Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 27 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 February 2020, Liverpool 3 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        27   79  +47      17.49    99.92     5.66   104.02     3.75    64.06    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   57  +39      -4.42    24.06    -3.75    82.15     3.75    57.32     0.01    98.62    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        27   50  +27       5.06    75.03    15.20    69.78     4.40    34.20     0.00     1.34    82.97    94.89    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          27   44   +8      -1.63    41.23    -4.95    62.69     4.35    13.45     0.00     0.03     8.77    47.68    87.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   41  +12      -4.66    26.44    -0.69    59.65     4.39    17.36     0.00     0.00     3.68    23.18    71.01     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   40   +8      -6.56    18.64    -6.57    59.79     4.52    15.03     0.00     0.00     3.85    24.15    70.14     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        27   40   +4       6.38    80.55     9.41    54.08     4.43     2.78     0.00     0.00     0.29     2.99    19.06     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   39   +6       2.33    62.59     7.24    55.01     4.47     7.34     0.00     0.00     0.27     4.26    26.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   37   +3      -6.31    20.57    -6.11    53.80     4.38     5.35     0.00     0.00     0.17     2.20    17.78     0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          27   37   -6       6.03    79.83     3.68    49.54     4.19   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     2.58     0.03R    0.00  
Everton          27   36   -5      -0.35    48.61    -2.73    50.42     4.35    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.45     4.85     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      27   34  -14       4.79    74.89     0.11    46.78     4.35   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.80     0.62R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   33   -8      -0.33    48.92    -2.08    45.84     4.27   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.70R    0.00  
Newcastle        27   31  -17       1.44    58.96    -5.64    43.66     4.19   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.38R    0.07  
Brighton         27   28   -7      -1.71    41.49     4.86    39.00     4.11   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.55R    0.70  
Bournemouth      27   26  -17      -3.85    30.58    -4.57    35.79     3.97   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.08R    4.41  
Aston_Villa      27   25  -18      -1.65    42.29     1.70    34.70     4.11   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.35R    8.07  
West_Ham         27   24  -16      -6.37    19.31    -3.48    37.92     4.40   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.72R    2.40  
Watford          27   24  -19      -4.89    25.33    -5.20    35.02     4.10   -26.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.06R    8.07  
Norwich          27   18  -27      -5.17    23.34    -2.09    27.93     4.05   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.50R   76.27  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 February 2020, Blackburn 0 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       35   69  +28       5.45    72.71     4.12    89.07     4.43    35.80    78.41    96.78    99.99    97.82P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    35   65  +20       7.28    79.19     5.85    84.08     4.44    25.95    19.26    79.26    99.81    85.30P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   60  +12       4.96    70.36     1.57    75.86     4.54    13.12     1.01     8.60    85.06    27.29P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   59  +13       6.83    77.70     6.73    75.67     4.48    15.38     0.60     7.04    85.39    24.85P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   56  +26      -3.91    33.10     8.19    74.68     4.50    31.35     0.60     6.01    82.82    32.28P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   56   +9       4.37    68.58     3.60    72.17     4.56    10.61     0.10     1.83    60.54    14.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    35   53   -2       4.72    69.98    -2.25    67.88     4.50    -2.24     0.00     0.14    21.79     4.37P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   52  +10       0.97    54.60     5.51    67.80     4.57    11.04     0.01     0.23    25.51     5.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         35   51   +1       0.73    53.38    -2.33    66.15     4.47     1.27     0.00     0.05    12.97     2.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall        35   50   +1       4.80    71.22     4.47    64.99     4.47     1.03     0.00     0.01     8.71     1.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         35   50   +0      -0.48    48.00    -3.65    65.30     4.57     0.40     0.00     0.04    10.82     2.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       35   48   +4      -1.63    42.87     1.39    62.71     4.47     3.46     0.00     0.00     4.24     0.92P    0.06R    0.00  
QPR             35   46   -6       3.69    66.29     3.58    59.64     4.50    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.12P    1.01R    0.02  
Birmingham      35   46   -7       2.42    61.29    -0.48    60.01     4.47    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.13P    0.78R    0.01  
Derby           35   45   -5      -5.17    28.51    -8.32    59.02     4.46    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.12P    0.94R    0.02  
Reading         35   42   +0      -1.51    43.88     6.18    56.71     4.48    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    3.88R    0.30  
Hull            35   41   -6      -4.88    30.02    -2.28    55.40     4.49    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    7.50R    0.64  
