Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 28 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 23 January 2020, Wolverhampton 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        23   67  +39      15.52    99.89     5.82   102.06     4.38    64.27    99.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         24   51  +38      -5.09    19.04    -3.41    82.90     4.36    61.41     0.19    94.56    99.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        24   48  +28       6.75    83.19    15.41    71.98     5.08    35.26     0.00     5.33    86.88    97.46    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          24   40   +9      -1.79    39.68    -4.23    63.09     5.03    14.83     0.00     0.11     9.81    58.75    91.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          24   34   +7      -5.59    21.30    -2.69    57.23     5.10    12.91     0.00     0.00     1.31    15.60    60.52     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        24   34   +6      -7.82    12.99    -7.38    57.80     5.16    12.78     0.00     0.00     1.63    18.35    64.70     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    24   34   +3       2.32    63.48     5.90    53.90     5.15     4.02     0.00     0.00     0.31     5.02    31.38     0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   33   +2       4.41    74.23     8.95    51.47     5.11     1.21     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.11    16.84     0.17R    0.00  
Southampton      24   31  -11       4.91    76.73     1.03    47.43     4.95   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     3.61     2.23R    0.06  
Arsenal          24   30   -2      -6.97    16.59    -7.64    51.69     5.07     1.38     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.66    17.81     0.22R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   30   -6       0.32    52.79    -0.66    47.24     4.95    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     3.70     1.79R    0.03  
Everton          24   30   -7      -1.71    40.71    -4.10    48.24     5.05    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.41     5.73     1.19R    0.02  
Burnley          24   30  -10       4.09    73.38     1.45    45.84     4.87   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.83     3.72R    0.15  
Newcastle        24   30  -12       2.86    67.08    -3.03    46.97     4.89   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     2.77     2.45R    0.06  
Brighton         24   25   -7      -0.79    46.45     4.44    39.65     4.78   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    25.14R    2.42  
Aston_Villa      24   25  -14       0.60    54.68     2.48    38.08     4.86   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    42.09R    4.98  
West_Ham         23   23  -11      -4.34    26.85    -3.87    39.45     4.97   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    29.68R    3.61  
Bournemouth      24   23  -14      -3.74    29.74    -3.11    36.90     4.73   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.56R    6.81  
Watford          24   23  -15      -3.30    31.86    -3.80    37.44     4.76   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    46.17R    7.03  
Norwich          24   17  -23      -4.25    26.73    -1.55    29.03     4.62   -36.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.53R   74.83  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, Blackburn 2 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    29   55  +20       6.07    77.13     6.47    84.22     5.69    28.98    44.06    72.34    98.05    79.86P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       29   53  +18       2.42    61.37     1.40    83.15     5.79    28.85    36.45    66.24    96.61    75.90P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   29   51  +12       7.66    82.85     6.54    76.21     5.76    14.86     5.78    17.13    75.25    30.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   49  +12       3.09    64.39     2.75    74.81     5.94    15.72     4.31    13.28    67.43    27.14P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   47  +22      -2.16    39.22     7.91    75.92     5.79    30.34     6.54    18.89    76.65    37.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    29   47   +3       5.11    73.43    -0.13    70.64     5.83     3.44     0.89     3.35    37.37    10.26P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         29   46   +8       3.22    65.48     3.46    70.68     5.86     9.99     0.91     3.66    39.69    11.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         29   45   +1       2.89    64.27    -2.50    69.02     5.73     2.29     0.41     1.72    26.97     7.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall        29   44   +3       5.86    77.13     5.12    66.75     5.74     2.28     0.13     0.68    16.67     3.52P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   43   +6       1.63    58.27     3.68    66.56     5.84     6.34     0.15     0.81    17.05     4.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       29   42   +7       0.16    51.25     3.80    66.98     5.81     9.41     0.19     0.93    19.69     5.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff         29   42   -1       0.59    52.81    -3.40    66.72     5.96     1.11     0.15     0.79    17.16     4.41P    0.05R    0.00  
Hull            29   39   +3      -1.86    41.25     1.55    62.72     5.79     3.46     0.02     0.14     5.90     1.41P    0.36R    0.00  
QPR             29   38   -6       3.30    66.72     2.87    59.15     5.78    -9.89     0.00     0.03     1.43     0.22P    2.18R    0.10  
Reading         29   37   +2       0.38    52.55     6.34    58.99     5.67     0.17     0.00     0.01     1.29     0.24P    1.80R    0.08  
Derby           29   37   -8      -3.88    31.70    -9.83    59.08     5.75    -9.78     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.33P    1.76R    0.06  
Middlesbrough   29   35   -7      -5.08    26.26    -7.94    58.60     5.70    -6.12     0.00     0.01     1.02     0.25P    2.16R    0.10  
