Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 February 2020, Liverpool 3 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        27   79  +47      17.48    99.94     5.66   104.01     3.77    64.02   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   57  +39      -4.57    23.52    -4.12    82.20     3.76    57.44     0.00    98.55    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        27   50  +27       5.02    74.75    15.08    69.82     4.42    34.28     0.00     1.42    83.14    94.89    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          27   44   +8      -1.65    41.16    -4.91    62.70     4.33    13.48     0.00     0.03     8.78    47.88    87.32     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   41  +12      -4.59    26.77    -0.62    59.57     4.42    17.23     0.00     0.01     3.62    22.99    70.49     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   40   +8      -6.62    18.32    -6.67    59.79     4.49    15.00     0.00     0.00     3.70    24.31    70.36     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        27   40   +4       6.40    80.57     9.47    54.09     4.41     2.78     0.00     0.00     0.29     2.88    19.15     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   39   +6       2.16    61.71     6.99    55.02     4.46     7.35     0.00     0.00     0.29     4.26    26.27     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   37   +3      -6.26    20.90    -6.06    53.85     4.38     5.44     0.00     0.00     0.17     2.14    18.09     0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          27   37   -6       5.82    78.68     3.38    49.57     4.20   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.62     0.04R    0.00  
Everton          27   36   -5      -0.52    47.80    -2.99    50.43     4.34    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.48     4.87     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      27   34  -14       4.89    75.71     0.33    46.74     4.33   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.53R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   33   -8      -0.29    49.21    -2.04    45.80     4.28   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.78R    0.01  
Newcastle        27   31  -17       1.49    59.27    -5.59    43.67     4.20   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.40R    0.06  
Brighton         27   28   -7      -1.55    42.24     5.13    38.96     4.10   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.88R    0.76  
Bournemouth      27   26  -17      -3.85    30.54    -4.60    35.81     3.94   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.95R    4.18  
Aston_Villa      27   25  -18      -1.80    41.21     1.50    34.73     4.09   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.98R    7.57  
West_Ham         27   24  -16      -6.35    19.42    -3.42    37.97     4.40   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.85R    2.44  
Watford          27   24  -19      -4.70    26.11    -4.96    34.96     4.10   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.67R    8.04  
Norwich          27   18  -27      -4.93    24.31    -1.57    27.84     4.03   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.91R   76.93  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 February 2020, Blackburn 0 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       35   69  +28       5.55    72.97     4.24    89.11     4.43    35.82    78.69    96.74    99.99    97.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    35   65  +20       7.25    78.97     5.79    84.09     4.44    25.97    18.97    79.18    99.78    85.16P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   60  +12       5.17    71.30     1.80    75.76     4.55    13.00     1.05     8.52    84.56    27.01P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   59  +13       6.88    78.08     6.78    75.69     4.49    15.39     0.58     7.15    85.51    25.22P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   56  +26      -3.93    33.14     8.13    74.69     4.51    31.35     0.60     6.10    82.92    31.99P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   56   +9       4.21    67.91     3.38    72.19     4.54    10.67     0.08     1.82    61.09    14.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    35   53   -2       4.67    69.92    -2.31    67.93     4.53    -2.16     0.00     0.15    22.54     4.51P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   52  +10       1.15    55.09     5.79    67.74     4.57    10.96     0.01     0.22    24.96     5.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         35   51   +1       0.66    53.24    -2.44    66.17     4.51     1.29     0.00     0.05    13.28     2.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall        35   50   +1       4.89    71.41     4.56    64.94     4.46     0.97     0.00     0.01     8.42     1.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         35   50   +0      -0.33    48.94    -3.48    65.28     4.56     0.30     0.00     0.06    10.49     2.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       35   48   +4      -1.52    43.43     1.56    62.63     4.48     3.37     0.00     0.00     4.18     0.85P    0.05R    0.00  
QPR             35   46   -6       3.53    66.08     3.25    59.72     4.50    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.09P    0.95R    0.03  
Birmingham      35   46   -7       2.29    60.77    -0.60    60.02     4.44    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.10P    0.68R    0.02  
Derby           35   45   -5      -5.50    27.06    -8.76    59.12     4.44    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.14P    0.84R    0.02  
Reading         35   42   +0      -1.57    43.46     6.08    56.70     4.48    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    4.02R    0.31  
Hull            35   41   -6      -4.81    30.23    -2.17    55.42     4.48    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    7.30R    0.65  
