Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 3 March 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 March 2020, Everton 1 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        28   79  +44      16.25    99.72     3.39   101.21     3.63    58.48    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   57  +39      -4.58    23.20    -4.05    82.26     3.74    57.44     0.03    99.61    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26       3.52    67.44    13.97    67.42     4.19    31.65     0.00     0.37    77.35    91.92    98.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   45   +8      -2.39    37.53    -5.48    61.69     4.11    12.47     0.00     0.01    11.27    46.82    83.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          28   42  +12      -5.13    25.22    -0.85    59.07     4.12    17.01     0.00     0.00     5.24    24.23    68.16     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   42   +7       3.75    69.50     7.94    57.33     4.29     9.37     0.00     0.00     2.04    12.84    47.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        28   40   +7      -8.07    14.33    -7.78    57.78     4.29    13.11     0.00     0.00     3.00    16.36    54.94     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        27   40   +4       6.36    80.71     9.38    54.15     4.41     2.86     0.00     0.00     0.67     4.13    20.48     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   38   -6       5.78    78.23     3.70    49.24     3.95   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.02     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal          27   37   +3      -6.15    21.02    -5.94    53.80     4.36     5.33     0.00     0.00     0.40     3.07    19.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          28   37   -5      -0.61    47.19    -2.62    50.31     4.13    -5.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.44     4.14     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   36   -7       1.17    56.61    -1.35    47.54     4.03   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.94     0.18R    0.00  
Southampton      28   34  -16       4.20    72.20    -0.58    45.35     4.08   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     1.59R    0.03  
Newcastle        28   32  -17       1.19    57.51    -5.67    43.16     3.95   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     5.50R    0.15  
Brighton         28   28   -8      -2.64    36.36     4.42    37.57     3.85   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.88R    3.46  
West_Ham         28   27  -14      -5.38    23.85    -2.49    39.37     4.16   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.97R    2.24  
Watford          28   27  -16      -3.52    32.24    -2.61    38.05     4.01   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.51R    3.70  
Bournemouth      28   27  -17      -3.97    30.56    -4.12    36.10     3.74   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.75R    7.27  
Aston_Villa      27   25  -18      -1.68    42.11     1.68    34.73     4.11   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.94R   15.79  
Norwich          28   21  -26      -3.26    33.66    -0.94    30.31     3.86   -34.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.62R   67.37  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 March 2020, Middlesbrough 2 2 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       36   69  +27       4.11    66.92     3.27    86.76     4.25    33.31    55.67    91.96   100.00    94.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    36   68  +24       7.10    78.07     7.18    85.85     4.19    30.21    41.08    88.94    99.98    92.28P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          36   63  +14       5.86    73.30     2.45    77.35     4.30    14.95     2.25    10.76    94.06    31.46P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   36   60  +13       6.57    76.44     6.77    75.30     4.27    15.33     0.47     4.01    87.15    22.81P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   57  +26      -4.48    30.99     7.86    74.23     4.25    31.27     0.50     3.71    84.46    31.28P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         36   56   +7       3.64    65.75     2.52    70.88     4.31     8.72     0.03     0.48    52.93    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   54   -2       4.52    69.09    -2.02    67.68     4.30    -2.04     0.00     0.04    22.52     4.11P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   53  +10       0.81    53.83     5.83    67.09     4.32    10.51     0.01     0.08    22.07     4.60P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   52   +1       0.17    50.94    -2.65    66.05     4.26     1.67     0.00     0.02    13.61     3.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall        36   51   +1       4.56    69.87     4.65    64.52     4.24     0.88     0.00     0.00     7.57     1.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         36   51   +0      -0.80    47.11    -3.50    65.11     4.32     0.63     0.00     0.01    10.46     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   48   +2      -2.28    40.41     0.47    60.90     4.24     0.79     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.38P    0.16R    0.00  
Derby           36   48   -3      -4.37    31.94    -7.49    61.05     4.23    -3.99     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.40P    0.11R    0.00  
QPR             36   47   -6       3.22    64.26     3.43    59.21     4.25    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.09P    0.93R    0.04  
Birmingham      36   47   -7       1.99    59.02    -0.43    59.78     4.23    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.10P    0.67R    0.00  
Reading         36   45   +2      -0.56    48.10     7.16    58.14     4.26     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.08P    1.38R    0.04  
