Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 February 2020, Chelsea 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        26   76  +46      16.79    99.91     6.60   103.71     3.89    65.37   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   51  +36      -6.26    15.46    -4.73    80.76     4.14    58.01     0.00    94.16    99.88    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   50  +28       5.74    78.35    15.06    70.76     4.66    34.54     0.00     5.71    86.49    96.65    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          26   41   +7      -3.01    33.99    -5.45    60.97     4.58    12.24     0.00     0.07     4.51    34.49    79.40     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        26   40   +9      -5.61    21.78    -6.18    61.21     4.73    16.08     0.00     0.04     6.20    40.01    80.40     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        26   39   +4       6.97    83.29     9.76    54.84     4.63     3.31     0.00     0.00     0.39     4.92    27.43     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   38   +9      -4.99    24.74    -1.62    58.46     4.60    14.94     0.00     0.02     2.23    18.15    63.72     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    26   36   +3       1.84    60.49     5.99    53.80     4.69     4.99     0.00     0.00     0.17     3.08    21.98     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          26   36   -4       0.29    51.75    -2.86    51.49     4.59    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.05     9.81     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal          26   34   +2      -7.30    16.39    -6.15    52.52     4.63     4.83     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.59    14.74     0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          26   34   -9       5.37    77.99     2.23    47.81     4.42   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.65     0.47R    0.01  
Southampton      26   31  -16       4.01    72.26    -0.39    45.15     4.56   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.51     3.25R    0.13  
Newcastle        26   31  -16       2.38    63.93    -5.19    44.91     4.44   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     3.29R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   26   30   -9      -1.59    41.86    -2.42    44.28     4.48   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30     3.46R    0.06  
Brighton         26   27   -7      -1.37    43.34     4.93    39.02     4.28   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    20.61R    1.62  
Bournemouth      26   26  -14      -3.34    32.95    -2.99    37.26     4.23   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.74R    3.94  
Aston_Villa      26   25  -16      -1.08    45.33     2.43    36.07     4.38   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.27R    7.54  
West_Ham         25   24  -13      -5.18    23.88    -3.99    38.31     4.59   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    30.26R    3.96  
Watford          26   24  -16      -4.64    25.95    -4.07    35.90     4.28   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.44R    8.92  
Norwich          26   18  -24      -4.87    24.36    -0.94    28.89     4.30   -34.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.15R   73.74  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2020, Birmingham 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       33   63  +23       4.35    68.73     2.37    86.04     4.97    31.08    66.66    86.55    99.67    90.79P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    33   59  +18       4.97    71.40     5.12    81.27     4.90    24.61    19.26    56.08    97.07    68.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   56  +11       4.42    68.73     1.52    74.64     5.02    12.17     2.42    10.47    69.76    24.35P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   55  +27      -2.09    40.22     9.30    77.82     4.95    34.47     8.51    28.87    89.72    49.87P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   33   55  +12       6.02    75.48     6.40    74.78     4.94    14.92     1.84     9.54    71.93    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         33   53  +10       3.56    66.05     3.77    71.88     4.98    11.52     0.70     3.91    50.02    14.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    33   53   +2       5.97    75.28    -0.52    70.90     4.98     2.11     0.33     2.02    38.65     9.10P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   50  +10       1.74    58.06     5.57    68.41     4.99    10.82     0.14     0.97    24.98     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         33   50   +3       0.93    54.12    -2.62    68.58     5.09     4.15     0.10     1.06    24.71     6.57P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        33   49   +2       6.31    77.13     5.27    67.06     4.94     2.44     0.02     0.27    15.19     2.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         33   48   +0       0.67    53.38    -3.05    66.01     4.93     0.42     0.02     0.21    11.05     2.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       33   44   +3      -2.35    39.87     1.14    61.61     4.91     2.71     0.00     0.01     2.44     0.55P    0.16R    0.00  
Derby           33   44   -4      -4.15    31.82    -8.29    61.00     4.99    -5.23     0.00     0.00     1.78     0.36P    0.21R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   44   -7       2.89    63.47    -0.76    60.53     4.90    -9.08     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.17P    0.38R    0.00  
Reading         33   42   +4      -0.33    48.95     7.98    59.71     4.91     3.92     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.23P    0.60R    0.01  
QPR             33   42   -7       2.36    61.30     2.62    57.94     4.96   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    1.99R    0.10  
Hull            33   41   -4      -2.76    38.29    -1.24    58.55     4.97    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    1.40R    0.06  
