.43    77.23     3.75    27.94     6.71    90.55    35.35P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             37   60  +17      -3.50    35.45    -2.25    75.48     4.04    21.69     3.51    78.67    25.79P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       37   60  +15       5.50    72.04     9.39    74.35     4.02    18.01     1.34    68.31    13.83P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            37   58   +1       8.31    81.67     2.31    69.20     3.95    -0.50     0.07    15.71     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          39   58   -3       9.68    84.06     4.96    65.64     3.44    -6.04     0.00     2.29     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     38   55  +11      -3.73    34.73     1.25    68.66     3.77    14.90     0.02    14.99     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         39   55   +6       0.46    52.10     4.58    65.95     3.49     8.03     0.00     2.85     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             38   55   -5       8.85    82.24     4.37    64.32     3.71    -7.59     0.00     1.29     0.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet             35   54  +10       0.50    52.31     1.78    70.09     4.50    11.50     0.35    26.39     5.96P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     38   54   +0       1.31    55.97    -0.74    64.82     3.81    -0.19     0.00     1.84     0.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            38   52   +5      -2.22    41.09     2.19    64.81     3.82     7.77     0.00     2.22     0.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      38   50   +5      -3.03    37.76     3.43    62.13     3.78     6.71     0.00     0.42     0.08P    0.08R    0.00  
Torquay            36   48   -5       3.82    66.33     4.24    59.53     4.30    -8.60     0.00     0.24     0.03P    1.60R    0.00  
Aldershot          39   46  -12       1.07    55.27     0.42    54.51     3.42   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.63R    0.00  
Eastleigh          37   46  -12       0.24    51.63    -4.04    56.81     3.95   -14.28     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.06R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          37   44   -4      -5.33    28.37    -2.29    55.39     3.95    -5.36     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.96R    0.00  
Chesterfield       38   44  -10      -7.22    22.64    -8.10    54.47     3.75   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.55R    0.00  
Wrexham            37   43   -3     -10.02    13.55    -6.58    55.35     4.01    -2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.84R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   42  -21      -6.29    25.84   -12.60    49.84     3.41   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.44R    0.01  
Maidenhead         38   41  -14      -1.50    44.20     0.95    49.97     3.67   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.43R    0.03  
AFC_Fylde          37   39  -16     -11.00    11.83   -14.71    51.96     4.08   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.39R    0.02  
Chorley            38   26  -34      -6.66    22.36    -3.92    32.43     3.32   -41.09     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.94