Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 7 March 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 March 2020, Arsenal 1 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        29   82  +45      16.97    99.74     2.92   101.46     3.50    56.80    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   57  +39      -4.47    23.79    -3.72    82.24     3.75    57.26     0.01    99.61    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26       3.70    68.23    14.31    67.37     4.21    31.53     0.00     0.36    78.27    92.54    99.03     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   45   +8      -2.23    38.34    -5.19    61.65     4.11    12.40     0.00     0.02    11.78    49.32    84.38     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +7       3.17    66.11     7.56    56.33     4.04     8.48     0.00     0.00     1.02     8.68    39.21     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   43   +5       7.49    83.79     9.54    55.29     4.17     3.19     0.00     0.00     1.11     6.40    27.58     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          28   42  +12      -5.04    25.20    -0.63    59.02     4.13    16.96     0.00     0.01     5.49    26.10    69.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   41   +7      -8.62    13.26    -7.91    56.86     4.01    12.28     0.00     0.00     1.65    11.75    47.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   40   +4      -5.04    25.89    -5.69    54.83     4.11     5.39     0.00     0.00     0.62     4.51    25.37     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          29   39   -6       5.54    76.90     3.79    49.34     3.72    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.56     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -6       2.28    62.29    -1.24    48.99     3.79    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.72     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          28   37   -5      -0.69    46.53    -2.81    50.37     4.13    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.49     4.52     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   35  -16       2.57    64.49    -5.19    45.08     3.71   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.25R    0.01  
Southampton      29   34  -17       3.11    66.94    -1.25    43.70     3.81   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.66R    0.06  
Brighton         29   29   -8      -2.74    36.56     4.55    37.77     3.65   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.09R    1.79  
West_Ham         29   27  -15      -6.13    21.12    -2.64    38.58     3.91   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.01R    2.00  
Watford          29   27  -17      -4.46    28.04    -3.06    36.88     3.75   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.90R    4.41  
Bournemouth      29   27  -18      -4.64    27.26    -3.62    35.94     3.67   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.76R    5.43  
Aston_Villa      27   25  -18      -1.63    42.44     1.60    34.73     4.09   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.25R   12.70  
Norwich          29   21  -27      -3.99    29.94    -1.33    29.41     3.63   -34.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.05R   73.62  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 March 2020, Barnsley 0 2 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    37   71  +26       7.72    79.92     7.69    86.89     3.98    31.34    51.30    93.84   100.00    95.74P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       37   70  +27       3.53    64.75     3.06    86.26     3.99    33.13    46.58    91.68   100.00    94.50P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   64  +14       5.20    70.82     2.05    77.01     4.05    14.99     1.34     7.82    94.94    29.98P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   60  +31      -4.88    29.59     9.70    75.76     3.99    36.15     0.70     5.51    92.87    37.04P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   37   60  +10       6.16    74.98     5.18    73.45     4.04    11.66     0.07     1.01    77.72    16.95P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   56   +5       2.95    62.24     1.49    68.85     4.06     5.73     0.00     0.05    34.64     6.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   55   -2       4.17    67.45    -2.02    67.44     4.07    -1.81     0.00     0.01    21.25     3.67P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        37   54   +4       5.30    72.03     6.39    66.81     4.04     4.76     0.00     0.00    18.25     3.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   54   +2       0.09    50.55    -2.67    66.84     4.07     2.77     0.00     0.01    18.81     4.05P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   53  +10       0.58    52.81     5.51    67.05     4.31    10.50     0.00     0.06    23.88     4.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   53   +1      -0.21    49.48    -2.62    65.92     4.00     2.01     0.00     0.00    12.65     2.57P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             37   50   -4       4.10    67.58     4.35    61.62     4.03    -5.37     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.19P    0.05R    0.00  
Reading         37   48   +4       0.22    51.40     8.00    60.07     4.01     3.69     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.14P    0.15R    0.00  
Derby           36   48   -3      -4.19    32.45    -7.24    60.93     4.27    -4.21     0.00     0.00     1.90     0.40P    0.12R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   48   -3      -1.75    42.82    -1.61    59.67     3.99    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P    0.20R    0.00  
Birmingham      37   47   -9       1.14    55.45    -1.49    58.22     3.97   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    1.15R    0.00  
