Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 1 February 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Bournemouth 2 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        25   73  +45      16.12    99.90     7.09   103.36     4.02    66.86    99.95   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         24   51  +38      -5.01    19.47    -3.34    82.88     4.37    61.39     0.05    95.59    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        25   49  +28       6.28    81.00    15.27    71.43     4.90    35.04     0.00     4.33    87.59    97.72    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          25   41   +9      -2.14    38.07    -4.21    62.88     4.86    15.03     0.00     0.07     8.74    59.56    90.64     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        25   36   +3       5.79    79.58     9.45    53.41     4.90     2.63     0.00     0.00     0.27     3.81    26.43     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd          25   35   +7      -6.07    19.88    -2.79    56.36     4.87    12.18     0.00     0.01     1.03    11.72    53.30     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    25   35   +3       2.03    61.72     5.89    54.08     4.94     4.84     0.00     0.00     0.34     5.03    31.94     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        24   34   +6      -7.82    12.74    -7.38    57.80     5.15    12.81     0.00     0.01     2.04    19.21    64.08     0.00     0.00  
Everton          25   33   -6      -0.47    47.78    -3.62    49.83     4.83    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.76     8.82     0.24R    0.00  
Newcastle        25   31  -12       2.25    63.42    -3.59    46.19     4.66   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.60     2.49R    0.04  
Southampton      25   31  -15       5.14    77.66     0.13    46.89     4.83   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.48     2.19R    0.07  
Arsenal          24   30   -2      -6.85    17.05    -7.44    51.68     5.10     1.30     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.94    17.51     0.19R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   30   -7      -0.76    46.34    -1.26    45.56     4.71   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.38     2.75R    0.05  
Burnley          24   30  -10       4.07    72.99     1.45    45.82     4.87   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.83     3.15R    0.10  
Brighton         25   26   -7      -1.11    44.57     4.71    39.58     4.61   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    22.31R    1.88  
Bournemouth      25   26  -13      -2.69    36.03    -3.03    38.41     4.50   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    33.95R    3.02  
Aston_Villa      25   25  -15      -0.26    49.70     2.36    36.77     4.58   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.15R    6.80  
West_Ham         25   24  -13      -5.21    23.79    -4.03    38.36     4.60   -20.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    33.48R    4.19  
Watford          25   23  -16      -4.36    27.09    -4.13    36.14     4.54   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.45R    9.86  
Norwich          25   18  -23      -4.39    26.90    -1.53    29.08     4.40   -36.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.62R   73.99  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Birmingham 2 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       30   56  +20       2.86    63.00     1.43    83.84     5.60    29.05    46.20    70.98    97.76    79.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    30   55  +19       4.76    71.66     5.61    81.82     5.50    26.42    28.28    57.12    96.05    68.41P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          30   52  +13       3.81    67.27     2.44    75.91     5.65    15.94     6.04    17.06    74.24    31.65P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   30   51  +11       6.38    78.08     5.74    74.64     5.54    13.53     3.61    11.33    66.98    23.60P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       30   50  +26      -2.08    39.43     9.54    78.06     5.53    35.14    12.77    31.01    87.46    50.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    30   50   +4       6.51    78.13     0.49    72.45     5.62     4.78     1.68     5.84    48.91    14.59P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         30   47   +8       2.73    62.98     3.22    70.14     5.61     9.74     0.61     2.74    35.96     9.91P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         30   46   +1       2.63    62.37    -2.31    68.93     5.56     2.68     0.40     1.60    26.14     6.88P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        30   45   +3       5.78    76.61     5.48    66.62     5.59     2.69     0.11     0.63    15.49     3.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   44   +6       1.50    57.52     4.03    66.26     5.66     6.38     0.10     0.63    15.29     3.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       30   43   +7      -0.31    48.86     3.60    66.08     5.57     8.67     0.10     0.57    14.48     3.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff         30   43   -1       0.13    51.06    -3.54    65.94     5.70     0.49     0.08     0.44    13.09     3.30P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby           30   40   -4      -3.75    32.67    -8.07    61.21     5.55    -5.03     0.01     0.04     2.82     0.67P    0.59R    0.01  
Hull            30   39   -1      -1.79    42.21    -0.14    60.76     5.60    -1.45     0.01     0.03     2.45     0.49P    0.81R    0.02  
Reading         30   38   +2       0.21    51.83     6.64    59.05     5.50     0.80     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.21P    1.70R    0.06  
QPR             30   38   -7       2.16    61.13     2.22    57.56     5.55   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.09P    3.98R    0.14  
Birmingham      30   37  -10       0.67    53.77    -2.75    56.18     5.50   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    6.11R    0.23  
