Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 February 2020, Burnley 0 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        25   73  +45      16.06    99.89     6.93   103.43     4.01    66.98    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   51  +36      -6.22    15.58    -4.60    80.75     4.15    57.93     0.01    92.41    99.77    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        25   49  +28       6.24    80.56    15.21    71.46     4.89    35.09     0.00     7.42    86.12    96.94    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          25   41   +9      -2.07    38.51    -4.15    62.80     4.85    14.98     0.00     0.16     8.42    52.17    89.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   37   +8      -6.58    17.25    -6.08    60.28     4.95    16.14     0.00     0.02     4.23    31.67    79.28     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        25   36   +3       5.77    79.66     9.37    53.40     4.87     2.58     0.00     0.00     0.24     3.18    24.28     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd          25   35   +7      -6.18    19.61    -2.95    56.38     4.86    12.24     0.00     0.00     0.84    10.13    51.54     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    25   35   +3       1.98    61.43     5.74    54.13     4.90     4.88     0.00     0.00     0.32     4.16    29.98     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          25   33   -6      -0.57    47.18    -3.78    49.86     4.83    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.67     7.90     0.24R    0.01  
Arsenal          25   31   -2      -7.34    15.80    -7.60    50.88     4.84     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.84    11.57     0.18R    0.00  
Burnley          25   31  -10       3.95    72.29     1.58    45.84     4.65   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.17     2.70R    0.06  
Newcastle        25   31  -12       2.32    64.04    -3.50    46.13     4.62   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.25     2.39R    0.04  
Southampton      25   31  -15       5.27    78.56     0.39    46.87     4.88   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     2.24     2.35R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace   25   30   -7      -0.81    46.17    -1.41    45.52     4.72   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.25     2.67R    0.05  
Brighton         25   26   -7      -0.93    45.69     4.96    39.52     4.53   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    22.14R    1.92  
Bournemouth      25   26  -13      -2.64    36.08    -2.97    38.36     4.48   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    34.35R    3.00  
Aston_Villa      25   25  -15      -0.33    49.37     2.26    36.76     4.58   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    50.57R    6.76  
West_Ham         25   24  -13      -5.30    23.43    -4.15    38.37     4.62   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    33.45R    4.19  
Watford          25   23  -16      -4.29    27.39    -4.09    36.12     4.55   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.27R    9.86  
Norwich          25   18  -23      -4.21    27.78    -1.14    29.07     4.39   -36.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.65R   74.04  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Birmingham 2 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       30   56  +20       2.90    63.32     1.47    83.78     5.54    29.01    45.70    71.01    97.93    79.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    30   55  +19       4.84    71.97     5.70    81.76     5.52    26.33    28.43    56.69    95.88    68.23P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          30   52  +13       3.93    67.59     2.55    75.86     5.71    15.86     6.25    17.23    73.98    31.12P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   30   51  +11       6.60    79.03     5.98    74.52     5.55    13.38     3.57    10.91    66.22    23.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       30   50  +26      -2.04    39.75     9.58    78.06     5.54    35.18    12.88    31.32    87.30    50.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    30   50   +4       6.40    78.12     0.41    72.50     5.62     4.86     1.67     5.86    49.51    14.81P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         30   47   +8       2.55    62.19     2.98    70.20     5.60     9.81     0.68     2.92    36.16    10.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         30   46   +1       2.81    63.73    -2.06    68.88     5.56     2.60     0.40     1.65    25.44     6.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall        30   45   +3       5.72    76.41     5.39    66.69     5.56     2.77     0.13     0.63    15.52     3.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   44   +6       1.47    57.24     3.97    66.31     5.65     6.48     0.12     0.64    15.45     3.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       30   43   +7      -0.46    47.95     3.34    66.12     5.59     8.75     0.08     0.55    14.98     3.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff         30   43   -1       0.03    50.38    -3.65    65.96     5.70     0.52     0.09     0.51    13.18     3.28P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby           30   40   -4      -3.80    32.43    -8.10    61.21     5.56    -5.05     0.00     0.02     2.93     0.63P    0.58R    0.01  
Hull            30   39   -1      -1.87    41.53    -0.26    60.82     5.64    -1.40     0.00     0.04     2.79     0.57P    0.91R    0.02  
Reading         30   38   +2       0.14    51.31     6.57    59.08     5.52     0.83     0.00     0.02     1.16     0.24P    1.73R    0.05  
QPR             30   38   -7       2.28    61.42     2.35    57.56     5.52   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.09P    3.92R    0.13  