Charlton        35   39   -5      -4.04    33.06     2.18    52.69     4.44    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.43R    2.10  
Huddersfield    35   39  -15      -1.13    45.95    -3.38    51.57     4.37   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.45R    4.91  
Stoke           35   38  -10      -6.27    24.24    -4.68    52.07     4.41   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.99R    3.92  
Middlesbrough   35   37  -11      -9.74    13.34    -9.97    51.90     4.45   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.37R    3.26  
Wigan           35   37  -13      -4.55    30.73    -3.95    50.72     4.42   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.78R    7.73  
Barnsley        35   34  -16      -6.93    22.43    -4.91    46.81     4.43   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.44R   27.83  
Luton           35   33  -28      -2.58    39.77    -6.89    45.24     4.46   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.68R   49.23  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2020, Blackpool 2 1 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            33   61  +25       3.48    65.39     5.63    81.48     4.41    33.64    49.82    70.64    96.46    77.90P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             32   61  +16      11.69    92.29     7.76    78.23     4.66    17.31    16.98    37.02    83.68    46.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   59   +7      13.33    94.11     6.42    73.01     4.41     5.48     2.15     6.55    43.63    11.94P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           33   58  +19      -1.19    43.93    -2.14    76.64     4.42    24.21    10.75    26.08    78.64    43.02P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           32   56  +16       1.49    56.83    -0.40    75.33     4.62    20.36     6.88    18.13    66.99    31.39P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         33   55  +26      -1.51    42.77     7.83    74.93     4.34    33.76     6.03    17.22    69.45    32.16P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   55  +12       5.58    74.72     3.73    73.59     4.60    15.45     3.24     9.50    51.30    18.77P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           33   54  +22       1.78    58.18    11.43    73.76     4.35    29.45     3.29    11.06    58.11    22.60P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              33   52  +13      -0.25    48.85     2.67    71.25     4.38    19.47     0.73     3.13    33.51    11.36P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           33   50   +9       3.46    66.22     6.69    66.54     4.38    11.15     0.06     0.25     6.75     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            32   48  +15      -4.16    30.84     2.29    66.77     4.65    18.53     0.07     0.38     9.21     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   46   +1      -0.70    46.80    -3.19    63.60     4.70     2.80     0.00     0.06     2.22     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       32   42  -10       1.55    57.93    -5.22    56.35     4.50   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            32   41   +1      -3.71    33.02    -0.46    57.24     4.56     0.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   39   -3      -3.58    34.22     2.95    53.45     4.29    -1.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   39   -5      -1.80    42.27     2.30    53.12     4.37    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.07R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   38  -11      -2.16    40.11    -6.31    52.99     4.47   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
MK_Dons              33   36  -10      -3.69    33.81    -1.88    47.95     4.26   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.00  
Rochdale             32   33  -17      -1.92    41.50    -1.95    46.79     4.52   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.38R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        33   31  -14      -5.96    23.59    -1.50    44.17     4.25   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.43R    0.00  
Tranmere             32   26  -26      -3.63    32.64    -2.62    35.96     4.16   -36.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.76R    0.12  
Southend             33   16  -47     -13.66     3.32   -18.86    25.74     3.97   -57.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   27.77  
Bolton               31   11  -39      -4.83    26.75   -15.18    21.67     4.33   -50.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   72.11  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2020, Cheltenham 2 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          34   66  +23      10.06    87.27     9.14    87.15     4.71    30.04    52.19    88.85    99.98    91.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            34   64  +22       9.35    85.58    10.01    82.53     4.73    25.03    14.75    59.42    99.38    69.29P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           34   63  +12       9.32    85.65     1.76    82.42     4.67    16.42    12.20    54.21    99.39    65.90P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   62  +17       4.33    68.40     0.43    83.02     4.76    23.75    16.09    63.02    99.41    74.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       34   60  +23       7.29    79.88    14.07    78.84     4.66    26.47     4.62    29.96    97.15    46.52P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   55  +14      -0.68    47.12     2.83    71.93     4.50    16.74     0.08     2.27    68.32    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   55  +12       1.06    54.63     3.31    70.95     4.47    13.28     0.05     1.37    58.78    14.95P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        35   55   +6       7.70    80.98     6.69    69.68     4.45     5.50     0.01     0.70    42.10     8.