Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 29 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 January 2020, West_Ham 0 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        24   70  +41      16.04    99.88     6.01   102.74     4.20    64.63    99.90   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         24   51  +38      -5.12    18.89    -3.49    82.93     4.35    61.49     0.10    94.30    99.89    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        24   48  +28       6.61    82.80    15.18    72.09     5.13    35.43     0.00     5.57    86.95    97.41    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          24   40   +9      -1.83    39.50    -4.34    63.08     5.03    14.82     0.00     0.12     9.61    58.98    91.03     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          24   34   +7      -5.53    21.35    -2.61    57.17     5.09    12.82     0.00     0.00     1.34    15.37    60.23     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        24   34   +6      -7.84    12.87    -7.49    57.79     5.14    12.80     0.00     0.00     1.62    18.31    64.35     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    24   34   +3       2.15    62.42     5.63    54.02     5.12     4.21     0.00     0.00     0.38     5.27    32.29     0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   33   +2       4.43    74.45     8.93    51.47     5.09     1.18     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.93    16.91     0.13R    0.00  
Southampton      24   31  -11       4.99    77.17     1.09    47.49     4.94   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     3.42     1.90R    0.07  
Arsenal          24   30   -2      -7.00    16.40    -7.66    51.72     5.04     1.38     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.72    17.68     0.18R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   30   -6       0.30    52.46    -0.70    47.20     4.94    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26     3.57     1.74R    0.03  
Everton          24   30   -7      -1.83    40.44    -4.29    48.28     5.05    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40     5.82     1.12R    0.04  
Burnley          24   30  -10       4.11    73.49     1.55    45.84     4.86   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.80     3.58R    0.15  
Newcastle        24   30  -12       3.01    67.92    -2.87    46.99     4.92   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     2.81     2.49R    0.10  
Brighton         24   25   -7      -0.61    47.44     4.72    39.53     4.79   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    25.52R    2.39  
Aston_Villa      24   25  -14       0.59    54.66     2.50    38.03     4.86   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    41.64R    4.92  
West_Ham         24   23  -13      -4.64    25.74    -3.91    38.87     4.84   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    32.29R    3.98  
Bournemouth      24   23  -14      -3.74    30.01    -3.12    36.87     4.76   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.57R    7.26  
Watford          24   23  -15      -3.23    32.38    -3.71    37.40     4.77   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    45.50R    6.69  
Norwich          24   17  -23      -4.24    26.84    -1.42    29.00     4.63   -36.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.30R   74.38  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, Blackburn 2 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    29   55  +20       6.04    77.01     6.46    84.21     5.70    28.98    43.81    72.13    97.99    79.72P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       29   53  +18       2.48    61.52     1.51    83.13     5.79    28.76    36.26    65.67    96.70    75.22P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   29   51  +12       7.46    82.48     6.25    76.30     5.75    14.98     6.13    17.28    75.80    30.48P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   49  +12       2.90    63.51     2.44    74.95     5.88    15.89     4.46    13.57    67.93    27.82P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   47  +22      -2.29    38.37     7.78    75.97     5.75    30.36     6.51    19.01    76.88    37.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    29   47   +3       5.16    74.08    -0.01    70.64     5.83     3.46     0.85     3.35    36.91    10.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         29   46   +8       3.05    64.69     3.18    70.84     5.85    10.18     1.00     3.88    40.50    12.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         29   45   +1       3.11    65.08    -2.18    68.90     5.75     2.09     0.36     1.64    26.33     6.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall        29   44   +3       5.82    77.35     5.05    66.81     5.79     2.37     0.12     0.73    16.90     3.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   43   +6       1.59    57.95     3.63    66.54     5.86     6.32     0.15     0.87    17.12     4.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       29   42   +7       0.20    51.46     3.81    66.96     5.78     9.39     0.16     0.92    19.10     5.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff         29   42   -1       0.46    52.51    -3.64    66.79     5.91     1.19     0.17     0.81    16.97     4.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Hull            29   39   +3      -1.84    41.45     1.60    62.62     5.80     3.35     0.02     0.11     5.53     1.21P    0.35R    0.00  
QPR             29   38   -6       3.46    67.38     3.08    59.00     5.79   -10.04     0.00     0.01     1.36     0.25P    2.33R    0.07  
Reading         29   37   +2       0.42    52.90     6.39    58.97     5.68     0.17     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.20P    1.77R    0.04  
Derby           29   37   -8      -3.86    31.68    -9.79    59.12     5.73    -9.72     0.00     0.01     1.38     0.30P    1.75R    0.04  
Middlesbrough   29   35   -7      -5.13    25.91    -8.05    58.68     5.66    -6.01     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.21P    2.05R    0.10  
