Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 8 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 February 2020, Brighton 1 1 Watford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 25 73 +45 15.98 99.87 6.75 103.47 3.98 67.10 99.98 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_City 25 51 +36 -6.27 15.50 -4.64 80.70 4.16 57.90 0.02 92.33 99.78 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00
Leicester 25 49 +28 6.25 81.03 15.20 71.40 4.88 35.00 0.00 7.47 86.01 96.81 99.81 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 25 41 +9 -2.05 38.66 -4.13 62.82 4.79 14.97 0.00 0.18 8.19 52.44 89.74 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 25 37 +8 -6.59 17.29 -6.08 60.31 4.93 16.18 0.00 0.02 4.42 31.44 78.64 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 25 36 +3 5.84 79.92 9.45 53.33 4.92 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.27 3.13 23.59 0.01R 0.00
Everton 26 36 -4 0.25 51.64 -2.99 51.55 4.58 -5.54 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.06 12.43 0.03R 0.00
Man_Utd 25 35 +7 -6.15 19.54 -2.94 56.41 4.87 12.30 0.00 0.00 0.91 10.10 50.78 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 25 35 +3 2.06 61.68 5.89 54.06 4.94 4.81 0.00 0.00 0.34 4.05 28.51 0.03R 0.00
Arsenal 25 31 -2 -7.49 15.24 -7.83 50.92 4.83 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.81 11.33 0.15R 0.00
Burnley 25 31 -10 3.95 72.22 1.59 45.82 4.63 -15.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.02 2.47R 0.05
Newcastle 25 31 -12 2.29 63.92 -3.50 46.21 4.64 -16.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.29 2.20R 0.06
Southampton 25 31 -15 5.19 78.12 0.31 46.88 4.87 -18.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 2.28 2.12R 0.07
Crystal_Palace 26 30 -9 -1.45 42.83 -2.26 44.21 4.49 -12.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.48 4.15R 0.08
Brighton 26 27 -7 -1.33 43.42 4.90 39.02 4.33 -14.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 23.56R 1.82
Bournemouth 25 26 -13 -2.65 36.24 -3.02 38.38 4.48 -22.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 33.26R 3.07
Aston_Villa 25 25 -15 -0.30 49.68 2.31 36.78 4.61 -25.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 48.96R 6.77
West_Ham 25 24 -13 -5.17 23.89 -3.95 38.27 4.60 -20.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 33.36R 4.49
Watford 26 24 -16 -4.54 26.71 -3.87 35.92 4.29 -23.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.30R 9.25
Norwich 25 18 -23 -4.22 27.44 -1.18 29.03 4.37 -36.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.40R 74.34
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 February 2020, Barnsley 1 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
West_Brom 30 56 +20 2.98 63.53 1.60 83.70 5.60 28.85 46.18 68.78 97.69 77.68P 0.00 0.00
Leeds_United 31 55 +17 4.05 68.28 4.54 80.13 5.33 23.90 18.18 41.40 93.41 56.28P 0.00 0.00
Fulham 31 55 +14 5.00 71.91 2.76 77.79 5.46 17.30 9.94 24.75 83.84 39.66P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 31 54 +13 7.41 81.05 6.87 76.58 5.36 16.00 6.06 17.23 79.08 30.94P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 31 53 +27 -1.01 44.77 9.74 79.32 5.34 35.67 17.47 39.04 91.87 56.68P 0.00 0.00
