Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 10 March 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 March 2020, Leicester 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 29 82 +45 17.11 99.81 2.98 101.47 3.50 56.87 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 57 +37 -5.68 19.54 -5.19 80.17 3.52 54.09 0.00 98.66 99.95 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 29 53 +30 3.64 67.68 15.40 68.29 4.00 34.30 0.00 1.26 77.61 92.92 99.49 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 48 +12 -2.24 38.35 -3.83 63.15 3.85 16.31 0.00 0.06 12.62 53.83 91.34 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 45 +14 -3.92 30.70 0.57 61.25 3.89 19.93 0.00 0.02 7.64 34.88 83.53 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 43 +7 3.19 66.30 7.55 56.38 4.01 8.52 0.00 0.00 0.54 5.11 34.07 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 43 +5 7.56 84.27 9.65 55.14 4.15 2.97 0.00 0.00 0.54 3.59 22.68 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 41 +7 -8.59 13.18 -7.90 56.89 4.04 12.34 0.00 0.00 0.80 7.11 42.74 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 40 +4 -5.18 25.01 -5.96 54.88 4.12 5.53 0.00 0.00 0.30 2.42 22.16 0.00 0.00 Burnley 29 39 -6 5.56 77.08 3.76 49.34 3.71 -9.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.16 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 39 -6 2.43 63.23 -1.01 48.86 3.76 -9.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.21 0.00 0.00 Everton 29 37 -9 -0.50 47.93 -4.21 49.24 3.91 -9.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.51 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 29 35 -16 2.47 63.81 -5.32 45.19 3.71 -19.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.96R 0.01 Southampton 29 34 -17 3.07 66.63 -1.17 43.68 3.81 -21.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.42R 0.05 Brighton 29 29 -8 -2.82 36.08 4.46 37.74 3.63 -13.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.84R 1.65 West_Ham 29 27 -15 -6.06 21.50 -2.45 38.57 3.95 -16.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.03R 2.05 Watford 29 27 -17 -4.44 28.01 -3.07 36.87 3.76 -21.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.01R 4.01 Bournemouth 29 27 -18 -4.59 27.77 -3.52 35.92 3.68 -24.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.14R 5.13 Aston_Villa 28 25 -22 -1.48 43.00 0.62 33.98 3.90 -30.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.89R 16.42 Norwich 29 21 -27 -4.00 29.75 -1.36 29.50 3.62 -34.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.67R 70.68Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2020, Derby 3 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 37 71 +26 7.89 80.33 7.96 86.84 3.97 31.27 51.39 93.78 100.00 95.61P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 70 +27 3.71 65.14 3.33 86.22 4.00 33.03 46.47 91.56 100.00 94.51P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 37 64 +14 5.41 71.31 2.38 76.98 4.04 14.95 1.40 7.82 95.29 29.81P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 37 60 +31 -4.83 29.74 9.78 75.73 4.00 36.10 0.66 5.69 93.12 37.50P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 37 60 +10 6.02 74.40 4.99 73.43 4.05 11.63 0.08 1.06 78.78 17.23P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 56 +5 2.92 62.55 1.49 68.81 4.04 5.66 0.00 0.03 35.83 6.94P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 55 -2 4.00 66.84 -2.20 67.50 4.07 -1.76 0.00 0.02 22.34 3.85P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 54 +4 5.25 72.14 6.27 66.87 4.05 4.82 0.00 0.01 19.63 3.37P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 54 +2 0.06 50.54 -2.74 66.86 4.07 2.81 0.00 0.01 20.01 4.23P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 37 53 +7 0.36 51.74 4.27 65.56 4.09 7.32 0.00 0.01 14.54 2.84P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 37 53 +1 -0.03 50.16 -2.38 65.84 3.99 1.91 0.00 0.00 13.13 2.79P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 51 +0 -4.08 33.32 -6.49 62.74 4.01 -0.91 0.00 0.00 3.97 0.86P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 37 50 -4 4.38 68.35 4.76 61.51 4.00 -5.49 0.00 0.00 1.50 0.20P 0.06R 0.00 Reading 37 48 +4 0.03 50.68 7.69 60.10 4.03 3.70 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.16P 0.14R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 37 48 -3 -1.51 43.87 -1.31 59.60 3.99 -4.06 0.00 0.00 0.70 0.09P 0.24R 0.00 Birmingham 37 47 -9 1.07 55.15 -1.61 58.20 3.96 -10.84 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.01P 1.14R 0.01 Stoke 37 42 -6 -6.75 23.41 -3.23 53.46 3.94 -7.