Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 February 2020, Liverpool 3 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        27   79  +47      17.51    99.94     5.69   104.04     3.74    64.06   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   57  +39      -4.66    22.85    -4.23    82.26     3.72    57.49     0.00    98.62    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        27   50  +27       4.98    74.60    15.01    69.86     4.42    34.33     0.00     1.34    83.36    95.09    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          27   44   +8      -1.61    40.96    -4.92    62.70     4.36    13.45     0.00     0.03     8.74    48.09    87.34     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   41  +12      -4.61    26.47    -0.62    59.58     4.39    17.25     0.00     0.01     3.36    22.90    71.02     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   40   +8      -6.52    18.63    -6.49    59.76     4.49    14.95     0.00     0.00     3.81    24.24    70.12     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        27   40   +4       6.40    80.81     9.49    54.07     4.41     2.76     0.00     0.00     0.31     2.73    18.89     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   39   +6       2.19    61.85     6.98    55.06     4.48     7.39     0.00     0.00     0.29     4.38    26.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   37   +3      -6.16    20.93    -5.86    53.78     4.33     5.31     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.99    17.58     0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          27   37   -6       5.97    79.36     3.69    49.56     4.19   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     2.53     0.03R    0.00  
Everton          27   36   -5      -0.54    47.55    -3.01    50.42     4.33    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     4.69     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      27   34  -14       4.88    75.49     0.25    46.73     4.35   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.57R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   33   -8      -0.14    49.88    -1.80    45.77     4.25   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.73R    0.00  
Newcastle        27   31  -17       1.43    59.01    -5.65    43.71     4.22   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.43R    0.05  
Brighton         27   28   -7      -1.68    41.70     4.91    38.97     4.08   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.65R    0.67  
Bournemouth      27   26  -17      -3.83    30.89    -4.55    35.80     3.96   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.76R    4.39  
Aston_Villa      27   25  -18      -1.71    41.83     1.60    34.70     4.10   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.50R    7.86  
West_Ham         27   24  -16      -6.25    19.48    -3.25    37.91     4.41   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.70R    2.55  
Watford          27   24  -19      -4.85    25.32    -5.15    35.00     4.07   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.02R    8.02  
Norwich          27   18  -27      -5.16    23.16    -2.10    27.91     4.05   -36.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.58R   76.47  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2020, Cardiff 0 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       35   69  +28       5.49    72.84     4.11    89.14     4.45    35.88    84.01    97.52   100.00    98.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    34   62  +19       6.04    75.34     5.38    82.42     4.69    24.96    13.40    70.46    99.05    78.73P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   59  +13       6.88    77.95     6.77    75.73     4.50    15.48     0.76    10.18    84.78    27.67P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   57  +11       3.97    66.86     1.41    74.35     4.81    12.28     0.80     8.41    74.39    24.36P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   56  +26      -3.94    32.78     8.16    74.73     4.49    31.43     0.84     9.16    82.32    33.98P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   56   +9       4.25    68.44     3.44    72.22     4.53    10.67     0.13     2.64    59.73    15.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    35   53   -2       4.67    70.22    -2.28    67.88     4.50    -2.25     0.01     0.31    21.41     4.32P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   51  +10       1.66    57.72     5.99    68.52     4.78    11.54     0.04     0.76    30.93     7.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   51   +2       1.54    57.11    -2.10    67.34     4.70     1.97     0.02     0.37    19.81     4.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         35   50   +0      -0.55    47.88    -3.72    65.34     4.56     0.39     0.00     0.09    10.37     2.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall        34   49   +1       5.21    73.12     4.66    65.58     4.71     1.32     0.00     0.08    11.38     2.07P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             35   46   -6       3.48    65.72     3.26    59.81     4.49    -8.31     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.10P    0.75R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       34   45   +3      -2.59    38.76     1.42    61.22     4.69     2.64     0.00     0.01     2.52     0.57P    0.25R    0.00  
Derby           35   45   -5      -5.55    26.98    -8.84    59.04     4.45    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    0.75R    0.01  
Birmingham      34   45   -7       2.43    61.66    -0.82    60.13     4.68    -9.19     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.22P    0.73R    0.01  
Reading         34   42   +3      -1.19    45.21     7.63    58.72     4.70     3.48     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.12P    1.61R    0.10  