Preston 31 50 +9 3.85 67.56 3.50 71.73 5.42 10.68 1.23 4.26 45.70 13.23P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 31 50 +2 5.48 74.31 -0.87 70.21 5.37 1.51 0.53 2.14 31.89 7.75P 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 31 46 +0 1.31 56.16 -3.21 67.38 5.46 1.24 0.13 0.71 17.17 4.29P 0.02R 0.00
Swansea 31 46 +0 1.61 57.91 -2.82 67.09 5.32 1.00 0.08 0.54 15.13 3.65P 0.01R 0.00
Millwall 30 45 +3 5.70 76.17 5.35 66.67 5.58 2.72 0.11 0.50 15.08 3.09P 0.04R 0.00
Sheff_Wed 31 44 +7 -0.84 46.23 3.35 65.51 5.37 8.38 0.04 0.30 11.39 2.82P 0.03R 0.00
Blackburn 31 44 +5 0.43 52.41 3.45 64.85 5.42 5.32 0.05 0.24 9.08 2.06P 0.06R 0.00
Derby 31 43 -3 -2.43 38.94 -7.47 63.17 5.39 -3.58 0.01 0.07 4.85 1.11P 0.15R 0.00
Hull 31 40 -1 -2.08 40.66 -0.01 60.61 5.36 -1.13 0.00 0.02 1.92 0.41P 0.75R 0.01
Birmingham 31 40 -8 1.89 59.49 -1.26 58.55 5.32 -11.27 0.00 0.01 0.65 0.12P 2.07R 0.03
Reading 31 39 +2 -0.35 48.96 6.25 58.61 5.28 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.12P 1.61R 0.02
QPR 31 38 -9 1.62 58.48 1.44 56.02 5.32 -13.41 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 5.92R 0.16
Middlesbrough 31 36 -8 -6.34 22.11 -8.28 57.31 5.30 -6.55 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.08P 3.10R 0.07
Huddersfield 31 35 -11 -1.60 43.17 -2.30 52.51 5.24 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 16.47R 0.77
Stoke 31 34 -8 -5.87 24.07 -4.26 53.54 5.34 -9.40 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 11.58R 0.56
Charlton 31 33 -5 -4.67 29.58 2.23 51.62 5.29 -7.96 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 19.27R 1.09
Wigan 31 29 -17 -6.06 22.58 -6.41 46.97 5.19 -20.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.39R 7.50
Barnsley 31 25 -20 -9.03 13.61 -6.35 41.54 5.25 -26.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.06R 34.16
Luton 31 24 -29 -6.37 21.85 -7.85 39.77 5.24 -37.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.48R 55.62
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 February 2020, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Rotherham 30 56 +24 3.51 66.03 6.18 81.82 5.09 34.51 56.16 75.55 97.24 81.75P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 30 53 +4 12.96 94.76 5.74 71.98 5.04 3.80 2.42 7.88 48.30 13.72P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 31 52 +23 -0.59 46.93 7.15 75.57 4.75 32.54 10.05 28.54 81.67 43.87P 0.00 0.00
Coventry 28 51 +12 8.78 87.66 6.13 73.83 5.58 13.50 6.95 18.01 62.61 26.59P 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 28 50 +14 2.14 60.53 -0.68 75.88 5.53 19.95 12.49 29.73 76.57 42.26P 0.00 0.00
Sunderland 29 48 +12 -2.60 36.70 -4.38 73.48 5.27 19.30 5.32 15.55 63.55 30.59P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 30 48 +11 0.78 53.85 1.98 72.11 5.09 18.54 2.51 9.61 53.73 21.56P 0.00 0.00
Doncaster 29 45 +16 -2.92 35.39 3.70 69.08 5.25 21.48 1.10 3.96 32.41 11.71P 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 28 45 +9 1.78 58.78 1.83 68.39 5.49 11.41 0.95 3.49 27.00 8.83P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 28 44 +14 1.78 59.01 8.29 70.58 5.46 21.34 1.97 7.13 43.78 15.91P 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 29 42 +3 -1.04 45.02 -1.90 63.89 5.31 5.12 0.05 0.42 7.38 1.88P 0.00 0.00
