Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 17 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 February 2020, Chelsea 0 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        26   76  +46      16.82    99.93     6.58   103.71     3.87    65.37   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   51  +36      -6.29    15.53    -4.69    80.76     4.12    57.89     0.00    94.37    99.88    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   50  +28       5.93    78.82    15.31    70.66     4.66    34.40     0.00     5.54    86.02    96.40    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          26   41   +7      -2.94    34.54    -5.35    60.97     4.59    12.21     0.00     0.03     4.58    34.30    79.43     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        26   40   +9      -5.62    21.59    -6.16    61.26     4.74    16.17     0.00     0.04     6.61    40.34    80.77     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        26   39   +4       6.94    83.26     9.68    54.82     4.62     3.31     0.00     0.00     0.44     4.70    27.16     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   38   +9      -4.92    25.21    -1.58    58.48     4.58    14.95     0.00     0.01     2.19    18.47    63.85     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    26   36   +3       1.85    60.70     6.00    53.76     4.70     4.93     0.00     0.00     0.11     3.03    21.92     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          26   36   -4       0.31    52.04    -2.86    51.50     4.59    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.05     9.72     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal          26   34   +2      -7.36    16.20    -6.21    52.51     4.60     4.86     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.61    14.64     0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          26   34   -9       5.36    77.87     2.21    47.79     4.39   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.55     0.56R    0.01  
Southampton      26   31  -16       3.88    71.56    -0.54    45.23     4.60   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.55     3.22R    0.13  
Newcastle        26   31  -16       2.48    64.61    -5.04    44.79     4.41   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     3.42R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace   26   30   -9      -1.41    42.98    -2.19    44.25     4.48   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     3.56R    0.07  
Brighton         26   27   -7      -1.52    42.49     4.68    39.07     4.31   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    20.56R    1.60  
Bournemouth      26   26  -14      -3.53    31.89    -3.30    37.33     4.26   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.13R    3.73  
Aston_Villa      26   25  -16      -1.15    44.88     2.32    36.10     4.40   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.11R    7.39  
West_Ham         25   24  -13      -5.28    23.62    -4.16    38.33     4.58   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    30.43R    3.70  
Watford          26   24  -16      -4.58    26.51    -3.98    35.92     4.32   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.56R    9.02  
Norwich          26   18  -24      -4.75    24.86    -0.73    28.84     4.29   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.39R   74.28  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2020, Birmingham 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       33   63  +23       4.21    67.94     2.27    86.10     4.95    31.16    66.68    86.84    99.71    90.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    33   59  +18       4.96    71.53     5.15    81.27     4.89    24.62    19.37    56.06    97.28    67.94P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   56  +11       4.20    68.24     1.23    74.73     5.02    12.29     2.51    10.84    70.08    25.18P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   55  +27      -2.30    39.16     9.04    77.81     4.92    34.46     8.49    28.49    89.93    49.83P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   33   55  +12       6.30    76.74     6.79    74.67     4.94    14.79     1.70     9.23    71.55    23.14P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         33   53  +10       3.51    65.59     3.64    71.88     4.97    11.52     0.65     3.82    49.98    14.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    33   53   +2       5.96    75.25    -0.53    70.96     5.02     2.17     0.37     2.30    39.06     9.45P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   50  +10       1.91    58.87     5.78    68.37     5.00    10.75     0.11     0.97    24.97     6.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         33   50   +3       0.91    54.30    -2.65    68.57     5.06     4.10     0.09     0.97    24.51     6.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall        33   49   +2       6.27    77.38     5.23    67.08     4.95     2.47     0.02     0.25    15.17     2.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         33   48   +0       0.90    54.11    -2.74    65.93     4.93     0.30     0.02     0.20    10.74     2.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       33   44   +3      -2.17    40.53     1.42    61.56     4.93     2.63     0.00     0.01     2.38     0.51P    0.13R    0.00  
Derby           33   44   -4      -4.00    32.79    -8.14    60.96     4.95    -5.29     0.00     0.01     1.71     0.42P    0.23R    0.01  
Birmingham      33   44   -7       3.08    64.37    -0.56    60.48     4.88    -9.15     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.21P    0.46R    0.00  
Reading         33   42   +4      -0.34    48.99     7.98    59.72     4.87     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.19P    0.60R    0.01  
QPR             33   42   -7       2.29    61.05     2.52    57.96     4.94   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    1.91R    0.07  