Middlesbrough   30   36   -7      -5.61    24.34    -8.23    58.19     5.44    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.15P    2.48R    0.06  
Charlton        30   33   -3      -4.41    30.16     2.56    53.22     5.50    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   13.23R    0.86  
Huddersfield    30   32  -13      -2.13    40.43    -2.64    50.56     5.47   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.56R    2.84  
Stoke           30   31  -10      -6.62    20.66    -5.07    51.69     5.49   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   20.69R    1.95  
Wigan           30   29  -16      -5.01    26.84    -5.86    48.29     5.41   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.10R    6.91  
Barnsley        30   24  -20      -8.85    13.63    -6.56    41.84     5.49   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.69R   38.19  
Luton           30   24  -28      -5.68    24.17    -7.83    41.12     5.49   -36.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.92R   48.74  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            29   53  +23       2.31    61.01     5.73    80.32     5.34    33.73    49.68    69.78    95.56    77.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              29   50   +2      12.27    94.14     4.99    70.22     5.24     1.53     2.00     6.15    39.16    10.81P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         30   49  +19      -0.39    47.94     6.10    73.72     5.05    28.05     7.96    21.71    71.73    34.97P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              29   48  +12       1.56    57.48     2.21    73.25     5.24    19.29     6.27    17.67    65.50    30.52P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             27   48  +11       8.01    85.81     6.44    73.04     5.73    13.75     7.54    18.04    60.79    26.59P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           27   47  +12       1.46    57.29    -1.21    74.52     5.70    18.32    11.72    26.27    71.35    38.32P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           28   45  +11      -3.75    31.01    -4.72    72.05     5.48    18.62     5.11    13.65    56.77    27.54P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   44  +18       1.58    58.18     9.87    72.30     5.69    25.83     6.65    16.86    60.31    27.62P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   42   +8       0.49    52.58     1.36    66.68     5.71    10.27     0.89     2.84    21.44     7.05P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            27   41  +13      -2.56    36.88     3.07    68.83     5.70    20.02     1.91     5.63    35.56    13.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   41   +3      -0.48    47.49    -1.67    64.80     5.62     5.89     0.23     1.08    13.10     3.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           28   39   +6      -0.09    49.99     4.67    61.69     5.48     7.15     0.02     0.19     4.73     1.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       28   38   -6       1.29    57.28    -3.77    57.54     5.39    -9.57     0.01     0.02     0.78     0.13P    0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         30   37   -1      -0.78    46.83     3.86    57.24     5.26     0.57     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.09P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackpool            27   34   +1      -3.10    34.58     0.82    59.13     5.64     3.93     0.01     0.08     2.00     0.49P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   34   -7      -0.35    48.73    -3.79    57.02     5.55    -7.22     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.14P    0.14R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   29   33   -4      -3.05    35.34     1.92    51.65     5.17    -7.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.05R    0.00  
Rochdale             29   32  -13      -0.75    47.01    -1.22    48.16     5.07   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    5.30R    0.01  
MK_Dons              29   31   -9      -3.93    31.57    -1.92    47.54     5.11   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.52R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   28   -8      -4.88    26.27     0.20    46.69     5.29   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.89R    0.02  
Tranmere             27   22  -20      -3.93    29.93    -1.75    37.06     5.27   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.90R    2.49  
Southend             28   16  -38     -10.49     6.82   -16.65    30.60     5.05   -51.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.33R   26.18  
Bolton               26   11  -33      -1.41    43.11   -14.53    25.57     5.29   -49.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R   71.30  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          31   59  +20       8.35    83.95     7.88    84.83     5.41    27.90    36.99    81.44    99.55    86.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            30   55  +19       7.60    81.66     9.64    80.15     5.61    23.68    12.36    50.02    95.32    60.68P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         29   54  +18       3.46    66.14     1.80    84.45     5.83    28.57    35.92    77.35    98.95    84.03P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           30   54   +8       7.97    83.57     0.82    79.41     5.55    13.11     8.29    41.00    93.51    53.48P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      30   52  +14       4.42    70.20     4.50    75.52     5.63    16.31     3.02    19.86    81.03    34.68P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   49  +14      -0.55    47.31     3.76    72.12     5.36    17.78     0.60     7.31    63.32    22.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   48  +20       3.64    67.45    13.25    74.78     5.77    25.07     2.54    18.37    79.33    33.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         31   47   +5      -1.01    45.32    -3.03    70.39     5.35     9.13     0.23     3.58    46.85    15.44P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     31   45   +4      -0.18    49.43    -0.09    66.06     5.29     4.79     0.02     0.60    18.73     4.81P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        31   45   +1       4.70    72.09     3.79    63.21     5.19    -2.13     0.01     0.12     7.50     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City     31   40   +0       3.30    66.03     8.90    57.71     5.28    -4.40     0.00     0.01     1.13     0.21P    0.02R    0.02  
