Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 28 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 23 January 2020, Wolverhampton 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 23 67 +39 15.52 99.89 5.82 102.06 4.38 64.27 99.80 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 24 51 +38 -5.09 19.04 -3.41 82.90 4.36 61.41 0.19 94.56 99.86 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 24 48 +28 6.75 83.19 15.41 71.98 5.08 35.26 0.00 5.33 86.88 97.46 99.85 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 24 40 +9 -1.79 39.68 -4.23 63.09 5.03 14.83 0.00 0.11 9.81 58.75 91.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 34 +7 -5.59 21.30 -2.69 57.23 5.10 12.91 0.00 0.00 1.31 15.60 60.52 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 24 34 +6 -7.82 12.99 -7.38 57.80 5.16 12.78 0.00 0.00 1.63 18.35 64.70 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 24 34 +3 2.32 63.48 5.90 53.90 5.15 4.02 0.00 0.00 0.31 5.02 31.38 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 24 33 +2 4.41 74.23 8.95 51.47 5.11 1.21 0.00 0.00 0.11 2.11 16.84 0.17R 0.00 Southampton 24 31 -11 4.91 76.73 1.03 47.43 4.95 -16.40 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.18 3.61 2.23R 0.06 Arsenal 24 30 -2 -6.97 16.59 -7.64 51.69 5.07 1.38 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.66 17.81 0.22R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 24 30 -6 0.32 52.79 -0.66 47.24 4.95 -8.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 3.70 1.79R 0.03 Everton 24 30 -7 -1.71 40.71 -4.10 48.24 5.05 -8.64 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.41 5.73 1.19R 0.02 Burnley 24 30 -10 4.09 73.38 1.45 45.84 4.87 -16.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.83 3.72R 0.15 Newcastle 24 30 -12 2.86 67.08 -3.03 46.97 4.89 -15.80 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 2.77 2.45R 0.06 Brighton 24 25 -7 -0.79 46.45 4.44 39.65 4.78 -14.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 25.14R 2.42 Aston_Villa 24 25 -14 0.60 54.68 2.48 38.08 4.86 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 42.09R 4.98 West_Ham 23 23 -11 -4.34 26.85 -3.87 39.45 4.97 -19.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 29.68R 3.61 Bournemouth 24 23 -14 -3.74 29.74 -3.11 36.90 4.73 -23.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 50.56R 6.81 Watford 24 23 -15 -3.30 31.86 -3.80 37.44 4.76 -22.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 46.17R 7.03 Norwich 24 17 -23 -4.25 26.73 -1.55 29.03 4.62 -36.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.53R 74.83Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, Blackburn 2 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 29 55 +20 6.07 77.13 6.47 84.22 5.69 28.98 44.06 72.34 98.05 79.86P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 29 53 +18 2.42 61.37 1.40 83.15 5.79 28.85 36.45 66.24 96.61 75.90P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 29 51 +12 7.66 82.85 6.54 76.21 5.76 14.86 5.78 17.13 75.25 30.21P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 29 49 +12 3.09 64.39 2.75 74.81 5.94 15.72 4.31 13.28 67.43 27.14P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 29 47 +22 -2.16 39.22 7.91 75.92 5.79 30.34 6.54 18.89 76.65 37.83P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 29 47 +3 5.11 73.43 -0.13 70.64 5.83 3.44 0.89 3.35 37.37 10.26P 0.00 0.00 Preston 29 46 +8 3.22 65.48 3.46 70.68 5.86 9.99 0.91 3.66 39.69 11.77P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 29 45 +1 2.89 64.27 -2.50 69.02 5.73 2.29 0.41 1.72 26.97 7.31P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 29 44 +3 5.86 77.13 5.12 66.75 5.74 2.28 0.13 0.68 16.67 3.52P 0.04R 0.00 Blackburn 29 43 +6 1.63 58.27 3.68 66.56 5.84 6.34 0.15 0.81 17.05 4.09P 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 29 42 +7 0.16 51.25 3.80 66.98 5.81 9.41 0.19 0.93 19.69 5.19P 0.02R 0.00 Cardiff 29 42 -1 0.59 52.81 -3.40 66.72 5.96 1.11 0.15 0.79 17.16 4.41P 0.05R 0.00 Hull 29 39 +3 -1.86 41.25 1.55 62.72 5.79 3.46 0.02 0.14 5.90 1.41P 0.36R 0.00 QPR 29 38 -6 3.30 66.72 2.87 59.15 5.78 -9.89 0.00 0.03 1.43 0.22P 2.18R 0.10 Reading 29 37 +2 0.38 52.55 6.34 58.99 5.67 0.17 0.00 0.01 1.29 0.24P 1.80R 0.08 Derby 29 37 -8 -3.88 31.70 -9.83 59.08 5.75 -9.78 0.00 0.01 1.46 0.33P 1.76R 0.06 Middlesbrough 29 35 -7 -5.08 26.26 -7.94 58.60 5.70 -6.12 0.00 0.01 1.02 0.25P 2.16R 0.10 Birmingham 29 34 -11 -0.75 46.87 -3.35 54.23 5.69 -15.81 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 10.78R 0.68 Huddersfield 29 32 -12 -1.66 42.63 -3.12 51.65 5.64 -17.28 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 21.16R 2.17 Stoke 29 31 -6 -6.83 19.46 -3.46 53.55 5.72 -6.97 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 11.87R 1.01 Charlton 29 30 -4 -5.42 25.60 2.42 51.73 5.76 -6.32 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 19.21R 2.20 Wigan 29 26 -17 -6.56 20.13 -6.70 45.59 5.60 -22.