Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 20 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 February 2020, Man_City 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 26 76 +46 16.87 99.94 6.75 103.67 3.89 65.24 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 54 +38 -5.83 17.49 -4.68 81.10 4.02 57.24 0.01 95.26 99.94 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 26 50 +28 5.86 78.42 15.23 70.67 4.67 34.45 0.00 4.68 86.09 96.29 99.76 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 26 41 +7 -2.85 34.69 -5.19 60.95 4.56 12.20 0.00 0.03 4.48 34.32 79.27 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 40 +9 -5.44 22.06 -5.89 61.18 4.71 16.00 0.00 0.03 6.40 39.99 80.41 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 39 +4 6.97 83.37 9.74 54.82 4.63 3.28 0.00 0.00 0.44 4.88 27.08 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 26 38 +9 -4.97 24.80 -1.69 58.50 4.59 14.99 0.00 0.00 2.33 18.40 64.22 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 26 36 +3 1.86 60.64 5.98 53.84 4.69 5.03 0.00 0.00 0.19 3.32 22.28 0.01R 0.00 Everton 26 36 -4 0.36 51.99 -2.84 51.46 4.61 -5.65 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.11 9.66 0.02R 0.00 Arsenal 26 34 +2 -7.45 15.88 -6.33 52.51 4.59 4.84 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.57 14.41 0.03R 0.00 Burnley 26 34 -9 5.29 77.39 2.03 47.82 4.41 -13.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.68 0.50R 0.01 Southampton 26 31 -16 3.97 72.08 -0.45 45.17 4.60 -20.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.61 3.29R 0.10 Newcastle 26 31 -16 2.37 64.01 -5.25 44.88 4.43 -20.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.29 3.33R 0.07 Crystal_Palace 26 30 -9 -1.46 42.45 -2.30 44.27 4.48 -12.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33 3.30R 0.05 Brighton 26 27 -7 -1.45 42.64 4.73 39.06 4.31 -13.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 20.47R 1.48 Bournemouth 26 26 -14 -3.42 32.60 -3.10 37.27 4.25 -23.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.46R 3.97 Aston_Villa 26 25 -16 -1.17 44.97 2.19 36.10 4.38 -25.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.71R 7.26 West_Ham 26 24 -15 -5.52 22.62 -3.82 38.01 4.49 -19.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.94R 4.12 Watford 26 24 -16 -4.70 25.89 -4.22 35.96 4.28 -23.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.70R 8.73 Norwich 26 18 -24 -4.82 24.61 -0.89 28.86 4.27 -34.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.25R 74.22Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2020, Birmingham 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 33 63 +23 4.27 68.69 2.28 86.04 4.96 31.10 66.43 86.58 99.67 90.86P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 33 59 +18 4.95 71.22 5.13 81.26 4.90 24.62 19.24 55.92 97.16 68.04P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 33 56 +11 4.05 67.49 0.99 74.82 5.01 12.40 2.59 11.04 70.75 25.45P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 33 55 +27 -2.14 39.97 9.22 77.81 4.89 34.48 8.54 28.53 89.83 49.65P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 55 +12 5.81 74.71 6.07 74.81 4.96 14.98 1.90 9.58 72.29 24.01P 0.00 0.00 Preston 33 53 +10 3.53 65.83 3.70 71.93 4.97 11.60 0.68 3.81 50.24 14.18P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 33 53 +2 5.98 75.53 -0.47 70.85 4.99 2.06 0.34 2.11 38.21 8.99P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 33 50 +10 1.86 58.51 5.76 68.42 4.99 10.81 0.15 0.99 25.07 6.02P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 33 50 +3 1.16 55.24 -2.27 68.47 5.04 3.94 0.09 0.91 23.83 6.12P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 33 49 +2 6.04 76.00 4.92 67.13 4.94 2.54 0.02 0.30 15.43 2.96P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 33 48 +0 0.90 54.49 -2.71 65.91 4.93 0.26 0.02 0.21 10.67 2.38P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 33 44 +3 -2.31 39.74 1.23 61.54 4.93 2.62 0.00 0.01 2.37 0.49P 0.15R 0.00 Derby 33 44 -4 -4.03 32.42 -8.18 61.00 4.96 -5.25 0.00 0.00 1.69 0.37P 0.23R 0.00 Birmingham 33 44 -7 3.07 64.50 -0.57 60.49 4.90 -9.14 0.00 0.00 1.06 0.17P 0.41R 0.01 Reading 33 42 +4 -0.18 49.69 8.21 59.62 4.88 3.81 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.16P 0.66R 0.01 QPR 33 42 -7 2.61 62.37 3.08 57.81 4.92 -10.50 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.04P 1.94R 0.08 Hull 33 41 -4 -2.97 37.12 -1.53 58.63 4.96 -4.56 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.10P 1.30R 0.05 Middlesbrough 33 37 -9 -7.90 17.69 -9.07 54.73 4.89 -8.82 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 6.44R 0.41 Charlton 33 36 -6 -4.21 32.00 1.39 52.43 4.90 -8.08 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 14.23R 1.27 Huddersfield 33 36 -14 -1.87 42.23 -3.17 50.89 4.77 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 25.06R 2.92 Stoke 33 34 -12 -6.95 21.28 -5.69 50.14 4.89 -14.