Birmingham      30   37  -10       0.72    54.29    -2.66    56.10     5.49   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    6.18R    0.22  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -7      -5.37    25.36    -7.95    58.05     5.46    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.15P    2.69R    0.11  
Charlton        30   33   -3      -4.36    30.48     2.58    53.25     5.55    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   13.43R    0.94  
Huddersfield    30   32  -13      -2.32    39.45    -2.82    50.64     5.43   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   28.45R    2.74  
Stoke           30   31  -10      -6.65    20.61    -5.11    51.73     5.51   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   20.70R    1.90  
Wigan           30   29  -16      -4.92    27.01    -5.81    48.22     5.40   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.54R    6.87  
Barnsley        30   24  -20      -9.05    13.10    -6.94    41.95     5.48   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.25R   37.11  
Luton           30   24  -28      -5.48    25.18    -7.51    41.01     5.48   -36.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.45R   49.89  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            29   53  +23       2.25    60.95     5.69    80.37     5.32    33.84    50.10    69.99    95.55    77.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              29   50   +2      12.19    94.01     4.95    70.24     5.29     1.59     2.23     6.30    39.28    11.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         30   49  +19      -0.65    46.75     5.66    73.79     5.04    28.19     7.96    22.01    72.23    35.80P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              29   48  +12       1.78    58.53     2.48    73.16     5.29    19.14     6.20    17.47    64.41    29.78P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             27   48  +11       7.92    85.62     6.34    73.05     5.75    13.77     7.59    18.07    61.22    26.68P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           27   47  +12       1.39    56.96    -1.36    74.51     5.72    18.31    11.61    26.10    71.06    38.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           28   45  +11      -3.74    30.88    -4.74    72.00     5.48    18.56     5.04    13.47    56.47    26.74P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   44  +18       1.63    58.28     9.97    72.30     5.66    25.77     6.24    16.77    60.15    27.28P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   42   +8       0.55    52.97     1.40    66.74     5.73    10.34     0.81     2.74    22.24     7.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            27   41  +13      -2.49    37.05     3.21    68.85     5.70    19.98     1.88     5.62    35.74    13.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   41   +3      -0.58    47.08    -1.81    64.81     5.61     5.91     0.28     1.14    13.15     3.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           28   39   +6       0.02    50.47     4.87    61.69     5.47     7.17     0.04     0.19     4.58     1.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       28   38   -6       1.24    56.89    -3.81    57.57     5.39    -9.52     0.00     0.03     0.79     0.18P    0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         30   37   -1      -0.67    47.57     4.06    57.19     5.26     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.10P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool            27   34   +1      -3.06    34.83     0.81    59.07     5.64     3.86     0.01     0.08     1.90     0.52P    0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   34   -7      -0.16    49.64    -3.48    56.90     5.52    -7.42     0.01     0.01     0.70     0.12P    0.14R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   29   33   -4      -2.94    35.78     2.08    51.65     5.25    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.10R    0.00  
Rochdale             29   32  -13      -0.94    45.95    -1.49    48.25     5.04   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.09R    0.01  
MK_Dons              29   31   -9      -3.92    31.59    -1.84    47.54     5.07   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.66R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   28   -8      -4.93    26.23     0.12    46.71     5.24   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.69R    0.02  
Tranmere             27   22  -20      -3.99    29.61    -1.75    37.02     5.26   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.19R    2.44  
Southend             28   16  -38     -10.52     6.80   -16.73    30.59     5.04   -51.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.34R   26.26  
Bolton               26   11  -33      -1.42    43.31   -14.63    25.62     5.30   -49.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   71.26  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          31   59  +20       8.67    84.92     8.39    84.61     5.42    27.55    35.93    80.67    99.41    85.49P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            30   55  +19       7.63    81.71     9.71    80.11     5.57    23.64    12.47    50.38    95.41    60.88P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         29   54  +18       3.47    65.86     1.85    84.38     5.77    28.45    36.36    77.77    98.96    84.09P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           30   54   +8       7.92    83.41     0.75    79.47     5.56    13.17     8.68    41.72    93.86    54.36P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      30   52  +14       4.60    71.10     4.82    75.36     5.58    16.10     2.93    19.28    80.36    33.96P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   49  +14      -0.75    46.32     3.43    72.24     5.36    17.95     0.64     7.62    64.10    23.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   48  +20       3.88    68.61    13.59    74.66     5.80    24.90     2.76    17.93    78.68    32.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         31   47   +5      -0.87    46.15    -2.85    70.31     5.37     9.03     0.20     3.52    46.39    15.30P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     31   45   +4      -0.18    49.35    -0.06    66.12     5.28     4.86     0.03     0.61    19.39     5.09P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        31   45   +1       4.73    72.10     3.76    63.25     5.19    -2.10     0.00     0.12     7.74     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     31   40   +0       3.24    65.91     8.80    57.71     5.28    -4.38     0.00     0.01     1.12     0.18P    0.05R    0.05  
