Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 4 March 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 March 2020, Everton 1 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 28 79 +44 16.30 99.68 3.53 101.19 3.62 58.40 99.98 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 27 57 +39 -4.60 23.25 -4.07 82.24 3.76 57.45 0.02 99.61 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 28 50 +26 3.73 68.42 14.31 67.37 4.21 31.53 0.00 0.37 77.25 91.91 98.89 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 28 45 +8 -2.21 38.47 -5.16 61.61 4.13 12.34 0.00 0.01 11.38 46.23 83.32 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 28 42 +12 -5.03 25.48 -0.65 59.04 4.11 16.99 0.00 0.00 5.21 24.70 68.18 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 28 42 +7 3.69 68.85 7.80 57.31 4.26 9.36 0.00 0.00 2.02 12.80 47.52 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 28 40 +7 -7.84 15.12 -7.41 57.71 4.30 13.01 0.00 0.00 2.95 16.26 54.70 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 27 40 +4 6.40 80.90 9.40 54.12 4.40 2.83 0.00 0.00 0.70 4.25 20.32 0.00 0.00 Burnley 28 38 -6 5.66 77.84 3.55 49.23 3.97 -10.62 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 2.03 0.03R 0.00 Arsenal 27 37 +3 -6.00 21.61 -5.71 53.74 4.38 5.22 0.00 0.00 0.46 3.22 19.22 0.00R 0.00 Everton 28 37 -5 -0.91 46.00 -3.11 50.46 4.14 -5.52 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.43 4.47 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 28 36 -7 1.18 56.77 -1.39 47.57 4.04 -10.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 1.08 0.18R 0.00 Southampton 28 34 -16 4.14 71.62 -0.58 45.37 4.08 -20.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 1.61R 0.03 Newcastle 28 32 -17 1.18 57.26 -5.73 43.18 3.95 -21.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 5.24R 0.15 Brighton 28 28 -8 -2.71 36.05 4.29 37.57 3.84 -14.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.99R 3.51 West_Ham 28 27 -14 -5.54 23.24 -2.71 39.47 4.17 -16.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.19R 2.23 Watford 28 27 -16 -3.58 31.91 -2.69 38.05 4.00 -20.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.69R 3.65 Bournemouth 28 27 -17 -4.04 30.42 -4.28 36.09 3.75 -25.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.38R 7.26 Aston_Villa 27 25 -18 -1.64 42.10 1.74 34.73 4.11 -27.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.07R 16.09 Norwich 28 21 -26 -3.30 33.10 -1.14 30.33 3.85 -34.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.59R 67.06Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 March 2020, Middlesbrough 2 2 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 36 69 +27 4.09 66.86 3.24 86.74 4.25 33.28 55.79 91.74 99.99 94.64P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 36 68 +24 7.33 78.81 7.48 85.81 4.17 30.16 40.80 88.57 99.99 92.22P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 36 63 +14 5.80 72.91 2.36 77.39 4.32 14.96 2.35 11.21 94.04 31.70P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 36 60 +13 6.47 76.20 6.65 75.36 4.29 15.41 0.53 4.25 87.21 22.63P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 36 57 +26 -4.45 31.08 7.86 74.25 4.24 31.28 0.49 3.65 84.75 30.94P 0.00 0.00 Preston 36 56 +7 3.68 65.74 2.56 70.86 4.31 8.70 0.02 0.40 52.56 11.54P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 36 54 -2 4.30 67.75 -2.32 67.71 4.27 -1.97 0.00 0.06 22.58 4.31P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 36 53 +10 0.54 52.57 5.44 67.15 4.31 10.64 0.00 0.07 22.74 4.78P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 36 52 +1 0.46 52.08 -2.17 65.97 4.25 1.53 0.00 0.02 12.96 2.65P 0.00R 0.00 Millwall 36 51 +1 4.34 69.30 4.33 64.58 4.23 0.96 0.00 0.00 7.51 1.28P 0.00R 0.00 Cardiff 36 51 +0 -0.88 46.40 -3.71 65.15 4.34 0.69 0.00 0.00 10.60 2.31P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 36 48 +2 -2.38 40.05 0.36 60.92 4.22 0.83 0.00 0.00 1.84 0.42P 0.12R 0.00 Derby 36 48 -3 -4.37 32.06 -7.50 60.95 4.25 -4.12 0.00 0.00 1.63 0.34P 0.17R 0.00 QPR 36 47 -6 3.12 64.07 3.32 59.28 4.26 -8.50 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.08P 0.89R 0.01 Birmingham 36 47 -7 2.03 59.22 -0.37 59.82 4.24 -8.48 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.08P 0.65R 0.00 Reading 36 45 +2 -0.80 46.85 6.82 58.19 4.22 1.36 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.07P 1.30R 0.03 Huddersfield 36 42 -11 -1.11 45.91 -1.69 53.49 4.13 -14.