Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 27 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 23 January 2020, Wolverhampton 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        23   67  +39      15.36    99.86     5.52   102.13     4.37    64.46    99.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         24   51  +38      -5.09    19.05    -3.47    82.91     4.36    61.50     0.20    94.58    99.87    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        24   48  +28       6.77    83.32    15.43    71.98     5.13    35.26     0.00     5.28    86.68    97.29    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          24   40   +9      -1.77    39.42    -4.24    63.06     5.06    14.76     0.00     0.13     9.89    58.75    90.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          24   34   +7      -5.47    21.81    -2.49    57.13     5.09    12.78     0.00     0.00     1.26    15.36    59.83     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        24   34   +6      -7.90    12.45    -7.53    57.81     5.16    12.79     0.00     0.00     1.74    18.54    64.61     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    24   34   +3       2.29    63.58     5.86    53.93     5.16     4.07     0.00     0.00     0.35     5.18    31.61     0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   33   +2       4.37    74.01     8.86    51.53     5.13     1.29     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.08    17.16     0.15R    0.00  
Southampton      24   31  -11       5.10    77.72     1.30    47.38     4.96   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     3.49     2.22R    0.05  
Arsenal          24   30   -2      -7.05    16.16    -7.72    51.74     5.08     1.42     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.76    18.00     0.20R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   30   -6       0.31    52.55    -0.72    47.25     4.96    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     3.67     1.70R    0.03  
Everton          24   30   -7      -1.82    40.40    -4.24    48.26     5.08    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.41     5.89     1.16R    0.04  
Burnley          24   30  -10       4.15    73.61     1.57    45.86     4.86   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.89     3.64R    0.14  
Newcastle        24   30  -12       2.88    66.97    -3.12    47.03     4.87   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     2.74     2.39R    0.06  
Brighton         24   25   -7      -0.76    46.38     4.51    39.64     4.78   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    25.14R    2.33  
Aston_Villa      24   25  -14       0.60    54.75     2.48    38.04     4.82   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    41.93R    4.81  
West_Ham         23   23  -11      -4.29    27.23    -3.72    39.42     4.98   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    29.80R    3.55  
Bournemouth      24   23  -14      -3.84    29.50    -3.31    36.93     4.74   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    50.52R    6.71  
Watford          24   23  -15      -3.27    32.00    -3.71    37.40     4.75   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    46.36R    6.75  
Norwich          24   17  -23      -4.13    27.52    -1.27    28.96     4.61   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.75R   75.52  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2020, Stoke 2 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       28   53  +19       3.48    66.64     1.86    84.88     5.96    30.38    47.85    74.09    97.98    81.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    28   52  +19       5.17    73.93     6.55    83.00     5.90    28.53    31.73    62.88    96.60    73.14P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   49  +12       3.10    64.31     2.81    74.83     5.91    15.74     3.97    12.65    67.65    26.81P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   48  +11       6.01    77.57     5.56    73.98     5.99    12.97     2.92     9.90    61.29    21.44P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   47  +23      -0.90    45.31     8.74    77.88     5.97    32.22    11.03    28.73    84.92    47.09P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         29   46   +8       3.15    65.19     3.34    70.80     5.83    10.14     0.77     3.42    40.76    11.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         29   45   +1       3.15    65.56    -2.14    68.88     5.77     2.07     0.38     1.72    26.36     6.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall        28   44   +4       6.81    81.28     5.41    67.62     5.92     2.63     0.24     1.14    21.22     4.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +2       3.75    68.02    -0.65    68.77     6.07     2.08     0.42     1.88    27.39     7.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   42   +8       1.31    56.71     4.40    68.72     6.04    10.94     0.41     1.94    29.18     8.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   40   +5       0.52    53.26     3.49    65.22     6.06     5.79     0.10     0.53    13.05     3.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Hull            28   39   +4      -0.50    47.76     2.47    64.79     6.04     5.53     0.08     0.44    11.72     2.81P    0.12R    0.00  
Cardiff         28   39   -2      -0.79    46.48    -4.04    64.75     6.17    -0.45     0.10     0.49    11.21     3.00P    0.15R    0.00  
QPR             28   38   -5       4.14    70.75     2.97    60.20     5.99    -9.43     0.01     0.07     2.67     0.53P    1.18R    0.03  
Reading         28   37   +3       1.48    58.27     7.02    60.58     5.95     1.51     0.01     0.05     3.16     0.64P    0.79R    0.01  
Derby           28   37   -7      -2.75    36.86    -9.26    61.05     5.99    -7.88     0.01     0.07     3.47     0.87P    0.71R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   29   35   -7      -5.12    26.01    -8.02    58.69     5.70    -6.03     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.25P    1.46R    0.06  
