Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 14 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 February 2020, Wolverhampton 0 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        25   73  +45      16.04    99.88     7.01   103.40     4.01    66.98    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   51  +36      -6.23    15.70    -4.60    80.74     4.13    57.95     0.01    94.00    99.77    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   50  +28       5.89    78.78    15.25    70.81     4.66    34.60     0.00     5.77    84.62    96.57    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          25   41   +9      -2.07    38.45    -4.17    62.82     4.82    15.01     0.00     0.18     9.07    52.46    89.07     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        26   39   +4       6.87    82.85     9.69    54.80     4.70     3.29     0.00     0.00     0.44     4.57    31.33     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        25   37   +8      -6.57    17.21    -6.10    60.29     4.96    16.19     0.00     0.04     4.90    31.59    77.90     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    26   36   +3       1.92    60.47     6.11    53.81     4.70     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     3.28    25.68     0.00     0.00  
Everton          26   36   -4       0.24    51.55    -3.04    51.56     4.60    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.02    12.20     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          25   35   +7      -6.08    19.88    -2.81    56.30     4.85    12.12     0.00     0.00     0.94     9.59    48.44     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          25   31   -2      -7.43    15.56    -7.79    50.92     4.82     0.77     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.79    10.71     0.15R    0.00  
Burnley          25   31  -10       3.91    72.11     1.50    45.84     4.65   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.06     2.34R    0.08  
Newcastle        25   31  -12       2.38    64.21    -3.37    46.14     4.63   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.25     2.15R    0.05  
Southampton      25   31  -15       5.13    77.72     0.15    46.86     4.84   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     2.12     1.87R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   26   30   -9      -1.49    42.44    -2.31    44.24     4.48   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40     3.58R    0.08  
Brighton         26   27   -7      -1.28    43.88     4.99    39.03     4.31   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    22.30R    1.72  
Bournemouth      26   26  -14      -3.51    32.33    -3.26    37.21     4.25   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    41.84R    4.33  
Aston_Villa      25   25  -15      -0.42    48.88     2.01    36.82     4.54   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.05R    6.54  
West_Ham         25   24  -13      -5.11    24.13    -3.87    38.32     4.59   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    31.70R    4.17  
Watford          26   24  -16      -4.71    25.62    -4.14    35.97     4.28   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.08R    8.98  
Norwich          25   18  -23      -4.23    27.32    -1.24    29.07     4.39   -36.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.89R   73.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 February 2020, Hull 4 4 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       32   62  +23       4.82    71.16     2.48    86.94     5.12    31.88    68.91    86.78    99.62    90.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    32   56  +17       3.76    66.84     4.69    80.08     5.12    24.33    11.94    40.27    93.59    56.14P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   56  +14       4.58    69.89     2.76    77.28     5.24    17.06     5.59    20.64    82.19    36.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       32   54  +27      -1.65    42.00     9.33    78.57     5.15    35.08     9.61    31.52    89.84    51.15P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   32   54  +12       6.25    76.59     6.10    74.62     5.12    14.13     1.82     8.75    66.75    21.58P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         32   53  +11       4.82    71.10     4.52    73.61     5.18    13.08     1.34     6.69    59.23    17.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    32   53   +3       6.67    78.25    -0.48    71.81     5.17     2.45     0.54     3.19    41.90    10.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         32   49   +3       1.67    57.75    -2.16    69.44     5.25     4.84     0.15     1.46    27.00     7.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         33   48   +0       0.91    54.54    -2.68    65.91     4.89     0.27     0.01     0.12     8.80     1.95P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   47   +8       0.96    54.58     4.83    66.54     5.20     8.40     0.06     0.41    13.60     3.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall        32   46   +1       4.71    71.79     4.40    65.07     5.15     0.96     0.00     0.08     7.54     1.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       32   44   +6      -1.89    41.48     2.83    63.66     5.15     6.68     0.00     0.06     5.51     1.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Derby           32   43   -4      -3.48    34.59    -7.91    61.84     5.19    -4.57     0.00     0.02     2.41     0.56P    0.20R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   43   -7       3.29    65.64    -0.69    60.42     5.08    -9.83     0.00     0.01     1.12     0.20P    0.52R    0.00  
Hull            33   41   -4      -2.95    37.32    -1.49    58.50     4.95    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    1.24R    0.02  
Reading         32   39   +1      -0.98    46.24     6.47    57.26     5.07    -0.21     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    2.16R    0.06  
QPR             32   39   -9       1.79    59.23     2.22    55.95     5.12   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.96R    0.12  
