Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 5 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 February 2020, Burnley 0 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 25 73 +45 16.05 99.87 6.90 103.44 3.99 67.06 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 51 +36 -6.22 15.74 -4.55 80.73 4.14 57.91 0.01 91.99 99.80 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 25 49 +28 6.16 80.45 15.01 71.55 4.87 35.20 0.00 7.81 86.45 97.02 99.88 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 41 +9 -2.03 38.79 -4.09 62.82 4.82 14.98 0.00 0.16 8.04 52.54 90.11 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 37 +8 -6.60 17.31 -6.06 60.32 4.93 16.23 0.00 0.03 4.22 31.76 79.53 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 25 36 +3 5.82 79.60 9.46 53.36 4.90 2.56 0.00 0.00 0.24 3.13 23.94 0.01R 0.00 Man_Utd 25 35 +7 -6.07 19.84 -2.83 56.35 4.88 12.17 0.00 0.00 0.93 9.96 51.25 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 25 35 +3 2.05 61.69 5.84 54.08 4.90 4.84 0.00 0.00 0.25 4.02 29.72 0.02R 0.00 Everton 25 33 -6 -0.52 47.45 -3.71 49.78 4.81 -7.76 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.55 7.61 0.28R 0.00 Arsenal 25 31 -2 -7.46 15.50 -7.78 50.94 4.81 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.80 11.50 0.16R 0.00 Burnley 25 31 -10 3.98 72.26 1.64 45.76 4.64 -15.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.21 2.73R 0.06 Newcastle 25 31 -12 2.23 63.35 -3.57 46.16 4.68 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.44 2.62R 0.03 Southampton 25 31 -15 5.26 78.43 0.36 46.87 4.85 -18.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 2.35 2.28R 0.07 Crystal_Palace 25 30 -7 -0.93 45.48 -1.59 45.60 4.73 -10.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.36 2.61R 0.04 Brighton 25 26 -7 -0.90 45.77 5.02 39.54 4.57 -13.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 22.33R 1.94 Bournemouth 25 26 -13 -2.65 36.02 -3.04 38.34 4.47 -22.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 34.32R 2.92 Aston_Villa 25 25 -15 -0.27 49.70 2.33 36.76 4.55 -25.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 50.39R 6.66 West_Ham 25 24 -13 -5.22 23.74 -4.02 38.33 4.59 -20.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 33.47R 4.23 Watford 25 23 -16 -4.37 27.18 -4.15 36.14 4.55 -23.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.99R 9.60 Norwich 25 18 -23 -4.22 27.16 -1.18 29.02 4.37 -36.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.81R 74.44Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Birmingham 2 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 30 56 +20 2.97 63.56 1.58 83.81 5.56 29.02 45.85 70.77 97.92 79.12P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 30 55 +19 4.73 71.37 5.57 81.80 5.48 26.40 28.05 56.53 95.93 68.11P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 30 52 +13 3.77 66.91 2.37 75.93 5.70 15.98 6.31 17.24 74.19 31.75P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 30 51 +11 6.54 78.53 5.93 74.59 5.56 13.50 3.58 11.23 66.67 23.65P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 30 50 +26 -2.00 40.03 9.66 78.12 5.56 35.21 13.12 31.81 87.40 50.87P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 30 50 +4 6.34 77.89 0.29 72.51 5.60 4.88 1.71 5.75 49.36 14.25P 0.00 0.00 Preston 30 47 +8 2.65 62.64 3.13 70.17 5.59 9.77 0.63 2.77 36.11 10.12P 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 30 46 +1 2.79 63.27 -2.12 68.82 5.53 2.52 0.33 1.50 25.11 6.50P 0.00R 0.00 Millwall 30 45 +3 5.76 76.31 5.43 66.67 5.56 2.72 0.11 0.58 15.66 3.22P 0.02R 0.00 Blackburn 30 44 +6 1.33 56.76 3.80 66.39 5.64 6.58 0.12 0.68 15.71 3.76P 0.03R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 30 43 +7 -0.30 48.83 3.59 66.10 5.61 8.71 0.08 0.56 14.79 3.64P 0.04R 0.00 Cardiff 30 43 -1 0.02 50.30 -3.67 65.91 5.73 0.46 0.08 0.47 12.93 3.22P 0.08R 0.00 Derby 30 40 -4 -3.73 32.77 -7.95 61.18 5.58 -5.08 0.01 0.06 2.82 0.71P 0.61R 0.01 Hull 30 39 -1 -1.84 41.68 -0.21 60.81 5.63 -1.41 0.01 0.04 2.62 0.58P 0.89R 0.02 Reading 30 38 +2 0.17 51.27 6.53 58.99 5.48 0.73 0.00 0.01 1.15 0.18P 1.70R 0.04 QPR 30 38 -7 2.22 61.19 2.30 57.55 5.55 -11.16 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.08P 4.10R 0.14 Birmingham 30 37 -10 0.83 54.81 -2.51 56.08 5.45 -14.51 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.04P 6.25R 0.23 Middlesbrough 30 36 -7 -5.54 24.45 -8.13 58.18 5.48 -6.24 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.17P 2.59R 0.06 Charlton 30 33 -3 -4.40 30.29 2.60 53.21 5.52 -5.56 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 13.63R 0.84 Huddersfield 30 32 -13 -2.35 39.48 -2.91 50.64 5.46 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 28.74R 2.72 Stoke 30 31 -10 -6.63 20.75 -5.05 51.68 5.52 -11.74 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 20.97R 2.01 Wigan 30 29 -16 -5.10 26.22 -6.02 48.38 5.41 -19.