Birmingham      29   34  -11      -0.63    47.77    -3.27    54.22     5.68   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   10.77R    0.70  
Huddersfield    29   32  -12      -1.48    43.55    -2.80    51.54     5.61   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   21.73R    2.26  
Stoke           29   31   -6      -6.66    20.06    -3.15    53.41     5.72    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   12.29R    1.14  
Charlton        29   30   -4      -5.38    25.78     2.50    51.67     5.73    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.60R    2.28  
Wigan           29   26  -17      -6.72    19.24    -6.94    45.70     5.61   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.53R   15.58  
Barnsley        29   24  -19      -8.10    15.53    -6.57    42.90     5.68   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.81R   31.74  
Luton           29   24  -26      -5.09    26.69    -7.29    41.57     5.61   -36.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.87R   46.03  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 January 2020, Gillingham 2 0 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            28   50  +22       1.39    56.63     5.91    79.17     5.60    33.41    42.46    62.32    92.89    71.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              28   50   +4      13.03    95.56     6.10    71.82     5.49     3.92     4.49    11.75    52.15    17.72P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              28   48  +15       1.89    59.41     3.67    75.64     5.49    23.77    15.97    34.30    79.84    47.23P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         29   46  +16      -1.28    43.82     4.35    71.33     5.24    23.76     4.14    11.80    54.62    23.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           27   45  +13      -3.04    34.00    -3.78    73.61     5.68    20.91     9.95    22.75    67.60    37.11P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             26   45  +10       6.71    82.03     5.92    71.01     5.91    12.23     4.71    11.51    48.21    18.77P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           26   44  +10       0.49    52.20    -2.27    72.69     5.96    16.07     8.22    18.34    59.95    29.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +17       0.77    54.08    10.06    70.79     5.87    24.98     4.78    12.33    50.72    21.80P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            26   41  +14      -1.67    41.09     3.41    70.30     5.89    21.21     3.97    10.27    46.52    20.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   41   +4       0.06    50.54    -2.00    65.80     5.76     6.31     0.63     2.11    17.73     5.63P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       26   39   +7      -0.70    46.41     0.95    65.09     5.95     9.32     0.57     1.96    16.29     5.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           28   39   +6       0.05    50.90     4.91    61.65     5.49     7.11     0.04     0.20     4.79     1.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       27   38   -5       2.38    63.18    -3.18    59.03     5.62    -8.28     0.02     0.07     1.89     0.38P    0.05R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         29   37   +0       0.50    52.95     4.68    58.95     5.46     2.09     0.01     0.05     1.57     0.32P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool            26   34   +2      -2.21    38.76     1.05    60.08     5.81     4.42     0.03     0.17     3.42     0.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   34   -6       0.59    53.79    -3.37    58.60     5.76    -5.88     0.00     0.07     1.79     0.37P    0.12R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30   -5      -4.29    29.13     1.41    50.31     5.45    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    2.51R    0.00  
Rochdale             28   29  -14      -2.19    39.72    -1.92    46.43     5.24   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.56R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   28   -7      -3.93    30.41     0.51    47.72     5.46   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.72R    0.01  
MK_Dons              28   28  -11      -4.70    27.68    -2.58    45.58     5.29   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.72R    0.02  
Tranmere             26   22  -18      -3.31    32.80    -0.92    38.62     5.54   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.65R    0.96  
Southend             27   13  -39     -11.94     3.77   -17.35    28.59     5.24   -53.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.87R   28.22  
Bolton               25    8  -35      -2.39    37.32   -15.55    23.83     5.49   -51.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.70R   70.78  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, Bradford 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          30   56  +19       7.43    81.47     7.90    83.22     5.63    26.91    31.86    73.98    98.35    80.02P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           29   54   +9       8.96    86.64     1.23    80.63     5.78    13.90    16.28    53.34    94.43    62.91P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            29   52  +18       6.41    78.16     9.33    78.31     5.78    22.37     9.72    40.13    90.03    51.63P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         28   51  +17       2.57    62.22     1.85    83.24     6.03    28.15    33.66    72.92    97.70    80.44P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   49  +15       0.60    53.06     4.48    73.97     5.57    19.45     2.15    15.58    71.96    31.16P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      29   49  +13       3.38    66.37     4.41    73.85     5.82    15.27     2.47    15.45    68.75    28.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         30   47   +8      -0.80    46.09    -1.68    72.52     5.59    13.22     1.05     9.60    60.79    24.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       28   45  +19       2.82    64.28    13.39    73.75     5.97    25.01     2.72    16.89    70.96    30.17P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     30   44   +4       0.30    51.76     0.11    66.48     5.46     4.90     0.05     1.04    19.63     5.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        30   44   +1       5.11    74.02     3.87    63.96     5.42    -1.60     0.02     0.27     9.36     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   27   39   +3       1.76    59.69     2.18    64.62     6.01     2.75     0.04     0.75    13.72     3.40P    0.01R    0.01  