Gillingham 29 40 +6 -0.20 49.27 5.09 61.67 5.25 7.70 0.01 0.08 3.21 0.75P 0.00R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 29 38 -8 0.76 54.56 -4.54 56.23 5.19 -11.54 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 0.03R 0.00
Blackpool 28 37 +2 -2.09 39.65 0.76 59.80 5.43 3.44 0.01 0.04 1.90 0.45P 0.01R 0.00
Lincoln_City 31 37 -2 -1.64 42.56 3.59 55.93 4.97 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 0.03R 0.00
Shrewsbury 28 35 -7 -0.92 45.75 -4.08 56.30 5.32 -7.73 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.07P 0.05R 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 29 33 -4 -3.04 35.38 1.97 51.69 5.20 -6.97 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.47R 0.00
Rochdale 30 33 -13 -0.75 46.94 -0.73 48.85 4.89 -18.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.68R 0.00
MK_Dons 30 32 -9 -4.07 31.44 -1.68 47.68 4.91 -14.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.34R 0.01
AFC_Wimbledon 29 28 -9 -5.76 22.95 -0.03 45.25 5.05 -13.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.27R 0.02
Tranmere 29 22 -25 -4.30 28.50 -2.95 34.55 4.78 -38.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.81R 3.96
Southend 29 16 -39 -11.36 5.56 -16.82 29.84 4.87 -51.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.64R 25.92
Bolton 27 11 -34 -2.22 39.09 -14.63 25.03 5.17 -49.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.68R 70.08
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 February 2020, Bradford 1 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1
Swindon 32 60 +20 7.89 82.09 7.80 84.10 5.15 27.34 36.17 80.25 99.55 85.34P 0.00 0.00
Crewe 31 58 +20 8.64 84.20 9.79 81.43 5.39 24.18 19.43 60.79 97.98 69.38P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 31 57 +9 9.18 86.46 1.23 80.57 5.39 13.44 13.19 51.00 96.58 61.71P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 30 54 +15 3.29 65.41 0.68 82.46 5.63 24.60 26.22 67.73 98.30 76.98P 0.00 0.00
Colchester 32 52 +17 -0.01 49.91 5.28 74.15 5.18 21.36 1.58 13.43 79.50 32.45P 0.00 0.00
Northampton 31 52 +13 3.30 65.12 3.97 73.45 5.40 14.34 1.63 11.83 73.04 26.12P 0.00 0.00
Cheltenham 30 48 +19 2.89 64.14 13.11 73.15 5.59 23.71 1.61 11.99 73.67 26.69P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 32 48 +5 -1.68 42.12 -3.43 69.52 5.15 8.45 0.16 2.38 42.86 13.25P 0.00 0.00
Port_Vale 32 48 +2 6.19 77.46 4.49 65.50 5.00 -0.16 0.01 0.30 15.48 2.94P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 32 45 +3 -1.35 44.00 -0.79 64.26 5.06 3.11 0.00 0.19 11.99 2.74P 0.00 0.00
Salford_City 32 41 +0 2.87 63.82 8.63 57.33 5.06 -4.31 0.00 0.01 0.89 0.16P 0.02R 0.02
Crawley_Town 32 40 +0 -0.47 48.46 5.04 58.69 5.11 -0.99 0.00 0.00 1.50 0.28P 0.01R 0.01
Newport_County 29 39 +1 -0.17 49.60 1.33 61.60 5.65 0.41 0.00 0.10 6.48 1.47P 0.00R 0.00
Walsall 32 39 -12 -4.00 32.47 -10.84 57.11 5.13 -13.30 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.15P 0.07R 0.07
Cambridge_Utd 32 38 -9 0.78 54.90 0.21 53.78 4.96 -13.79 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.17R 0.17
Scunthorpe 32 36 -7 -9.57 13.82 -9.34 57.26 5.23 -3.96 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.20P 0.06R 0.06