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.24R 16.13 Barnsley 29 24 -19 -8.07 15.38 -6.50 42.85 5.66 -26.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.32R 31.99 Luton 29 24 -26 -5.14 26.18 -7.37 41.60 5.61 -36.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.01R 45.47League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Rotherham 28 50 +22 1.20 55.89 5.69 79.32 5.57 33.67 44.34 64.78 93.59 73.23P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 28 48 +15 2.03 60.30 3.87 75.49 5.47 23.54 15.88 34.22 80.15 47.13P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 27 47 +3 11.66 94.06 5.45 70.20 5.70 2.97 3.07 8.28 42.16 13.18P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 29 46 +16 -1.35 43.18 4.22 71.36 5.28 23.82 4.36 12.58 56.24 23.81P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 26 45 +10 6.67 81.99 5.83 71.11 5.92 12.37 5.05 12.44 50.19 19.86P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 26 44 +10 0.55 52.77 -2.18 72.72 5.94 16.07 8.41 19.12 61.82 30.19P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 26 42 +12 -4.14 28.36 -4.03 72.55 5.91 20.80 8.19 19.19 62.31 32.91P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 41 +17 0.59 53.43 9.82 70.84 5.91 25.08 5.06 13.36 52.49 23.01P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 26 41 +14 -1.66 41.03 3.36 70.41 5.89 21.35 4.16 11.05 49.02 21.53P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 27 41 +4 0.30 51.86 -1.57 65.59 5.77 6.02 0.66 2.07 18.00 5.57P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 26 39 +7 -0.64 46.50 1.03 65.03 5.92 9.24 0.58 1.95 16.68 5.37P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 27 38 -5 2.55 63.72 -2.99 59.00 5.60 -8.30 0.02 0.10 2.10 0.43P 0.05R 0.00 Lincoln_City 29 37 +0 0.35 52.64 4.47 59.02 5.46 2.17 0.01 0.03 1.82 0.37P 0.05R 0.00 Gillingham 27 36 +4 -0.83 46.08 4.02 59.96 5.69 5.00 0.03 0.13 3.23 0.74P 0.06R 0.00 Blackpool 25 34 +3 -1.29 43.25 1.38 61.50 6.02 5.50 0.14 0.52 6.58 1.81P 0.03R 0.00 Shrewsbury 25 34 -4 1.26 57.54 -2.30 59.92 5.98 -3.91 0.04 0.19 3.60 0.84P 0.07R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 28 30 -5 -4.13 29.98 1.61 50.15 5.44 -7.84 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 3.11R 0.00 Rochdale 28 29 -14 -2.21 39.46 -1.99 46.39 5.25 -21.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.18R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 27 28 -7 -3.90 30.46 0.47 47.76 5.45 -12.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.49R 0.01 MK_Dons 28 28 -11 -4.69 27.63 -2.62 45.59 5.26 -17.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.22R 0.01 Tranmere 25 22 -17 -2.43 37.35 -0.58 39.47 5.74 -30.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.09R 0.83 Southend 27 13 -39 -12.00 3.55 -17.55 28.58 5.25 -53.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.89R 28.33 Bolton 25 8 -35 -2.34 37.63 -15.40 23.84 5.50 -51.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.75R 70.82 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, Bradford 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 30 56 +19 7.24 80.81 7.62 83.33 5.59 27.07 29.07 73.91 98.48 80.26P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 29 54 +9 8.85 86.55 1.14 80.67 5.74 13.92 14.57 52.48 94.49 62.27P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 29 52 +18 6.51 78.70 9.47 78.28 5.78 22.35 8.76 39.08 89.74 50.85P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 27 50 +17 3.19 65.22 2.28 84.44 6.21 29.47 40.20 77.82 98.19 83.89P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 30 49 +15 0.56 52.63 4.40 74.01 5.60 19.52 1.86 14.97 71.88 30.67P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 29 49 +13 3.17 65.08 4.02 73.98 5.81 15.46 2.28 15.28 69.70 28.31P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 30 47 +8 -0.74 46.18 -1.62 72.46 5.54 13.14 0.84 8.75 59.88 