Stoke           37   42   -6      -6.52    24.02    -2.81    53.38     3.94    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.24R    0.53  
Huddersfield    37   42  -13      -1.39    44.69    -2.14    52.71     3.95   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.06R    1.07  
Middlesbrough   37   41  -10      -9.03    15.65    -9.77    53.33     3.99    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   11.10R    0.54  
Wigan           37   41  -12      -3.41    35.69    -3.27    52.46     3.99   -13.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.99R    1.30  
Hull            37   41  -14      -4.60    31.44    -5.28    52.47     3.99   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.68R    1.52  
Charlton        37   39  -10      -4.80    30.96     0.19    49.36     3.91   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.78R    4.56  
Luton           37   35  -28      -2.93    38.22    -6.69    44.85     3.93   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.31R   41.93  
Barnsley        37   34  -20      -7.67    20.35    -5.98    43.87     3.91   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.17R   48.55  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 March 2020, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Coventry             34   67  +18      14.70    95.94     9.39    81.99     4.24    19.96    52.88    72.57    97.65    77.37P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   62  +23       1.96    58.48     4.26    77.98     3.98    28.84    16.53    39.36    88.41    52.51P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   60  +24       3.98    67.22    11.58    75.78     3.95    29.26     7.70    20.86    77.03    33.85P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   59  +28      -1.10    44.96     8.62    75.94     3.81    35.38     7.96    22.00    80.69    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           35   59  +18      -2.99    35.98    -3.15    74.26     3.97    22.31     3.06    10.46    62.25    27.01P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           34   59  +17       1.25    55.64    -0.05    75.10     4.20    20.58     5.59    15.46    67.57    29.48P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       34   59  +13       6.33    76.72     3.94    74.92     4.14    16.54     4.71    13.87    65.13    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   59   +5      12.98    93.44     5.89    72.00     4.22     4.03     1.28     4.06    34.45     8.28P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   54  +18      -2.34    39.18     3.21    69.58     4.21    20.89     0.29     1.33    21.31     6.52P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              36   52  +10      -3.46    34.99     0.96    66.12     3.60    14.86     0.00     0.01     2.95     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   51   +8       2.01    59.42     6.22    64.84     3.93    10.20     0.00     0.01     2.00     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   47   +0      -2.26    40.05    -3.88    61.89     4.21     1.84     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            34   45   +2      -2.69    38.16     0.14    58.99     4.13     2.51     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   42   -2      -2.17    40.71     3.71    54.96     4.02    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       34   42  -13      -0.28    49.42    -6.84    53.13     4.01   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   41  -11      -1.71    42.61    -6.10    53.64     4.05   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   40   -6      -3.62    34.25     1.11    50.40     3.87    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
MK_Dons              35   37  -11      -4.56    30.68    -1.64    47.18     3.83   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.68R    0.00  
Rochdale             34   36  -18      -0.82    46.86    -1.42    48.29     4.15   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.35R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   35  -13      -4.98    28.15    -1.07    45.42     3.81   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.15R    0.00  
Tranmere             33   29  -25      -2.14    40.75    -1.88    38.39     4.02   -34.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.33R    0.02  
Southend             35   19  -46     -13.32     4.47   -17.61    27.27     3.60   -53.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   18.54  
Bolton               33   13  -39      -5.24    25.73   -15.39    21.70     3.88   -49.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   81.44  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 March 2020, Carlisle 0 3 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Crewe            37   69  +24       9.40    84.30    10.85    82.75     4.05    26.07    16.46    66.34    99.82    74.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   69  +23       9.87    86.10     8.52    86.19     4.28    28.21    48.89    87.96    99.99    91.24P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   68  +22       3.77    65.39     1.76    83.71     4.06    26.94    23.40    74.42    99.91    82.44P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           37   65  +10       7.70    79.67     0.45    79.16     3.98    12.71     3.06    26.14    98.40    43.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   64  +25       7.88    81.07    15.08    80.19     4.21    28.58     8.13    42.58    99.39    57.37P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   58  +15      -0.72    46.92     3.38    71.82     4.02    17.22     0.02     1.30    69.38    19.24P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   58  +14       0.39    51.71     3.91    71.04     4.01    14.99     0.04     0.98    61.67    15.83P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        37   57   +6       7.22    79.03     6.96    69.23     3.97     5.88     0.01     0.22    36.73     6.