Birmingham      29   34  -11      -0.75    46.87    -3.35    54.23     5.69   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   10.78R    0.68  
Huddersfield    29   32  -12      -1.66    42.63    -3.12    51.65     5.64   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   21.16R    2.17  
Stoke           29   31   -6      -6.83    19.46    -3.46    53.55     5.72    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   11.87R    1.01  
Charlton        29   30   -4      -5.42    25.60     2.42    51.73     5.76    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.21R    2.20  
Wigan           29   26  -17      -6.56    20.13    -6.70    45.59     5.60   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.24R   16.13  
Barnsley        29   24  -19      -8.07    15.38    -6.50    42.85     5.66   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.32R   31.99  
Luton           29   24  -26      -5.14    26.18    -7.37    41.60     5.61   -36.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.01R   45.47  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            28   50  +22       1.20    55.89     5.69    79.32     5.57    33.67    44.34    64.78    93.59    73.23P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              28   48  +15       2.03    60.30     3.87    75.49     5.47    23.54    15.88    34.22    80.15    47.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   47   +3      11.66    94.06     5.45    70.20     5.70     2.97     3.07     8.28    42.16    13.18P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         29   46  +16      -1.35    43.18     4.22    71.36     5.28    23.82     4.36    12.58    56.24    23.81P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             26   45  +10       6.67    81.99     5.83    71.11     5.92    12.37     5.05    12.44    50.19    19.86P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           26   44  +10       0.55    52.77    -2.18    72.72     5.94    16.07     8.41    19.12    61.82    30.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           26   42  +12      -4.14    28.36    -4.03    72.55     5.91    20.80     8.19    19.19    62.31    32.91P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +17       0.59    53.43     9.82    70.84     5.91    25.08     5.06    13.36    52.49    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            26   41  +14      -1.66    41.03     3.36    70.41     5.89    21.35     4.16    11.05    49.02    21.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   41   +4       0.30    51.86    -1.57    65.59     5.77     6.02     0.66     2.07    18.00     5.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       26   39   +7      -0.64    46.50     1.03    65.03     5.92     9.24     0.58     1.95    16.68     5.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       27   38   -5       2.55    63.72    -2.99    59.00     5.60    -8.30     0.02     0.10     2.10     0.43P    0.05R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         29   37   +0       0.35    52.64     4.47    59.02     5.46     2.17     0.01     0.03     1.82     0.37P    0.05R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   36   +4      -0.83    46.08     4.02    59.96     5.69     5.00     0.03     0.13     3.23     0.74P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool            25   34   +3      -1.29    43.25     1.38    61.50     6.02     5.50     0.14     0.52     6.58     1.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   -4       1.26    57.54    -2.30    59.92     5.98    -3.91     0.04     0.19     3.60     0.84P    0.07R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30   -5      -4.13    29.98     1.61    50.15     5.44    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    3.11R    0.00  
Rochdale             28   29  -14      -2.21    39.46    -1.99    46.39     5.25   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.18R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   28   -7      -3.90    30.46     0.47    47.76     5.45   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.49R    0.01  
MK_Dons              28   28  -11      -4.69    27.63    -2.62    45.59     5.26   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.22R    0.01  
Tranmere             25   22  -17      -2.43    37.35    -0.58    39.47     5.74   -30.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.09R    0.83  
Southend             27   13  -39     -12.00     3.55   -17.55    28.58     5.25   -53.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.89R   28.33  
Bolton               25    8  -35      -2.34    37.63   -15.40    23.84     5.50   -51.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   70.82  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, Bradford 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          30   56  +19       7.24    80.81     7.62    83.33     5.59    27.07    29.07    73.91    98.48    80.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           29   54   +9       8.85    86.55     1.14    80.67     5.74    13.92    14.57    52.48    94.49    62.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            29   52  +18       6.51    78.70     9.47    78.28     5.78    22.35     8.76    39.08    89.74    50.85P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         27   50  +17       3.19    65.22     2.28    84.44     6.21    29.47    40.20    77.82    98.19    83.89P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   49  +15       0.56    52.63     4.40    74.01     5.60    19.52     1.86    14.97    71.88    30.67P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      29   49  +13       3.17    65.08     4.02    73.98     5.81    15.46     2.28    15.28    69.70    28.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         30   47   +8      -0.74    46.18    -1.62    72.46     5.54    13.14     0.84     8.75    59.88    23.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       28   45  +19       2.88    64.02    13.51    73.72     5.97    24.96     2.32    15.78    70.63    29.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     30   44   +4       0.35    51.99     0.09    66.50     5.52     4.91     0.06     0.97    19.94     5.34P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        30   44   +1       5.23    74.44     4.02    63.92     5.45    -1.68     0.01     0.27     9.40     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   27   39   +3       1.81    59.95     2.30    64.55     6.01     2.67     0.03     0.67    13.57     3.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Salford_City     30   39   +0       3.35    66.42     8.51    57.71     5.50    -4.94     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.15P    0.12R    0.12  
