Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 9 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 February 2020, Sheff_Utd 2 1 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        25   73  +45      16.07    99.89     6.92   103.44     4.00    67.01   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   51  +36      -6.25    15.54    -4.53    80.72     4.14    57.86     0.00    92.08    99.77    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        25   49  +28       6.24    80.84    15.18    71.50     4.89    35.15     0.00     7.75    86.31    96.98    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          25   41   +9      -2.12    38.22    -4.23    62.83     4.82    15.05     0.00     0.15     8.13    51.99    89.11     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        26   39   +4       6.94    83.04     9.69    54.80     4.64     3.25     0.00     0.00     0.37     4.50    30.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   37   +8      -6.57    17.31    -6.02    60.28     4.94    16.14     0.00     0.01     4.20    31.00    77.43     0.00     0.00  
Everton          26   36   -4       0.33    52.06    -2.86    51.49     4.58    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.07    11.66     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          25   35   +7      -6.08    19.76    -2.81    56.33     4.86    12.17     0.00     0.00     0.84     9.65    48.24     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    25   35   +3       2.07    61.72     5.91    54.04     4.94     4.80     0.00     0.00     0.29     3.91    27.59     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          25   31   -2      -7.43    15.73    -7.68    50.85     4.82     0.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.78    10.48     0.14R    0.01  
Burnley          25   31  -10       3.95    72.55     1.60    45.80     4.64   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.06     2.35R    0.08  
Newcastle        25   31  -12       2.26    63.55    -3.54    46.19     4.65   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.19     2.12R    0.05  
Southampton      25   31  -15       5.08    77.61     0.05    46.93     4.86   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.07     1.95R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   26   30   -9      -1.46    42.46    -2.26    44.25     4.49   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     3.79R    0.10  
Brighton         26   27   -7      -1.33    43.31     4.91    39.06     4.32   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    21.83R    1.73  
Bournemouth      26   26  -14      -3.57    31.84    -3.37    37.24     4.26   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.14R    4.23  
Aston_Villa      25   25  -15      -0.34    49.28     2.11    36.76     4.56   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.52R    6.60  
West_Ham         25   24  -13      -5.21    23.77    -4.03    38.37     4.60   -20.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    31.08R    4.02  
Watford          26   24  -16      -4.57    26.58    -3.91    35.89     4.32   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.97R    9.32  
Norwich          25   18  -23      -4.20    27.40    -1.13    29.02     4.39   -36.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.07R   73.79  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 February 2020, Millwall 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       31   59  +22       3.64    66.37     2.11    85.47     5.38    31.11    56.39    78.26    99.09    84.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    31   55  +17       4.01    68.19     4.53    80.18     5.35    23.96    15.09    39.91    93.47    55.18P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   55  +14       5.20    72.57     3.07    77.73     5.46    17.21     7.96    22.91    84.06    38.26P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   31   54  +13       7.58    81.94     7.10    76.52     5.30    15.90     4.55    15.16    79.12    29.09P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   53  +27      -0.96    44.94     9.72    79.29     5.34    35.62    14.52    36.25    91.94    54.95P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         31   50   +9       3.62    66.68     3.18    71.83     5.39    10.81     0.82     3.72    47.15    13.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    31   50   +2       5.44    74.30    -0.99    70.24     5.39     1.56     0.39     1.95    32.60     7.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         31   46   +0       1.20    55.82    -3.41    67.42     5.46     1.29     0.08     0.65    17.42     4.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         31   46   +0       1.63    58.08    -2.75    67.11     5.34     0.99     0.08     0.43    15.46     3.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall        31   45   +1       5.15    73.75     4.49    65.27     5.36     0.70     0.02     0.18     9.62     1.80P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       31   44   +7      -0.83    46.26     3.39    65.57     5.37     8.46     0.05     0.31    11.89     2.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       31   44   +5       0.29    51.70     3.25    64.89     5.43     5.42     0.02     0.19     9.42     2.04P    0.06R    0.00  
Derby           31   43   -3      -2.44    38.72    -7.46    63.21     5.36    -3.56     0.01     0.08     4.93     1.18P    0.14R    0.00  
Hull            31   40   -1      -2.23    39.88    -0.24    60.63     5.40    -1.10     0.00     0.01     2.04     0.44P    0.74R    0.01  
Birmingham      31   40   -8       1.78    59.19    -1.46    58.56     5.30   -11.22     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.11P    1.97R    0.02  
Reading         31   39   +2      -0.04    50.42     6.81    58.37     5.26     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P    1.72R    0.04  
QPR             31   38   -9       1.80    59.08     1.84    55.86     5.32   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    6.26R    0.20  