Charlton        35   39   -5      -4.15    32.70     2.01    52.71     4.45    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.48R    2.09  
Huddersfield    35   39  -15      -1.14    45.92    -3.36    51.54     4.35   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.63R    4.94  
Stoke           35   38  -10      -6.20    24.43    -4.70    52.14     4.43   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.62R    3.84  
Middlesbrough   35   37  -11      -9.73    13.33    -9.98    51.92     4.42   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.19R    3.27  
Wigan           35   37  -13      -4.59    30.67    -4.02    50.72     4.45   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.20R    7.68  
Barnsley        35   34  -16      -6.90    22.70    -4.86    46.78     4.42   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.70R   28.21  
Luton           35   33  -28      -2.58    39.55    -6.98    45.28     4.47   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.99R   48.98  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2020, Blackpool 2 1 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            33   61  +25       3.66    65.94     5.92    81.40     4.42    33.55    49.42    70.22    96.43    77.74P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             32   61  +16      11.70    92.10     7.82    78.24     4.65    17.28    17.03    37.19    83.76    46.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   59   +7      13.23    94.19     6.24    73.09     4.42     5.61     2.23     6.81    44.25    12.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           33   58  +19      -1.22    43.88    -2.17    76.68     4.41    24.30    11.07    26.36    78.92    43.64P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           32   56  +16       1.57    57.08    -0.28    75.33     4.61    20.39     7.05    18.05    66.93    31.18P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         33   55  +26      -1.61    42.36     7.65    74.91     4.33    33.73     5.94    17.34    69.35    32.09P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   55  +12       5.46    74.13     3.52    73.64     4.59    15.53     3.29     9.49    51.70    18.48P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           33   54  +22       1.80    58.37    11.50    73.68     4.35    29.34     3.17    10.60    57.49    22.13P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              33   52  +13      -0.31    48.48     2.54    71.26     4.36    19.46     0.68     3.17    33.33    11.51P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           33   50   +9       3.32    65.39     6.49    66.56     4.38    11.17     0.04     0.29     6.76     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            32   48  +15      -4.08    31.27     2.43    66.72     4.64    18.44     0.08     0.43     8.95     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   46   +1      -0.59    47.35    -3.05    63.52     4.70     2.70     0.01     0.05     2.03     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       32   42  -10       1.54    58.22    -5.23    56.42     4.52   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            32   41   +1      -3.80    32.58    -0.57    57.27     4.58     0.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   39   -3      -3.46    34.79     3.15    53.38     4.27    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   39   -5      -1.78    42.40     2.36    53.06     4.36    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   38  -11      -2.05    40.75    -6.23    52.92     4.44   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
MK_Dons              33   36  -10      -3.58    34.35    -1.77    47.95     4.26   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Rochdale             32   33  -17      -1.86    41.78    -1.83    46.82     4.50   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.46R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        33   31  -14      -5.91    23.84    -1.34    44.16     4.26   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.46R    0.00  
Tranmere             32   26  -26      -3.65    32.92    -2.62    35.97     4.21   -36.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.58R    0.14  
Southend             33   16  -47     -13.80     3.15   -19.10    25.73     3.95   -57.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   28.44  
Bolton               31   11  -39      -5.01    25.69   -15.44    21.76     4.37   -50.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   71.42  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2020, Cheltenham 2 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          34   66  +23      10.06    87.29     9.09    87.16     4.72    30.05    52.44    88.80    99.98    91.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            34   64  +22       9.38    85.13    10.09    82.58     4.77    25.13    15.08    59.92    99.32    69.82P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           34   63  +12       9.34    85.48     1.75    82.41     4.67    16.38    12.17    54.51    99.33    65.84P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   62  +17       4.54    69.21     0.82    82.92     4.75    23.59    15.55    62.45    99.44    73.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       34   60  +23       7.39    79.97    14.21    78.79     4.71    26.38     4.59    29.74    97.08    46.52P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   55  +14      -0.65    47.42     2.88    71.90     4.48    16.75     0.10     2.32    68.62    20.21P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   55  +12       1.13    55.02     3.42    70.94     4.48    13.27     0.05     1.39    58.65    15.07P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        35   55   +6       7.85    81.46     6.89    69.65     4.42     5.47     0.02     0.65    41.71     7.