Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 24 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 23 January 2020, Wolverhampton 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        23   67  +39      15.51    99.86     5.75   102.11     4.37    64.38    99.82   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         24   51  +38      -5.07    19.29    -3.40    82.90     4.37    61.43     0.18    94.37    99.88   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        24   48  +28       6.77    83.36    15.46    71.98     5.12    35.29     0.00     5.50    86.66    97.38    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          24   40   +9      -1.73    39.92    -4.14    63.03     5.05    14.75     0.00     0.13     9.73    58.31    90.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          24   34   +7      -5.68    20.88    -2.87    57.26     5.08    12.99     0.00     0.00     1.34    15.65    60.52     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        24   34   +6      -7.86    12.90    -7.52    57.84     5.15    12.87     0.00     0.00     1.81    18.76    64.37     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    24   34   +3       2.20    62.86     5.70    53.97     5.15     4.14     0.00     0.00     0.35     5.24    31.97     0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   33   +2       4.57    75.01     9.17    51.38     5.10     1.08     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.88    16.54     0.14R    0.00  
Southampton      24   31  -11       5.00    77.17     1.12    47.40     4.98   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     3.51     2.19R    0.06  
Arsenal          24   30   -2      -6.90    16.63    -7.57    51.75     5.10     1.38     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.74    18.00     0.17R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   24   30   -6       0.35    52.74    -0.62    47.25     4.97    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22     3.72     1.75R    0.02  
Everton          24   30   -7      -1.80    40.22    -4.25    48.26     5.05    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     5.82     1.14R    0.03  
Burnley          24   30  -10       4.10    73.33     1.44    45.87     4.89   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.93     3.76R    0.12  
Newcastle        24   30  -12       2.90    67.28    -3.03    47.03     4.92   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.84     2.49R    0.08  
Brighton         24   25   -7      -0.72    46.75     4.54    39.60     4.78   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    25.59R    2.45  
Aston_Villa      24   25  -14       0.72    55.29     2.70    37.97     4.83   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    42.95R    4.97  
West_Ham         23   23  -11      -4.37    26.80    -3.82    39.41     4.99   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    29.63R    3.66  
Bournemouth      24   23  -14      -3.89    29.16    -3.36    36.96     4.75   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    50.02R    6.75  
Watford          24   23  -15      -3.44    31.42    -3.96    37.46     4.75   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    45.44R    6.71  
Norwich          24   17  -23      -4.19    27.57    -1.35    28.97     4.61   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.67R   75.14  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 January 2020, Charlton 0 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       28   53  +19       3.51    66.87     1.95    84.81     5.93    30.26    47.44    73.48    97.77    81.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    28   52  +19       5.17    74.33     6.57    82.95     5.87    28.42    31.56    62.12    96.27    72.15P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   49  +12       2.94    63.87     2.52    74.86     5.91    15.81     3.92    12.55    66.71    26.51P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   48  +11       6.08    78.18     5.62    73.93     5.95    12.90     2.80     9.65    60.14    20.60P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   47  +23      -0.95    44.89     8.64    77.93     5.97    32.29    11.21    29.05    84.33    47.37P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         29   46   +8       3.15    65.40     3.31    70.83     5.82    10.22     0.81     3.53    39.99    11.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         28   45   +3       3.77    68.24    -1.18    70.63     6.00     4.65     0.91     3.38    36.83    10.94P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        28   44   +4       6.74    80.81     5.33    67.58     5.91     2.58     0.27     1.13    19.85     4.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +2       3.76    68.36    -0.61    68.80     6.03     2.12     0.43     1.81    26.24     6.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   42   +8       1.27    56.64     4.36    68.64     6.04    10.89     0.37     1.83    27.72     7.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   40   +5       0.60    53.36     3.67    65.17     6.06     5.71     0.10     0.50    12.40     3.00P    0.07R    0.00  
Hull            28   39   +4      -0.64    47.03     2.32    64.79     6.04     5.58     0.07     0.41    11.30     2.88P    0.11R    0.00  
Cardiff         28   39   -2      -0.73    46.53    -3.97    64.78     6.15    -0.39     0.09     0.41    10.66     2.81P    0.15R    0.00  
QPR             28   38   -5       4.28    71.05     3.21    60.17     5.99    -9.49     0.01     0.04     2.44     0.40P    1.11R    0.04  
Reading         28   37   +3       1.44    57.94     6.98    60.60     5.96     1.51     0.01     0.07     2.92     0.63P    0.69R    0.01  
Derby           28   37   -7      -2.73    36.84    -9.21    61.07     5.95    -7.83     0.00     0.04     3.05     0.74P    0.59R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   29   35   -7      -5.24    25.73    -8.18    58.79     5.71    -5.88     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.30P    1.31R    0.05  