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.94R 4.09 Wigan 33 31 -17 -6.39 22.68 -5.70 46.73 4.84 -20.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.62R 14.59 Luton 33 30 -27 -3.28 35.77 -6.77 44.11 4.89 -33.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.97R 35.30 Barnsley 33 28 -18 -9.61 13.02 -5.83 42.89 4.89 -22.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.03R 41.26League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 February 2020, Oxford_Utd 5 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Rotherham 31 57 +24 2.60 62.05 5.40 80.33 4.89 32.80 43.34 63.74 94.00 72.35P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 30 57 +15 11.04 91.86 7.62 77.04 5.12 16.37 16.14 32.66 78.35 41.51P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 32 56 +5 12.81 93.83 6.01 72.05 4.65 4.48 1.93 5.82 40.72 10.91P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 33 55 +26 -1.51 42.83 7.82 74.92 4.35 33.71 7.37 20.40 73.75 35.83P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 31 54 +16 -0.75 45.80 -2.61 76.31 4.84 22.57 12.80 28.44 77.74 44.19P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 30 53 +15 1.82 58.83 -0.48 75.64 5.04 20.21 10.80 24.45 71.60 36.94P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 32 52 +14 0.73 53.29 3.02 73.13 4.58 21.23 3.19 10.32 55.39 22.45P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 30 51 +11 4.40 70.54 2.87 71.81 5.03 13.68 2.71 7.70 41.75 15.12P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 32 49 +9 3.51 66.39 6.32 66.87 4.60 11.10 0.14 0.62 10.63 2.56P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 31 48 +18 0.27 51.46 10.21 70.28 4.81 25.11 1.15 4.14 34.07 11.20P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 31 48 +16 -3.12 35.15 2.85 68.32 4.84 19.78 0.42 1.65 19.71 6.39P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 31 43 +0 -1.69 42.03 -3.18 62.21 4.94 2.15 0.01 0.05 1.94 0.48P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 31 42 -7 1.51 57.86 -4.37 57.34 4.70 -10.75 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 31 39 -1 -0.77 47.05 3.51 55.34 4.79 -3.46 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.03R 0.00 Lincoln_City 33 38 -3 -3.30 35.62 2.94 54.01 4.54 -1.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.04R 0.00 Blackpool 30 37 +0 -4.40 29.13 -0.53 56.75 5.01 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 0.02R 0.00 Shrewsbury 30 35 -11 -2.11 40.09 -5.86 53.27 4.90 -12.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.14R 0.00 MK_Dons 31 33 -9 -4.33 30.33 -1.48 47.70 4.66 -14.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.48R 0.00 Rochdale 31 33 -16 -0.99 46.12 -1.67 48.09 4.72 -20.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.67R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 32 30 -14 -5.59 24.57 -1.30 44.53 4.48 -16.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.14R 0.00 Tranmere 30 23 -25 -4.77 27.00 -3.26 34.36 4.52 -37.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.73R 1.20 Southend 32 16 -46 -12.72 4.07 -18.86 26.86 4.21 -56.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.86R 30.31 Bolton 29 11 -37 -3.42 32.84 -14.99 23.17 4.74 -50.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.90R 68.49 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 February 2020, Macclesfield 1 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 33 63 +21 9.29 85.58 8.49 86.01 4.93 28.72 40.29 84.95 99.93 89.04P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 33 63 +14 9.97 87.37 2.72 83.88 4.96 18.53 21.21 67.97 99.59 76.36P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 33 61 +20 8.66 84.15 9.45 81.50 4.95 23.93 11.66 52.32 98.82 63.86P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 33 61 +17 4.96 71.10 0.81 84.15 4.96 24.90 24.66 73.36 99.62 81.47P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 32 54 +21 4.94 71.89 13.38 75.91 5.12 24.95 1.97 15.89 89.45 34.33P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 34 54 +6 8.24 83.00 6.89 69.76 4.66 5.14 0.02 0.99 45.43 8.81P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 34 52 +13 -1.84 41.59 2.53 70.38 4.74 15.87 0.04 1.59 56.86 16.79P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 