Middlesbrough   32   37   -8      -6.63    21.52    -8.13    56.89     5.10    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    2.61R    0.07  
Charlton        32   36   -4      -3.42    34.96     2.60    54.06     5.14    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    8.03R    0.30  
Huddersfield    32   35  -14      -1.90    41.82    -3.62    50.80     5.00   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.72R    1.62  
Stoke           32   34  -10      -6.52    22.14    -5.21    51.85     5.11   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.08R    1.10  
Wigan           32   30  -17      -6.33    22.63    -6.20    46.65     5.00   -20.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.16R    8.68  
Luton           32   27  -28      -5.01    27.84    -7.52    41.91     5.01   -35.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.88R   37.59  
Barnsley        32   25  -21     -10.23    11.09    -7.16    40.13     5.00   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.36R   50.43  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 February 2020, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            30   56  +24       3.53    66.50     6.24    81.75     5.09    34.43    55.90    74.90    97.04    81.14P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         32   55  +27      -0.59    46.72     8.17    76.26     4.60    34.69    12.13    33.07    84.96    48.01P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             29   54  +13      10.24    90.48     6.89    75.51     5.33    14.56    10.21    24.94    73.18    34.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   53   +3      11.96    92.84     5.18    70.36     4.89     2.41     1.07     4.01    34.24     8.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           30   51  +15      -2.26    38.50    -3.35    74.49     5.08    21.30     7.25    19.97    70.13    36.23P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           29   50  +13       1.15    55.60    -1.02    74.39     5.25    18.73     7.38    19.55    67.56    32.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              31   49  +11       0.60    52.96     2.33    71.45     4.84    18.06     1.50     6.55    47.04    17.19P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            30   48  +17      -2.21    39.10     3.17    69.79     5.11    20.95     1.17     4.43    35.74    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       29   48  +10       3.14    65.41     2.42    70.28     5.27    12.79     1.67     5.82    37.05    12.68P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   45  +14       1.54    57.53     8.55    70.38     5.32    21.63     1.66     6.30    41.13    14.30P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           30   43   +7       1.19    56.36     5.69    63.72     5.04     9.24     0.03     0.19     5.78     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        30   43   +3      -1.52    42.63    -2.05    63.43     5.17     5.03     0.04     0.23     5.34     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       30   39   -8       0.28    52.22    -4.75    55.73     4.94   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         32   38   -2      -2.26    40.05     3.19    55.11     4.75    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool            29   37   +1      -3.33    34.00    -0.02    58.02     5.22     1.81     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   36   -2      -1.95    41.20     3.05    53.88     5.03    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.10R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   35   -9      -1.63    42.33    -5.19    54.21     5.09   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.11R    0.00  
MK_Dons              31   33   -9      -4.43    30.15    -1.70    47.76     4.71   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.00  
Rochdale             31   33  -16      -0.88    46.56    -1.59    48.01     4.75   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.05R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   29   -9      -5.98    22.48     0.03    45.24     4.84   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.05R    0.02  
Tranmere             30   23  -25      -4.67    27.14    -3.22    34.38     4.51   -37.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.14R    3.10  
Southend             30   16  -43     -11.20     5.92   -17.69    29.23     4.72   -54.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.09R   26.96  
Bolton               28   11  -35      -2.84    35.86   -14.32    24.62     5.02   -48.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   69.92  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 February 2020, Bradford 3 1 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          33   63  +21       9.28    85.72     8.46    86.01     4.94    28.70    40.95    85.42    99.90    89.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            32   61  +21       9.74    86.98     9.94    82.57     5.13    24.38    17.34    61.93    98.85    70.80P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           32   60  +13       8.92    85.19     2.53    82.51     5.15    17.91    15.27    58.41    98.77    68.45P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         31   57  +16       4.35    69.28     0.78    83.68     5.40    25.07    24.41    69.79    99.05    78.24P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   52  +16      -1.51    43.02     4.10    72.28     4.94    19.66     0.22     4.49    67.90    22.61P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      32   52  +12       2.21    60.32     3.35    71.89     5.16    13.06     0.28     4.44    62.00    18.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       31   51  +20       4.15    69.18    13.59    74.73     5.35    24.61     1.41    12.60    81.94    29.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         33   51   +7      -0.95    45.74    -2.70    70.78     4.96     9.95     0.10     2.39    52.45    15.83P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        33   51   +3       7.55    81.23     5.20    67.65     4.87     1.50     0.02     0.45    25.83     4.81P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     33   45   +2      -2.52    38.87    -1.50    62.44     4.84     1.45     0.00     0.04     5.76     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     33   41   -1       2.07    60.20     8.66    56.25     4.81    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P    0.03R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd    33   41   -7       1.87    59.79     1.44    56.22     4.78   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    0.02R    0.02  
