Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 February 2020, Bournemouth 2 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        28   79  +44      16.30    99.71     3.47   101.18     3.65    58.46    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   57  +39      -4.60    23.23    -4.20    82.26     3.72    57.51     0.01    99.63   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26       3.63    68.00    14.14    67.42     4.21    31.62     0.00     0.35    73.88    90.45    98.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   45   +8      -2.27    38.32    -5.32    61.66     4.10    12.43     0.00     0.01    10.04    41.37    83.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   41  +12      -4.52    27.31    -0.47    59.57     4.41    17.26     0.00     0.00     6.87    27.01    71.73     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   40   +8      -6.61    18.38    -6.68    59.79     4.51    15.02     0.00     0.00     7.31    28.72    71.10     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        27   40   +4       6.57    81.29     9.66    54.05     4.41     2.75     0.00     0.00     0.66     3.62    19.64     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   39   +6       2.11    61.49     6.84    55.04     4.48     7.37     0.00     0.00     0.74     5.32    27.57     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   38   -6       5.67    77.83     3.53    49.26     3.96   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.95     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal          27   37   +3      -6.25    20.58    -6.10    53.84     4.36     5.41     0.00     0.00     0.43     2.75    18.72     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          27   36   -5      -0.52    47.50    -3.04    50.58     4.37    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.60     5.47     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   36   -7       1.21    57.08    -1.30    47.51     4.03   -10.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.91     0.21R    0.00  
Southampton      28   34  -16       4.17    71.79    -0.48    45.34     4.08   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     1.69R    0.04  
Newcastle        28   32  -17       1.08    56.79    -5.83    43.16     3.95   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.30R    0.15  
Brighton         28   28   -8      -2.67    36.48     4.40    37.58     3.85   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.80R    3.56  
West_Ham         28   27  -14      -5.40    24.06    -2.46    39.43     4.16   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.60R    2.26  
Watford          28   27  -16      -3.49    32.53    -2.50    37.98     3.99   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.23R    3.82  
Bournemouth      28   27  -17      -3.95    30.64    -4.13    36.08     3.77   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.99R    7.56  
Aston_Villa      27   25  -18      -1.57    42.72     1.86    34.76     4.10   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.81R   16.13  
Norwich          28   21  -26      -3.45    32.29    -1.39    30.39     3.86   -34.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.29R   66.48  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 February 2020, Blackburn 2 2 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       36   69  +27       4.14    66.98     3.29    86.74     4.26    33.27    55.44    91.34    99.99    94.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    36   68  +24       7.19    78.41     7.30    85.84     4.19    30.18    41.06    88.36    99.98    91.89P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          36   63  +14       5.71    72.98     2.26    77.43     4.29    15.06     2.26    10.88    94.19    32.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   59  +13       6.84    78.03     6.70    75.64     4.48    15.33     0.72     5.23    87.61    24.18P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   57  +26      -4.50    31.07     7.84    74.27     4.26    31.29     0.48     3.68    84.60    30.96P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         36   56   +7       4.00    66.88     3.08    70.72     4.29     8.48     0.03     0.37    51.70    10.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   54   -2       4.47    68.95    -2.06    67.69     4.32    -2.03     0.01     0.05    23.05     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   53  +10       0.52    52.30     5.38    67.15     4.33    10.64     0.01     0.06    22.78     4.57P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   52   +1       0.40    51.94    -2.29    65.96     4.23     1.52     0.00     0.02    12.85     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        36   51   +1       4.71    70.36     4.82    64.49     4.23     0.84     0.00     0.00     7.27     1.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         36   51   +0      -1.10    45.55    -4.03    65.21     4.32     0.80     0.00     0.01    10.81     2.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   48   +2      -2.34    40.31     0.38    60.92     4.22     0.86     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.41P    0.15R    0.00  
Derby           36   48   -3      -4.46    31.45    -7.65    61.02     4.25    -4.05     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.38P    0.11R    0.00  
QPR             36   47   -6       3.26    64.52     3.58    59.21     4.22    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.07P    0.98R    0.01  
Birmingham      36   47   -7       1.90    59.04    -0.61    59.86     4.22    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.10P    0.67R    0.00  
Reading         36   45   +2      -0.64    47.96     7.04    58.18     4.24     1.33     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    1.30R    0.02  
Huddersfield    36   42  -11      -1.21    45.51    -1.85    53.56     4.14   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.55R    1.11  
