Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 24 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 February 2020, Liverpool 3 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        27   79  +47      17.50    99.95     5.76   104.00     3.78    63.94   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   57  +39      -4.59    23.33    -4.12    82.22     3.73    57.49     0.00    98.68    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        27   50  +27       5.00    74.67    15.06    69.82     4.42    34.26     0.00     1.28    83.02    94.94    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          27   44   +8      -1.71    40.52    -5.02    62.74     4.31    13.52     0.00     0.03     8.84    48.21    87.53     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   41  +12      -4.66    26.56    -0.71    59.61     4.40    17.28     0.00     0.00     3.66    22.99    70.77     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   40   +8      -6.50    18.69    -6.52    59.75     4.49    14.96     0.00     0.01     3.73    23.96    70.16     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        27   40   +4       6.27    80.39     9.29    54.14     4.40     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.27     2.93    19.20     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   39   +6       2.19    61.90     6.98    55.04     4.47     7.39     0.00     0.00     0.32     4.35    26.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   37   +3      -6.09    21.24    -5.76    53.77     4.36     5.28     0.00     0.00     0.16     2.01    17.40     0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          27   37   -6       5.98    79.48     3.64    49.55     4.18   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     2.54     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          27   36   -5      -0.54    47.60    -3.03    50.41     4.36    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.45     4.99     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton      27   34  -14       4.79    74.97     0.14    46.76     4.34   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.60R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   33   -8      -0.18    49.84    -1.87    45.81     4.26   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.73R    0.01  
Newcastle        27   31  -17       1.44    58.94    -5.67    43.69     4.25   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.45R    0.06  
Brighton         27   28   -7      -1.74    41.29     4.80    39.04     4.11   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.36R    0.69  
Bournemouth      27   26  -17      -3.80    30.92    -4.50    35.79     3.97   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.05R    4.26  
Aston_Villa      27   25  -18      -1.82    41.25     1.47    34.72     4.10   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.10R    7.53  
West_Ham         27   24  -16      -6.23    19.68    -3.27    37.93     4.40   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.33R    2.40  
Watford          27   24  -19      -4.67    26.07    -4.88    34.97     4.07   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.56R    7.87  
Norwich          27   18  -27      -5.00    23.87    -1.80    27.81     4.06   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.77R   77.18  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 February 2020, Barnsley 1 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       34   66  +26       4.79    70.23     3.51    87.80     4.67    34.29    75.62    93.59    99.96    95.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    34   62  +19       6.09    75.65     5.46    82.47     4.70    25.04    18.20    66.92    98.92    76.32P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   57  +11       4.02    67.16     1.56    74.32     4.73    12.24     1.14     7.62    71.52    23.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   56  +27      -2.86    37.18     8.67    76.96     4.71    33.73     3.70    19.54    89.31    44.06P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   34   56  +12       5.48    73.32     6.12    73.85     4.71    14.12     0.61     5.30    69.33    19.51P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         34   56  +11       4.74    70.33     4.07    73.28     4.76    12.15     0.59     4.87    64.29    17.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    34   53   -1       5.68    73.80    -1.87    69.46     4.78    -0.96     0.05     0.78    29.92     6.22P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   51  +10       1.51    56.98     5.82    68.53     4.82    11.56     0.05     0.66    27.80     6.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   51   +2       1.48    56.66    -2.22    67.40     4.69     2.08     0.03     0.33    17.43     4.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         34   50   +1       0.39    51.89    -3.35    66.89     4.80     1.66     0.01     0.30    16.25     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        34   49   +1       5.13    72.73     4.53    65.63     4.71     1.37     0.00     0.05     9.98     1.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       34   45   +3      -2.91    37.13     0.95    61.25     4.69     2.72     0.00     0.01     2.19     0.49P    0.16R    0.00  
Derby           34   45   -4      -4.35    31.39    -8.09    60.49     4.71    -5.43     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.26P    0.26R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   45   -7       2.47    61.74    -0.70    60.14     4.69    -9.18     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.15P    0.52R    0.00  
QPR             34   43   -7       2.03    59.91     2.50    58.12     4.75    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    1.80R    0.07  
Reading         34   42   +3      -1.12    45.33     7.75    58.68     4.68     3.45     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.08P    1.09R    0.03  