23.33P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 28 45 +19 2.88 64.02 13.51 73.72 5.97 24.96 2.32 15.78 70.63 29.06P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 30 44 +4 0.35 51.99 0.09 66.50 5.52 4.91 0.06 0.97 19.94 5.34P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 30 44 +1 5.23 74.44 4.02 63.92 5.45 -1.68 0.01 0.27 9.40 1.91P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 27 39 +3 1.81 59.95 2.30 64.55 6.01 2.67 0.03 0.67 13.57 3.30P 0.00R 0.00 Salford_City 30 39 +0 3.35 66.42 8.51 57.71 5.50 -4.94 0.00 0.01 1.06 0.15P 0.12R 0.12 Walsall 30 36 -12 -4.21 30.85 -10.80 56.25 5.53 -14.12 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.10P 0.28R 0.28 Crawley_Town 29 35 -2 -1.00 45.77 3.59 56.64 5.68 -4.87 0.00 0.02 0.75 0.14P 0.26R 0.26 Macclesfield 29 34 -4 1.50 58.56 5.82 52.28 5.45 -11.22 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 1.53R 1.53 Grimsby 28 33 -4 -1.43 43.21 1.00 53.53 5.62 -9.70 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 0.95R 0.95 Scunthorpe 30 33 -6 -10.20 11.35 -8.88 57.48 5.66 -2.28 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.25P 0.20R 0.20 Oldham 30 33 -13 -6.63 21.11 -10.75 53.11 5.48 -15.70 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 1.16R 1.16 Cambridge_Utd 30 32 -11 -2.22 39.74 -1.22 49.48 5.31 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 3.90R 3.90 Carlisle 29 32 -16 -3.32 34.47 -9.14 54.05 5.74 -17.88 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 1.15R 1.15 Leyton_Orient 30 31 -12 -1.55 43.02 1.07 48.73 5.37 -18.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 6.44R 6.44 Mansfield 30 30 -7 -13.71 4.62 -10.76 53.59 5.64 -4.61 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.06P 1.11R 1.11 Morecambe 30 26 -24 -4.04 30.53 -7.09 42.04 5.22 -32.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.13R 43.13 Stevenage 30 22 -15 -14.17 2.91 -8.59 41.81 5.44 -17.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.78R 39.78National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, Eastleigh 0 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 31 60 +29 7.77 81.83 14.44 84.83 5.41 35.40 70.93 98.55 77.95P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 32 55 +10 5.22 72.76 1.16 75.62 5.24 12.07 6.26 67.25 19.00P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 32 53 +17 -3.27 35.05 -1.79 77.53 5.22 25.11 12.77 81.98 35.44P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 32 52 +3 8.70 84.71 3.74 70.90 5.17 2.67 0.89 31.22 6.03P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 32 50 +10 2.31 60.27 4.48 71.87 5.28 14.02 1.46 41.40 9.59P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 31 49 +13 3.44 65.90 8.49 71.66 5.41 16.18 1.58 40.82 9.67P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 31 47 +13 -6.49 22.34 -3.44 73.25 5.42 21.61 3.59 54.76 20.28P 0.00R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 31 47 +12 -1.79 41.52 2.68 72.30 5.38 18.96 1.79 46.87 13.85P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 32 47 -5 8.94 84.87 4.18 63.37 5.12 -9.47 0.02 3.23 0.45P 0.44R 0.00 Stockport 32 46 -4 7.12 79.49 4.07 62.10 5.18 -8.90 0.02 2.14 0.33P 0.99R 0.00 Hartlepool 32 44 +3 0.01 50.50 3.16 63.54 5.18 3.47 0.02 4.13 0.78P 0.37R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 44 -2 1.13 55.65 -2.37 63.38 5.41 -3.81 0.03 3.88 0.72P 0.60R 0.00 Barnet 29 43 +7 -0.72 46.39 1.10 68.22 5.87 9.83 0.65 20.91 5.35P 0.07R 0.00 Torquay 32 42 -5 3.30 65.15 4.42 58.53 5.22 -9.62 0.00 0.55 0.07P 4.38R 0.03 Sutton_United 32 41 +3 -3.09 36.30 2.58 61.28 5.21 4.62 0.01 1.65 0.35P 1.23R 0.00 Aldershot 32 39 -8 1.15 56.33 0.65 55.42 5.02 -12.01 0.00 0.06 0.01P 13.52R 0.09 Wrexham 32 38 -1 -9.11 14.26 -5.93 57.55 5.12 -0.38 0.00 0.25 0.07P 5.35R 0.03 Eastleigh 31 38 -8 -1.35 44.46 -2.85 56.43 5.29 -11.34 0.00 0.18 0.03P 10.30R 0.11 Maidenhead 32 38 -9 1.59 58.51 2.69 54.87 5.11 -12.74 0.00 0.04 0.00P 16.67R 0.23 Dag_&_Red 31 36 -5 -5.18 26.97 -3.24 54.96 5.30 -7.24 0.00 0.08 0.01P 15.26R 0.13 Chesterfield 32 34 -12 -8.26 16.93 -9.27 52.41 5.16 -13.39 0.00 0.00 0.00P 30.39R 0.82 AFC_Fylde 30 31 -12 -10.90 9.21 -12.97 54.04 5.65 -10.47 0.00 0.05 0.01P 21.73R 0.58 Ebbsfleet_United 32 29 -21 -9.92 12.01 -12.75 46.03 5.07 -24.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.26R 8.90 Chorley 32 25 -28 -2.97 36.80 -3.21 36.82 4.65 -39.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.43R 89.07