Hull            36   41  -10      -4.73    30.55    -3.83    53.95     4.25   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.34R    1.12  
Wigan           36   40  -12      -2.95    37.49    -2.94    53.25     4.25   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.99R    1.91  
Charlton        36   39   -9      -3.47    35.79     1.18    50.81     4.14   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.75R    3.73  
Stoke           36   39  -10      -6.74    22.80    -4.86    51.66     4.19   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.12R    2.93  
Middlesbrough   35   37  -11      -9.83    13.07   -10.11    52.09     4.44   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.71R    2.77  
Barnsley        36   34  -18      -7.41    20.71    -5.72    45.47     4.17   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.74R   37.17  
Luton           36   34  -28      -2.82    38.54    -6.89    44.90     4.20   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.59R   49.23  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 February 2020, Blackpool 2 1 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            34   62  +25       2.93    62.91     5.55    80.05     4.22    31.96    39.29    61.52    94.86    70.98P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             32   61  +16      11.89    92.71     8.01    78.18     4.66    17.23    19.65    38.45    85.01    47.65P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           33   59  +19       1.61    57.31     0.23    76.37     4.44    22.41    11.73    25.91    76.95    39.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   59   +5      12.99    93.62     5.91    72.03     4.20     4.06     1.41     4.30    36.02     8.80P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           33   58  +19      -1.25    43.77    -2.17    76.65     4.42    24.26    13.17    28.43    80.13    45.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           34   57  +23       2.86    62.80    11.40    74.15     4.21    28.24     4.63    13.34    63.66    25.44P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         34   56  +26      -1.81    41.45     8.04    74.50     4.11    33.64     5.70    15.60    69.06    30.61P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   55  +12       5.56    74.56     3.68    73.61     4.57    15.46     3.99    10.30    53.86    19.37P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              34   52  +12      -1.35    43.93     2.07    69.78     4.11    18.25     0.25     1.34    22.29     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            33   51  +17      -3.56    33.80     2.80    67.97     4.42    19.92     0.18     0.76    13.88     4.26P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           34   50   +8       2.05    59.66     5.68    64.60     4.12     9.29     0.00     0.04     2.60     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   47   +1      -1.13    45.13    -3.29    63.24     4.46     2.81     0.00     0.02     1.53     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            33   44   +2      -2.41    38.98     0.07    58.94     4.34     1.87     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       33   42  -11       0.34    52.05    -6.01    54.74     4.30   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   41  -10      -0.71    47.23    -5.66    54.97     4.28   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   40   -5      -2.20    40.38     2.14    52.53     4.09    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   39   -3      -3.44    35.08     3.14    53.42     4.28    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
MK_Dons              34   37  -10      -3.75    33.61    -1.33    48.46     4.11   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   34  -13      -4.42    30.27    -0.62    46.49     4.05   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.03R    0.00  
Rochdale             33   33  -20      -1.98    41.53    -2.71    46.00     4.33   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.15R    0.00  
Tranmere             32   26  -26      -3.73    32.59    -2.84    36.02     4.15   -36.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.71R    0.07  
Southend             34   16  -48     -14.49     2.63   -18.80    25.39     3.85   -56.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   28.06  
Bolton               32   12  -39      -5.11    25.99   -15.28    21.47     4.10   -50.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   71.87  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 February 2020, Bradford 2 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          34   66  +23       9.90    86.84     8.94    87.05     4.72    29.87    56.39    89.26    99.98    92.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            35   65  +22       8.83    83.50     9.85    81.92     4.51    24.67    12.60    56.13    99.32    66.78P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           35   64  +12       8.87    83.75     1.63    81.32     4.49    15.33     9.19    46.54    99.08    59.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       35   63  +25       8.28    82.35    15.08    81.10     4.48    29.36    11.15    51.22    99.36    63.62P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         35   62  +16       3.27    63.65    -0.03    81.57     4.53    22.62    10.50    52.21    99.10    66.27P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   58  +15       1.48    56.39     4.49    72.86     4.27    16.67     0.15     3.32    74.79    21.13P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        36   56   +6       7.47    79.66     6.97    69.11     4.18     5.20     0.01     0.32    34.44     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   55  +12      -1.28    44.27     1.94    70.02     4.28    13.98     0.01     0.64    49.37    13.