Hull            34   41   -5      -3.58    35.21    -1.30    57.38     4.75    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    2.67R    0.11  
Charlton        34   39   -4      -3.32    35.98     2.34    53.83     4.66    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    9.44R    0.50  
Stoke           34   37  -10      -6.07    24.78    -4.87    52.15     4.65   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.18R    1.76  
Middlesbrough   34   37  -10      -8.87    15.23    -9.57    53.15     4.66   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.01R    0.76  
Huddersfield    34   36  -16      -2.25    40.69    -3.52    49.69     4.57   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.64R    5.30  
Wigan           34   34  -16      -5.04    28.09    -5.23    48.45     4.59   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.95R    9.03  
Barnsley        34   31  -17      -8.22    17.56    -5.26    44.65     4.65   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.76R   29.46  
Luton           34   30  -29      -3.89    33.53    -7.31    42.84     4.64   -35.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.52R   52.99  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 February 2020, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            32   60  +25       4.00    67.85     5.92    81.70     4.64    33.43    49.16    70.71    96.63    77.86P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             31   60  +16      12.26    93.59     8.02    78.57     4.88    17.25    19.09    39.44    85.39    48.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   59   +7      13.23    94.03     6.23    73.05     4.40     5.58     1.83     6.16    46.20    12.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           32   57  +19      -0.59    46.72    -1.90    77.55     4.62    25.04    14.61    33.72    84.07    50.12P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         33   55  +26      -1.44    42.92     7.88    74.86     4.34    33.68     5.11    16.52    70.59    32.01P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       31   54  +12       5.47    74.32     3.00    73.52     4.78    14.83     3.18     9.73    52.50    19.12P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           31   53  +14       1.04    54.95    -0.58    74.29     4.83    19.23     4.61    13.31    59.96    26.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              33   52  +13      -0.44    48.05     2.39    71.26     4.31    19.48     0.55     2.91    35.49    11.88P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   51  +19       1.40    56.61    10.40    72.53     4.54    27.05     1.78     6.93    49.26    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           33   50   +9       3.41    65.88     6.62    66.58     4.34    11.17     0.02     0.20     7.40     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            32   48  +15      -4.04    31.57     2.49    66.72     4.61    18.43     0.05     0.32     9.96     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   46   +1      -0.53    47.82    -2.93    63.54     4.72     2.73     0.01     0.06     2.46     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       32   42  -10       1.45    57.52    -5.37    56.41     4.54   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   32   39   -2      -1.69    42.17     3.26    54.09     4.53    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         34   39   -3      -3.56    34.42     3.02    53.48     4.25    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            31   38   +0      -4.56    29.05    -0.36    56.38     4.76     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   38  -10      -0.77    46.77    -5.43    55.18     4.69   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons              32   36   -8      -3.34    35.00    -1.59    48.80     4.45   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Rochdale             32   33  -17      -1.93    41.79    -1.99    46.87     4.50   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.70R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        33   31  -14      -5.88    23.83    -1.41    44.13     4.23   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.83R    0.00  
Tranmere             31   23  -27      -5.19    25.14    -3.59    33.48     4.31   -39.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.13R    0.84  
Southend             33   16  -47     -13.62     3.16   -18.78    25.68     3.99   -57.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   31.63  
Bolton               30   11  -38      -4.25    29.09   -15.32    22.29     4.52   -50.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   67.53  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 February 2020, Carlisle 2 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          34   66  +23      10.08    87.17     9.19    87.16     4.76    30.08    52.79    89.92    99.98    92.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            34   64  +22       9.43    85.25    10.14    82.57     4.71    25.07    15.24    61.60    99.33    71.01P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           34   63  +12       9.64    85.99     2.17    82.30     4.72    16.23    12.10    55.23    99.25    66.43P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   62  +17       4.31    68.42     0.49    83.01     4.73    23.73    16.42    64.54    99.41    75.11P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       33   57  +22       6.09    76.12    13.65    77.37     4.91    25.69     3.16    21.96    93.21    39.59P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   55  +14      -0.59    47.52     2.98    71.88     4.51    16.71     0.07     2.33    66.52    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   55  +13       1.90    58.51     3.51    72.19     4.72    14.12     0.20     3.46    66.92    18.88P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        35   55   +6       7.91    81.51     6.99    69.61     4.43     5.39     0.01     0.71    39.44     7.