Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 25 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 23 January 2020, Wolverhampton 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        23   67  +39      15.40    99.87     5.60   102.15     4.36    64.42    99.83   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         24   51  +38      -5.01    19.45    -3.32    82.88     4.37    61.44     0.17    94.35    99.87   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        24   48  +28       6.64    83.07    15.23    72.03     5.11    35.34     0.00     5.54    86.89    97.36    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          24   40   +9      -1.77    39.76    -4.18    63.05     5.06    14.76     0.00     0.10     9.65    58.44    90.77     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          24   34   +7      -5.54    21.39    -2.61    57.14     5.11    12.82     0.00     0.00     1.34    15.34    59.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        24   34   +6      -7.92    12.65    -7.57    57.86     5.19    12.90     0.00     0.01     1.75    18.83    64.74     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    24   34   +3       2.13    62.25     5.53    54.03     5.14     4.21     0.00     0.00     0.32     5.30    32.23     0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   33   +2       4.45    74.33     9.00    51.43     5.10     1.16     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.91    16.63     0.13R    0.00  
Southampton      24   31  -11       4.97    77.37     1.07    47.47     4.96   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     3.71     2.16R    0.08  
Arsenal          24   30   -2      -6.99    16.32    -7.68    51.73     5.06     1.39     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.76    17.85     0.19R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   30   -6       0.27    52.34    -0.73    47.25     4.97    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     3.81     1.81R    0.03  
Everton          24   30   -7      -1.79    40.32    -4.20    48.26     5.05    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.46     5.70     1.16R    0.04  
Burnley          24   30  -10       4.20    73.80     1.59    45.80     4.88   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.85     3.80R    0.12  
Newcastle        24   30  -12       2.99    67.96    -2.89    46.95     4.87   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.75     2.49R    0.08  
Brighton         24   25   -7      -0.69    46.88     4.60    39.59     4.77   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    25.65R    2.49  
Aston_Villa      24   25  -14       0.60    54.79     2.51    38.07     4.86   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    41.87R    4.96  
West_Ham         23   23  -11      -4.19    27.73    -3.56    39.32     4.98   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    30.28R    3.63  
Bournemouth      24   23  -14      -3.85    29.15    -3.28    36.92     4.73   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    50.13R    6.87  
Watford          24   23  -15      -3.19    32.60    -3.64    37.42     4.74   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    45.65R    6.77  
Norwich          24   17  -23      -4.25    26.89    -1.46    29.01     4.61   -36.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.67R   74.93  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2020, Stoke 2 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       28   53  +19       3.43    66.28     1.80    84.87     5.98    30.42    47.25    73.87    97.90    81.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    28   52  +19       5.12    73.77     6.47    83.06     5.89    28.57    32.14    63.01    96.56    73.12P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   49  +12       2.64    62.35     2.07    75.11     5.84    16.14     4.13    13.14    69.65    28.06P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   48  +11       6.02    77.57     5.57    73.97     5.95    12.97     2.83     9.58    61.39    20.92P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   47  +23      -0.92    44.97     8.63    77.93     5.98    32.28    11.22    29.01    85.03    47.29P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         29   46   +8       3.21    65.47     3.39    70.77     5.80    10.10     0.76     3.38    40.35    11.61P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         29   45   +1       3.15    65.68    -2.11    68.85     5.76     2.03     0.31     1.62    26.46     6.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall        28   44   +4       6.78    81.11     5.37    67.67     5.92     2.67     0.22     1.15    21.28     4.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +2       3.74    68.16    -0.64    68.78     6.03     2.12     0.43     1.79    27.06     6.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   42   +8       1.37    57.17     4.52    68.59     6.04    10.78     0.43     1.92    28.58     8.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   40   +5       0.61    53.34     3.67    65.17     6.05     5.72     0.08     0.48    12.93     3.15P    0.11R    0.00  
Hull            28   39   +4      -0.61    47.46     2.33    64.85     6.04     5.64     0.08     0.45    12.00     3.03P    0.15R    0.00  
Cardiff         28   39   -2      -0.64    47.09    -3.86    64.62     6.13    -0.64     0.08     0.42    10.71     2.85P    0.14R    0.00  
QPR             28   38   -5       4.21    70.89     3.09    60.20     5.93    -9.46     0.00     0.03     2.43     0.37P    1.10R    0.03  
Reading         28   37   +3       1.35    57.40     6.80    60.72     5.90     1.68     0.01     0.06     3.07     0.61P    0.68R    0.01  
Derby           28   37   -7      -2.57    37.46    -8.94    60.87     5.95    -8.09     0.01     0.05     3.08     0.75P    0.68R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   29   35   -7      -5.13    25.93    -8.02    58.72     5.70    -5.97     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.27P    1.40R    0.04  