Middlesbrough   33   37   -9      -7.96    17.49    -9.17    54.74     4.87    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.22R    0.37  
Charlton        33   36   -6      -3.96    32.78     1.84    52.30     4.87    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   14.67R    1.34  
Huddersfield    33   36  -14      -1.94    41.91    -3.25    50.85     4.81   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.17R    2.90  
Stoke           33   34  -12      -7.11    20.30    -5.95    50.18     4.88   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.24R    4.28  
Wigan           33   31  -17      -6.36    22.60    -5.69    46.70     4.84   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.81R   14.88  
Luton           33   30  -27      -3.34    35.70    -6.75    44.09     4.85   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.05R   34.79  
Barnsley        33   28  -18      -9.49    13.56    -5.61    42.84     4.88   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.09R   41.27  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 February 2020, Oxford_Utd 5 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            31   57  +24       2.53    61.41     5.09    80.39     4.90    32.92    43.51    63.75    93.97    72.44P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             30   57  +15      10.85    91.42     7.37    77.10     5.14    16.48    16.28    33.02    78.65    42.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   56   +5      12.86    94.07     6.08    72.02     4.61     4.44     1.89     5.72    40.27    10.54P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         33   55  +26      -1.41    43.44     7.99    74.88     4.34    33.67     7.03    19.85    73.34    35.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           31   54  +16      -0.83    45.83    -2.71    76.33     4.85    22.61    12.94    28.56    77.69    44.27P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           30   53  +15       1.68    58.14    -0.69    75.72     5.05    20.32    10.95    24.98    72.21    37.59P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              32   52  +14       0.76    53.40     3.14    73.04     4.60    21.11     3.06     9.84    54.52    21.93P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       30   51  +11       4.25    70.03     2.68    71.91     5.01    13.82     2.68     7.72    42.31    15.20P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           32   49   +9       3.52    66.66     6.31    66.89     4.59    11.13     0.11     0.55    10.47     2.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           31   48  +18       0.02    50.00     9.82    70.32     4.80    25.17     1.09     4.15    34.13    11.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            31   48  +16      -3.04    35.51     2.93    68.36     4.88    19.82     0.46     1.81    20.25     6.56P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        31   43   +0      -1.75    41.68    -3.29    62.20     4.93     2.15     0.01     0.05     1.90     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       31   42   -7       1.46    57.65    -4.38    57.40     4.70   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   31   39   -1      -0.81    46.56     3.49    55.31     4.77    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         33   38   -3      -3.00    36.94     3.41    53.89     4.52    -1.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool            30   37   +0      -4.23    30.47    -0.29    56.69     4.98     0.86     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   35  -11      -2.09    40.18    -5.84    53.29     4.91   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.11R    0.00  
MK_Dons              31   33   -9      -4.47    29.77    -1.72    47.73     4.69   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.41R    0.00  
Rochdale             31   33  -16      -0.86    46.51    -1.50    48.09     4.75   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.70R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        32   30  -14      -5.51    25.11    -1.20    44.53     4.48   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.07R    0.00  
Tranmere             30   23  -25      -4.69    27.57    -3.17    34.31     4.54   -37.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.86R    1.13  
Southend             32   16  -46     -12.65     4.21   -18.65    26.78     4.21   -56.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   30.70  
Bolton               29   11  -37      -3.34    33.31   -14.87    23.14     4.72   -50.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   68.16  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 February 2020, Macclesfield 1 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          33   63  +21       9.27    85.83     8.47    86.05     4.93    28.74    41.12    84.97    99.93    89.05P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           33   63  +14      10.11    87.90     2.93    83.82     4.95    18.47    20.71    67.94    99.62    76.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            33   61  +20       8.91    84.48     9.82    81.41     4.94    23.79    11.13    51.88    98.74    63.42P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         33   61  +17       4.83    70.70     0.62    84.20     4.99    24.96    24.93    73.70    99.61    81.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       32   54  +21       5.01    72.19    13.45    75.89     5.15    24.94     1.90    16.04    89.00    34.31P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        34   54   +6       8.06    82.38     6.64    69.81     4.64     5.19     0.03     0.97    45.66     8.91P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   52  +13      -1.73    42.18     2.65    70.36     4.75    15.86     0.05     1.60    56.45    16.70P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      33   52  +11       1.08    55.03     2.67    70.44     4.97    11.90     0.11     2.10    55.12    14.