Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 16 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 February 2020, Arsenal 4 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 26 76 +46 16.85 99.93 6.67 103.68 3.86 65.31 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 51 +36 -6.22 15.74 -4.68 80.74 4.16 57.92 0.00 94.00 99.77 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 26 50 +28 5.77 78.30 15.05 70.74 4.67 34.52 0.00 5.78 83.27 96.01 99.78 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 41 +9 -2.07 38.48 -4.20 62.85 4.82 15.02 0.00 0.18 9.09 49.87 88.25 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 40 +9 -5.58 21.82 -6.16 61.24 4.73 16.12 0.00 0.03 6.15 35.80 82.02 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 39 +4 6.88 83.05 9.63 54.83 4.64 3.32 0.00 0.00 0.40 4.02 29.17 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 26 36 +3 1.75 59.85 5.90 53.81 4.69 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 2.88 23.95 0.01R 0.00 Everton 26 36 -4 0.33 51.91 -2.85 51.51 4.58 -5.61 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.90 10.89 0.01R 0.00 Man_Utd 25 35 +7 -6.23 19.26 -3.01 56.36 4.83 12.28 0.00 0.01 0.99 9.04 46.76 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 26 34 +2 -7.33 16.22 -6.14 52.50 4.60 4.82 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.39 16.01 0.02R 0.00 Burnley 26 34 -9 5.35 77.78 2.23 47.79 4.40 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.82 0.55R 0.00 Southampton 26 31 -16 3.97 72.16 -0.43 45.21 4.60 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.65 3.16R 0.10 Newcastle 26 31 -16 2.33 63.83 -5.22 44.87 4.42 -20.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.37 3.33R 0.06 Crystal_Palace 26 30 -9 -1.37 43.16 -2.15 44.24 4.44 -12.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.29 3.40R 0.06 Brighton 26 27 -7 -1.49 42.51 4.73 39.11 4.33 -13.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 20.37R 1.58 Bournemouth 26 26 -14 -3.47 32.30 -3.11 37.27 4.23 -23.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.37R 3.91 Aston_Villa 26 25 -16 -1.07 45.30 2.47 36.06 4.38 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 52.20R 7.45 West_Ham 25 24 -13 -5.18 23.89 -4.03 38.30 4.61 -20.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 30.95R 3.98 Watford 26 24 -16 -4.56 26.51 -3.94 35.92 4.30 -23.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.28R 8.77 Norwich 26 18 -24 -4.78 24.71 -0.77 28.83 4.29 -34.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.34R 74.08Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2020, Birmingham 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 33 63 +23 4.17 68.17 2.16 86.11 4.93 31.19 66.98 87.11 99.73 91.09P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 33 59 +18 4.96 71.49 5.13 81.30 4.87 24.67 19.14 56.17 97.33 68.44P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 33 56 +11 4.66 69.75 1.84 74.56 5.06 12.07 2.42 10.33 69.25 24.29P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 33 55 +27 -2.11 40.14 9.29 77.82 4.94 34.45 8.39 28.52 89.77 49.93P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 55 +12 5.98 75.44 6.38 74.78 4.94 14.92 1.79 9.57 71.98 23.68P 0.00 0.00 Preston 33 53 +10 3.56 65.80 3.76 71.88 4.98 11.52 0.65 3.65 50.12 14.01P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 33 53 +2 6.00 75.58 -0.52 70.90 4.98 2.13 0.35 2.15 38.74 9.32P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 33 50 +10 1.77 58.23 5.61 68.39 4.96 10.79 0.13 0.97 24.81 6.01P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 33 50 +3 0.99 54.30 -2.49 68.56 5.07 4.12 0.11 0.95 24.77 6.21P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 33 49 +2 6.29 77.26 5.27 67.07 4.95 2.49 0.02 0.31 15.38 2.99P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 33 48 +0 0.76 53.81 -2.87 65.96 4.92 0.31 0.03 0.21 10.89 2.53P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 33 44 +3 -2.27 40.17 1.29 61.53 4.94 2.62 0.00 0.02 2.47 0.56P 0.13R 0.00 Derby 33 44 -4 -4.10 32.02 -8.27 61.02 4.94 -5.21 0.00 0.02 1.78 0.46P 0.22R 0.00 Birmingham 33 44 -7 2.84 63.65 -0.87 60.60 4.90 -9.00 0.00 0.00 1.11 0.18P 0.39R 0.01 Reading 33 42 +4 -0.30 48.90 8.03 59.64 4.92 3.83 0.00 0.01 0.86 0.12P 0.67R 0.01 QPR 33 42 -7 2.31 61.03 2.53 57.95 4.96 -10.29 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.03P 1.99R 0.11 Hull 33 41 -4 -2.89 37.43 -1.44 58.56 4.97 -4.67 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.12P 1.41R 0.08 Middlesbrough 33 37 -9 -7.91 17.51 -9.10 54.75 4.88 -8.76 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02P 6.35R 0.38 Charlton 33 36 -6 -4.10 32.60 1.65 52.36 4.90 -8.21 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 14.52R 1.35 Huddersfield 33 36 -14 -1.73 42.84 -2.93 50.81 4.80 -18.