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.17R 0.50 Huddersfield 37 42 -13 -1.45 44.63 -2.15 52.71 3.92 -15.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.77R 1.10 Middlesbrough 37 41 -10 -8.96 16.15 -9.70 53.35 4.00 -9.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 11.45R 0.53 Wigan 37 41 -12 -3.27 36.31 -3.04 52.50 3.98 -13.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.09R 1.27 Hull 37 41 -14 -4.73 31.08 -5.47 52.42 4.02 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.46R 1.62 Charlton 37 39 -10 -4.68 31.10 0.31 49.40 3.90 -13.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.57R 4.68 Luton 37 35 -28 -3.01 37.67 -6.77 44.95 3.95 -32.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.86R 41.69 Barnsley 37 34 -20 -7.72 20.03 -6.11 43.92 3.91 -23.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.04R 48.60League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Blackpool 1 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Coventry 34 67 +18 14.62 95.69 9.22 82.15 4.25 20.15 56.55 75.73 98.19 80.07P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 35 62 +23 2.03 58.66 4.34 77.97 3.99 28.83 17.04 41.90 89.35 54.76P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 35 60 +24 3.86 66.68 11.43 75.71 3.96 29.16 7.63 21.99 79.07 35.77P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 60 +17 0.55 52.16 -0.55 74.38 3.98 20.10 3.60 11.94 65.42 26.39P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 60 +13 5.97 75.01 3.97 74.95 3.93 17.09 4.27 13.93 69.77 26.14P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 59 +28 -1.26 43.96 8.37 75.92 3.84 35.33 8.29 23.99 83.03 41.16P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 36 59 +16 -3.59 33.90 -3.94 72.44 3.72 19.69 0.93 4.26 46.66 17.19P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 34 59 +5 12.96 93.45 5.95 72.04 4.23 4.07 1.37 4.70 38.11 9.50P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 34 54 +18 -2.34 39.21 3.22 69.66 4.19 20.96 0.32 1.52 24.25 7.54P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 36 52 +10 -3.27 36.06 1.25 66.05 3.62 14.75 0.00 0.01 3.70 0.99P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 35 51 +8 2.01 59.39 6.18 64.74 3.93 10.06 0.00 0.01 2.28 0.47P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 35 48 +0 -2.95 36.93 -4.37 60.60 4.06 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 45 +1 -4.03 32.40 -0.77 56.73 3.91 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 45 -11 0.85 54.62 -5.63 55.26 3.81 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 42 -2 -2.42 39.72 3.36 54.92 4.02 -1.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Shrewsbury 34 41 -11 -1.77 42.29 -6.15 53.67 4.05 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 40 -6 -3.40 35.41 1.47 50.37 3.84 -9.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.70R 0.00 MK_Dons 35 37 -11 -4.53 30.69 -1.61 47.15 3.86 -14.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.34R 0.00 Rochdale 34 36 -18 -0.75 47.37 -1.34 48.24 4.13 -20.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.07R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 35 35 -13 -4.79 28.85 -0.84 45.39 3.81 -15.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.92R 0.00 Tranmere 34 32 -24 -0.59 48.44 -1.18 40.90 3.86 -32.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.74R 0.00 Southend 35 19 -46 -13.27 4.41 -17.55 27.28 3.63 -53.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 20.87 Bolton 34 14 -39 -5.37 25.57 -14.85 22.23 3.77 -47.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 79.12 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Carlisle 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Crewe 37 69 +24 9.18 83.73 10.47 82.85 4.06 26.21 16.92 67.00 99.84 75.29P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 36 69 +23 9.81 85.92 8.42 86.24 4.27 28.22 48.82 87.89 100.00 91.17P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 68 +22 3.67 64.77 1.65 83.75 4.09 27.01 23.10 74.21 99.93 82.47P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 65 +10 7.66 79.61 0.37 79.16 4.01 12.70 3.03 26.11 98.37 43.67P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 36 64 +25 8.03 81.02 15.25 80.17 4.21 28.52 8.07 42.18 99.37 56.62P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 58 +15 -0.86 46.31 3.18 71.91 4.03 17.35 0.03 1.41 70.70 20.27P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 37 58 +14 0.52 52.40 4.11 70.96 4.01 14.90 0.02 0.91 61.04 15.49P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 37 57 +6 7.45 79.56 7.35 69.16 3.96 5.79 