Newport_County   28   39   +2       1.12    56.07     2.21    63.65     5.86     2.30     0.01     0.36    11.33     2.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     31   39   +0      -0.16    49.99     5.14    59.00     5.33    -1.15     0.00     0.01     1.71     0.37P    0.04R    0.04  
Oldham           31   36  -10      -5.86    24.23    -9.05    55.33     5.29   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P    0.20R    0.20  
Walsall          31   36  -13      -5.37    26.67   -11.46    54.94     5.31   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.29R    0.29  
Cambridge_Utd    31   35  -10      -0.65    47.59    -0.35    51.56     5.11   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.92R    0.92  
Grimsby          29   34   -4      -1.71    42.02     1.18    53.28     5.46    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.61R    0.61  
Macclesfield     30   34   -5       0.36    52.75     5.10    51.17     5.24   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.43R    1.43  
Leyton_Orient    31   34   -9      -0.91    46.57     2.57    51.18     5.22   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.44R    1.44  
Scunthorpe       31   33   -8     -10.91    10.28    -9.85    55.69     5.45    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.10P    0.26R    0.26  
Carlisle         30   33  -16      -3.63    33.24    -8.98    54.21     5.55   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.74R    0.74  
Mansfield        31   31   -7     -14.34     4.02   -11.09    52.78     5.40    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.90R    0.90  
Morecambe        31   26  -25      -4.77    27.66    -7.11    41.38     5.07   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.42R   40.42  
Stevenage        31   22  -18     -14.80     2.67   -10.49    39.60     5.15   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.70R   52.70  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             32   63  +30       8.72    84.55    14.38    85.79     5.18    35.34    78.81    99.19    83.89P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     33   56  +10       4.70    70.04     0.99    75.11     5.02    11.88     4.35    64.28    17.23P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            33   55   +4      10.22    88.22     4.56    72.60     4.92     3.81     1.41    42.54     8.08P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             33   54  +17      -4.01    32.16    -2.38    75.88     5.04    23.04     6.36    73.16    27.65P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       32   52  +14       4.71    71.01     8.96    73.53     5.17    17.51     2.27    54.75    13.27P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       32   50  +16      -6.42    22.91    -2.85    74.75     5.19    24.44     4.84    66.27    26.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            33   50   +9       1.53    57.13     4.39    70.29     5.08    12.67     0.55    29.83     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     32   47  +10      -2.72    37.51     1.30    69.97     5.19    15.49     0.49    29.03     7.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     32   47   +0       2.21    60.60    -1.24    65.29     5.20    -1.32     0.07     6.48     1.26P    0.14R    0.00  
Woking             33   47   -7       8.43    83.03     3.52    62.01     4.87   -11.44     0.00     1.48     0.21P    0.65R    0.00  
Barnet             30   46   +8       0.27    51.47     1.17    69.78     5.63    10.74     0.85    28.13     7.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport          33   46   -6       6.62    77.32     3.42    60.52     4.97   -11.24     0.00     0.90     0.13P    1.58R    0.00  
Hartlepool         33   44   +2      -1.05    45.83     2.63    62.34     4.92     2.72     0.00     2.07     0.38P    0.50R    0.00  
Sutton_United      33   42   +3      -3.50    34.41     2.49    60.71     4.96     4.33     0.00     0.96     0.18P    1.08R    0.00  
Torquay            33   42   -6       2.50    61.86     4.36    57.59     5.00    -9.81     0.00     0.28     0.04P    5.24R    0.03  
Eastleigh          32   41   -6      -0.54    48.06    -2.20    58.07     5.09    -9.29     0.00     0.32     0.06P    4.89R    0.04  
Maidenhead         33   41   -7       2.78    63.30     3.91    57.46     4.93    -9.20     0.00     0.12     0.02P    6.14R    0.04  
Aldershot          33   40   -8       1.09    55.80     1.05    55.26     4.81   -11.74     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.23R    0.10  
Wrexham            33   39   -1      -9.40    13.76    -5.78    56.83     4.93    -0.88     0.00     0.12     0.04P    5.78R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red          32   37   -5      -5.14    27.35    -2.73    54.83     5.05    -6.88     0.00     0.04     0.00P   13.70R    0.19  
Chesterfield       33   34  -15      -8.26    17.18   -10.08    51.11     4.93   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.33R    1.53  
AFC_Fylde          31   31  -13     -12.09     7.36   -13.72    52.44     5.45   -11.82     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.44R    1.21  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   30  -21     -10.23    11.65   -12.82    45.83     4.87   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.08R   10.54  
Chorley            33   26  -28      -3.42    35.12    -3.33    37.60     4.57   -37.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.22R   86.27