Hull            33   41   -4      -3.04    36.67    -1.62    58.61     4.97    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.08P    1.37R    0.04  
Middlesbrough   33   37   -9      -8.02    17.05    -9.24    54.82     4.90    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.15R    0.31  
Charlton        33   36   -6      -3.93    33.18     1.88    52.29     4.88    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.76R    1.33  
Huddersfield    33   36  -14      -1.68    43.16    -2.85    50.81     4.80   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.52R    3.05  
Stoke           33   34  -12      -7.22    20.30    -6.10    50.18     4.88   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.29R    4.13  
Wigan           33   31  -17      -6.44    22.07    -5.81    46.76     4.84   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.16R   14.30  
Luton           33   30  -27      -3.54    34.48    -7.12    44.17     4.87   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.87R   34.70  
Barnsley        33   28  -18      -9.50    13.52    -5.59    42.75     4.86   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.53R   42.04  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2020, Accrington_Stanley 4 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            31   57  +24       2.72    62.61     5.48    80.33     4.91    32.78    43.48    63.81    94.29    72.77P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             30   57  +15      10.97    91.75     7.57    77.04     5.15    16.38    16.15    32.73    79.42    41.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   56   +5      12.70    93.60     5.86    72.07     4.63     4.55     1.89     5.99    42.33    11.28P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         33   55  +26      -1.44    43.20     7.99    74.85     4.36    33.61     7.21    20.05    74.52    35.33P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           31   54  +16      -0.92    45.11    -2.82    76.34     4.86    22.63    12.90    28.97    79.00    44.97P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           30   53  +15       1.79    58.42    -0.52    75.77     5.07    20.45    11.17    25.57    73.67    38.34P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              32   52  +14       0.88    53.91     3.35    73.05     4.59    21.08     3.08     9.98    56.23    22.48P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       30   51  +11       4.32    70.13     2.80    71.94     5.02    13.87     2.81     8.13    44.30    16.03P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            31   48  +16      -3.06    35.52     2.90    68.31     4.88    19.73     0.52     1.92    21.25     7.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   46   +8       2.47    62.08     6.20    65.37     4.85    10.29     0.11     0.39     7.45     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           30   45  +13       0.48    52.27     8.04    68.73     5.06    20.15     0.69     2.39    25.06     7.56P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        31   43   +0      -1.72    41.96    -3.32    62.11     4.96     2.06     0.00     0.05     2.05     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       31   42   -7       1.43    57.59    -4.41    57.45     4.73   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   31   39   -1      -0.74    46.88     3.56    55.37     4.81    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         33   38   -3      -3.30    35.31     2.90    53.92     4.52    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool            30   37   +0      -4.27    29.97    -0.41    56.68     5.02     0.83     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   35  -11      -2.14    39.94    -5.94    53.29     4.94   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
MK_Dons              31   33   -9      -4.26    30.76    -1.46    47.69     4.67   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.00  
Rochdale             31   33  -16      -0.91    46.27    -1.63    48.07     4.71   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        31   30   -9      -6.03    22.86     0.68    45.75     4.67   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.71R    0.00  
Tranmere             30   23  -25      -4.70    26.98    -3.26    34.38     4.53   -37.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.06R    1.49  
Southend             31   16  -45     -11.82     4.95   -18.40    28.03     4.47   -55.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.66R   25.19  
Bolton               29   11  -37      -3.48    32.52   -15.15    23.19     4.75   -50.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   73.31  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2020, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          33   63  +21       9.42    86.03     8.68    85.98     4.95    28.71    37.62    83.80    99.94    88.27P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           33   63  +14       9.97    87.42     2.71    83.85     4.93    18.51    19.49    67.01    99.66    75.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            33   61  +20       8.77    84.02     9.61    81.48     4.95    23.89    10.75    51.07    98.70    62.80P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   60  +17       5.58    73.83     1.11    85.06     5.18    25.70    30.24    77.27    99.68    84.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       32   54  +21       4.88    71.66    13.27    75.97     5.14    25.01     1.73    15.66    89.58    34.47P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        34   54   +6       8.26    83.00     6.92    69.76     4.65     5.11     0.04     0.94    45.40     8.66P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   52  +13      -1.65    42.65     2.75    70.31     4.77    15.77     0.05     1.43    56.19    16.66P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      33   52  +11       1.06    55.02     2.65    70.44     4.94    11.91     0.08     2.01    55.06    14.