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.81R 1.15 Hull 36 41 -10 -4.70 30.99 -3.77 53.99 4.27 -11.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 13.29R 1.12 Wigan 36 40 -12 -2.84 38.12 -2.82 53.26 4.24 -12.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 17.56R 1.90 Charlton 36 39 -9 -3.74 34.78 0.79 50.89 4.14 -11.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.79R 3.64 Stoke 36 39 -10 -6.71 22.94 -4.85 51.65 4.16 -11.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.52R 2.95 Middlesbrough 36 38 -11 -10.18 12.32 -10.09 51.71 4.22 -10.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.19R 2.61 Barnsley 36 34 -18 -7.18 21.91 -5.31 45.43 4.19 -21.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.79R 37.23 Luton 36 34 -28 -2.74 39.22 -6.61 44.83 4.18 -32.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.92R 49.36League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2020, Ipswich 0 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Coventry 33 64 +17 13.11 94.20 8.40 80.06 4.44 18.55 30.32 53.20 93.14 61.18P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 34 62 +25 2.99 62.91 5.57 80.03 4.21 31.94 35.50 58.40 94.52 68.58P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 33 59 +19 1.60 57.26 0.22 76.36 4.44 22.41 10.50 24.16 76.31 38.58P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 34 59 +5 13.04 93.83 6.02 72.01 4.21 4.03 1.16 3.74 35.48 8.21P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 34 58 +18 -2.25 39.37 -2.56 75.19 4.21 23.10 5.72 15.36 70.09 32.78P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 33 58 +13 6.91 79.08 4.17 75.75 4.37 17.17 7.53 18.28 71.70 29.59P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 34 57 +23 2.63 61.83 11.02 74.18 4.19 28.31 4.33 12.20 63.55 24.33P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 34 56 +26 -1.85 41.32 7.93 74.50 4.10 33.67 4.75 13.79 68.22 29.22P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 35 52 +11 -2.40 39.48 1.47 67.94 3.85 16.60 0.02 0.17 9.55 2.65P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 33 51 +17 -3.48 33.95 2.82 67.99 4.43 19.92 0.16 0.66 13.58 4.15P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 34 50 +8 2.10 59.87 5.80 64.50 4.14 9.18 0.01 0.02 2.36 0.45P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 33 47 +1 -0.97 45.69 -3.08 63.20 4.45 2.75 0.00 0.01 1.38 0.26P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 33 44 +2 -2.47 38.74 -0.04 58.93 4.34 1.87 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 33 42 -11 0.41 52.56 -5.86 54.76 4.29 -14.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Shrewsbury 33 41 -10 -0.61 47.50 -5.56 54.94 4.27 -11.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 34 40 -5 -2.36 39.52 1.85 52.54 4.14 -6.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 39 -3 -3.23 35.85 3.49 53.31 4.31 -2.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 MK_Dons 34 37 -10 -3.62 34.08 -1.13 48.41 4.09 -13.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.05R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 34 34 -13 -4.30 30.59 -0.52 46.38 4.05 -14.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.29R 0.00 Rochdale 33 33 -20 -2.04 41.00 -2.77 46.05 4.34 -23.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.90R 0.00 Tranmere 32 26 -26 -3.86 32.02 -3.01 36.04 4.20 -36.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.61R 0.08 Southend 34 16 -48 -14.40 2.72 -18.66 25.40 3.87 -56.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 28.40 Bolton 32 12 -39 -5.24 25.28 -15.58 21.55 4.10 -50.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 71.52 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2020, Exeter 1 1 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 35 69 +25 10.80 88.66 9.81 88.32 4.48 31.30 65.22 93.45 100.00 95.29P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 36 66 +22 8.77 82.88 10.29 81.73 4.29 24.96 8.58 52.81 99.35 64.23P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 36 65 +19 3.59 64.76 0.98 82.79 4.29 25.03 12.42 62.30 99.70 73.68P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 36 65 +12 8.36 81.92 1.42 80.70 4.22 14.97 4.64 38.11 99.07 53.49P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 35 63 +25 8.31 82.35 15.16 81.06 4.46 29.27 9.05 49.33 99.31 61.81P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 36 58 +15 1.62 57.11 4.70 72.81 4.26 16.60 0.08 2.71 74.44 20.18P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 36 56 +6 7.52 79.92 7.00 69.13 4.18 5.21 0.01 0.34 