Birmingham      29   34  -11      -0.80    47.08    -3.47    54.22     5.68   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    8.20R    0.36  
Stoke           29   31   -6      -6.64    20.41    -3.10    53.40     5.75    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    9.52R    0.69  
Charlton        29   30   -4      -5.62    24.99     2.21    51.80     5.74    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.06R    1.30  
Huddersfield    28   29  -13      -3.13    34.99    -3.87    49.22     5.82   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.56R    3.53  
Barnsley        29   24  -19      -8.06    15.42    -6.51    42.94     5.69   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.25R   22.91  
Wigan           28   23  -18      -8.18    13.84    -7.64    43.68     5.78   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.15R   18.77  
Luton           28   21  -27      -6.56    19.54    -8.12    39.53     5.84   -37.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.75R   52.32  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2020, Bristol_Rovers 0 0 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              27   48  +16       3.00    64.64     4.25    76.75     5.67    24.42    25.46    45.72    85.77    56.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            27   47  +21       0.20    50.65     5.45    77.79     5.80    32.82    35.74    56.05    89.78    66.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   47   +3      11.52    93.59     5.24    70.26     5.71     3.02     3.45     9.22    44.99    14.41P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             25   44  +10       6.94    83.36     5.73    70.99     6.13    11.68     5.91    13.92    51.20    21.26P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   43  +14      -2.24    38.80     3.37    69.57     5.49    21.52     2.85     8.45    45.35    18.29P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           26   42  +12      -4.04    29.13    -3.90    72.47     5.96    20.70     8.88    20.49    63.37    34.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +17       0.52    52.68     9.72    70.95     5.90    25.23     5.84    14.61    55.57    24.90P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   41   +8      -0.54    47.06    -3.30    70.70     6.13    13.46     5.48    13.24    50.20    22.70P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   40   +4       0.73    54.05    -1.51    66.10     5.92     6.22     0.99     3.09    22.38     7.30P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            25   38  +12      -2.21    38.22     3.25    69.65     6.04    20.88     3.93    10.41    45.83    20.33P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       25   38   +7      -0.23    49.01     1.13    65.83     6.13     9.87     1.12     3.27    22.29     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         28   37   +2       0.86    55.16     5.11    60.81     5.69     4.79     0.05     0.25     4.78     1.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       26   37   -5       2.76    65.10    -3.13    59.75     5.82    -7.82     0.03     0.19     3.52     0.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   36   +4      -0.95    45.31     3.81    59.95     5.70     5.00     0.03     0.15     3.71     0.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool            25   34   +3      -1.15    44.24     1.60    61.54     6.03     5.54     0.15     0.64     7.37     2.14P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   -4       1.33    58.06    -2.16    59.82     5.98    -4.03     0.08     0.29     3.77     1.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   27   30   -3      -3.60    32.07     2.34    51.90     5.69    -5.31     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    1.83R    0.00  
Rochdale             27   29  -13      -1.23    44.35    -1.54    47.59     5.50   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.08R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   27   -7      -3.57    31.72     0.43    47.99     5.64   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.37R    0.01  
MK_Dons              27   25  -12      -5.85    22.22    -2.89    44.15     5.50   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.60R    0.07  
Tranmere             25   22  -17      -2.47    37.13    -0.56    39.53     5.75   -30.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.98R    0.91  
Southend             26   13  -37     -11.57     4.13   -17.32    29.16     5.39   -52.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.25R   26.14  
Bolton               24    7  -35      -1.88    39.95   -15.12    23.77     5.69   -52.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.66R   72.86  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2020, Carlisle 2 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          29   56  +21       7.97    83.66     8.68    84.92     5.82    29.35    35.72    80.76    99.08    85.53P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           28   54  +11       9.87    89.89     2.63    82.53     5.93    16.64    19.84    63.88    97.24    71.94P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         27   50  +17       3.35    65.97     2.48    84.55     6.24    29.66    34.38    77.43    98.46    83.73P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            28   49  +16       5.73    76.23     8.76    77.14     6.01    21.14     5.19    30.42    86.42    43.37P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   46  +13      -0.31    48.43     3.48    72.14     5.75    17.18     0.83     8.71    61.61    23.36P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      28   46  +10       2.64    63.13     2.71    71.94     5.99    11.86     0.86     8.82    57.43    20.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         29   46   +8      -0.29    48.46    -1.44    73.09     5.78    13.49     1.00    10.92    65.76    26.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       27   44  +19       3.11    65.61    13.33    73.84     6.13    24.64     1.99    15.78    72.51    29.68P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     29   44   +7       1.03    55.37     2.11    68.84     5.67     9.35     0.16     2.70    36.46    10.56P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        29   41   -1       4.27    71.16     2.89    61.80     5.57    -4.28     0.01     0.12     5.82     1.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   26   36   +2       0.74    54.58     2.06    63.37     6.19     2.27     0.01     0.41    11.62     2.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Salford_City     29   36   -4       3.18    66.34     6.60    55.08     5.61   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.06P    0.37R    0.37  