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.27R 6.43 Barnsley 30 24 -20 -8.96 13.20 -6.81 41.88 5.47 -26.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.57R 37.20 Luton 30 24 -28 -5.41 25.41 -7.39 40.92 5.47 -36.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.52R 50.29League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 February 2020, Tranmere 0 3 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Rotherham 29 53 +23 2.09 59.96 5.44 80.45 5.33 33.93 50.05 69.59 95.42 76.98P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 29 50 +2 12.10 93.83 4.80 70.31 5.29 1.68 2.15 6.23 38.58 10.77P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 30 49 +19 -0.59 46.86 5.76 73.81 5.02 28.22 7.84 21.31 71.16 34.69P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 29 48 +12 1.59 57.58 2.20 73.19 5.26 19.22 5.83 16.80 63.71 29.25P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 27 48 +11 7.95 85.55 6.35 73.05 5.76 13.74 7.38 17.66 59.65 25.92P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 27 47 +12 1.37 57.02 -1.39 74.60 5.68 18.44 11.44 25.81 70.69 37.63P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 28 45 +11 -3.88 30.43 -4.92 72.14 5.49 18.73 5.14 13.74 55.87 26.92P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 27 44 +18 1.71 58.95 10.08 72.24 5.67 25.72 6.03 16.09 58.39 26.70P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 28 44 +16 -2.28 38.41 4.06 70.54 5.46 23.18 3.08 8.92 46.13 19.26P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 27 42 +8 0.71 53.68 1.67 66.66 5.69 10.25 0.76 2.58 20.40 6.56P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 28 41 +3 -0.64 46.89 -1.89 64.79 5.57 5.86 0.26 1.03 12.16 3.57P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 28 39 +6 -0.02 50.23 4.89 61.66 5.47 7.12 0.03 0.17 4.23 0.94P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 28 38 -6 1.34 57.16 -3.68 57.63 5.38 -9.42 0.00 0.01 0.70 0.14P 0.04R 0.00 Lincoln_City 30 37 -1 -0.74 47.08 3.91 57.24 5.24 0.58 0.00 0.01 0.42 0.08P 0.05R 0.00 Blackpool 27 34 +1 -3.00 34.95 0.91 59.00 5.64 3.75 0.00 0.05 1.84 0.45P 0.02R 0.00 Shrewsbury 27 34 -7 -0.26 49.43 -3.63 56.94 5.54 -7.32 0.00 0.02 0.64 0.15P 0.10R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 29 33 -4 -2.98 35.74 2.11 51.58 5.20 -7.13 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.68R 0.00 Rochdale 29 32 -13 -0.80 46.83 -1.33 48.21 5.02 -20.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.48R 0.00 MK_Dons 29 31 -9 -3.80 32.13 -1.69 47.50 5.08 -15.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.06R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 28 28 -8 -4.72 27.13 0.41 46.62 5.27 -12.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.88R 0.01 Tranmere 28 22 -23 -3.93 29.90 -2.45 35.59 5.00 -36.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.95R 3.67 Southend 28 16 -38 -10.59 6.58 -16.83 30.55 5.04 -51.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.18R 25.72 Bolton 26 11 -33 -1.49 42.81 -14.76 25.58 5.27 -49.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.54R 70.59 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 31 59 +20 8.59 84.89 8.27 84.73 5.38 27.72 36.63 81.04 99.50 85.90P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 30 55 +19 7.70 82.28 9.82 80.11 5.57 23.65 12.26 50.24 95.37 60.79P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 29 54 +18 3.53 66.36 1.95 84.34 5.78 28.41 35.75 77.14 98.91 83.92P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 30 54 +8 7.91 83.36 0.76 79.46 5.56 13.17 8.75 41.55 93.73 54.20P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 30 52 +14 4.39 70.37 4.46 75.56 5.59 16.36 3.12 19.85 81.08 34.48P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 31 49 +14 -0.71 46.70 3.59 72.17 5.39 17.88 0.61 7.65 63.57 23.39P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 29 48 +20 3.83 68.21 13.50 74.69 5.77 24.95 2.63 18.05 78.71 32.65P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 31 47 +5 -0.91 45.68 -2.94 70.39 5.37 9.13 0.23 3.44 47.18 15.23P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 31 45 +4 -0.05 49.87 0.11 66.01 5.26 4.68 0.02 0.59 18.41 4.67P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 31 45 +1 4.65 71.75 3.67 63.31 5.20 -2.04 0.00 0.12 7.93 1.46P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 31 40 +0 3.02 64.98 8.52 57.82 5.30 -4.24 0.00 0.00 1.16 0.16P 0.03R 0.03 Newport_County 28 39 +2 1.06 55.88 2.16 63.61 5.82 2.28 0.01 0.31 11.09 2.46P 0.