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         35   51   +5      -3.06    36.89    -3.85    67.64     4.50     7.34     0.00     0.21    27.92     7.53P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   46   +1      -3.87    33.22    -1.91    60.90     4.40     0.75     0.00     0.00     2.41     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    35   45   -6       3.34    66.02     2.73    58.50     4.38    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     35   44   +1      -0.98    46.12     5.53    58.45     4.39    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     35   44   -1       2.23    60.84     8.52    57.01     4.36    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          34   44   -2       1.22    56.39     3.22    58.17     4.56    -5.31     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   44  -11      -3.28    36.13   -10.04    58.12     4.45   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   33   43   -1      -1.13    45.31     0.04    60.17     4.83    -1.67     0.00     0.00     2.33     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       34   39   -8      -9.10    15.71    -9.98    56.55     4.77    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.09P    0.02R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient    35   39   -9      -1.48    44.41     2.58    51.33     4.34   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.09  
Oldham           35   38  -15      -7.18    21.12   -10.62    52.05     4.41   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.11  
Macclesfield     35   36  -10      -1.74    42.55     4.22    47.72     4.22   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.90  
Carlisle         34   36  -17      -5.35    27.23    -8.94    51.53     4.66   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.25R    0.25  
Mansfield        35   35   -8     -15.41     4.05   -11.51    50.69     4.51    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.20  
Morecambe        35   31  -24      -5.07    27.89    -5.80    42.21     4.24   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.22R   13.22  
Stevenage        35   22  -24     -17.42     1.38   -12.43    34.75     4.32   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.22R   85.22  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2020, Aldershot 3 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             35   67  +30       8.28    81.89    13.93    84.80     4.50    34.05    80.59    99.74    85.55P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     36   63  +16       5.21    71.30     3.35    78.33     4.34    18.43    12.78    91.64    31.74P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       34   55  +14       4.92    71.18     8.88    73.63     4.74    17.31     2.30    64.20    15.62P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            34   55   +3       8.90    84.52     3.64    71.23     4.69     2.80     0.80    39.37     7.49P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             35   54  +13      -4.91    29.60    -3.46    72.42     4.57    17.97     1.41    56.19    18.31P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     35   53   +4       2.61    61.55     0.54    68.10     4.55     4.07     0.10    18.14     3.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       34   51  +14      -7.53    19.97    -3.80    71.50     4.77    20.06     1.43    49.09    17.65P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   51   +9      -2.51    39.32     0.74    69.30     4.52    13.68     0.18    28.35     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            36   51   +6      -1.03    45.65     2.33    66.53     4.34     8.69     0.03    10.90     2.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport          36   51   -5       7.28    78.58     3.82    62.22     4.22    -8.86     0.00     1.37     0.20P    0.30R    0.00  
Barnet             33   50   +8       0.08    50.58     1.03    69.11     4.98     9.90     0.37    27.54     7.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool         35   50   +6       0.75    53.57     4.37    66.09     4.49     7.49     0.01     9.97     2.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             35   49   -7       7.87    80.73     3.73    61.83     4.44   -10.51     0.00     1.31     0.18P    0.58R    0.00  
Aldershot          36   46   -8       3.17    64.45     1.48    57.98     4.17   -10.52     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.97R    0.00  
Torquay            34   45   -5       3.70    66.48     4.56    59.46     4.76    -8.40     0.00     0.61     0.09P    2.67R    0.00  
Sutton_United      34   43   +3      -3.83    33.67     2.58    60.57     4.77     4.67     0.00     1.19     0.26P    1.52R    0.00  
Wrexham            35   42   +0      -9.31    14.81    -5.00    57.35     4.46     0.52     0.00     0.12     0.04P    4.42R    0.00  
Eastleigh          34   42   -9      -1.13    45.39    -3.28    56.47     4.65   -12.01     0.00     0.10     0.02P    9.00R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red          34   41   -3      -4.97    28.80    -2.37    56.21     4.65    -4.72     0.00     0.08     0.02P    9.22R    0.01  
Maidenhead         35   41  -10       1.10    55.97     2.73    54.03     4.44   -13.33     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.53R    0.09  
Chesterfield       35   40  -10      -6.87    22.67    -7.92    54.65     4.50   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.76R    0.06  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   36  -22      -7.98    19.04   -13.06    47.50     4.18   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.84R    2.16  
AFC_Fylde          33   32  -17     -12.27     7.67   -15.17    50.25     5.03   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.28R    1.30  
Chorley            35   26  -30      -4.84    28.95    -3.64    35.76     4.10   -38.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   96.35