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.61R 2.90 Stoke 33 34 -12 -7.27 19.93 -6.15 50.21 4.87 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.81R 4.00 Wigan 33 31 -17 -6.53 22.14 -5.93 46.77 4.85 -20.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.17R 14.59 Luton 33 30 -27 -3.38 35.32 -6.93 44.08 4.85 -33.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.17R 34.65 Barnsley 33 28 -18 -9.38 13.68 -5.43 42.78 4.86 -22.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.54R 41.93League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2020, Accrington_Stanley 4 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Rotherham 31 57 +24 2.49 61.33 5.17 80.41 4.92 32.94 43.97 64.30 94.49 72.84P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 30 57 +15 10.99 91.89 7.58 77.00 5.13 16.32 16.00 32.34 79.34 41.24P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 32 56 +5 12.82 93.74 6.03 72.03 4.60 4.45 2.03 5.93 41.65 11.11P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 33 55 +26 -1.63 42.37 7.65 74.90 4.37 33.69 7.32 20.52 74.94 36.07P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 31 54 +16 -0.91 45.26 -2.81 76.32 4.86 22.62 12.86 29.17 78.91 45.06P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 30 53 +15 2.01 59.81 -0.22 75.66 5.08 20.29 10.64 24.84 72.63 37.87P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 32 52 +14 0.68 53.00 3.00 73.15 4.58 21.25 3.13 10.37 57.07 23.06P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 30 51 +11 4.42 70.57 2.94 71.90 5.03 13.83 2.90 7.89 43.94 15.66P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 31 48 +16 -3.06 35.41 2.87 68.31 4.88 19.75 0.48 1.78 21.32 6.98P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 31 46 +8 2.39 61.81 6.07 65.45 4.85 10.41 0.07 0.38 7.67 1.77P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 30 45 +13 0.26 51.65 7.64 68.84 5.04 20.31 0.59 2.43 25.59 7.78P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 31 43 +0 -1.76 41.65 -3.34 62.21 4.96 2.17 0.01 0.05 2.11 0.48P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 31 42 -7 1.74 59.23 -3.98 57.30 4.74 -10.80 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 31 39 -1 -0.79 46.88 3.50 55.42 4.82 -3.36 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 0.02R 0.00 Lincoln_City 33 38 -3 -3.16 36.05 3.11 53.88 4.51 -1.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Blackpool 30 37 +0 -4.35 29.82 -0.44 56.71 5.01 0.85 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.05P 0.01R 0.00 Shrewsbury 30 35 -11 -2.08 40.05 -5.84 53.23 4.92 -12.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.14R 0.00 MK_Dons 31 33 -9 -4.28 30.73 -1.43 47.62 4.70 -14.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.78R 0.00 Rochdale 31 33 -16 -0.90 46.40 -1.52 48.05 4.71 -20.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.89R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 31 30 -9 -6.09 22.16 0.66 45.77 4.69 -11.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.89R 0.00 Tranmere 30 23 -25 -4.72 27.51 -3.31 34.39 4.55 -37.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.62R 1.54 Southend 31 16 -45 -11.68 5.23 -18.09 28.01 4.49 -55.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.68R 25.69 Bolton 29 11 -37 -3.49 32.45 -15.24 23.24 4.73 -50.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.93R 72.76 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2020, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 33 63 +21 9.25 85.67 8.42 86.01 4.97 28.74 38.35 84.19 99.93 88.72P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 33 63 +14 9.89 87.42 2.57 83.91 4.92 18.61 19.77 67.86 99.69 76.43P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 33 61 +20 8.86 84.34 9.77 81.43 4.95 23.78 10.56 50.67 98.70 62.59P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 32 60 +17 5.84 74.72 1.51 84.95 5.19 25.51 29.50 76.95 99.64 83.98P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 32 54 +21 5.11 72.75 13.62 75.87 5.13 24.85 1.66 15.42 89.18 33.66P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 34 54 +6 8.14 82.51 6.73 69.87 4.64 5.26 0.02 0.89 46.54 8.95P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 34 52 +13 -1.78 42.17 2.62 70.33 4.74 15.84 0.03 1.41 56.52 