Birmingham      29   34  -11      -0.63    47.73    -3.22    54.09     5.65   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    8.50R    0.38  
Stoke           29   31   -6      -6.87    19.53    -3.45    53.55     5.74    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    9.14R    0.55  
Charlton        29   30   -4      -5.66    24.60     2.12    51.80     5.79    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.31R    1.35  
Huddersfield    28   29  -13      -2.81    36.77    -3.37    49.05     5.80   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.44R    3.89  
Barnsley        29   24  -19      -8.10    15.38    -6.52    42.94     5.69   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.78R   22.81  
Wigan           28   23  -18      -8.23    13.34    -7.77    43.70     5.75   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.84R   18.65  
Luton           28   21  -27      -6.47    20.20    -7.94    39.47     5.83   -37.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.70R   52.27  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2020, Bristol_Rovers 0 0 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              27   48  +16       2.94    64.82     4.18    76.75     5.65    24.43    25.55    45.73    85.99    56.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            27   47  +21       0.16    50.32     5.49    77.80     5.79    32.80    35.43    56.22    89.85    66.22P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   47   +3      11.65    93.97     5.43    70.20     5.74     2.95     3.37     9.01    44.10    14.13P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             25   44  +10       6.72    82.46     5.43    71.20     6.14    11.98     6.30    14.71    52.51    22.32P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   43  +14      -2.15    39.43     3.52    69.57     5.50    21.49     2.87     8.70    45.56    18.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           26   42  +12      -4.08    28.62    -3.94    72.49     5.92    20.72     8.82    20.21    63.76    34.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +17       0.65    53.50     9.93    70.87     5.88    25.12     5.71    14.34    54.98    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   41   +8      -0.52    47.03    -3.30    70.61     6.17    13.34     5.53    13.05    49.62    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   40   +4       0.61    53.31    -1.70    66.17     5.96     6.31     0.98     3.19    22.44     7.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            25   38  +12      -2.11    38.85     3.41    69.55     6.06    20.73     4.03     9.99    45.40    19.58P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       25   38   +7      -0.33    48.26     0.95    65.98     6.15    10.08     1.14     3.54    23.28     8.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         28   37   +2       0.91    55.18     5.17    60.74     5.68     4.71     0.03     0.19     4.56     0.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       26   37   -5       2.70    64.92    -3.25    59.75     5.82    -7.79     0.04     0.18     3.25     0.75P    0.04R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   36   +4      -0.85    45.98     3.95    59.93     5.67     4.96     0.03     0.13     3.53     0.85P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool            25   34   +3      -1.13    44.16     1.64    61.46     6.04     5.42     0.12     0.55     7.18     1.95P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   -4       1.38    58.21    -2.13    59.96     5.98    -3.89     0.06     0.26     3.87     0.94P    0.08R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   27   30   -3      -3.41    32.81     2.68    51.77     5.65    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    1.80R    0.00  
Rochdale             27   29  -13      -1.23    44.30    -1.56    47.61     5.48   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.99R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   27   -7      -3.64    31.49     0.32    48.00     5.68   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.29R    0.00  
MK_Dons              27   25  -12      -5.95    21.79    -3.06    44.15     5.56   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.57R    0.07  
Tranmere             25   22  -17      -2.43    37.36    -0.52    39.51     5.75   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.20R    0.85  
Southend             26   13  -37     -11.53     3.94   -17.24    29.11     5.39   -53.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.36R   26.63  
Bolton               24    7  -35      -2.02    39.41   -15.40    23.86     5.69   -52.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.56R   72.44  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2020, Carlisle 2 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          29   56  +21       8.08    84.24     8.88    84.81     5.80    29.27    34.86    80.41    99.09    85.19P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           28   54  +11       9.83    89.51     2.61    82.54     5.95    16.67    19.87    64.36    97.11    72.17P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         27   50  +17       3.26    65.82     2.35    84.60     6.19    29.66    35.36    77.92    98.39    84.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            28   49  +16       5.72    76.33     8.72    77.13     5.96    21.11     5.16    30.14    86.49    43.03P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   46  +13      -0.17    49.33     3.65    72.09     5.76    17.13     0.79     8.52    61.25    22.88P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      28   46  +10       2.72    63.58     2.82    71.91     6.01    11.82     0.80     8.63    57.16    19.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         29   46   +8      -0.41    48.02    -1.65    73.14     5.74    13.61     0.97    10.79    66.21    26.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       27   44  +19       3.17    65.95    13.47    73.77     6.11    24.51     1.98    15.65    71.95    29.50P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     29   44   +7       0.75    53.85     1.76    69.00     5.70     9.57     0.20     2.95    37.74    11.40P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        29   41   -1       4.24    70.83     2.84    61.81     5.58    -4.28     0.00     0.14     5.77     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   26   36   +2       0.77    54.73     2.09    63.29     6.20     2.15     0.01     0.42    11.48     2.66P    0.01R    0.01  