0.01 0.23 36.41 6.69P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 37 54 +4 -2.37 40.15 -4.20 67.50 4.01 5.77 0.00 0.05 24.80 6.30P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 37 50 +3 4.04 67.18 10.24 61.07 3.93 0.95 0.00 0.00 1.29 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 49 +3 -2.58 39.24 -0.41 63.21 4.18 3.73 0.00 0.00 5.64 1.28P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 48 +4 -0.84 46.73 6.86 60.42 3.93 4.03 0.00 0.00 1.07 0.21P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 37 47 -6 1.92 59.20 1.95 57.93 3.90 -7.99 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 36 47 -9 -2.82 38.04 -9.66 60.17 4.24 -9.67 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.24P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 36 46 -7 0.20 51.29 -2.58 58.00 4.11 -9.18 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 45 -8 1.08 55.41 1.50 55.51 3.91 -10.45 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 36 42 -8 -0.26 49.35 3.07 52.87 4.10 -12.51 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 37 42 -17 -3.77 34.45 -9.34 53.85 3.99 -17.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Oldham 37 41 -13 -7.88 19.74 -9.95 52.60 3.97 -14.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Scunthorpe 37 40 -12 -10.22 13.79 -10.89 53.14 4.05 -10.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Mansfield 36 38 -7 -14.11 5.91 -10.92 52.72 4.28 -5.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.01 Macclesfield 37 36 -15 -2.39 39.87 2.41 45.29 3.73 -19.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.49R 1.49 Morecambe 37 32 -25 -6.19 24.06 -6.00 41.31 3.81 -29.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.34R 12.34 Stevenage 36 22 -26 -17.87 1.33 -12.89 34.04 4.15 -28.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.13R 86.13National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 March 2020, Dag_&_Red 1 2 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 37 70 +29 8.72 82.35 13.23 84.35 4.04 31.99 73.63 99.73 79.99P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 37 66 +17 6.10 74.19 3.17 79.50 4.08 18.71 16.16 94.09 33.47P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 37 60 +19 -5.18 28.57 -2.57 75.98 4.03 24.49 4.34 81.15 29.96P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 37 60 +17 -3.59 34.83 -2.32 75.50 4.06 21.73 3.71 77.00 26.07P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 37 60 +15 5.36 71.62 9.18 74.40 4.03 18.08 1.42 66.72 14.16P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 36 58 +2 9.68 85.69 3.30 70.90 4.21 0.96 0.32 27.92 4.52P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 38 55 +11 -3.64 34.77 1.33 68.60 3.77 14.82 0.01 14.07 3.50P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 38 55 -4 8.39 81.03 4.41 63.84 3.71 -7.27 0.00 1.04 0.14P 0.01R 0.00 Woking 38 55 -5 8.96 82.52 4.42 64.35 3.73 -7.57 0.00 1.25 0.16P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 35 54 +10 0.29 51.33 1.50 70.20 4.55 11.62 0.42 26.81 6.28P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 38 54 +6 0.92 54.37 4.76 66.14 3.77 7.75 0.00 3.94 0.63P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 37 53 +0 1.74 57.70 -0.69 65.36 4.07 0.06 0.00 3.10 0.50P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 38 52 +5 -1.99 42.01 2.57 64.80 3.83 7.75 0.00 2.16 0.38P 0.01R 0.00 Sutton_United 37 49 +5 -2.50 39.74 3.67 62.58 4.03 6.82 0.00 0.82 0.20P 0.05R 0.00 Torquay 36 48 -5 4.15 67.49 4.89 59.42 4.27 -8.77 0.00 0.17 0.03P 1.37R 0.00 Eastleigh 36 46 -8 -0.26 49.70 -3.00 57.83 4.18 -10.85 0.00 0.04 0.01P 2.98R 0.00 Aldershot 38 46 -11 1.70 58.45 0.38 55.69 3.70 -12.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.42R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 44 -4 -5.34 28.50 -2.36 55.27 3.94 -5.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.37R 0.00 Wrexham 37 43 -3 -10.00 13.75 -6.55 55.38 3.99 -2.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.87R 0.00 Chesterfield 37 43 -10 -7.06 22.55 -8.43 54.70 4.02 -11.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.06R 0.00 Maidenhead 37 41 -13 -0.32 49.43 1.58 51.46 3.95 -16.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.44R 0.01 Ebbsfleet_United 38 39 -22 -7.73 20.43 -13.32 47.90 3.67 -25.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.75R 0.12 AFC_Fylde 36 36 -17 -12.15 9.12 -14.91 50.63 4.31 -15.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.65R 0.06 Chorley 38 26 -34 -6.79 21.86 -4.25 32.49 3.31 -40.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.81