34.38 6.18P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 36 55 +12 -1.35 44.18 1.80 70.12 4.30 14.12 0.00 0.59 50.17 13.56P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 36 54 +6 -1.85 42.01 -3.45 69.32 4.26 8.39 0.00 0.37 39.25 10.76P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 36 47 +1 3.04 63.48 9.20 59.01 4.18 -1.67 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 35 46 +1 -3.66 34.53 -1.60 60.85 4.39 0.67 0.00 0.00 2.06 0.45P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 36 45 +1 -1.24 45.32 5.73 58.62 4.19 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 36 45 -7 1.96 59.61 1.77 56.91 4.16 -9.42 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 36 44 -8 0.95 54.79 0.97 55.64 4.13 -10.98 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 35 44 -11 -3.31 36.10 -10.02 58.19 4.48 -12.15 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 34 43 -6 -0.65 47.65 -2.32 58.30 4.57 -7.42 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 36 41 -10 -7.60 20.45 -8.57 54.06 4.20 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.01R 0.01 Scunthorpe 36 40 -10 -9.77 14.44 -10.30 55.29 4.31 -7.71 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.01R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 35 39 -9 -1.36 45.00 2.84 51.22 4.36 -13.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11R 0.11 Carlisle 35 39 -16 -4.26 31.64 -8.72 53.68 4.46 -16.65 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.05R 0.05 Macclesfield 36 36 -12 -2.53 39.29 3.03 46.04 3.93 -17.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.84R 1.84 Mansfield 35 35 -8 -15.58 3.78 -11.71 50.70 4.52 -7.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24R 0.24 Morecambe 36 32 -24 -5.22 27.12 -5.50 42.29 4.02 -29.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.45R 12.45 Stevenage 35 22 -24 -17.50 1.41 -12.49 34.76 4.36 -27.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.29R 85.29National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 36 70 +31 9.49 84.86 14.27 85.94 4.26 34.33 80.22 99.89 85.19P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 36 65 +17 6.73 76.49 3.51 80.24 4.29 19.30 15.70 95.62 34.84P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 35 58 +4 10.44 87.91 4.48 72.72 4.46 3.61 0.73 48.15 8.42P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 36 57 +16 -4.89 29.77 -2.93 74.04 4.30 21.00 1.39 66.86 22.70P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 36 57 +14 3.95 66.84 8.50 72.98 4.28 17.37 0.55 55.78 11.91P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 35 54 +15 -6.56 23.58 -3.79 73.09 4.51 21.01 1.17 58.43 20.32P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 37 54 +11 -3.33 36.07 1.25 68.99 4.02 14.86 0.02 20.31 5.07P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 37 54 +7 1.92 58.47 5.24 68.06 4.02 9.59 0.01 13.37 2.65P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 37 54 -4 8.71 82.18 4.45 64.08 3.98 -7.47 0.00 2.14 0.29P 0.01R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 36 53 +1 2.52 61.37 -0.50 66.68 4.33 0.98 0.01 8.32 1.52P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 36 52 -5 8.48 81.68 4.16 63.55 4.23 -8.36 0.00 2.06 0.27P 0.04R 0.00 Bromley 37 51 +5 -1.87 42.45 2.17 64.77 4.06 7.05 0.00 3.42 0.74P 0.01R 0.00 Barnet 33 50 +8 -0.14 49.76 0.70 69.09 5.00 9.83 0.21 24.05 5.78P 0.00R 0.00 Torquay 35 48 -3 4.49 68.98 5.27 60.65 4.53 -7.01 0.00 0.76 0.13P 0.50R 0.00 Sutton_United 36 46 +3 -3.49 35.23 2.67 61.27 4.31 5.32 0.00 0.65 0.14P 0.24R 0.00 Aldershot 36 46 -8 3.23 64.81 1.61 57.95 4.15 -10.59 0.00 0.06 0.01P 2.37R 0.00 Eastleigh 35 45 -8 0.08 50.99 -2.83 57.85 4.36 -11.39 0.00 0.10 0.02P 2.55R 0.00 Wrexham 36 42 -3 -9.35 15.03 -6.09 56.05 4.26 -2.38 0.00 0.01 0.00 4.59R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 35 41 -4 -5.70 26.41 -2.38 55.23 4.45 -5.18 0.00 0.02 0.00P 8.54R 0.00 Maidenhead 36 41 -12 0.49 53.03 1.93 52.73 4.19 -15.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.54R 0.02 Chesterfield 36 40 -11 -8.04 19.27 -8.46 53.32 4.25 -11.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.69R 0.01 Ebbsfleet_United 37 36 -23 -9.13 15.87 -13.78 45.76 3.87 -27.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.61R 1.04 AFC_Fylde 34 32 -18 -13.34 6.40 -15.69 49.06 4.76 -17.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.31R 0.53 Chorley 37 26 -33 -5.77 25.37 -3.76 33.58 3.62 -40.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 98.39