Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 12 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 February 2020, Sheff_Utd 2 1 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        25   73  +45      16.07    99.90     6.94   103.40     4.01    66.92    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   51  +36      -6.21    15.56    -4.53    80.71     4.15    57.88     0.01    92.37    99.73    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        25   49  +28       6.21    80.55    15.10    71.46     4.87    35.09     0.00     7.41    86.26    96.85    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          25   41   +9      -2.18    37.84    -4.36    62.88     4.82    15.09     0.00     0.18     8.16    52.36    89.16     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        26   39   +4       7.00    83.27     9.78    54.77     4.63     3.25     0.00     0.00     0.30     4.36    30.78     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        25   37   +8      -6.63    17.14    -6.15    60.35     4.93    16.26     0.00     0.03     4.27    31.02    77.92     0.00     0.00  
Everton          26   36   -4       0.32    51.85    -2.88    51.50     4.60    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.06    11.43     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          25   35   +7      -6.12    19.98    -2.85    56.31     4.86    12.17     0.00     0.00     0.91     9.50    48.22     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    25   35   +3       2.18    62.85     6.07    54.02     4.93     4.74     0.00     0.00     0.29     3.93    27.41     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          25   31   -2      -7.36    15.82    -7.62    50.87     4.85     0.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.74    10.56     0.14R    0.00  
Burnley          25   31  -10       3.91    72.04     1.51    45.83     4.64   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.10     2.26R    0.06  
Newcastle        25   31  -12       2.33    63.95    -3.44    46.16     4.64   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.23     2.16R    0.05  
Southampton      25   31  -15       5.17    77.94     0.25    46.92     4.85   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.92     1.91R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   26   30   -9      -1.59    41.87    -2.46    44.28     4.47   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     3.58R    0.09  
Brighton         26   27   -7      -1.42    42.88     4.75    39.10     4.34   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    21.47R    1.75  
Bournemouth      26   26  -14      -3.58    31.81    -3.31    37.22     4.27   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    41.48R    4.30  
Aston_Villa      25   25  -15      -0.23    49.83     2.42    36.74     4.55   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.81R    6.60  
West_Ham         25   24  -13      -5.28    23.55    -4.11    38.34     4.61   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    31.37R    4.03  
Watford          26   24  -16      -4.53    26.83    -3.90    35.89     4.28   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.81R    9.35  
Norwich          25   18  -23      -4.23    27.35    -1.21    29.02     4.38   -36.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.98R   73.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 February 2020, Bristol_City 3 2 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       32   62  +23       5.02    71.89     2.87    86.79     5.15    31.63    68.11    86.16    99.61    90.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    32   56  +17       3.91    67.62     4.93    80.01     5.08    24.23    12.24    40.05    93.41    55.30P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   56  +14       4.54    69.61     2.70    77.31     5.24    17.11     5.63    21.00    81.71    36.31P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       32   54  +27      -1.68    41.84     9.29    78.56     5.15    35.05     9.78    31.81    89.71    51.35P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   32   54  +12       6.27    76.89     6.20    74.55     5.14    14.04     1.95     8.57    65.61    21.06P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         32   53  +11       4.76    70.89     4.46    73.64     5.15    13.11     1.39     6.72    59.07    18.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    32   53   +3       6.53    77.75    -0.72    71.91     5.19     2.58     0.62     3.39    41.78    10.89P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         32   49   +3       1.47    56.89    -2.41    69.49     5.26     4.94     0.19     1.44    27.34     7.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       32   47   +8       0.68    53.44     4.38    66.67     5.25     8.62     0.06     0.45    14.33     3.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         32   47   +0       1.19    55.89    -2.93    66.23     5.12     0.21     0.02     0.19    10.34     2.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall        32   46   +1       4.82    72.09     4.58    65.03     5.17     0.90     0.00     0.10     7.38     1.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       32   44   +6      -1.84    41.77     2.87    63.63     5.13     6.64     0.01     0.08     5.24     1.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby           32   43   -4      -3.32    35.08    -7.70    61.81     5.15    -4.62     0.00     0.02     2.23     0.47P    0.20R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   43   -7       3.37    66.32    -0.65    60.41     5.10    -9.82     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.16P    0.51R    0.00  
Hull            32   40   -4      -2.25    39.97    -1.08    58.90     5.16    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.11P    1.23R    0.02  
Reading         32   39   +1      -1.00    45.72     6.40    57.32     5.06    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    2.13R    0.04  