Birmingham      29   34  -11      -0.77    47.05    -3.44    54.22     5.71   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    7.78R    0.34  
Charlton        29   30   -4      -5.39    25.76     2.49    51.78     5.76    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   14.36R    1.33  
Huddersfield    28   29  -13      -3.13    35.15    -3.87    49.20     5.82   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.00R    3.63  
Stoke           28   28   -8      -7.63    16.13    -4.16    51.40     5.91    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    16.48R    1.67  
Barnsley        29   24  -19      -8.11    15.21    -6.61    43.00     5.68   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.51R   22.13  
Wigan           28   23  -18      -8.24    13.63    -7.77    43.72     5.77   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.54R   18.53  
Luton           28   21  -27      -6.48    19.95    -7.96    39.45     5.85   -38.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.26R   52.25  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 January 2020, Sunderland 0 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            26   47  +22       1.16    55.55     5.77    79.26     6.07    33.95    45.13    64.66    92.51    72.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   47   +3      11.59    93.66     5.39    70.22     5.73     2.98     3.18     8.91    44.27    14.16P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              26   45  +15       1.78    58.97     3.79    75.60     5.88    24.18    18.75    38.17    80.51    50.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             25   44  +10       6.85    82.92     5.63    71.13     6.13    11.85     5.57    14.23    52.09    21.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           26   42  +12      -4.06    28.81    -3.91    72.50     5.92    20.77     8.16    19.89    63.92    34.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +17       0.65    53.54     9.92    70.89     5.88    25.14     5.18    14.11    54.91    24.41P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   41   +8      -0.62    46.52    -3.45    70.71     6.15    13.51     5.04    13.03    50.17    22.68P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         27   40  +13      -3.47    32.73     3.00    67.94     5.76    20.46     1.86     5.76    34.75    13.45P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   39   +4       1.22    56.70    -1.35    67.23     6.13     7.34     1.58     4.88    28.47    10.16P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            25   38  +12      -2.32    37.69     3.07    69.65     6.05    20.91     3.67    10.26    45.67    20.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       24   37   +7       0.05    50.36     1.01    66.26     6.37     9.95     1.42     4.27    25.12     9.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         27   37   +3       1.53    58.72     5.16    61.77     5.87     5.17     0.13     0.48     7.14     1.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       25   36   -5       3.14    67.24    -3.06    60.13     6.06    -7.82     0.09     0.33     4.54     1.04P    0.07R    0.00  
Gillingham           26   35   +4      -0.29    48.75     4.19    60.28     5.88     4.91     0.04     0.24     4.40     1.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool            25   34   +3      -1.22    43.60     1.51    61.51     6.04     5.47     0.13     0.56     7.42     2.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   -4       1.28    57.58    -2.21    59.97     5.96    -3.86     0.07     0.23     3.92     0.91P    0.07R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   29   -3      -3.29    33.44     2.36    51.50     5.85    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    2.23R    0.00  
Rochdale             26   28  -13      -0.79    46.74    -1.50    47.87     5.69   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    8.75R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   27   -7      -3.56    31.73     0.50    47.94     5.67   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    7.40R    0.01  
MK_Dons              27   25  -12      -5.85    22.00    -2.89    44.13     5.55   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.18R    0.09  
Tranmere             25   22  -17      -2.42    37.31    -0.45    39.45     5.76   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.28R    0.84  
Southend             26   13  -37     -11.46     4.20   -17.04    29.05     5.37   -53.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.26R   26.94  
Bolton               24    7  -35      -2.07    38.96   -15.45    23.86     5.64   -52.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R   72.10  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 January 2020, Colchester 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          28   53  +18       7.54    83.01     7.49    83.48     6.01    26.63    29.45    71.93    97.52    78.52P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           27   53  +11      10.20    90.68     2.55    83.18     6.12    17.11    26.43    66.84    96.65    73.99P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            27   48  +16       5.96    77.42     8.58    77.30     6.19    20.78     6.70    31.82    83.29    43.53P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         26   47  +16       2.21    61.00     2.23    82.97     6.44    28.68    28.90    68.33    96.07    76.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         28   46  +11       0.08    50.47     0.09    75.06     6.04    17.33     3.08    19.48    73.14    35.22P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      28   46  +10       2.70    63.20     2.77    71.94     6.01    11.82     1.07     8.69    52.88    18.68P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   45  +13      -0.05    49.72     3.33    72.25     5.99    16.86     1.28    10.09    56.99    22.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       27   44  +19       3.20    66.12    13.43    73.73     6.15    24.48     2.43    15.67    67.64    28.10P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     28   44   +8       2.18    61.03     2.83    70.61     5.89    10.93     0.57     5.53    43.81    14.36P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        28   41   +2       4.32    71.79     3.93    63.03     5.79    -1.47     0.01     0.28     7.69     1.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   25   36   +3       1.83    60.10     2.67    65.15     6.44     3.89     0.09     1.17    16.06     4.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          28   36   -9      -2.59    37.74    -9.44    60.24     6.00    -9.31     0.00     0.09     3.31     0.79P    0.05R    0.05  