Newport_County   28   39   +2       0.89    55.19     1.92    63.72     5.84     2.42     0.01     0.32    11.48     2.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     31   39   +0      -0.14    49.72     5.15    58.97     5.33    -1.16     0.00     0.01     1.76     0.34P    0.02R    0.02  
Oldham           31   36  -10      -5.69    25.08    -8.79    55.20     5.31   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P    0.20R    0.20  
Walsall          31   36  -13      -5.33    26.81   -11.37    54.91     5.33   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.22R    0.22  
Cambridge_Utd    31   35  -10      -0.69    47.51    -0.41    51.57     5.12   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.85R    0.85  
Grimsby          29   34   -4      -1.67    42.09     1.22    53.26     5.45    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.62R    0.62  
Macclesfield     30   34   -5       0.53    53.72     5.32    51.09     5.28   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.65R    1.65  
Leyton_Orient    31   34   -9      -0.80    47.22     2.72    51.15     5.26   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.49R    1.49  
Scunthorpe       31   33   -8     -10.82    10.45    -9.70    55.69     5.48    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.12P    0.27R    0.27  
Carlisle         30   33  -16      -3.58    33.44    -8.85    54.19     5.52   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P    0.68R    0.68  
Mansfield        31   31   -7     -14.37     4.11   -11.19    52.76     5.42    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.93R    0.93  
Morecambe        31   26  -25      -4.67    27.83    -6.97    41.31     5.06   -32.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.42R   40.42  
Stevenage        31   22  -18     -14.67     2.75   -10.27    39.58     5.17   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.63R   52.63  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2020, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             32   63  +30       8.75    84.54    14.45    85.75     5.19    35.29    78.42    99.17    83.94P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     33   56  +10       4.67    69.99     0.94    75.14     5.02    11.88     4.37    64.05    17.08P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            33   55   +4      10.10    87.80     4.40    72.68     4.95     3.90     1.49    43.20     8.31P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             33   54  +17      -3.83    33.22    -2.13    75.81     5.03    22.96     6.30    72.70    27.39P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       32   52  +14       4.68    70.82     8.91    73.53     5.18    17.53     2.29    54.16    13.04P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       32   50  +16      -6.66    21.98    -3.12    74.88     5.18    24.59     5.23    67.12    26.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            33   50   +9       1.36    56.18     4.10    70.42     5.06    12.85     0.50    30.57     6.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     32   47  +10      -2.56    38.33     1.56    69.87     5.16    15.40     0.48    28.49     7.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     32   47   +0       2.24    60.58    -1.20    65.35     5.17    -1.24     0.07     6.77     1.33P    0.13R    0.00  
Woking             33   47   -7       8.50    83.33     3.60    61.94     4.88   -11.55     0.01     1.54     0.20P    0.64R    0.00  
Barnet             30   46   +8       0.36    52.01     1.30    69.73     5.59    10.64     0.82    27.57     6.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport          33   46   -6       6.60    77.09     3.36    60.50     4.95   -11.27     0.01     0.84     0.11P    1.46R    0.00  
Hartlepool         33   44   +2      -1.03    45.84     2.64    62.29     4.93     2.63     0.00     2.05     0.41P    0.45R    0.00  
Sutton_United      33   42   +3      -3.57    34.28     2.34    60.73     4.97     4.39     0.00     0.92     0.20P    1.12R    0.01  
Torquay            33   42   -6       2.57    61.85     4.53    57.56     4.98    -9.89     0.00     0.22     0.04P    5.33R    0.03  
Eastleigh          32   41   -6      -0.58    47.99    -2.23    58.06     5.07    -9.29     0.00     0.27     0.05P    4.79R    0.03  
Maidenhead         33   41   -7       2.88    63.93     4.03    57.50     4.93    -9.16     0.00     0.14     0.02P    6.06R    0.04  
Aldershot          33   40   -8       0.94    55.02     0.93    55.27     4.76   -11.70     0.00     0.02     0.00P   12.43R    0.08  
Wrexham            33   39   -1      -9.34    13.93    -5.70    56.80     4.94    -0.85     0.00     0.11     0.03P    5.78R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red          32   37   -5      -5.26    27.01    -2.94    54.91     5.10    -6.78     0.00     0.06     0.02P   13.75R    0.14  
Chesterfield       33   34  -15      -8.26    17.07   -10.12    51.18     4.96   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.69R    1.51  
AFC_Fylde          31   31  -13     -11.97     7.74   -13.55    52.35     5.46   -11.96     0.00     0.02     0.01P   29.75R    1.22  
Ebbsfleet_United   33   30  -21     -10.28    11.68   -12.85    45.80     4.90   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.33R   10.70  
Chorley            33   26  -28      -3.33    35.27    -3.25    37.57     4.57   -37.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   86.21