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         34   51   +6      -2.33    39.75    -3.72    69.15     4.72     8.54     0.02     0.78    42.66    12.24P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     34   46   +2      -2.88    37.33    -1.40    62.24     4.66     1.69     0.00     0.01     5.73     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     34   44   +0       3.26    65.26     8.92    58.20     4.59    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    34   44   -6       3.35    65.95     2.26    58.21     4.56    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          34   43  -11      -3.11    36.53   -10.41    58.72     4.68   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     34   41   -1      -1.65    43.21     4.93    56.92     4.61    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P    0.01R    0.01  
Grimsby          32   41   -2       0.83    54.61     2.75    57.27     4.95    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.13P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   31   40   +0      -1.54    42.91     0.73    59.81     5.24    -0.59     0.00     0.01     3.32     0.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   38   -9      -0.71    47.85     3.12    51.63     4.59   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.23R    0.23  
Oldham           34   37  -15      -6.89    21.55   -10.86    52.43     4.69   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.20R    0.20  
Macclesfield     34   36   -8      -1.31    44.50     4.76    48.50     4.39   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.11R    1.11  
Scunthorpe       33   36   -9     -10.19    12.60   -10.15    54.95     4.98    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    0.07R    0.07  
Mansfield        34   35   -7     -14.70     4.51   -11.44    51.89     4.75    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.29R    0.29  
Carlisle         33   35  -17      -5.08    27.79    -9.22    52.51     4.90   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.35R    0.35  
Morecambe        34   30  -24      -4.81    28.63    -6.06    42.13     4.46   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.44R   19.44  
Stevenage        34   22  -22     -16.83     1.65   -11.46    35.98     4.55   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.30R   78.30  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 February 2020, Barnet 1 1 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             34   66  +30       8.76    83.75    14.15    85.29     4.74    34.20    80.53    99.55    85.31P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     35   60  +13       4.90    70.15     2.34    76.94     4.54    15.77     7.60    81.37    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            33   55   +4      10.07    87.75     4.37    72.70     4.91     3.92     1.75    46.96     9.13P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             34   54  +14      -4.20    31.94    -3.54    73.97     4.81    19.25     3.09    62.64    21.59P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       32   52  +14       4.50    69.97     8.65    73.68     5.20    17.73     2.85    58.74    14.87P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       33   51  +16      -7.07    21.19    -3.15    73.52     4.97    23.04     3.15    60.39    22.87P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     34   51  +11      -1.89    41.83     1.72    71.06     4.73    16.26     0.60    38.15    10.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            35   51   +8       0.05    50.30     3.83    68.20     4.55    11.15     0.11    17.07     3.61P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     34   50   +0       2.73    62.32    -0.92    66.23     4.76    -0.27     0.04     8.39     1.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport          35   50   -5       7.61    79.83     3.80    62.40     4.49    -9.19     0.00     1.39     0.21P    0.25R    0.00  
Woking             34   48   -7       8.25    82.13     3.77    62.35     4.70   -10.25     0.00     1.64     0.27P    0.47R    0.00  
Barnet             32   47   +7      -0.90    45.87     0.96    67.96     5.17     9.58     0.26    18.15     4.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool         34   47   +4      -0.17    49.80     3.50    63.77     4.72     4.48     0.01     3.68     0.73P    0.13R    0.00  
Sutton_United      33   42   +3      -3.47    34.76     2.53    60.79     4.95     4.46     0.00     1.19     0.28P    1.09R    0.00  
Torquay            33   42   -6       2.63    62.27     4.56    57.62     5.01    -9.76     0.00     0.24     0.05P    5.87R    0.03  
Eastleigh          33   42   -6      -0.99    46.14    -2.25    57.70     4.84    -9.31     0.00     0.21     0.05P    4.91R    0.02  
Maidenhead         33   41   -7       2.79    63.62     3.91    57.54     4.94    -9.11     0.00     0.16     0.02P    6.33R    0.04  
Aldershot          34   40  -10       0.45    53.33     0.14    54.01     4.57   -13.51     0.00     0.01     0.00P   19.20R    0.13  
Wrexham            34   39   -2     -10.33    11.91    -6.15    55.33     4.68    -2.09     0.00     0.04     0.02P    9.54R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red          33   38   -5      -5.72    25.49    -3.00    54.16     4.84    -7.31     0.00     0.02     0.01P   17.20R    0.16  
Chesterfield       34   37  -14      -7.24    20.92    -9.98    53.04     4.73   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.67R    0.42  
Ebbsfleet_United   34   33  -20      -9.11    14.86   -12.60    46.97     4.65   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.78R    4.85  
AFC_Fylde          32   32  -13     -12.28     7.37   -13.37    51.90     5.24   -12.04     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.82R    1.10  
Chorley            34   26  -29      -3.99    32.59    -3.29    36.65     4.35   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.70R   93.22