QPR             32   39   -9       1.39    57.48     1.57    56.13     5.11   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    4.50R    0.13  
Middlesbrough   32   37   -8      -6.64    21.66    -8.21    56.92     5.11    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    2.59R    0.05  
Charlton        32   36   -4      -3.35    35.38     2.69    53.99     5.14    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    8.41R    0.32  
Huddersfield    32   35  -14      -1.61    43.47    -3.17    50.66     4.97   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.45R    1.59  
Stoke           32   34  -10      -6.45    22.22    -5.14    51.77     5.11   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.57R    1.08  
Wigan           32   30  -17      -6.35    22.16    -6.30    46.74     4.99   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.31R    8.25  
Luton           32   27  -28      -5.14    27.25    -7.74    42.03     5.03   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.20R   36.45  
Barnsley        32   25  -21     -10.06    11.41    -6.87    39.95     5.01   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.80R   52.07  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 February 2020, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            30   56  +24       3.52    66.38     6.22    81.76     5.09    34.45    55.82    74.83    97.07    81.17P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         32   55  +27      -0.55    47.10     8.23    76.29     4.59    34.73    12.22    33.72    84.98    48.68P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             29   54  +13      10.22    90.64     6.90    75.49     5.34    14.54    10.26    25.13    73.11    34.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   53   +3      11.98    93.05     5.24    70.35     4.86     2.41     1.08     3.89    33.63     8.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           30   51  +15      -2.10    39.02    -3.15    74.39     5.06    21.20     7.02    19.29    69.76    34.98P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           29   50  +13       1.16    55.28    -1.00    74.43     5.29    18.78     7.61    19.88    67.97    32.82P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              31   49  +11       0.55    52.75     2.20    71.43     4.85    18.05     1.47     6.44    47.00    17.31P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            30   48  +17      -1.98    40.26     3.54    69.68     5.12    20.80     1.14     4.39    35.32    12.62P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       29   48  +10       3.12    65.18     2.42    70.27     5.28    12.77     1.75     5.82    37.01    12.53P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   45  +14       1.46    57.43     8.44    70.43     5.25    21.66     1.56     6.15    41.59    14.44P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           30   43   +7       1.08    55.63     5.55    63.79     5.08     9.31     0.03     0.21     6.00     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        30   43   +3      -1.74    41.37    -2.39    63.55     5.13     5.15     0.04     0.25     5.71     1.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       30   39   -8       0.29    52.07    -4.71    55.75     4.92   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         32   38   -2      -2.20    40.26     3.28    55.06     4.74    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool            29   37   +1      -3.32    33.84     0.02    58.07     5.20     1.86     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   36   -2      -1.88    41.39     3.10    53.90     5.02    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   35   -9      -1.82    41.13    -5.43    54.34     5.06   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.09R    0.00  
MK_Dons              31   33   -9      -4.25    30.89    -1.46    47.65     4.71   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Rochdale             31   33  -16      -1.04    45.97    -1.79    48.05     4.74   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   29   -9      -5.92    22.69     0.08    45.19     4.83   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.13R    0.01  
Tranmere             30   23  -25      -4.64    27.46    -3.23    34.38     4.55   -37.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.97R    2.99  
Southend             30   16  -43     -11.18     5.85   -17.65    29.24     4.75   -54.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.99R   26.73  
Bolton               28   11  -35      -2.90    35.34   -14.40    24.57     4.98   -48.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   70.27  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 February 2020, Bradford 3 1 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          33   63  +21       9.42    86.01     8.71    86.01     4.94    28.74    40.96    85.60    99.91    89.43P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            32   61  +21       9.72    86.77     9.90    82.52     5.18    24.36    17.48    61.69    98.78    70.45P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           32   60  +13       9.06    85.56     2.76    82.46     5.15    17.80    14.87    58.23    98.63    68.47P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         31   57  +16       4.46    69.73     0.91    83.71     5.39    25.09    24.59    69.83    99.10    78.41P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   52  +16      -1.45    43.51     4.16    72.28     4.98    19.65     0.26     4.51    67.66    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      32   52  +12       2.25    60.44     3.42    71.86     5.18    13.00     0.34     4.43    61.57    17.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       31   51  +20       4.03    68.48    13.42    74.78     5.36    24.69     1.40    12.81    82.16    29.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         33   51   +7      -1.00    45.55    -2.82    70.84     4.96    10.01     0.08     2.29    53.14    16.08P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        33   51   +3       7.47    81.00     5.06    67.68     4.86     1.52     0.01     0.52    25.59     4.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     33   45   +2      -2.55    38.63    -1.48    62.47     4.89     1.48     0.00     0.03     6.03     1.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Salford_City     33   41   -1       2.05    60.22     8.63    56.21     4.84    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.04R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd    33   41   -7       2.01    60.30     1.65    56.20     4.80   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P    0.02R    0.02  