Middlesbrough   31   36   -8      -6.35    21.86    -8.28    57.34     5.31    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    3.28R    0.07  
Huddersfield    31   35  -11      -1.55    43.45    -2.20    52.48     5.22   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.67R    0.80  
Stoke           31   34   -8      -5.56    25.16    -3.80    53.37     5.31    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   11.89R    0.56  
Charlton        31   33   -5      -4.79    29.01     2.04    51.70     5.32    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    18.79R    1.13  
Wigan           31   29  -17      -5.93    23.27    -6.22    46.92     5.20   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.69R    7.88  
Barnsley        31   25  -20      -9.25    13.13    -6.72    41.64     5.27   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.56R   33.82  
Luton           31   24  -29      -6.48    21.31    -8.00    39.85     5.25   -37.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.12R   55.47  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 February 2020, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            30   56  +24       3.45    66.01     6.08    81.84     5.11    34.56    56.24    75.66    97.40    81.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   53   +4      12.96    94.76     5.69    71.96     5.10     3.74     2.56     8.07    47.99    13.90P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         31   52  +23      -0.39    48.08     7.47    75.50     4.78    32.40     9.64    28.12    81.25    43.33P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             28   51  +12       8.81    87.66     6.23    73.78     5.56    13.45     6.72    17.63    62.47    26.39P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           28   50  +14       2.17    60.78    -0.62    75.85     5.52    19.88    12.60    29.70    76.57    42.45P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           29   48  +12      -2.58    36.75    -4.39    73.52     5.30    19.37     5.65    16.06    63.78    31.04P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              30   48  +11       1.00    54.90     2.33    71.98     5.07    18.33     2.37     9.10    52.80    20.88P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            29   45  +16      -3.04    35.18     3.48    69.18     5.28    21.63     1.11     4.16    33.64    12.36P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       28   45   +9       1.87    59.32     1.99    68.32     5.53    11.31     0.98     3.52    26.52     8.65P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           28   44  +14       1.83    59.21     8.44    70.61     5.47    21.37     2.04     7.42    44.06    15.57P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        29   42   +3      -1.19    44.23    -2.08    64.00     5.34     5.25     0.07     0.41     7.78     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           29   40   +6      -0.07    50.00     5.26    61.66     5.24     7.66     0.01     0.09     3.20     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       29   38   -8       0.71    54.38    -4.58    56.28     5.17   -11.48     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool            28   37   +2      -2.26    38.79     0.49    59.92     5.43     3.63     0.00     0.04     1.88     0.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         31   37   -2      -1.65    42.57     3.49    55.93     5.00    -0.33     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   35   -7      -0.86    45.95    -4.00    56.22     5.34    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   29   33   -4      -2.97    35.88     2.05    51.66     5.21    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.50R    0.00  
Rochdale             30   33  -13      -0.88    46.41    -0.91    48.85     4.91   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76R    0.00  
MK_Dons              30   32   -9      -3.93    31.80    -1.47    47.62     4.90   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   28   -9      -5.85    22.85    -0.13    45.30     5.05   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.31R    0.01  
Tranmere             29   22  -25      -4.56    27.47    -3.34    34.62     4.79   -37.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.58R    3.79  
Southend             29   16  -39     -11.40     5.54   -16.90    29.91     4.89   -51.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.61R   25.12  
Bolton               27   11  -34      -2.13    39.65   -14.56    24.95     5.13   -49.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.69R   71.07  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 February 2020, Bradford 1 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          32   60  +20       8.03    82.61     8.03    84.08     5.14    27.31    36.37    79.78    99.55    84.88P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            31   58  +20       8.72    84.90     9.88    81.41     5.35    24.14    19.34    60.86    97.91    69.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           31   57   +9       9.05    85.90     1.06    80.66     5.35    13.56    13.83    51.73    96.86    62.44P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         30   54  +15       3.52    65.62     1.00    82.35     5.63    24.41    25.40    66.96    98.10    75.96P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       32   52  +17      -0.09    49.59     5.10    74.30     5.12    21.53     1.58    13.95    80.52    32.71P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      31   52  +13       3.21    64.74     3.83    73.44     5.42    14.33     1.67    11.76    72.96    26.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       30   48  +19       2.75    63.32    12.94    73.15     5.58    23.72     1.63    11.96    73.16    26.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         32   48   +5      -1.53    42.93    -3.25    69.48     5.12     8.38     0.16     2.32    42.60    13.16P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        32   48   +2       6.21    77.68     4.51    65.51     5.03    -0.16     0.01     0.35    15.54     3.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     32   45   +3      -1.33    44.07    -0.80    64.25     5.04     3.11     0.01     0.25    11.77     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     32   41   +0       2.84    63.81     8.61    57.31     5.05    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.15P    0.02R    0.02  