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         34   51   +6      -2.06    40.90    -3.37    69.11     4.75     8.50     0.02     0.79    42.61    12.29P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     34   46   +2      -2.79    37.81    -1.32    62.16     4.65     1.58     0.00     0.01     5.63     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     34   44   +0       3.32    65.48     9.00    58.24     4.60    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    34   44   -6       3.26    65.33     2.21    58.18     4.59    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   43  -11      -3.04    36.90   -10.25    58.67     4.70   -11.95     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.24P    0.01R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     34   41   -1      -1.75    42.87     4.77    56.94     4.61    -1.87     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          32   41   -2       0.75    54.22     2.70    57.31     4.95    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   31   40   +0      -1.48    43.14     0.84    59.80     5.20    -0.64     0.00     0.01     3.26     0.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   38   -9      -0.85    46.96     2.85    51.72     4.56   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.19R    0.19  
Oldham           34   37  -15      -7.05    21.17   -11.07    52.48     4.69   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.18R    0.18  
Scunthorpe       33   36   -9     -10.21    12.17   -10.19    54.95     4.96    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    0.09R    0.09  
Mansfield        34   35   -7     -14.79     4.33   -11.58    51.93     4.72    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.25R    0.25  
Macclesfield     33   35   -8      -1.35    44.40     4.22    48.38     4.60   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39R    1.39  
Carlisle         33   35  -17      -5.08    28.30    -9.16    52.46     4.92   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.38R    0.38  
Morecambe        34   30  -24      -4.69    29.08    -5.85    42.05     4.43   -30.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.41R   19.41  
Stevenage        34   22  -22     -16.83     1.71   -11.52    35.99     4.56   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.09R   78.09  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2020, Ebbsfleet_United 1 0 Chorley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             33   63  +29       7.71    80.84    13.92    84.03     4.95    33.75    72.94    98.82    79.43P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     34   59  +13       5.23    71.84     2.31    77.17     4.80    15.54    11.35    80.57    27.07P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            33   55   +4       9.98    87.36     4.20    72.72     4.93     3.96     2.27    46.17     9.58P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             34   54  +14      -4.14    32.02    -3.41    74.01     4.80    19.29     4.10    61.86    21.82P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       32   52  +14       4.41    69.79     8.51    73.67     5.21    17.71     3.65    57.43    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       33   51  +16      -6.94    21.47    -2.98    73.49     4.98    23.00     4.01    59.40    23.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     34   51  +11      -1.87    41.74     1.75    71.04     4.75    16.26     0.76    37.24    10.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            35   51   +8      -0.06    49.88     3.71    68.22     4.60    11.16     0.18    16.66     3.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     33   50   +1       3.59    66.23    -0.62    67.22     4.98     0.16     0.15    12.38     2.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport          35   50   -5       7.80    80.23     4.12    62.35     4.50    -9.26     0.00     1.33     0.17P    0.26R    0.00  
Woking             34   48   -7       8.31    82.34     3.91    62.39     4.71   -10.23     0.01     1.59     0.20P    0.45R    0.00  
Hartlepool         34   47   +4      -0.33    48.82     3.26    63.83     4.74     4.57     0.01     3.76     0.72P    0.15R    0.00  
Barnet             31   46   +7      -0.56    47.45     0.90    68.42     5.40     9.72     0.57    21.06     5.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      33   42   +3      -3.60    34.35     2.40    60.82     4.96     4.48     0.00     1.10     0.22P    1.11R    0.00  
Torquay            33   42   -6       2.38    60.82     4.17    57.69     5.01    -9.66     0.00     0.24     0.04P    5.51R    0.02  
Eastleigh          33   42   -6      -0.85    46.71    -2.00    57.63     4.85    -9.38     0.00     0.19     0.04P    5.07R    0.02  
Maidenhead         33   41   -7       2.85    63.92     4.05    57.50     4.90    -9.16     0.00     0.14     0.03P    6.32R    0.04  
Aldershot          34   40  -10       0.74    54.14     0.54    53.93     4.59   -13.63     0.00     0.01     0.00P   19.80R    0.15  
Wrexham            34   39   -2     -10.33    12.09    -6.17    55.34     4.68    -2.06     0.00     0.02     0.01P    9.60R    0.05  
Dag_&_Red          33   38   -5      -5.83    25.33    -3.19    54.24     4.84    -7.21     0.00     0.02     0.01P   17.02R    0.13  
Chesterfield       34   37  -14      -7.13    21.25    -9.80    53.05     4.72   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.11R    0.41  
Ebbsfleet_United   34   33  -20      -9.23    14.51   -12.72    46.98     4.65   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.03R    4.65  
AFC_Fylde          32   32  -13     -12.20     7.62   -13.31    51.87     5.21   -12.09     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.86R    1.07  
Chorley            34   26  -29      -4.12    31.90    -3.55    36.66     4.33   -38.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R   93.47