Newport_County   30   40   +1      -0.67    47.19     1.09    61.13     5.42     0.27     0.00     0.03     5.09     1.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     33   40   -1      -1.39    44.21     4.88    57.70     4.87    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.11P    0.01R    0.01  
Walsall          33   40  -12      -4.09    32.32   -10.61    56.90     4.92   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.10P    0.03R    0.03  
Grimsby          31   38   -3      -0.41    48.72     2.29    56.01     5.14    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.07R    0.07  
Leyton_Orient    33   38   -8      -0.11    50.45     2.81    52.61     4.80   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.33R    0.33  
Scunthorpe       33   36   -9     -10.29    12.26   -10.32    55.00     4.98    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.21R    0.21  
Oldham           33   36  -15      -6.49    22.39   -10.79    52.77     4.88   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.44R    0.44  
Macclesfield     32   35   -7      -0.34    49.16     4.49    49.48     4.82   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.97R    1.97  
Carlisle         32   34  -17      -4.67    29.50    -9.01    52.50     5.12   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.82R    0.82  
Mansfield        33   32   -8     -15.69     3.38   -11.51    50.26     4.97    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    1.42  
Morecambe        33   30  -23      -4.02    31.78    -6.03    43.16     4.66   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.02R   22.02  
Stevenage        33   22  -21     -15.95     1.97   -11.12    37.71     4.80   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.62R   72.62  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 February 2020, Eastleigh 2 2 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             33   63  +29       7.61    80.71    13.76    84.07     4.95    33.85    71.07    98.62    78.16P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     34   59  +13       5.04    70.89     1.95    77.29     4.80    15.72    11.05    79.54    26.30P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            33   55   +4      10.15    88.18     4.47    72.66     4.93     3.89     2.04    43.24     8.77P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             34   54  +14      -4.31    31.57    -3.72    74.05     4.82    19.39     3.85    59.82    20.82P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       32   52  +14       4.78    71.40     9.01    73.55     5.23    17.53     3.39    54.18    14.03P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     34   51  +11      -2.07    40.73     1.41    71.07     4.71    16.30     0.72    34.77     9.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            34   51   +9       1.09    55.09     4.35    69.96     4.81    12.71     0.51    26.13     6.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       32   50  +16      -6.36    22.87    -2.72    74.74     5.19    24.36     6.55    65.73    27.19P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     33   50   +1       3.52    65.74    -0.71    67.28     4.98     0.21     0.22    11.28     2.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool         34   47   +4      -0.31    48.99     3.27    63.87     4.72     4.59     0.01     3.31     0.69P    0.12R    0.00  
Stockport          34   47   -6       6.41    76.46     3.62    60.46     4.73   -10.77     0.00     0.65     0.11P    1.15R    0.00  
Woking             33   47   -7       8.37    83.01     3.45    61.95     4.90   -11.56     0.01     1.60     0.26P    0.71R    0.00  
Barnet             31   46   +7      -0.44    48.27     1.10    68.40     5.41     9.67     0.58    19.52     5.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Sutton_United      33   42   +3      -3.48    34.96     2.58    60.78     4.96     4.43     0.00     1.00     0.18P    1.00R    0.01  
Torquay            33   42   -6       2.46    61.20     4.29    57.66     5.03    -9.71     0.00     0.26     0.04P    5.51R    0.03  
Eastleigh          33   42   -6      -0.84    46.84    -1.96    57.60     4.83    -9.44     0.00     0.16     0.02P    4.70R    0.02  
Maidenhead         33   41   -7       3.10    65.07     4.46    57.42     4.94    -9.32     0.00     0.14     0.02P    6.32R    0.05  
Aldershot          34   40  -10       0.54    53.40     0.27    54.00     4.56   -13.52     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.24R    0.17  
Wrexham            34   39   -2     -10.46    11.65    -6.31    55.36     4.70    -2.04     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.00R    0.05  
Dag_&_Red          33   38   -5      -5.90    25.05    -3.32    54.32     4.90    -7.10     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.86R    0.16  
Chesterfield       34   37  -14      -7.15    21.12    -9.81    53.02     4.71   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.58R    0.54  
AFC_Fylde          32   32  -13     -12.52     7.06   -13.77    51.95     5.24   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.60R    1.26  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   30  -21     -10.13    12.02   -12.59    45.76     4.90   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.90R   10.97  
Chorley            33   26  -28      -3.27    35.59    -3.09    37.54     4.58   -37.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.24R   86.74