Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 2 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 February 2020, Burnley 0 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 25 73 +45 16.06 99.89 6.93 103.43 4.01 66.98 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 51 +36 -6.22 15.58 -4.60 80.75 4.15 57.93 0.01 92.41 99.77 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 25 49 +28 6.24 80.56 15.21 71.46 4.89 35.09 0.00 7.42 86.12 96.94 99.80 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 41 +9 -2.07 38.51 -4.15 62.80 4.85 14.98 0.00 0.16 8.42 52.17 89.68 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 37 +8 -6.58 17.25 -6.08 60.28 4.95 16.14 0.00 0.02 4.23 31.67 79.28 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 25 36 +3 5.77 79.66 9.37 53.40 4.87 2.58 0.00 0.00 0.24 3.18 24.28 0.01R 0.00 Man_Utd 25 35 +7 -6.18 19.61 -2.95 56.38 4.86 12.24 0.00 0.00 0.84 10.13 51.54 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 25 35 +3 1.98 61.43 5.74 54.13 4.90 4.88 0.00 0.00 0.32 4.16 29.98 0.02R 0.00 Everton 25 33 -6 -0.57 47.18 -3.78 49.86 4.83 -7.64 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.67 7.90 0.24R 0.01 Arsenal 25 31 -2 -7.34 15.80 -7.60 50.88 4.84 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.84 11.57 0.18R 0.00 Burnley 25 31 -10 3.95 72.29 1.58 45.84 4.65 -15.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.17 2.70R 0.06 Newcastle 25 31 -12 2.32 64.04 -3.50 46.13 4.62 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.25 2.39R 0.04 Southampton 25 31 -15 5.27 78.56 0.39 46.87 4.88 -18.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 2.24 2.35R 0.08 Crystal_Palace 25 30 -7 -0.81 46.17 -1.41 45.52 4.72 -10.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.25 2.67R 0.05 Brighton 25 26 -7 -0.93 45.69 4.96 39.52 4.53 -13.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 22.14R 1.92 Bournemouth 25 26 -13 -2.64 36.08 -2.97 38.36 4.48 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 34.35R 3.00 Aston_Villa 25 25 -15 -0.33 49.37 2.26 36.76 4.58 -25.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 50.57R 6.76 West_Ham 25 24 -13 -5.30 23.43 -4.15 38.37 4.62 -20.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 33.45R 4.19 Watford 25 23 -16 -4.29 27.39 -4.09 36.12 4.55 -24.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.27R 9.86 Norwich 25 18 -23 -4.21 27.78 -1.14 29.07 4.39 -36.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.65R 74.04Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Birmingham 2 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 30 56 +20 2.90 63.32 1.47 83.78 5.54 29.01 45.70 71.01 97.93 79.53P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 30 55 +19 4.84 71.97 5.70 81.76 5.52 26.33 28.43 56.69 95.88 68.23P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 30 52 +13 3.93 67.59 2.55 75.86 5.71 15.86 6.25 17.23 73.98 31.12P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 30 51 +11 6.60 79.03 5.98 74.52 5.55 13.38 3.57 10.91 66.22 23.19P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 30 50 +26 -2.04 39.75 9.58 78.06 5.54 35.18 12.88 31.32 87.30 50.44P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 30 50 +4 6.40 78.12 0.41 72.50 5.62 4.86 1.67 5.86 49.51 14.81P 0.00 0.00 Preston 30 47 +8 2.55 62.19 2.98 70.20 5.60 9.81 0.68 2.92 36.16 10.18P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 30 46 +1 2.81 63.73 -2.06 68.88 5.56 2.60 0.40 1.65 25.44 6.81P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 30 45 +3 5.72 76.41 5.39 66.69 5.56 2.77 0.13 0.63 15.52 3.28P 0.03R 0.00 Blackburn 30 44 +6 1.47 57.24 3.97 66.31 5.65 6.48 0.12 0.64 15.45 3.58P 0.03R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 30 43 +7 -0.46 47.95 3.34 66.12 5.59 8.75 0.08 0.55 14.98 3.78P 0.04R 0.00 Cardiff 30 43 -1 0.03 50.38 -3.65 65.96 5.70 0.52 0.09 0.51 13.18 3.28P 0.07R 0.00 Derby 30 40 -4 -3.80 32.43 -8.10 61.21 5.56 -5.05 0.00 0.02 2.93 0.63P 0.58R 0.01 Hull 30 39 -1 -1.87 41.53 -0.26 60.82 5.64 -1.40 0.00 0.04 2.79 0.57P 0.91R 0.02 Reading 30 38 +2 0.14 51.31 6.57 59.08 5.52 0.83 0.00 0.02 1.16 0.24P 1.73R 0.05 QPR 30 38 -7 2.28 61.42 2.35 57.56 5.52 -11.14 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.09P 3.92R 0.13 Birmingham 30 37 -10 0.72 54.29 -2.66 56.10 5.49 -14.48 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.07P 6.18R 0.22 Middlesbrough 30 36 -7 -5.37 25.36 -7.95 58.05 5.46 -6.36 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.15P 2.69R 0.11 Charlton 30 33 -3 -4.36 30.48 2.58 53.25 5.55 -5.47 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 13.43R 0.94 Huddersfield 30 32 -13 -2.32 39.45 -2.82 50.64 5.43 -17.