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         36   54   +6      -1.75    42.62    -3.32    69.37     4.24     8.46     0.00     0.37    39.87    10.43P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     36   47   +1       3.41    65.17     9.69    58.89     4.13    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   46   +1      -3.67    34.24    -1.63    60.93     4.40     0.76     0.00     0.00     2.24     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     36   45   +1      -1.10    45.65     5.87    58.63     4.20     0.78     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    36   45   -7       2.16    60.33     2.07    56.78     4.15    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   44   -5       0.82    54.56     1.69    56.62     4.30    -8.60     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   44  -11      -3.45    35.53   -10.25    58.25     4.50   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   34   43   -6      -0.42    48.65    -2.03    58.20     4.56    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           36   41  -10      -7.58    20.25    -8.58    54.11     4.23   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.01R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       35   40   -8      -9.37    15.46    -9.84    56.31     4.51    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   39   -9      -1.27    45.09     2.92    51.27     4.36   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.10  
Carlisle         35   39  -16      -4.29    31.82    -8.81    53.63     4.45   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.04R    0.04  
Macclesfield     36   36  -12      -2.43    39.86     3.20    46.03     3.91   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.79R    1.79  
Mansfield        35   35   -8     -15.56     3.80   -11.75    50.72     4.49    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.20R    0.20  
Morecambe        36   32  -24      -5.31    27.08    -5.64    42.32     4.02   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.16R   12.16  
Stevenage        35   22  -24     -17.49     1.54   -12.46    34.74     4.32   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.68R   85.68  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 February 2020, Barrow 2 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             36   70  +31       9.27    84.27    13.96    85.99     4.26    34.40    84.64    99.92    88.55P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     35   62  +16       5.46    72.61     3.15    78.64     4.56    18.33    10.66    90.88    29.75P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             36   57  +16      -4.68    30.48    -2.58    73.99     4.32    20.91     1.71    68.22    22.58P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       35   56  +14       4.33    68.63     8.56    73.11     4.51    17.03     0.94    58.88    13.13P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            34   55   +3       8.93    84.52     3.70    71.16     4.70     2.69     0.58    37.23     6.66P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     36   54  +12      -2.17    40.83     1.92    70.87     4.28    16.64     0.22    39.41    10.59P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          37   54   -4       8.47    81.47     4.11    64.15     4.00    -7.38     0.00     2.52     0.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     36   53   +1       2.54    61.38    -0.46    66.73     4.35     1.03     0.01     9.71     1.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             36   52   -5       8.62    82.59     4.41    63.50     4.18    -8.46     0.00     2.18     0.32P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County       34   51  +14      -7.51    19.98    -3.85    71.45     4.78    20.00     0.83    46.61    15.96P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         36   51   +6       0.60    52.84     4.76    65.96     4.26     7.90     0.00     7.68     1.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            37   51   +5      -1.90    42.27     2.09    64.82     4.06     7.14     0.00     4.02     0.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet             32   49   +8       0.42    52.12     0.94    69.58     5.21    10.03     0.41    29.65     7.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay            35   48   -3       4.22    67.69     4.83    60.72     4.52    -6.91     0.00     0.92     0.15P    0.73R    0.00  
Sutton_United      35   46   +4      -2.33    40.14     3.37    62.58     4.49     6.25     0.00     2.01     0.44P    0.22R    0.00  
Aldershot          36   46   -8       3.13    64.68     1.46    57.93     4.12   -10.60     0.00     0.05     0.01P    3.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            36   42   -3      -9.49    14.92    -6.32    56.16     4.25    -2.21     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.07R    0.00  
Eastleigh          34   42   -9      -0.89    46.84    -2.87    56.37     4.64   -12.21     0.00     0.08     0.01P    7.60R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          35   41   -4      -5.48    27.17    -2.06    55.16     4.41    -5.27     0.00     0.02     0.01P    9.72R    0.01  
Maidenhead         36   41  -12       0.61    53.93     2.07    52.64     4.18   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.93R    0.06  
Chesterfield       35   40  -10      -7.06    21.68    -8.21    54.69     4.47   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.46R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   36  -23      -9.07    16.30   -13.66    45.75     3.89   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.02R    2.30  
AFC_Fylde          33   32  -17     -12.26     7.79   -15.16    50.32     4.99   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00P   47.19R    0.70  
Chorley            36   26  -32      -5.19    27.49    -4.19    34.80     3.85   -39.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   96.89