Hull            34   41   -5      -3.86    33.71    -1.75    57.45     4.78    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    3.57R    0.23  
Charlton        34   39   -4      -3.39    35.82     2.25    53.85     4.64    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.43R    0.85  
Huddersfield    35   39  -15      -0.95    46.63    -3.07    51.49     4.35   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.78R    3.20  
Stoke           34   37  -10      -6.12    24.25    -4.91    52.15     4.68   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.90R    2.99  
Middlesbrough   34   37  -10      -8.90    14.83    -9.61    53.20     4.64   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   14.66R    1.25  
Wigan           34   34  -16      -5.36    27.00    -5.71    48.47     4.61   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.79R   12.95  
Luton           35   33  -28      -2.47    40.12    -6.62    45.24     4.45   -32.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.28R   38.45  
Barnsley        34   31  -17      -8.06    18.37    -5.05    44.58     4.67   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.48R   39.95  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2020, Blackpool 2 1 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            33   61  +25       3.38    64.93     5.52    81.41     4.40    33.58    49.62    70.52    96.30    77.92P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             32   61  +16      12.02    92.85     8.19    78.14     4.67    17.18    16.61    36.24    83.29    45.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   59   +7      13.31    94.58     6.34    73.09     4.42     5.60     2.23     6.67    44.26    12.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           33   58  +19      -1.15    44.26    -2.05    76.62     4.40    24.23    10.84    26.14    78.55    43.18P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           32   56  +16       1.35    56.08    -0.61    75.40     4.64    20.47     7.15    18.53    67.64    31.92P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         33   55  +26      -1.37    43.30     8.01    74.88     4.36    33.68     5.99    17.18    68.97    31.98P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   55  +12       5.45    74.18     3.54    73.63     4.59    15.50     3.32     9.65    51.68    18.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           33   54  +22       1.71    57.61    11.35    73.72     4.38    29.38     3.38    11.17    58.03    22.74P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              33   52  +13      -0.27    48.89     2.60    71.22     4.36    19.39     0.75     3.19    33.08    11.19P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           33   50   +9       3.39    65.52     6.60    66.59     4.35    11.21     0.05     0.24     6.72     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            32   48  +15      -4.27    30.34     2.14    66.78     4.62    18.55     0.06     0.42     9.16     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   46   +1      -0.65    46.97    -3.15    63.58     4.70     2.80     0.00     0.05     2.24     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       32   42  -10       1.42    57.50    -5.36    56.43     4.50   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            32   41   +1      -3.68    33.12    -0.39    57.23     4.56     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   39   -3      -3.35    35.33     3.30    53.38     4.28    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   39   -5      -1.65    42.97     2.52    53.03     4.37    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   38  -11      -2.23    39.73    -6.43    52.99     4.46   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
MK_Dons              33   36  -10      -3.71    33.68    -1.89    47.94     4.25   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.00  
Rochdale             32   33  -17      -2.09    40.66    -2.18    46.88     4.49   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.24R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        33   31  -14      -5.74    24.53    -1.17    44.10     4.22   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.57R    0.00  
Tranmere             32   26  -26      -3.71    32.44    -2.68    35.99     4.17   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.78R    0.13  
Southend             33   16  -47     -13.68     3.22   -18.92    25.73     3.99   -57.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   28.21  
Bolton               31   11  -39      -4.94    26.14   -15.28    21.71     4.38   -50.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   71.66  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2020, Cheltenham 2 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          34   66  +23      10.06    87.06     9.15    87.12     4.73    30.01    52.30    88.70    99.98    91.80P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            34   64  +22       9.52    85.67    10.26    82.52     4.76    25.06    14.53    59.49    99.34    69.30P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           34   63  +12       9.53    85.84     2.02    82.34     4.69    16.27    12.24    53.93    99.39    65.44P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   62  +17       4.34    68.45     0.49    82.97     4.72    23.70    15.93    62.97    99.43    74.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       34   60  +23       7.15    79.16    13.86    78.92     4.67    26.56     4.86    30.40    97.26    46.95P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   55  +14      -0.70    46.98     2.79    71.95     4.53    16.79     0.07     2.16    68.42    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   55  +12       1.08    54.90     3.37    70.92     4.52    13.22     0.04     1.48    58.52    15.11P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        35   55   +6       7.89    81.60     6.94    69.60     4.46     5.38     0.02     0.65    41.16     7.