Huddersfield    36   42  -11      -1.16    45.67    -1.73    53.51     4.14   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.82R    1.16  
Hull            36   41  -10      -4.68    30.94    -3.77    53.98     4.26   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.33R    1.08  
Wigan           36   40  -12      -3.22    36.54    -3.34    53.39     4.25   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.01R    1.82  
Charlton        36   39   -9      -3.81    34.45     0.73    50.94     4.18   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.66R    3.59  
Stoke           36   39  -10      -6.75    22.99    -4.97    51.69     4.17   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.86R    2.96  
Middlesbrough   36   38  -11     -10.27    12.16   -10.20    51.69     4.20   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.50R    2.53  
Barnsley        36   34  -18      -7.32    21.54    -5.46    45.44     4.20   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.91R   37.30  
Luton           36   34  -28      -2.77    38.79    -6.75    44.85     4.19   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.65R   49.49  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2020, Ipswich 0 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Coventry             33   64  +17      13.29    94.29     8.66    79.99     4.46    18.45    29.53    52.45    92.84    60.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   62  +25       2.80    61.95     5.23    80.12     4.20    32.05    36.67    59.60    94.78    69.41P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           33   59  +19       1.64    57.23     0.33    76.33     4.44    22.34    10.49    24.11    76.02    38.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   59   +5      12.84    93.29     5.73    72.04     4.20     4.10     1.16     3.76    35.78     8.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           34   58  +18      -2.21    39.38    -2.55    75.17     4.20    23.07     5.70    15.32    70.23    32.99P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       33   58  +13       6.96    79.52     4.30    75.70     4.36    17.14     7.23    17.96    71.53    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           34   57  +23       2.78    62.51    11.19    74.18     4.21    28.31     4.23    12.20    63.44    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         34   56  +26      -1.87    41.56     7.95    74.47     4.10    33.63     4.78    13.73    67.94    29.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              35   52  +11      -2.39    39.57     1.54    67.94     3.86    16.55     0.02     0.16     9.81     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            33   51  +17      -3.50    33.74     2.84    68.03     4.41    19.97     0.19     0.67    13.67     4.30P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           34   50   +8       2.16    60.30     5.85    64.51     4.14     9.22     0.00     0.02     2.34     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   47   +1      -1.11    45.09    -3.26    63.20     4.46     2.77     0.00     0.01     1.51     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            33   44   +2      -2.45    38.98    -0.05    58.97     4.34     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       33   42  -11       0.38    52.39    -5.96    54.75     4.27   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   41  -10      -0.64    47.65    -5.59    54.96     4.27   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   40   -5      -2.35    39.83     1.91    52.57     4.09    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   39   -3      -3.51    34.52     3.02    53.40     4.27    -1.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
MK_Dons              34   37  -10      -3.79    33.43    -1.49    48.53     4.09   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   34  -13      -4.27    31.02    -0.42    46.41     4.05   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.03R    0.00  
Rochdale             33   33  -20      -2.02    41.15    -2.73    46.02     4.32   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.88R    0.00  
Tranmere             32   26  -26      -3.62    32.84    -2.53    35.92     4.20   -36.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.03R    0.08  
Southend             34   16  -48     -14.30     2.70   -18.57    25.37     3.85   -56.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   28.18  
Bolton               32   12  -39      -5.13    25.63   -15.42    21.49     4.11   -50.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   71.75  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2020, Exeter 1 1 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          35   69  +25      10.64    88.29     9.64    88.37     4.48    31.41    65.97    93.43   100.00    95.24P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            36   66  +22       8.80    82.93    10.35    81.70     4.26    24.92     8.31    52.37    99.37    63.72P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   65  +19       3.61    64.98     0.95    82.81     4.29    25.05    12.14    62.67    99.70    73.97P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           36   65  +12       8.32    81.86     1.35    80.75     4.22    15.02     4.65    38.77    98.93    53.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       35   63  +25       8.27    82.17    15.08    81.07     4.46    29.31     8.87    48.77    99.31    61.90P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   58  +15       1.53    56.79     4.59    72.80     4.29    16.60     0.07     2.73    74.39    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        36   56   +6       7.45    79.71     6.88    69.10     4.19     5.17     0.00     0.36    34.35     6.36P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   55  +12      -1.20    44.60     2.02    70.07     4.30    14.04     0.00     0.53    49.69    13.