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         35   51   +5      -2.92    37.62    -3.67    67.60     4.51     7.29     0.00     0.22    27.92     7.67P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   46   +1      -3.70    34.22    -1.67    60.92     4.39     0.79     0.00     0.00     2.53     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    35   45   -6       3.26    65.40     2.62    58.51     4.41    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     35   44   +1      -1.06    45.98     5.37    58.45     4.39    -0.01     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     35   44   -1       2.24    60.60     8.42    57.07     4.37    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          34   44   -2       1.09    55.77     3.06    58.23     4.58    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   44  -11      -3.50    35.55   -10.35    58.18     4.47   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   33   43   -1      -0.92    46.21     0.27    60.09     4.81    -1.78     0.00     0.00     2.32     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       34   39   -8      -9.09    15.76    -9.98    56.48     4.76    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.07P    0.01R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    35   39   -9      -1.30    45.06     2.91    51.28     4.34   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.14  
Oldham           35   38  -15      -7.44    20.18   -11.03    52.10     4.44   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.08R    0.08  
Macclesfield     35   36  -10      -1.72    42.70     4.19    47.68     4.20   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.92R    0.92  
Carlisle         34   36  -17      -5.72    25.83    -9.51    51.62     4.64   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.20R    0.20  
Mansfield        35   35   -8     -15.54     3.86   -11.76    50.67     4.50    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.22  
Morecambe        35   31  -24      -5.05    28.02    -5.74    42.29     4.25   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.39R   13.39  
Stevenage        35   22  -24     -17.36     1.46   -12.27    34.77     4.34   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.03R   85.03  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2020, Aldershot 3 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             35   67  +30       8.11    81.70    13.66    84.81     4.50    34.09    80.61    99.75    85.52P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     36   63  +16       5.31    71.58     3.51    78.36     4.32    18.44    13.07    92.02    32.27P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       34   55  +14       4.91    71.30     8.87    73.65     4.74    17.29     2.15    64.47    15.60P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            34   55   +3       9.16    85.08     3.99    71.12     4.66     2.63     0.74    38.43     6.99P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             35   54  +13      -5.19    28.44    -3.93    72.43     4.55    17.99     1.47    56.21    18.75P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     35   53   +4       2.47    61.03     0.35    68.13     4.54     4.11     0.09    18.28     3.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       34   51  +14      -7.77    19.42    -4.18    71.58     4.75    20.18     1.29    49.72    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   51   +9      -2.46    39.20     0.80    69.25     4.51    13.65     0.15    27.86     7.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            36   51   +6      -0.73    47.25     2.74    66.46     4.31     8.56     0.02    10.57     2.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport          36   51   -5       7.17    78.11     3.69    62.17     4.22    -8.94     0.00     1.25     0.18P    0.29R    0.00  
Barnet             33   50   +8      -0.15    49.48     0.70    69.19     4.99     9.99     0.40    28.09     6.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool         35   50   +6       0.93    54.68     4.65    66.03     4.50     7.45     0.02     9.80     1.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking             35   49   -7       8.15    81.37     4.19    61.73     4.44   -10.65     0.00     1.34     0.13P    0.71R    0.00  
Aldershot          36   46   -8       3.01    63.79     1.24    58.01     4.15   -10.48     0.00     0.09     0.02P    3.90R    0.00  
Torquay            34   45   -5       3.68    66.23     4.58    59.47     4.78    -8.40     0.00     0.71     0.11P    2.72R    0.00  
Sutton_United      34   43   +3      -3.72    34.08     2.75    60.57     4.74     4.65     0.00     1.08     0.23P    1.30R    0.00  
Wrexham            35   42   +0      -9.51    14.16    -5.28    57.37     4.44     0.55     0.00     0.13     0.04P    4.43R    0.00  
Eastleigh          34   42   -9      -1.06    45.88    -3.21    56.44     4.63   -12.08     0.00     0.09     0.02P    9.34R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red          34   41   -3      -4.84    29.30    -2.14    56.19     4.63    -4.73     0.00     0.08     0.02P    9.31R    0.01  
Maidenhead         35   41  -10       1.10    55.78     2.69    54.13     4.44   -13.18     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.15R    0.09  
Chesterfield       35   40  -10      -7.13    22.04    -8.30    54.75     4.48   -10.68     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.34R    0.05  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   36  -22      -7.94    18.86   -13.03    47.50     4.17   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.11R    2.19  
AFC_Fylde          33   32  -17     -12.23     7.96   -15.09    50.29     5.02   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00P   52.45R    1.32  
Chorley            35   26  -30      -4.55    30.18    -3.24    35.74     4.11   -38.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   96.31