Newport_County   30   40   +1      -0.66    47.19     1.07    61.08     5.45     0.18     0.00     0.03     4.85     1.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     33   40   -1      -1.16    45.30     5.17    57.64     4.87    -1.43     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.17P    0.03R    0.03  
Walsall          33   40  -12      -4.05    32.45   -10.50    56.80     4.90   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P    0.05R    0.05  
Grimsby          31   38   -3      -0.50    48.28     2.18    56.07     5.18    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P    0.06R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient    33   38   -8      -0.21    50.02     2.72    52.62     4.81   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.35R    0.35  
Scunthorpe       33   36   -9     -10.40    12.01   -10.49    55.03     4.99    -7.33     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.16R    0.16  
Oldham           33   36  -15      -6.65    22.36   -10.94    52.82     4.92   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.48R    0.48  
Macclesfield     32   35   -7      -0.21    50.05     4.67    49.45     4.82   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.90R    1.90  
Carlisle         32   34  -17      -4.78    28.89    -9.19    52.57     5.12   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.83R    0.83  
Mansfield        33   32   -8     -15.93     3.11   -11.88    50.35     4.98    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    1.42  
Morecambe        33   30  -23      -3.97    31.84    -6.00    43.14     4.65   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.88R   21.88  
Stevenage        33   22  -21     -15.93     2.18   -11.15    37.69     4.82   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.79R   72.79  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 February 2020, Eastleigh 2 2 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             33   63  +29       7.69    80.74    13.89    84.09     4.96    33.85    71.38    98.59    78.36P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     34   59  +13       5.35    72.16     2.52    77.15     4.80    15.51    10.82    78.56    26.04P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            33   55   +4      10.10    87.85     4.39    72.72     4.95     3.94     2.10    43.29     8.90P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             34   54  +14      -4.32    31.41    -3.68    74.08     4.78    19.39     3.85    60.00    21.29P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       32   52  +14       4.72    70.87     8.93    73.57     5.21    17.59     3.40    54.32    14.03P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     34   51  +11      -2.00    41.02     1.55    71.05     4.72    16.28     0.74    34.60     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            34   51   +9       0.91    53.87     4.03    69.94     4.82    12.74     0.47    26.01     6.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       32   50  +16      -6.25    23.51    -2.59    74.78     5.18    24.42     6.47    66.32    27.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     33   50   +1       3.42    65.43    -0.90    67.35     4.99     0.32     0.22    11.81     2.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool         34   47   +4      -0.24    49.23     3.39    63.81     4.72     4.50     0.01     3.16     0.57P    0.12R    0.00  
Stockport          34   47   -6       6.41    76.30     3.62    60.43     4.69   -10.81     0.00     0.56     0.08P    1.17R    0.00  
Woking             33   47   -7       8.34    82.63     3.38    61.99     4.89   -11.52     0.00     1.47     0.22P    0.75R    0.00  
Barnet             31   46   +7      -0.43    48.22     1.02    68.43     5.42     9.73     0.54    19.80     5.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Sutton_United      33   42   +3      -3.52    34.42     2.49    60.73     4.99     4.36     0.00     0.95     0.20P    1.10R    0.00  
Torquay            33   42   -6       2.49    61.64     4.39    57.56     5.00    -9.82     0.00     0.23     0.04P    5.53R    0.06  
Eastleigh          33   42   -6      -0.89    46.47    -2.09    57.67     4.84    -9.34     0.00     0.15     0.02P    4.71R    0.03  
Maidenhead         33   41   -7       2.82    63.73     4.01    57.52     4.96    -9.17     0.00     0.15     0.03P    6.14R    0.05  
Aldershot          34   40  -10       0.35    52.43     0.04    54.07     4.60   -13.44     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.95R    0.18  
Wrexham            34   39   -2     -10.46    11.75    -6.40    55.36     4.71    -2.06     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.00R    0.07  
Dag_&_Red          33   38   -5      -5.63    25.90    -2.90    54.18     4.85    -7.27     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.37R    0.15  
Chesterfield       34   37  -14      -7.13    21.04    -9.81    53.03     4.72   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.51R    0.49  
AFC_Fylde          32   32  -13     -12.44     7.26   -13.63    51.95     5.22   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.00P   32.35R    1.37  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   30  -21     -10.21    11.53   -12.70    45.75     4.89   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.01R   10.83  
Chorley            33   26  -28      -3.21    36.12    -2.95    37.54     4.57   -37.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.24R   86.77