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         36   54   +6      -1.99    41.52    -3.66    69.37     4.27     8.47     0.00     0.36    39.99    10.80P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     36   47   +1       3.21    64.41     9.39    58.92     4.16    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   46   +1      -3.74    33.94    -1.72    60.86     4.39     0.70     0.00     0.00     2.00     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     36   45   +1      -1.18    45.35     5.79    58.61     4.18     0.76     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    36   45   -7       1.97    59.81     1.82    56.88     4.17    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   44   -8       0.94    55.00     0.96    55.65     4.11   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          35   44  -11      -3.43    35.74   -10.26    58.23     4.49   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   34   43   -6      -0.57    47.84    -2.27    58.33     4.60    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           36   41  -10      -7.57    20.27    -8.59    54.07     4.23   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       36   40  -10      -9.79    14.72   -10.27    55.26     4.30    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.01R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    35   39   -9      -1.27    45.29     3.00    51.20     4.32   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.09  
Carlisle         35   39  -16      -4.26    31.83    -8.74    53.67     4.47   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.04R    0.04  
Macclesfield     36   36  -12      -2.44    39.61     3.17    46.03     3.94   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.84R    1.84  
Mansfield        35   35   -8     -15.44     3.97   -11.54    50.66     4.52    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.24  
Morecambe        36   32  -24      -5.39    27.00    -5.65    42.34     4.02   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.08R   12.08  
Stevenage        35   22  -24     -17.38     1.53   -12.30    34.74     4.33   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.68R   85.68  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             36   70  +31       9.23    84.41    13.86    86.00     4.28    34.43    80.25    99.91    85.41P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     36   65  +17       6.90    77.05     3.79    80.22     4.31    19.24    15.69    95.44    34.51P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            35   58   +4      10.33    87.61     4.33    72.73     4.43     3.61     0.72    48.28     8.39P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             36   57  +16      -4.88    30.00    -2.86    74.07     4.32    21.03     1.47    67.14    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       36   57  +14       4.00    66.83     8.66    72.93     4.30    17.34     0.51    55.43    11.60P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       35   54  +15      -6.66    23.31    -3.94    73.05     4.50    20.97     1.11    58.37    20.51P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     37   54  +11      -3.25    36.51     1.35    68.99     4.04    14.83     0.02    20.65     5.41P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         37   54   +7       2.02    59.02     5.38    68.05     4.02     9.59     0.01    13.59     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          37   54   -4       8.54    81.97     4.22    64.12     3.96    -7.42     0.01     2.17     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     36   53   +1       2.41    60.63    -0.68    66.76     4.33     1.10     0.01     8.61     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             36   52   -5       8.50    81.84     4.17    63.52     4.19    -8.40     0.00     1.94     0.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Bromley            37   51   +5      -1.84    42.48     2.24    64.82     4.09     7.14     0.00     3.51     0.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet             33   50   +8       0.01    50.13     0.90    68.99     5.02     9.72     0.21    23.34     5.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay            35   48   -3       4.42    68.53     5.15    60.71     4.52    -6.92     0.00     0.81     0.12P    0.54R    0.00  
Sutton_United      36   46   +3      -3.23    36.30     3.03    61.17     4.29     5.15     0.00     0.59     0.10P    0.34R    0.00  
Aldershot          36   46   -8       3.10    64.14     1.39    57.97     4.15   -10.54     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.41R    0.00  
Eastleigh          35   45   -8       0.07    50.77    -2.85    57.89     4.40   -11.35     0.00     0.11     0.02P    2.69R    0.00  
Wrexham            36   42   -3      -9.46    14.88    -6.26    56.05     4.26    -2.37     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.49R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          35   41   -4      -5.67    26.51    -2.32    55.17     4.44    -5.25     0.00     0.02     0.01P    8.42R    0.00  
Maidenhead         36   41  -12       0.65    53.92     2.15    52.66     4.19   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.99R    0.02  
Chesterfield       36   40  -11      -7.98    19.32    -8.37    53.32     4.24   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.49R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      -9.14    15.90   -13.79    45.83     3.90   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.02R    1.06  
AFC_Fylde          34   32  -18     -13.16     6.56   -15.40    49.01     4.79   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.59R    0.58  
Chorley            37   26  -33      -6.00    24.79    -4.14    33.63     3.61   -40.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   98.32