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         35   51   +5      -3.06    36.94    -3.88    67.65     4.50     7.35     0.00     0.24    26.91     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   46   +1      -3.67    34.31    -1.69    60.82     4.39     0.64     0.00     0.00     2.13     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    35   45   -6       3.29    65.63     2.65    58.51     4.43    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     35   44   +1      -0.93    46.25     5.54    58.44     4.41    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Salford_City     35   44   -1       2.51    61.71     8.84    56.94     4.37    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          35   44  -11      -3.53    35.31   -10.41    58.26     4.51   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   32   43   +1      -0.30    48.96     1.18    61.67     5.06     0.60     0.00     0.01     4.54     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   41   -4       0.25    51.85     2.03    56.31     4.75    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       34   39   -8      -9.32    15.15   -10.35    56.61     4.72    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.01R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    35   39   -9      -1.31    45.23     2.83    51.33     4.33   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.08  
Oldham           35   38  -15      -7.12    21.12   -10.58    52.03     4.43   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.11  
Macclesfield     35   36  -10      -1.80    42.39     4.09    47.71     4.19   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.86  
Carlisle         34   36  -17      -5.51    26.68    -9.17    51.56     4.65   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.21R    0.21  
Mansfield        35   35   -8     -15.72     3.92   -11.98    50.73     4.51    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.21  
Morecambe        35   31  -24      -5.09    27.89    -5.85    42.23     4.23   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.98R   12.98  
Stevenage        35   22  -24     -17.43     1.45   -12.37    34.73     4.31   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.53R   85.53  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 February 2020, Boreham_Wood 1 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             35   67  +30       8.31    82.04    13.93    84.85     4.49    34.13    79.09    99.70    84.46P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     36   63  +16       5.08    70.73     3.10    78.44     4.33    18.60    12.54    91.51    31.97P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       33   55  +15       5.96    75.30     9.37    75.30     4.95    18.68     4.51    74.27    19.54P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            34   55   +3       9.15    85.23     4.02    71.10     4.67     2.63     0.74    37.05     6.95P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             35   54  +13      -5.03    29.09    -3.67    72.43     4.54    18.00     1.32    54.67    17.62P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     35   53   +4       2.52    61.05     0.41    68.11     4.53     4.09     0.08    17.31     3.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County       34   51  +14      -7.59    19.95    -3.88    71.50     4.77    20.08     1.14    47.76    16.93P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   51   +9      -2.56    38.86     0.72    69.31     4.53    13.69     0.15    27.55     7.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            36   51   +6      -0.76    46.92     2.74    66.46     4.33     8.54     0.01     9.94     2.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport          36   51   -5       7.51    79.22     4.22    62.12     4.23    -9.03     0.00     1.19     0.18P    0.24R    0.00  
Barnet             33   50   +8       0.12    50.96     1.07    69.10     4.98     9.89     0.40    26.37     6.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         35   50   +6       0.91    54.46     4.66    66.00     4.51     7.39     0.01     9.41     1.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             35   49   -7       7.90    80.59     3.78    61.81     4.46   -10.53     0.00     1.22     0.18P    0.62R    0.00  
Torquay            34   45   -5       3.66    66.02     4.53    59.43     4.78    -8.40     0.00     0.65     0.10P    2.49R    0.00  
Sutton_United      34   43   +3      -3.87    33.51     2.55    60.54     4.77     4.65     0.00     1.04     0.20P    1.32R    0.00  
Aldershot          35   43   -9       1.86    59.23     0.84    56.09     4.36   -11.85     0.00     0.03     0.00     9.57R    0.01  
Wrexham            35   42   +0      -9.37    14.92    -5.12    57.39     4.47     0.59     0.00     0.11     0.03P    4.12R    0.00  
Eastleigh          34   42   -9      -1.18    45.28    -3.35    56.49     4.62   -12.02     0.00     0.09     0.02P    8.04R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          34   41   -3      -4.83    29.43    -2.14    56.15     4.64    -4.82     0.00     0.07     0.02P    8.98R    0.01  
Maidenhead         34   41   -8       1.83    59.14     3.62    55.84     4.71   -10.62     0.00     0.04     0.00P   11.48R    0.04  
Chesterfield       35   40  -10      -7.09    21.83    -8.26    54.66     4.51   -10.81     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.74R    0.04  
Ebbsfleet_United   35   33  -24      -9.11    15.19   -14.39    45.58     4.41   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.95R    5.20  
AFC_Fylde          33   32  -17     -12.39     7.74   -15.38    50.37     5.02   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.51R    1.07  
Chorley            35   26  -30      -4.70    29.63    -3.38    35.71     4.11   -38.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   93.62