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 28.45R 2.74 Stoke 30 31 -10 -6.65 20.61 -5.11 51.73 5.51 -11.66 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 20.70R 1.90 Wigan 30 29 -16 -4.92 27.01 -5.81 48.22 5.40 -19.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.54R 6.87 Barnsley 30 24 -20 -9.05 13.10 -6.94 41.95 5.48 -26.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.25R 37.11 Luton 30 24 -28 -5.48 25.18 -7.51 41.01 5.48 -36.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.45R 49.89League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Rotherham 29 53 +23 2.25 60.95 5.69 80.37 5.32 33.84 50.10 69.99 95.55 77.34P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 29 50 +2 12.19 94.01 4.95 70.24 5.29 1.59 2.23 6.30 39.28 11.09P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 30 49 +19 -0.65 46.75 5.66 73.79 5.04 28.19 7.96 22.01 72.23 35.80P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 29 48 +12 1.78 58.53 2.48 73.16 5.29 19.14 6.20 17.47 64.41 29.78P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 27 48 +11 7.92 85.62 6.34 73.05 5.75 13.77 7.59 18.07 61.22 26.68P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 27 47 +12 1.39 56.96 -1.36 74.51 5.72 18.31 11.61 26.10 71.06 38.28P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 28 45 +11 -3.74 30.88 -4.74 72.00 5.48 18.56 5.04 13.47 56.47 26.74P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 27 44 +18 1.63 58.28 9.97 72.30 5.66 25.77 6.24 16.77 60.15 27.28P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 27 42 +8 0.55 52.97 1.40 66.74 5.73 10.34 0.81 2.74 22.24 7.18P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 27 41 +13 -2.49 37.05 3.21 68.85 5.70 19.98 1.88 5.62 35.74 13.83P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 28 41 +3 -0.58 47.08 -1.81 64.81 5.61 5.91 0.28 1.14 13.15 3.96P 0.00R 0.00 Gillingham 28 39 +6 0.02 50.47 4.87 61.69 5.47 7.17 0.04 0.19 4.58 1.12P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 28 38 -6 1.24 56.89 -3.81 57.57 5.39 -9.52 0.00 0.03 0.79 0.18P 0.06R 0.00 Lincoln_City 30 37 -1 -0.67 47.57 4.06 57.19 5.26 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.10P 0.07R 0.00 Blackpool 27 34 +1 -3.06 34.83 0.81 59.07 5.64 3.86 0.01 0.08 1.90 0.52P 0.04R 0.00 Shrewsbury 27 34 -7 -0.16 49.64 -3.48 56.90 5.52 -7.42 0.01 0.01 0.70 0.12P 0.14R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 29 33 -4 -2.94 35.78 2.08 51.65 5.25 -7.04 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 1.10R 0.00 Rochdale 29 32 -13 -0.94 45.95 -1.49 48.25 5.04 -20.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.09R 0.01 MK_Dons 29 31 -9 -3.92 31.59 -1.84 47.54 5.07 -15.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.66R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 28 28 -8 -4.93 26.23 0.12 46.71 5.24 -12.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.69R 0.02 Tranmere 27 22 -20 -3.99 29.61 -1.75 37.02 5.26 -33.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.19R 2.44 Southend 28 16 -38 -10.52 6.80 -16.73 30.59 5.04 -51.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.34R 26.26 Bolton 26 11 -33 -1.42 43.31 -14.63 25.62 5.30 -49.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.61R 71.26 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 31 59 +20 8.67 84.92 8.39 84.61 5.42 27.55 35.93 80.67 99.41 85.49P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 30 55 +19 7.63 81.71 9.71 80.11 5.57 23.64 12.47 50.38 95.41 60.88P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 29 54 +18 3.47 65.86 1.85 84.38 5.77 28.45 36.36 77.77 98.96 84.09P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 30 54 +8 7.92 83.41 0.75 79.47 5.56 13.17 8.68 41.72 93.86 54.36P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 30 52 +14 4.60 71.10 4.82 75.36 5.58 16.10 2.93 19.28 80.36 33.96P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 31 49 +14 -0.75 46.32 3.43 72.24 5.36 17.95 0.64 7.62 64.10 23.08P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 29 48 +20 3.88 68.61 13.59 74.66 5.80 24.90 2.76 17.93 78.68 32.72P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 31 47 +5 -0.87 46.15 -2.85 70.31 5.37 9.03 0.20 3.52 46.39 15.30P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 31 45 +4 -0.18 49.35 -0.06 66.12 5.28 4.86 0.03 0.61 19.39 5.09P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 31 45 +1 4.73 72.10 3.76 63.25 5.19 -2.10 0.00 0.12 7.74 1.40P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 31 40 +0 3.24 65.91 8.80 57.71 5.28 -4.38 0.00 0.01 1.12 0.18P 0.05R 0.05 Newport_County 28 39 +2 1.12 56.07 2.21 63.65 5.86 2.30 0.01 0.36 11.33 2.76P 0.