Oldham 32 36 -11 -6.64 21.86 -9.15 54.32 5.11 -12.29 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.22R 0.22
Grimsby 30 35 -4 -1.88 41.48 1.39 53.60 5.28 -8.64 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 0.34R 0.34
Macclesfield 31 35 -5 0.30 52.44 5.47 51.05 5.03 -11.43 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 1.19R 1.19
Leyton_Orient 32 35 -9 -1.18 45.55 2.65 50.53 5.01 -14.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.30R 1.30
Carlisle 31 34 -16 -3.79 33.05 -8.71 54.03 5.37 -16.80 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 0.57R 0.57
Mansfield 32 32 -7 -14.86 4.06 -11.33 51.96 5.20 -5.91 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.78R 0.78
Morecambe 32 27 -25 -5.07 26.65 -7.08 41.43 4.87 -32.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.29R 35.29
Stevenage 32 22 -19 -15.39 2.29 -10.42 38.61 5.00 -22.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.97R 59.97
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 February 2020, Bromley 2 2 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Barrow 33 63 +29 7.72 81.20 13.94 84.05 4.92 33.84 71.07 98.64 77.91P 0.00 0.00
Harrogate_Town 33 56 +10 4.72 70.36 1.00 75.09 5.04 11.82 5.94 63.92 18.10P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 33 55 +4 10.11 87.67 4.40 72.74 4.98 3.97 2.25 44.08 9.02P 0.00 0.00
Yeovil 33 54 +17 -3.90 32.65 -2.18 75.86 5.00 23.01 8.38 73.30 29.47P 0.00 0.00
Boreham_Wood 32 52 +14 4.39 69.70 8.54 73.60 5.19 17.62 3.38 55.36 14.34P 0.00 0.00
Bromley 34 51 +9 1.00 54.53 4.17 70.00 4.85 12.83 0.45 26.95 5.83P 0.00R 0.00
Notts_County 32 50 +16 -6.42 22.96 -2.75 74.78 5.22 24.44 6.69 66.17 27.60P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 33 50 +1 3.59 66.30 -0.62 67.31 5.01 0.24 0.18 11.64 2.33P 0.01R 0.00
Solihull_Moors 33 48 +10 -2.94 36.76 1.54 69.50 4.98 15.39 0.42 25.26 6.82P 0.01R 0.00
Hartlepool 34 47 +4 -0.20 49.34 3.44 63.78 4.72 4.48 0.01 3.15 0.57P 0.09R 0.00
Stockport 34 47 -6 6.41 76.72 3.59 60.43 4.70 -10.79 0.00 0.63 0.08P 1.15R 0.00
Woking 33 47 -7 8.32 82.69 3.38 62.04 4.90 -11.43 0.01 1.56 0.23P 0.69R 0.00
Barnet 30 46 +8 0.28 51.57 1.16 69.76 5.60 10.71 1.22 27.61 7.35P 0.01R 0.00
Sutton_United 33 42 +3 -3.46 35.06 2.57 60.71 5.01 4.35 0.00 1.05 0.23P 1.16R 0.00
Torquay 33 42 -6 2.44 61.43 4.26 57.65 5.02 -9.77 0.00 0.19 0.02P 5.53R 0.05
Eastleigh 32 41 -6 -0.52 48.17 -2.13 58.05 5.09 -9.30 0.00 0.31 0.07P 4.93R 0.04
Maidenhead 33 41 -7 2.86 63.63 4.03 57.40 4.92 -9.34 0.00 0.12 0.02P 6.30R 0.04
Aldershot 34 40 -10 0.43 52.82 0.13 54.02 4.57 -13.52 0.00 0.01 0.00 18.20R 0.15
Wrexham 34 39 -2 -10.53 11.38 -6.45 55.30 4.70 -2.13 0.00 0.02 0.01P 9.44R 0.09
Dag_&_Red 33 38 -5 -5.59 26.27 -2.81 54.14 4.85 -7.35 0.00 0.01 0.00 16.66R 0.22
Chesterfield 34 37 -14 -7.01 21.68 -9.63 53.01 4.72 -14.87 0.00 0.00 0.00P 24.68R 0.53
AFC_Fylde 31 31 -13 -11.99 7.66 -13.54 52.36 5.44 -11.92 0.00 0.02 0.00P 30.72R 1.24
Ebbsfleet_United 33 30 -21 -10.20 11.72 -12.73 45.77 4.88 -24.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.14R 10.84
Chorley 33 26 -28 -3.40 35.13 -3.30 37.60 4.56 -37.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.28R 86.80