Walsall          30   36  -12      -4.21    30.85   -10.80    56.25     5.53   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    0.28R    0.28  
Crawley_Town     29   35   -2      -1.00    45.77     3.59    56.64     5.68    -4.87     0.00     0.02     0.75     0.14P    0.26R    0.26  
Macclesfield     29   34   -4       1.50    58.56     5.82    52.28     5.45   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    1.53R    1.53  
Grimsby          28   33   -4      -1.43    43.21     1.00    53.53     5.62    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.95R    0.95  
Scunthorpe       30   33   -6     -10.20    11.35    -8.88    57.48     5.66    -2.28     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.25P    0.20R    0.20  
Oldham           30   33  -13      -6.63    21.11   -10.75    53.11     5.48   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.16R    1.16  
Cambridge_Utd    30   32  -11      -2.22    39.74    -1.22    49.48     5.31   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.90R    3.90  
Carlisle         29   32  -16      -3.32    34.47    -9.14    54.05     5.74   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    1.15R    1.15  
Leyton_Orient    30   31  -12      -1.55    43.02     1.07    48.73     5.37   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.44R    6.44  
Mansfield        30   30   -7     -13.71     4.62   -10.76    53.59     5.64    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.06P    1.11R    1.11  
Morecambe        30   26  -24      -4.04    30.53    -7.09    42.04     5.22   -32.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.13R   43.13  
Stevenage        30   22  -15     -14.17     2.91    -8.59    41.81     5.44   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.78R   39.78  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 January 2020, Eastleigh 0 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             31   60  +29       7.77    81.83    14.44    84.83     5.41    35.40    70.93    98.55    77.95P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     32   55  +10       5.22    72.76     1.16    75.62     5.24    12.07     6.26    67.25    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             32   53  +17      -3.27    35.05    -1.79    77.53     5.22    25.11    12.77    81.98    35.44P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            32   52   +3       8.70    84.71     3.74    70.90     5.17     2.67     0.89    31.22     6.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            32   50  +10       2.31    60.27     4.48    71.87     5.28    14.02     1.46    41.40     9.59P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       31   49  +13       3.44    65.90     8.49    71.66     5.41    16.18     1.58    40.82     9.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       31   47  +13      -6.49    22.34    -3.44    73.25     5.42    21.61     3.59    54.76    20.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     31   47  +12      -1.79    41.52     2.68    72.30     5.38    18.96     1.79    46.87    13.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             32   47   -5       8.94    84.87     4.18    63.37     5.12    -9.47     0.02     3.23     0.45P    0.44R    0.00  
Stockport          32   46   -4       7.12    79.49     4.07    62.10     5.18    -8.90     0.02     2.14     0.33P    0.99R    0.00  
Hartlepool         32   44   +3       0.01    50.50     3.16    63.54     5.18     3.47     0.02     4.13     0.78P    0.37R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     31   44   -2       1.13    55.65    -2.37    63.38     5.41    -3.81     0.03     3.88     0.72P    0.60R    0.00  
Barnet             29   43   +7      -0.72    46.39     1.10    68.22     5.87     9.83     0.65    20.91     5.35P    0.07R    0.00  
Torquay            32   42   -5       3.30    65.15     4.42    58.53     5.22    -9.62     0.00     0.55     0.07P    4.38R    0.03  
Sutton_United      32   41   +3      -3.09    36.30     2.58    61.28     5.21     4.62     0.01     1.65     0.35P    1.23R    0.00  
Aldershot          32   39   -8       1.15    56.33     0.65    55.42     5.02   -12.01     0.00     0.06     0.01P   13.52R    0.09  
Wrexham            32   38   -1      -9.11    14.26    -5.93    57.55     5.12    -0.38     0.00     0.25     0.07P    5.35R    0.03  
Eastleigh          31   38   -8      -1.35    44.46    -2.85    56.43     5.29   -11.34     0.00     0.18     0.03P   10.30R    0.11  
Maidenhead         32   38   -9       1.59    58.51     2.69    54.87     5.11   -12.74     0.00     0.04     0.00P   16.67R    0.23  
Dag_&_Red          31   36   -5      -5.18    26.97    -3.24    54.96     5.30    -7.24     0.00     0.08     0.01P   15.26R    0.13  
Chesterfield       32   34  -12      -8.26    16.93    -9.27    52.41     5.16   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00P   30.39R    0.82  
AFC_Fylde          30   31  -12     -10.90     9.21   -12.97    54.04     5.65   -10.47     0.00     0.05     0.01P   21.73R    0.58  
Ebbsfleet_United   32   29  -21      -9.92    12.01   -12.75    46.03     5.07   -24.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.26R    8.90  
Chorley            32   25  -28      -2.97    36.80    -3.21    36.82     4.65   -39.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.43R   89.07