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 31 39 +0 -0.17 49.78 5.08 58.95 5.32 -1.16 0.00 0.01 1.73 0.33P 0.01R 0.01 Oldham 31 36 -10 -5.91 24.16 -9.17 55.30 5.33 -11.87 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 0.23R 0.23 Walsall 31 36 -13 -5.39 26.22 -11.48 54.94 5.33 -15.01 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.06P 0.24R 0.24 Cambridge_Utd 31 35 -10 -0.87 46.35 -0.62 51.66 5.14 -15.52 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.83R 0.83 Grimsby 29 34 -4 -1.59 42.85 1.34 53.26 5.47 -9.62 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.57R 0.57 Macclesfield 30 34 -5 0.57 54.02 5.35 51.12 5.26 -11.92 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 1.56R 1.56 Leyton_Orient 31 34 -9 -1.01 46.36 2.38 51.22 5.23 -14.32 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 1.35R 1.35 Scunthorpe 31 33 -8 -10.84 10.37 -9.75 55.64 5.47 -4.98 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.11P 0.27R 0.27 Carlisle 30 33 -16 -3.43 34.06 -8.64 54.14 5.58 -17.23 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 0.77R 0.77 Mansfield 31 31 -7 -14.32 4.17 -11.10 52.70 5.41 -5.39 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.04P 0.84R 0.84 Morecambe 31 26 -25 -4.74 27.46 -7.05 41.34 5.04 -32.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.21R 40.21 Stevenage 31 22 -18 -14.60 2.94 -10.20 39.53 5.16 -22.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.09R 53.09National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 February 2020, Dover_Athletic 2 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 33 63 +29 7.65 80.80 13.84 84.04 4.96 33.81 70.59 98.53 77.79P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 33 56 +10 4.49 69.54 0.65 75.15 5.02 11.97 6.08 63.58 18.40P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 33 55 +4 9.90 87.28 4.11 72.81 4.95 4.04 2.15 43.79 8.90P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 33 54 +17 -4.13 31.86 -2.52 75.94 5.05 23.12 8.88 72.87 29.86P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 32 52 +14 4.86 71.53 9.16 73.46 5.21 17.40 3.19 53.35 13.55P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 32 50 +16 -6.35 23.23 -2.72 74.78 5.18 24.42 6.35 65.89 26.54P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 33 50 +9 1.32 56.12 4.04 70.41 5.06 12.87 0.80 29.91 6.91P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 33 50 +1 3.52 65.89 -0.71 67.28 4.98 0.23 0.19 11.33 2.22P 0.01R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 32 47 +10 -2.63 38.00 1.48 69.87 5.18 15.36 0.69 27.91 7.83P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 33 47 -7 8.45 82.98 3.57 62.00 4.91 -11.51 0.01 1.51 0.21P 0.72R 0.00 Barnet 30 46 +8 0.52 52.67 1.47 69.66 5.61 10.56 1.06 26.91 6.99P 0.02R 0.00 Stockport 33 46 -6 6.62 77.67 3.39 60.46 4.90 -11.29 0.00 0.70 0.11P 1.56R 0.00 Hartlepool 33 44 +2 -0.98 46.03 2.76 62.31 4.94 2.71 0.00 1.92 0.37P 0.51R 0.00 Sutton_United 33 42 +3 -3.42 34.83 2.67 60.70 4.97 4.32 0.00 0.97 0.18P 1.08R 0.00 Torquay 33 42 -6 2.46 61.49 4.28 57.60 4.97 -9.79 0.00 0.21 0.03P 5.12R 0.05 Eastleigh 32 41 -6 -0.64 47.47 -2.32 58.11 5.09 -9.19 0.00 0.31 0.06P 4.69R 0.02 Maidenhead 33 41 -7 2.95 64.40 4.14 57.47 4.96 -9.22 0.00 0.11 0.01P 6.04R 0.04 Aldershot 33 40 -8 1.07 55.88 0.99 55.19 4.80 -11.77 0.00 0.04 0.01P 12.45R 0.12 Wrexham 33 39 -1 -9.29 14.23 -5.70 56.78 4.92 -0.92 0.00 0.10 0.02P 5.77R 0.02 Dag_&_Red 32 37 -5 -5.23 27.15 -2.86 54.84 5.08 -6.85 0.00 0.05 0.01P 13.97R 0.16 Chesterfield 33 34 -15 -8.25 17.06 -10.06 51.13 4.94 -16.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.20R 1.64 AFC_Fylde 31 31 -13 -12.13 7.34 -13.73 52.39 5.47 -11.87 0.00 0.01 0.00 29.55R 1.24 Ebbsfleet_United 33 30 -21 -10.24 11.75 -12.81 45.83 4.89 -24.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.10R 10.46 Chorley 33 26 -28 -3.27 35.73 -3.12 37.61 4.58 -37.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.22R 86.24