16.29P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 33 52 +11 1.19 55.32 2.90 70.37 4.94 11.79 0.09 1.86 54.15 14.76P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 34 51 +6 -2.02 41.24 -3.31 69.08 4.73 8.47 0.02 0.74 42.47 11.97P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 34 46 +2 -2.66 38.25 -1.16 62.15 4.62 1.59 0.00 0.01 5.47 1.14P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 34 44 +0 3.24 64.98 8.85 58.22 4.62 -3.43 0.00 0.00 0.96 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 34 44 -6 3.26 65.48 2.18 58.23 4.60 -9.10 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 34 43 -11 -3.01 37.07 -10.30 58.68 4.72 -11.95 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.19P 0.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 34 41 -1 -1.76 42.65 4.79 56.93 4.63 -1.89 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.07P 0.00R 0.00 Grimsby 32 41 -2 0.89 54.81 2.86 57.27 4.94 -6.13 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.15P 0.01R 0.01 Newport_County 31 40 +0 -1.67 42.28 0.59 59.94 5.23 -0.47 0.00 0.00 3.46 0.72P 0.01R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 34 38 -9 -0.81 47.32 2.95 51.68 4.61 -13.42 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.21R 0.21 Oldham 34 37 -15 -7.02 21.08 -10.99 52.47 4.67 -16.49 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.19R 0.19 Scunthorpe 33 36 -9 -10.21 12.37 -10.18 54.96 4.97 -7.41 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.06P 0.08R 0.08 Mansfield 34 35 -7 -14.78 4.49 -11.55 51.90 4.74 -6.37 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.24R 0.24 Macclesfield 33 35 -8 -1.20 45.12 4.33 48.41 4.60 -14.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.37R 1.37 Carlisle 33 35 -17 -5.06 27.95 -9.17 52.44 4.91 -17.53 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.35R 0.35 Morecambe 34 30 -24 -4.97 27.88 -6.29 42.12 4.45 -30.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.40R 19.40 Stevenage 34 22 -22 -17.01 1.56 -11.73 36.01 4.53 -25.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.13R 78.13National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2020, Ebbsfleet_United 1 0 Chorley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 33 63 +29 7.56 80.47 13.72 84.09 4.96 33.85 73.07 98.80 79.45P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 34 59 +13 5.07 71.32 2.10 77.22 4.78 15.61 11.38 81.18 27.36P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 33 55 +4 10.16 87.89 4.54 72.62 4.91 3.81 2.18 45.16 9.20P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 34 54 +14 -4.28 31.57 -3.62 73.99 4.81 19.28 4.10 62.02 22.05P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 32 52 +14 4.82 71.30 9.13 73.53 5.17 17.52 3.46 56.71 15.05P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 33 51 +16 -6.88 21.55 -2.98 73.44 4.98 22.93 3.95 59.56 23.03P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 34 51 +11 -1.98 41.03 1.61 71.05 4.75 16.27 0.89 37.55 10.75P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 35 51 +8 -0.05 50.02 3.67 68.21 4.54 11.14 0.12 16.40 3.51P 0.01R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 33 50 +1 3.55 65.88 -0.65 67.24 4.97 0.13 0.21 12.41 2.41P 0.02R 0.00 Stockport 35 50 -5 7.66 80.17 3.91 62.40 4.45 -9.20 0.00 1.37 0.21P 0.23R 0.00 Woking 34 48 -7 8.22 82.00 3.74 62.42 4.72 -10.18 0.00 1.60 0.21P 0.49R 0.00 Hartlepool 34 47 +4 -0.35 48.65 3.24 63.87 4.75 4.62 0.02 3.85 0.78P 0.12R 0.00 Barnet 31 46 +7 -0.64 46.96 0.79 68.48 5.41 9.81 0.61 21.56 5.65P 0.02R 0.00 Sutton_United 33 42 +3 -3.49 34.45 2.57 60.74 5.00 4.38 0.00 1.16 0.25P 1.16R 0.00 Torquay 33 42 -6 2.48 61.54 4.33 57.68 4.99 -9.70 0.00 0.22 0.03P 5.51R 0.03 Eastleigh 33 42 -6 -0.91 46.39 -2.08 57.66 4.84 -9.34 0.00 0.21 0.03P 4.96R 0.02 Maidenhead 33 41 -7 2.91 64.10 4.13 57.50 4.95 -9.16 0.00 0.16 0.02P 6.43R 0.03 Aldershot 34 40 -10 0.42 52.74 0.10 54.08 4.58 -13.43 0.00 0.01 0.00P 18.72R 0.11 Wrexham 34 39 -2 -10.46 11.61 -6.33 55.39 4.68 -1.98 0.00 0.03 0.01P 9.30R 0.06 Dag_&_Red 33 38 -5 -5.76 25.26 -3.15 54.24 4.86 -7.17 0.00 0.02 0.01P 17.25R 0.12 Chesterfield 34 37 -14 -6.99 21.62 -9.60 52.94 4.75 -14.95 0.00 0.00 0.00P 26.47R 0.51 Ebbsfleet_United 34 33 -20 -9.08 14.94 -12.54 46.92 4.67 -24.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.09R 4.69 AFC_Fylde 32 32 -13 -12.30 7.40 -13.42 51.95 5.26 -11.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.53R 1.03 Chorley 34 26 -29 -3.96 32.84 -3.22 36.61 4.34 -38.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.69R 93.42