Salford_City     29   36   -4       3.42    67.43     6.99    54.96     5.60   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.05P    0.41R    0.41  
Walsall          29   36  -10      -3.50    33.67    -9.73    58.67     5.80   -10.63     0.00     0.03     1.99     0.46P    0.08R    0.08  
Crawley_Town     29   35   -2      -1.07    45.42     3.45    56.64     5.71    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.14P    0.19R    0.19  
Macclesfield     28   34   -3       2.24    62.76     5.95    53.39     5.63   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.81R    0.81  
Scunthorpe       29   33   -3     -10.10    11.26    -7.88    59.15     5.88     1.21     0.00     0.04     2.77     0.78P    0.07R    0.07  
Cambridge_Utd    29   32   -7      -1.99    40.76     0.95    51.85     5.56   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    1.28R    1.28  
Leyton_Orient    29   31  -10      -1.08    45.66     1.64    49.58     5.57   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.07R    4.07  
Mansfield        29   30   -5     -12.97     5.10    -9.74    55.46     5.85    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.17P    0.49R    0.49  
Grimsby          27   30   -6      -2.26    38.91    -0.00    51.48     5.75   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.01R    2.01  
Oldham           29   30  -15      -7.60    16.81   -11.85    50.95     5.67   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.30R    2.30  
Carlisle         28   29  -19      -4.17    29.73   -11.03    51.33     5.82   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    2.87R    2.87  
Morecambe        29   23  -26      -5.38    23.98    -8.57    39.51     5.34   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.88R   61.88  
Stevenage        29   22  -13     -13.60     3.35    -7.72    43.36     5.62   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.54R   23.54  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2020, Boreham_Wood 1 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             30   59  +29       8.08    83.31    14.28    85.03     5.63    35.19    70.66    98.33    77.61P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     32   55  +10       5.07    71.79     0.98    75.66     5.27    12.11     6.37    67.22    19.04P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             32   53  +17      -3.33    34.78    -1.92    77.54     5.20    25.15    12.42    82.10    35.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            32   50  +10       2.37    60.77     4.55    71.98     5.26    14.21     1.46    42.52     9.85P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       31   49  +13       3.42    65.83     8.39    71.73     5.42    16.24     1.47    41.34     9.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            31   49   +1       8.04    83.42     3.10    68.95     5.32     0.26     0.45    20.34     3.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County       31   47  +13      -6.49    22.48    -3.40    73.29     5.44    21.65     3.34    55.20    20.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             31   47   -4       9.88    87.53     4.52    64.78     5.36    -8.46     0.07     5.97     0.94P    0.27R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     30   46  +12      -1.34    43.57     2.80    72.75     5.63    19.05     2.95    49.87    15.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport          32   46   -4       7.08    79.22     4.11    62.13     5.21    -8.91     0.01     2.16     0.33P    0.88R    0.00  
Hartlepool         32   44   +3      -0.18    49.53     2.90    63.65     5.16     3.64     0.02     4.16     0.73P    0.31R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     30   44   +0       1.77    59.20    -1.57    64.94     5.62    -1.42     0.15     7.19     1.52P    0.27R    0.00  
Barnet             29   43   +7      -0.80    46.28     1.01    68.19     5.83     9.76     0.64    20.67     5.27P    0.05R    0.00  
Torquay            32   42   -5       3.21    64.60     4.23    58.45     5.19    -9.71     0.00     0.50     0.06P    4.39R    0.02  
Sutton_United      32   41   +3      -3.06    36.34     2.65    61.29     5.21     4.64     0.00     1.52     0.29P    1.17R    0.00  
Wrexham            32   38   -1      -8.78    15.24    -5.43    57.40     5.14    -0.59     0.00     0.26     0.05P    5.51R    0.03  
Aldershot          31   38   -8       1.32    57.14     0.59    55.60     5.25   -12.37     0.00     0.12     0.03P   13.38R    0.11  
Maidenhead         32   38   -9       1.87    59.60     3.12    54.77     5.07   -12.88     0.00     0.05     0.00    16.11R    0.21  
Eastleigh          30   37   -8      -1.02    45.69    -2.87    57.07     5.56   -11.00     0.00     0.36     0.04P    8.93R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red          31   36   -5      -5.19    27.00    -3.21    54.96     5.28    -7.25     0.00     0.06     0.01P   14.35R    0.16  
Chesterfield       32   34  -12      -8.21    17.25    -9.22    52.40     5.16   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.30R    0.72  
AFC_Fylde          30   31  -12     -10.95     9.14   -13.03    54.01     5.70   -10.47     0.00     0.06     0.01P   21.25R    0.56  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   26  -22     -11.07     8.82   -13.07    44.45     5.31   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.52R   13.78  
Chorley            32   25  -28      -3.20    35.76    -3.51    36.89     4.69   -39.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R   84.31