Crawley_Town     32   40   +0      -0.55    48.08     4.97    58.68     5.11    -0.98     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.29P    0.02R    0.02  
Newport_County   29   39   +1      -0.17    49.65     1.32    61.58     5.65     0.39     0.00     0.09     6.48     1.45P    0.01R    0.01  
Walsall          32   39  -12      -3.82    33.09   -10.60    57.02     5.14   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.12P    0.03R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd    32   38   -9       0.78    54.72     0.20    53.85     4.96   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.19R    0.19  
Scunthorpe       32   36   -7      -9.60    13.66    -9.37    57.27     5.22    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.20P    0.08R    0.08  
Oldham           32   36  -11      -6.68    21.70    -9.21    54.24     5.11   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.28R    0.28  
Grimsby          30   35   -4      -1.88    41.30     1.39    53.60     5.29    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.38R    0.38  
Macclesfield     31   35   -5       0.47    53.14     5.68    51.00     5.06   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.26R    1.26  
Leyton_Orient    32   35   -9      -1.50    43.73     2.17    50.69     5.01   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.22R    1.22  
Carlisle         31   34  -16      -3.84    32.45    -8.76    54.03     5.37   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.54R    0.54  
Mansfield        32   32   -7     -14.94     3.67   -11.42    52.01     5.20    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P    0.76R    0.76  
Morecambe        32   27  -25      -4.90    27.34    -6.80    41.33     4.83   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.42R   36.42  
Stevenage        32   22  -19     -15.40     2.29   -10.48    38.69     4.98   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.79R   58.79  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 February 2020, Bromley 2 2 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             33   63  +29       7.66    80.97    13.84    84.02     4.98    33.78    70.86    98.59    77.85P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     33   56  +10       4.67    69.94     0.87    75.11     5.04    11.85     5.88    63.87    18.36P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            33   55   +4      10.15    88.24     4.50    72.71     4.96     3.94     2.24    43.77     9.13P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             33   54  +17      -3.86    32.76    -2.14    75.80     5.04    22.92     8.50    72.75    29.19P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       32   52  +14       4.71    70.92     8.97    73.49     5.21    17.46     3.38    54.18    14.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            34   51   +9       0.95    54.46     4.09    70.06     4.83    12.91     0.48    27.46     5.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       32   50  +16      -6.41    22.95    -2.80    74.80     5.18    24.47     6.78    66.86    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     33   50   +1       3.57    66.20    -0.71    67.32     4.99     0.27     0.21    11.82     2.40P    0.03R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     33   48  +10      -3.01    36.53     1.48    69.49     4.98    15.39     0.39    25.44     6.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool         34   47   +4      -0.15    49.57     3.51    63.82     4.74     4.52     0.01     3.35     0.67P    0.11R    0.00  
Stockport          34   47   -6       6.27    76.07     3.41    60.45     4.71   -10.75     0.00     0.62     0.12P    1.26R    0.00  
Woking             33   47   -7       8.37    82.56     3.44    62.04     4.89   -11.44     0.02     1.61     0.23P    0.73R    0.00  
Barnet             30   46   +8       0.23    51.09     1.12    69.80     5.61    10.76     1.23    28.01     7.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      33   42   +3      -3.40    35.23     2.63    60.69     4.96     4.32     0.00     0.97     0.22P    1.15R    0.00  
Torquay            33   42   -6       2.34    61.06     4.09    57.69     5.00    -9.67     0.00     0.25     0.03P    5.35R    0.03  
Eastleigh          32   41   -6      -0.56    47.93    -2.16    58.05     5.11    -9.30     0.00     0.25     0.05P    5.04R    0.04  
Maidenhead         33   41   -7       2.92    63.99     4.15    57.41     4.93    -9.33     0.00     0.13     0.02P    6.40R    0.05  
Aldershot          34   40  -10       0.59    53.52     0.38    53.95     4.58   -13.59     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.69R    0.17  
Wrexham            34   39   -2     -10.47    11.50    -6.33    55.30     4.69    -2.14     0.00     0.02     0.01P    9.13R    0.07  
Dag_&_Red          33   38   -5      -5.76    25.47    -3.03    54.25     4.87    -7.20     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.11R    0.17  
Chesterfield       34   37  -14      -7.10    21.42    -9.76    53.00     4.74   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.70R    0.54  
AFC_Fylde          31   31  -13     -11.93     7.59   -13.48    52.32     5.47   -11.98     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.00R    1.29  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   30  -21     -10.38    11.43   -12.98    45.80     4.87   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.99R   10.50  
Chorley            33   26  -28      -3.29    35.40    -3.08    37.54     4.56   -37.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.29R   87.14