Salford_City     28   35   -4       3.74    68.99     6.96    55.36     5.83   -10.58     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.08P    0.39R    0.39  
Scunthorpe       28   32   -3      -9.62    11.83    -7.73    59.84     6.09     1.66     0.00     0.07     3.32     0.96P    0.05R    0.05  
Crawley_Town     28   32   -3      -2.05    40.02     3.28    55.10     5.87    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P    0.52R    0.52  
Macclesfield     27   31   -4       0.88    55.81     5.32    51.24     5.82   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.16R    2.16  
Cambridge_Utd    28   31   -7      -1.66    42.35     0.87    52.19     5.73   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    1.46R    1.46  
Grimsby          26   30   -5      -1.37    43.33     0.25    52.73     6.01   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    1.40R    1.40  
Oldham           28   29  -15      -7.12    18.21   -11.71    51.21     5.87   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    2.27R    2.27  
Leyton_Orient    28   28  -11      -2.60    37.70     0.78    47.73     5.85   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.01R    8.01  
Mansfield        28   27   -8     -13.54     3.91   -11.18    53.22     6.04    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    1.23R    1.23  
Carlisle         27   26  -20      -5.40    24.07   -11.51    49.40     6.07   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    5.75R    5.75  
Stevenage        28   22  -12     -12.63     4.26    -7.40    44.52     5.80   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.82R   17.82  
Morecambe        28   22  -26      -4.85    25.61    -8.38    39.72     5.54   -36.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.89R   58.89  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2020, AFC_Fylde 2 3 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             29   58  +29       8.48    84.98    14.31    85.46     5.83    35.28    62.26    97.58    71.11P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     31   55  +12       5.79    75.04     1.94    77.60     5.52    14.97     8.81    74.27    22.62P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             31   53  +18      -2.07    39.96    -1.20    79.63     5.43    27.27    16.89    86.88    39.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            31   50  +11       3.50    65.78     5.19    73.63     5.52    15.63     2.13    49.57    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       30   48  +13       3.80    67.80     8.47    72.11     5.66    16.26     1.49    39.20     9.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       30   47  +15      -5.88    24.09    -2.60    75.37     5.65    24.77     5.26    64.84    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            30   46   +0       6.82    79.77     2.74    67.72     5.58    -0.18     0.23    12.94     2.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport          31   46   -2       7.58    81.40     4.74    63.50     5.45    -6.93     0.03     3.33     0.51P    0.42R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     29   45  +12      -0.95    45.34     2.79    73.26     5.81    19.31     2.61    48.28    14.11P    0.00     0.00  
Woking             30   44   -5       8.24    83.25     3.71    62.44     5.58   -10.69     0.01     2.48     0.36P    0.94R    0.01  
Hartlepool         31   41   +1      -0.91    46.16     2.31    62.00     5.36     1.61     0.00     2.04     0.37P    0.75R    0.01  
Dover_Athletic     29   41   -2       1.02    55.48    -2.20    63.33     5.82    -3.46     0.04     3.70     0.73P    0.71R    0.00  
Torquay            31   41   -5       3.52    65.97     4.29    59.18     5.47    -9.23     0.00     0.65     0.11P    3.34R    0.04  
Barnet             28   40   +6      -2.29    38.57     0.15    66.25     6.06     8.33     0.22    11.40     2.80P    0.17R    0.00  
Sutton_United      31   40   +3      -2.74    37.70     2.68    61.57     5.46     4.52     0.00     1.74     0.39P    0.90R    0.01  
Aldershot          30   38   -6       2.09    61.00     1.74    56.90     5.45   -10.48     0.00     0.21     0.02P    7.77R    0.10  
Eastleigh          29   37   -6      -0.26    49.38    -1.77    58.76     5.80    -8.53     0.00     0.69     0.13P    4.78R    0.08  
Wrexham            31   35   -3      -9.95    11.70    -6.77    55.27     5.35    -3.34     0.00     0.08     0.02P   10.25R    0.18  
Maidenhead         31   35  -11       0.63    54.05     1.86    52.90     5.33   -15.38     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.38R    0.90  
Dag_&_Red          30   33   -7      -6.09    23.07    -4.08    52.46     5.49   -10.55     0.00     0.03     0.00P   25.46R    0.90  
Chesterfield       31   33  -12      -7.78    18.01    -9.06    52.81     5.37   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.01R    1.00  
AFC_Fylde          29   30  -12     -10.43     9.81   -12.86    54.30     5.93   -10.61     0.00     0.07     0.01P   18.30R    0.83  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   25  -22     -10.98     8.89   -13.28    44.77     5.57   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.47R   16.63  
Chorley            31   25  -27      -2.37    39.57    -3.12    37.95     4.91   -39.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.31R   79.30