33 52 +11 1.15 55.28 2.78 70.45 4.93 11.92 0.11 2.17 54.76 14.73P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 34 51 +6 -2.16 40.48 -3.49 69.10 4.71 8.51 0.03 0.74 42.44 11.99P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 34 46 +2 -2.78 38.04 -1.32 62.13 4.64 1.53 0.00 0.01 5.56 1.21P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 34 44 +0 3.34 65.45 9.00 58.22 4.60 -3.46 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.16P 0.00R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 34 44 -6 3.45 66.31 2.40 58.16 4.61 -9.21 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 34 43 -11 -3.12 36.56 -10.37 58.75 4.71 -11.85 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.18P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 34 41 -1 -1.57 43.41 5.05 56.92 4.61 -1.94 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.06P 0.01R 0.01 Grimsby 32 41 -2 0.98 55.55 2.99 57.25 4.93 -6.18 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.12P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 31 40 +0 -1.45 43.29 0.81 59.88 5.21 -0.56 0.00 0.00 3.39 0.72P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 34 38 -9 -0.90 46.94 2.82 51.73 4.59 -13.34 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.20R 0.20 Oldham 34 37 -15 -6.87 21.78 -10.73 52.39 4.67 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.23R 0.23 Macclesfield 34 36 -8 -1.34 44.48 4.71 48.50 4.39 -13.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.08R 1.08 Scunthorpe 33 36 -9 -10.30 12.30 -10.31 54.95 5.00 -7.41 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 0.09R 0.09 Mansfield 34 35 -7 -14.82 4.58 -11.61 51.91 4.72 -6.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.23R 0.23 Carlisle 33 35 -17 -5.08 27.94 -9.21 52.45 4.87 -17.53 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.36R 0.36 Morecambe 34 30 -24 -4.87 28.42 -6.22 42.12 4.42 -30.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.24R 19.24 Stevenage 34 22 -22 -16.90 1.68 -11.58 36.02 4.55 -25.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.55R 78.55National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 February 2020, Barnet 1 1 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 34 66 +30 8.77 83.80 14.16 85.31 4.70 34.27 81.06 99.61 85.85P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 35 60 +13 4.95 70.49 2.44 76.91 4.56 15.72 7.40 80.92 24.12P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 33 55 +4 10.08 87.45 4.37 72.66 4.91 3.83 1.66 46.40 8.91P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 34 54 +14 -4.15 32.24 -3.41 73.96 4.80 19.21 2.96 62.47 21.34P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 32 52 +14 4.58 70.28 8.77 73.65 5.20 17.69 2.80 58.59 14.89P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 33 51 +16 -7.00 21.18 -3.07 73.51 4.96 23.01 3.14 60.56 22.81P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 34 51 +11 -2.03 41.13 1.48 71.09 4.70 16.31 0.59 38.51 10.64P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 35 51 +8 -0.13 49.59 3.54 68.25 4.57 11.22 0.09 17.43 3.75P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 34 50 +0 2.69 62.08 -0.94 66.23 4.76 -0.27 0.05 8.39 1.61P 0.03R 0.00 Stockport 35 50 -5 7.78 80.29 4.09 62.33 4.46 -9.26 0.00 1.34 0.19P 0.27R 0.00 Woking 34 48 -7 8.39 82.21 4.02 62.37 4.74 -10.26 0.00 1.78 0.28P 0.49R 0.00 Barnet 32 47 +7 -0.98 45.55 0.80 67.96 5.18 9.57 0.24 18.12 4.49P 0.03R 0.00 Hartlepool 34 47 +4 -0.35 49.12 3.24 63.86 4.73 4.64 0.01 3.97 0.75P 0.13R 0.00 Sutton_United 33 42 +3 -3.48 34.81 2.56 60.75 5.00 4.40 0.00 1.23 0.25P 1.18R 0.00 Torquay 33 42 -6 2.79 62.79 4.88 57.56 4.97 -9.87 0.00 0.23 0.03P 5.95R 0.03 Eastleigh 33 42 -6 -0.97 46.23 -2.20 57.70 4.85 -9.27 0.00 0.19 0.04P 5.09R 0.02 Maidenhead 33 41 -7 3.03 64.62 4.28 57.43 4.97 -9.29 0.00 0.17 0.02P 6.84R 0.01 Aldershot 34 40 -10 0.38 52.55 -0.02 54.07 4.57 -13.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.91R 0.10 Wrexham 34 39 -2 -10.33 12.13 -6.21 55.35 4.71 -2.05 0.00 0.05 0.01P 9.74R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 33 38 -5 -5.82 25.29 -3.16 54.21 4.86 -7.22 0.00 0.03 0.01P 17.04R 0.12 Chesterfield 34 37 -14 -7.09 21.66 -9.79 53.04 4.71 -14.79 0.00 0.00 0.00P 25.32R 0.41 Ebbsfleet_United 34 33 -20 -9.12 15.14 -12.60 46.91 4.65 -24.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.33R 4.81 AFC_Fylde 32 32 -13 -12.66 6.94 -13.92 52.02 5.23 -11.83 0.00 0.01 0.00P 32.92R 1.04 Chorley 34 26 -29 -3.93 32.70 -3.29 36.58 4.33 -38.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.74R 93.41