Walsall          29   36  -10      -3.57    33.22    -9.85    58.71     5.75   -10.58     0.00     0.01     2.01     0.40P    0.07R    0.07  
Crawley_Town     29   35   -2      -0.92    46.28     3.67    56.59     5.69    -4.90     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.17P    0.19R    0.19  
Macclesfield     28   34   -3       2.24    62.44     5.94    53.34     5.65   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P    0.78R    0.78  
Scunthorpe       29   33   -3     -10.00    11.41    -7.72    59.09     5.86     1.15     0.00     0.02     2.94     0.77P    0.09R    0.09  
Cambridge_Utd    29   32   -7      -1.99    40.64     0.98    51.86     5.56   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    1.20R    1.20  
Leyton_Orient    29   31  -10      -1.25    44.74     1.38    49.61     5.60   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.82R    3.82  
Mansfield        29   30   -5     -12.97     5.09    -9.75    55.47     5.82    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.18P    0.40R    0.40  
Grimsby          27   30   -6      -2.35    38.58    -0.11    51.57     5.80   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    1.96R    1.96  
Oldham           29   30  -15      -7.49    16.98   -11.71    50.86     5.64   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.35R    2.35  
Carlisle         28   29  -19      -4.19    29.73   -11.10    51.38     5.88   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.78R    2.78  
Morecambe        29   23  -26      -5.30    24.10    -8.43    39.36     5.32   -36.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.55R   62.55  
Stevenage        29   22  -13     -13.49     3.59    -7.58    43.31     5.60   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.43R   23.43  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2020, Boreham_Wood 1 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             30   59  +29       8.12    83.46    14.30    84.98     5.60    35.12    71.00    98.24    77.93P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     32   55  +10       5.22    72.53     1.17    75.63     5.23    12.07     6.04    67.21    18.80P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             32   53  +17      -3.16    35.65    -1.63    77.42     5.20    24.93    12.06    81.39    34.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            32   50  +10       2.40    60.91     4.57    71.93     5.30    14.13     1.40    42.14     9.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       31   49  +13       3.28    65.46     8.29    71.75     5.40    16.28     1.60    41.43     9.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            31   49   +1       8.09    83.67     3.19    68.93     5.37     0.21     0.50    20.35     3.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       31   47  +13      -6.65    21.66    -3.72    73.34     5.44    21.75     3.64    55.50    20.55P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             31   47   -4       9.75    87.30     4.32    64.85     5.40    -8.30     0.08     6.35     0.93P    0.27R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     30   46  +12      -1.38    43.67     2.75    72.77     5.61    19.11     2.94    50.23    15.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          32   46   -4       7.35    80.14     4.45    61.97     5.16    -9.13     0.01     2.00     0.34P    0.98R    0.00  
Hartlepool         32   44   +3      -0.10    49.96     2.97    63.62     5.15     3.61     0.01     4.13     0.76P    0.31R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     30   44   +0       1.81    59.00    -1.46    64.92     5.58    -1.43     0.11     7.16     1.41P    0.29R    0.00  
Barnet             29   43   +7      -0.85    46.13     0.87    68.22     5.85     9.82     0.62    20.83     5.27P    0.06R    0.00  
Torquay            32   42   -5       3.30    64.83     4.40    58.49     5.23    -9.66     0.00     0.52     0.07P    4.42R    0.02  
Sutton_United      32   41   +3      -3.11    35.96     2.59    61.31     5.24     4.67     0.00     1.70     0.36P    1.12R    0.00  
Wrexham            32   38   -1      -9.03    14.60    -5.76    57.55     5.13    -0.37     0.00     0.25     0.05P    5.22R    0.03  
Aldershot          31   38   -8       1.48    57.87     0.75    55.53     5.25   -12.47     0.00     0.12     0.01P   13.56R    0.09  
Maidenhead         32   38   -9       1.83    59.54     3.03    54.80     5.12   -12.88     0.00     0.04     0.01P   16.36R    0.20  
Eastleigh          30   37   -8      -0.99    45.94    -2.74    57.00     5.51   -11.11     0.00     0.28     0.03P    9.05R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red          31   36   -5      -5.22    26.72    -3.25    54.97     5.29    -7.22     0.00     0.06     0.01P   14.27R    0.10  
Chesterfield       32   34  -12      -8.44    16.59    -9.50    52.42     5.14   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.33R    0.69  
AFC_Fylde          30   31  -12     -10.88     9.27   -12.91    54.02     5.64   -10.46     0.00     0.05     0.01P   20.89R    0.58  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   26  -22     -11.18     8.87   -13.25    44.54     5.33   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.52R   13.41  
Chorley            32   25  -28      -3.16    35.98    -3.42    36.85     4.67   -39.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.35R   84.78