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         35   51   +5      -3.19    36.20    -4.03    67.71     4.51     7.43     0.00     0.22    28.75     7.94P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   46   +1      -3.65    34.30    -1.61    60.86     4.37     0.70     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    35   45   -6       3.21    65.05     2.50    58.55     4.41    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     35   44   +1      -0.97    46.09     5.50    58.49     4.39    -0.02     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     35   44   -1       2.39    61.22     8.66    57.02     4.39    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          34   44   -2       1.18    56.29     3.19    58.21     4.55    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   44  -11      -3.42    35.48   -10.20    58.14     4.49   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   33   43   -1      -1.09    45.14     0.05    60.14     4.81    -1.69     0.00     0.00     2.37     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       34   39   -8      -9.34    15.23   -10.37    56.60     4.77    -6.40     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   39   -9      -1.23    45.32     3.01    51.27     4.34   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.08R    0.08  
Oldham           35   38  -15      -7.33    20.60   -10.81    52.08     4.45   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.09R    0.09  
Macclesfield     35   36  -10      -1.75    42.76     4.06    47.74     4.21   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87R    0.87  
Carlisle         34   36  -17      -5.53    26.41    -9.18    51.54     4.69   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.26R    0.26  
Mansfield        35   35   -8     -15.47     4.13   -11.59    50.68     4.52    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.21  
Morecambe        35   31  -24      -5.03    27.90    -5.69    42.23     4.25   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.34R   13.34  
Stevenage        35   22  -24     -17.42     1.49   -12.38    34.74     4.31   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.15R   85.15  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2020, Aldershot 3 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             35   67  +30       8.11    81.33    13.69    84.84     4.49    34.14    80.44    99.75    85.67P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     36   63  +16       5.22    71.12     3.33    78.37     4.34    18.47    12.83    91.63    31.92P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       34   55  +14       4.86    71.06     8.84    73.65     4.77    17.30     2.28    64.08    15.58P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            34   55   +3       8.95    84.63     3.68    71.22     4.68     2.76     0.88    39.33     7.45P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             35   54  +13      -5.15    28.55    -3.85    72.42     4.55    17.96     1.44    55.93    18.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     35   53   +4       2.68    61.94     0.64    68.09     4.56     4.03     0.08    18.08     3.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       34   51  +14      -7.66    19.61    -3.98    71.53     4.78    20.13     1.35    49.51    17.45P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   51   +9      -2.58    38.96     0.63    69.28     4.52    13.65     0.20    28.44     7.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            36   51   +6      -0.88    46.46     2.52    66.56     4.33     8.72     0.03    10.78     2.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport          36   51   -5       7.37    78.97     4.04    62.13     4.21    -8.98     0.00     1.28     0.20P    0.31R    0.00  
Barnet             33   50   +8      -0.00    50.09     0.89    69.15     4.97     9.95     0.44    27.85     7.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool         35   50   +6       0.79    53.77     4.45    66.04     4.50     7.44     0.02     9.83     1.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             35   49   -7       7.90    80.85     3.77    61.82     4.47   -10.50     0.00     1.36     0.16P    0.72R    0.00  
Aldershot          36   46   -8       3.21    64.55     1.51    58.00     4.15   -10.49     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.91R    0.00  
Torquay            34   45   -5       3.80    66.80     4.73    59.39     4.77    -8.51     0.00     0.68     0.10P    2.68R    0.01  
Sutton_United      34   43   +3      -3.47    35.07     3.12    60.47     4.74     4.52     0.00     1.05     0.20P    1.41R    0.00  
Wrexham            35   42   +0      -9.50    14.35    -5.27    57.42     4.45     0.63     0.00     0.13     0.04P    4.29R    0.00  
Eastleigh          34   42   -9      -1.02    45.92    -3.08    56.40     4.62   -12.12     0.00     0.10     0.01P    9.21R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red          34   41   -3      -4.81    29.67    -2.09    56.14     4.62    -4.82     0.00     0.08     0.02P    9.47R    0.01  
Maidenhead         35   41  -10       1.13    56.01     2.74    54.11     4.46   -13.23     0.00     0.01     0.01P   20.47R    0.08  
Chesterfield       35   40  -10      -7.16    21.61    -8.39    54.71     4.50   -10.73     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.47R    0.06  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   36  -22      -8.00    18.94   -13.08    47.49     4.18   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.87R    2.36  
AFC_Fylde          33   32  -17     -12.21     7.84   -15.09    50.26     4.99   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.27R    1.31  
Chorley            35   26  -30      -4.85    28.79    -3.74    35.83     4.12   -38.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   96.14