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 31 39 +0 -0.16 49.99 5.14 59.00 5.33 -1.15 0.00 0.01 1.71 0.37P 0.04R 0.04 Oldham 31 36 -10 -5.86 24.23 -9.05 55.33 5.29 -11.86 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.07P 0.20R 0.20 Walsall 31 36 -13 -5.37 26.67 -11.46 54.94 5.31 -15.02 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.05P 0.29R 0.29 Cambridge_Utd 31 35 -10 -0.65 47.59 -0.35 51.56 5.11 -15.64 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.92R 0.92 Grimsby 29 34 -4 -1.71 42.02 1.18 53.28 5.46 -9.57 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 0.61R 0.61 Macclesfield 30 34 -5 0.36 52.75 5.10 51.17 5.24 -11.82 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 1.43R 1.43 Leyton_Orient 31 34 -9 -0.91 46.57 2.57 51.18 5.22 -14.40 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 1.44R 1.44 Scunthorpe 31 33 -8 -10.91 10.28 -9.85 55.69 5.45 -4.93 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.10P 0.26R 0.26 Carlisle 30 33 -16 -3.63 33.24 -8.98 54.21 5.55 -17.11 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 0.74R 0.74 Mansfield 31 31 -7 -14.34 4.02 -11.09 52.78 5.40 -5.28 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 0.90R 0.90 Morecambe 31 26 -25 -4.77 27.66 -7.11 41.38 5.07 -32.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.42R 40.42 Stevenage 31 22 -18 -14.80 2.67 -10.49 39.60 5.15 -21.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.70R 52.70National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 32 63 +30 8.72 84.55 14.38 85.79 5.18 35.34 78.81 99.19 83.89P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 33 56 +10 4.70 70.04 0.99 75.11 5.02 11.88 4.35 64.28 17.23P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 33 55 +4 10.22 88.22 4.56 72.60 4.92 3.81 1.41 42.54 8.08P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 33 54 +17 -4.01 32.16 -2.38 75.88 5.04 23.04 6.36 73.16 27.65P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 32 52 +14 4.71 71.01 8.96 73.53 5.17 17.51 2.27 54.75 13.27P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 32 50 +16 -6.42 22.91 -2.85 74.75 5.19 24.44 4.84 66.27 26.11P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 33 50 +9 1.53 57.13 4.39 70.29 5.08 12.67 0.55 29.83 6.53P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 32 47 +10 -2.72 37.51 1.30 69.97 5.19 15.49 0.49 29.03 7.76P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 32 47 +0 2.21 60.60 -1.24 65.29 5.20 -1.32 0.07 6.48 1.26P 0.14R 0.00 Woking 33 47 -7 8.43 83.03 3.52 62.01 4.87 -11.44 0.00 1.48 0.21P 0.65R 0.00 Barnet 30 46 +8 0.27 51.47 1.17 69.78 5.63 10.74 0.85 28.13 7.15P 0.00R 0.00 Stockport 33 46 -6 6.62 77.32 3.42 60.52 4.97 -11.24 0.00 0.90 0.13P 1.58R 0.00 Hartlepool 33 44 +2 -1.05 45.83 2.63 62.34 4.92 2.72 0.00 2.07 0.38P 0.50R 0.00 Sutton_United 33 42 +3 -3.50 34.41 2.49 60.71 4.96 4.33 0.00 0.96 0.18P 1.08R 0.00 Torquay 33 42 -6 2.50 61.86 4.36 57.59 5.00 -9.81 0.00 0.28 0.04P 5.24R 0.03 Eastleigh 32 41 -6 -0.54 48.06 -2.20 58.07 5.09 -9.29 0.00 0.32 0.06P 4.89R 0.04 Maidenhead 33 41 -7 2.78 63.30 3.91 57.46 4.93 -9.20 0.00 0.12 0.02P 6.14R 0.04 Aldershot 33 40 -8 1.09 55.80 1.05 55.26 4.81 -11.74 0.00 0.04 0.01P 12.23R 0.10 Wrexham 33 39 -1 -9.40 13.76 -5.78 56.83 4.93 -0.88 0.00 0.12 0.04P 5.78R 0.02 Dag_&_Red 32 37 -5 -5.14 27.35 -2.73 54.83 5.05 -6.88 0.00 0.04 0.00P 13.70R 0.19 Chesterfield 33 34 -15 -8.26 17.18 -10.08 51.11 4.93 -16.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.33R 1.53 AFC_Fylde 31 31 -13 -12.09 7.36 -13.72 52.44 5.45 -11.82 0.00 0.01 0.00P 29.44R 1.21 Ebbsfleet_United 33 30 -21 -10.23 11.65 -12.82 45.83 4.87 -24.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.08R 10.54 Chorley 33 26 -28 -3.42 35.12 -3.33 37.60 4.57 -37.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.22R 86.27