Salford_City     30   39   +0       3.45    67.01     8.57    57.74     5.50    -4.92     0.00     0.02     1.19     0.21P    0.08R    0.08  
Crawley_Town     30   36   -2      -0.96    45.96     4.35    56.96     5.54    -3.70     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.12P    0.22R    0.22  
Walsall          30   36  -12      -4.34    30.43   -10.99    56.31     5.58   -14.01     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.15P    0.29R    0.29  
Macclesfield     29   34   -4       1.55    58.97     5.87    52.24     5.45   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    1.49R    1.49  
Grimsby          28   33   -4      -1.47    43.23     0.95    53.57     5.65    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.95R    0.95  
Scunthorpe       30   33   -6     -10.19    11.54    -8.91    57.40     5.69    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.27P    0.21R    0.21  
Oldham           30   33  -13      -6.41    21.58   -10.47    53.03     5.45   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    1.21R    1.21  
Cambridge_Utd    30   32  -11      -2.33    38.81    -1.41    49.58     5.30   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.83R    3.83  
Carlisle         29   32  -16      -3.23    34.90    -9.02    54.01     5.72   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    1.22R    1.22  
Leyton_Orient    30   31  -12      -1.68    42.68     0.91    48.80     5.40   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.48R    6.48  
Mansfield        30   30   -7     -13.88     4.39   -11.00    53.66     5.61    -4.53     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    0.98R    0.98  
Morecambe        30   26  -24      -4.21    29.78    -7.37    42.17     5.23   -32.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.86R   41.86  
Stevenage        30   22  -15     -14.16     3.03    -8.56    41.77     5.43   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.18R   41.18  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, Eastleigh 0 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             31   60  +29       7.50    81.27    14.05    84.89     5.39    35.53    71.35    98.55    78.55P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     32   55  +10       5.02    71.88     0.85    75.74     5.23    12.25     6.51    67.95    19.60P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             32   53  +17      -3.14    35.59    -1.57    77.44     5.21    24.99    12.26    81.49    34.73P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            32   52   +3       8.81    85.08     3.92    70.86     5.18     2.61     0.98    31.02     5.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            32   50  +10       2.40    60.69     4.59    71.89     5.27    14.03     1.50    41.93     9.78P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       31   49  +13       3.32    65.50     8.31    71.71     5.39    16.25     1.48    41.07     9.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       31   47  +13      -6.43    22.52    -3.39    73.21     5.43    21.55     3.37    54.46    20.18P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     31   47  +12      -1.67    42.24     2.85    72.27     5.37    18.89     1.85    46.57    13.72P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             32   47   -5       8.77    83.92     3.92    63.51     5.17    -9.29     0.03     3.50     0.52P    0.46R    0.00  
Stockport          32   46   -4       7.30    79.97     4.38    62.03     5.21    -9.03     0.01     2.18     0.32P    1.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool         32   44   +3      -0.01    50.37     3.16    63.59     5.17     3.54     0.02     4.23     0.76P    0.32R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     31   44   -2       1.23    56.10    -2.28    63.29     5.41    -3.91     0.04     3.53     0.70P    0.73R    0.00  
Barnet             29   43   +7      -0.86    45.81     0.85    68.25     5.82     9.88     0.61    20.79     5.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Torquay            32   42   -5       3.22    64.81     4.30    58.53     5.21    -9.60     0.00     0.53     0.08P    4.47R    0.03  
Sutton_United      32   41   +3      -3.07    36.30     2.59    61.28     5.24     4.65     0.00     1.64     0.30P    1.20R    0.01  
Aldershot          32   39   -8       1.22    56.62     0.82    55.33     5.01   -12.14     0.00     0.04     0.00P   13.87R    0.11  
Wrexham            32   38   -1      -8.79    15.42    -5.47    57.44     5.14    -0.54     0.00     0.21     0.06P    5.66R    0.03  
Eastleigh          31   38   -8      -1.36    44.12    -2.88    56.47     5.31   -11.32     0.00     0.15     0.02P   10.26R    0.10  
Maidenhead         32   38   -9       1.65    58.58     2.78    54.85     5.12   -12.75     0.00     0.05     0.00    16.69R    0.22  
Dag_&_Red          31   36   -5      -5.22    27.18    -3.25    55.00     5.30    -7.20     0.00     0.05     0.02P   15.06R    0.18  
Chesterfield       32   34  -12      -8.42    16.42    -9.53    52.45     5.15   -13.36     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.72R    0.77  
AFC_Fylde          30   31  -12     -10.75     9.46   -12.76    53.91     5.68   -10.66     0.00     0.05     0.02P   22.35R    0.70  
Ebbsfleet_United   32   29  -21      -9.82    12.04   -12.66    46.06     5.09   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.75R    9.05  
Chorley            32   25  -28      -3.27    35.36    -3.59    36.90     4.66   -39.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.41R   88.81