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   54   +4      -2.31    40.53    -4.21    67.51     4.00     5.79     0.00     0.06    24.52     6.41P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     37   50   +3       4.15    67.73    10.38    61.03     3.93     0.89     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   49   +3      -2.70    38.88    -0.57    63.21     4.19     3.77     0.00     0.01     5.73     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     37   48   +4      -0.74    47.20     6.98    60.38     3.95     3.98     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   47   -6       1.93    59.28     2.03    57.93     3.88    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -9      -2.78    38.57    -9.63    60.21     4.25    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   35   46   -5       0.62    53.42    -1.88    59.42     4.36    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    37   45   -8       1.10    55.70     1.58    55.48     3.89   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   42   -8      -0.30    49.43     2.99    52.92     4.12   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.02  
Oldham           37   41  -13      -7.84    19.68    -9.83    52.58     3.97   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       37   40  -12     -10.51    13.01   -11.30    53.26     4.03   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.01  
Carlisle         36   39  -19      -4.43    31.44    -9.93    52.16     4.23   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.04  
Mansfield        36   38   -7     -14.25     5.62   -11.15    52.76     4.29    -5.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.02R    0.02  
Macclesfield     37   36  -15      -2.51    39.34     2.16    45.34     3.73   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    1.46  
Morecambe        37   32  -25      -6.00    24.93    -5.77    41.28     3.79   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.24R   12.24  
Stevenage        36   22  -26     -17.82     1.36   -12.77    33.95     4.16   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.21R   86.21  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             37   70  +29       8.80    82.78    13.34    84.31     4.04    31.93    74.64    99.81    80.73P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     37   66  +17       6.32    74.79     3.52    79.40     4.06    18.60    16.33    94.76    33.85P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             37   60  +17      -3.57    34.92    -2.33    75.51     4.04    21.76     3.77    79.56    27.32P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       37   60  +15       5.37    71.94     9.20    74.39     4.03    18.05     1.55    68.97    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            36   58   +2       9.54    85.61     3.12    70.86     4.18     0.91     0.28    29.87     4.55P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       36   57  +17      -5.66    26.79    -2.82    75.00     4.25    23.46     3.23    75.58    27.38P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     38   55  +11      -3.73    34.56     1.22    68.57     3.76    14.77     0.01    15.60     3.93P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             37   55   -3       9.32    83.60     4.87    65.71     3.98    -5.52     0.00     4.01     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          38   55   -4       8.31    80.56     4.32    63.87     3.72    -7.23     0.00     1.33     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         38   54   +6       0.87    53.90     4.67    66.19     3.77     7.83     0.00     4.70     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     37   53   +0       1.61    57.38    -0.90    65.38     4.07     0.11     0.00     3.67     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            38   52   +5      -1.96    42.50     2.52    64.78     3.83     7.71     0.00     2.47     0.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet             34   51   +8      -0.26    49.09     1.03    68.38     4.75     9.35     0.19    18.34     4.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      37   49   +5      -2.55    39.40     3.61    62.64     4.04     6.92     0.00     0.97     0.22P    0.08R    0.00  
Torquay            36   48   -5       3.96    67.09     4.50    59.51     4.29    -8.61     0.00     0.28     0.02P    1.15R    0.00  
Eastleigh          36   46   -8      -0.11    50.12    -2.76    57.86     4.16   -10.81     0.00     0.05     0.00P    2.43R    0.00  
Aldershot          37   46   -9       2.05    59.52     0.69    56.50     3.87   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.74R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          36   44   -3      -4.33    32.10    -1.83    56.96     4.19    -4.04     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.64R    0.00  
Wrexham            37   43   -3     -10.00    13.78    -6.58    55.39     4.00    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.88R    0.00  
Chesterfield       37   43  -10      -6.97    23.04    -8.38    54.66     4.03   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.77R    0.00  
Maidenhead         37   41  -13      -0.41    48.95     1.42    51.47     3.94   -16.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.98R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   39  -22      -7.57    21.23   -13.02    47.87     3.67   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.33R    0.10  
AFC_Fylde          35   33  -18     -13.60     6.27   -15.60    48.77     4.53   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.01R    0.25  
Chorley            38   26  -34      -6.54    22.95    -3.80    32.46     3.31   -41.07     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.65