Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 23 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 23 January 2020, Wolverhampton 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        23   67  +39      15.51    99.85     5.81   102.07     4.38    64.30    99.82   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         24   51  +38      -5.01    19.36    -3.31    82.88     4.35    61.41     0.18    94.14    99.89    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        24   48  +28       6.62    82.81    15.18    72.03     5.14    35.35     0.00     5.74    86.71    97.40    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          24   40   +9      -1.76    39.60    -4.22    63.03     5.07    14.72     0.00     0.10     9.92    58.33    90.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          24   34   +7      -5.59    21.46    -2.69    57.19     5.08    12.87     0.00     0.00     1.27    15.38    60.16     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        24   34   +6      -7.96    12.63    -7.61    57.86     5.15    12.87     0.00     0.00     1.70    18.87    65.05     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    24   34   +3       2.23    62.84     5.73    53.96     5.12     4.13     0.00     0.00     0.33     5.15    31.74     0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   33   +2       4.53    74.73     9.15    51.36     5.13     1.05     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.01    16.49     0.14R    0.00  
Southampton      24   31  -11       5.07    77.74     1.31    47.38     4.96   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     3.39     2.33R    0.08  
Arsenal          24   30   -2      -7.05    16.10    -7.74    51.73     5.07     1.41     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.73    17.98     0.17R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   30   -6       0.23    51.95    -0.80    47.29     4.97    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     3.82     1.67R    0.03  
Everton          24   30   -7      -1.82    40.28    -4.27    48.32     5.06    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.47     5.83     1.19R    0.04  
Burnley          24   30  -10       4.20    73.84     1.62    45.85     4.88   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.81     3.74R    0.11  
Newcastle        24   30  -12       3.03    68.04    -2.85    46.97     4.88   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.86     2.38R    0.07  
Brighton         24   25   -7      -0.75    46.80     4.45    39.60     4.78   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    25.47R    2.48  
Aston_Villa      24   25  -14       0.70    55.28     2.65    38.02     4.81   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04    42.52R    5.03  
West_Ham         23   23  -11      -4.34    27.02    -3.83    39.46     5.00   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    29.49R    3.58  
Bournemouth      24   23  -14      -3.84    29.23    -3.31    36.97     4.75   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    49.79R    6.74  
Watford          24   23  -15      -3.28    32.12    -3.70    37.36     4.73   -23.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    46.41R    6.85  
Norwich          24   17  -23      -4.25    26.79    -1.55    29.04     4.60   -36.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.65R   74.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 January 2020, Charlton 0 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       28   53  +19       3.30    65.60     1.64    84.93     5.95    30.47    47.76    73.90    97.91    81.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    28   52  +19       5.22    74.49     6.65    82.96     5.85    28.48    31.24    61.64    96.48    72.04P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   49  +12       2.75    63.01     2.30    75.00     5.92    16.01     3.96    12.91    67.16    27.08P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   48  +11       6.15    78.28     5.74    73.92     5.96    12.88     2.76     9.35    59.89    20.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       28   47  +23      -1.07    44.25     8.42    78.05     5.97    32.45    11.39    29.33    84.71    47.65P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         29   46   +8       3.12    65.21     3.27    70.81     5.87    10.13     0.82     3.46    39.61    11.31P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   45   +3       3.75    68.46    -1.24    70.63     5.94     4.65     0.80     3.16    36.62    10.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall        28   44   +4       6.76    80.61     5.33    67.61     5.93     2.58     0.26     1.07    20.05     4.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +2       3.80    68.29    -0.61    68.73     6.05     2.04     0.41     1.88    25.86     6.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   42   +8       1.30    56.74     4.37    68.64     6.00    10.83     0.36     1.83    27.61     7.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   40   +5       0.58    53.29     3.58    65.22     6.09     5.76     0.10     0.53    12.58     3.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Hull            28   39   +4      -0.66    47.03     2.24    64.86     6.03     5.65     0.07     0.43    11.16     2.73P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff         28   39   -2      -0.83    46.25    -4.13    64.83     6.16    -0.33     0.05     0.38    10.91     2.88P    0.12R    0.00  
QPR             28   38   -5       4.12    70.50     2.98    60.27     5.98    -9.33     0.01     0.03     2.50     0.39P    1.07R    0.02  
Reading         28   37   +3       1.51    58.36     7.03    60.59     5.94     1.49     0.01     0.05     2.92     0.57P    0.72R    0.02  
Derby           28   37   -7      -2.65    37.12    -9.08    60.96     5.93    -7.99     0.01     0.05     2.87     0.69P    0.51R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   29   35   -7      -5.06    25.99    -7.94    58.69     5.64    -6.02     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.20P    1.31R    0.04  
Birmingham      29   34  -11      -0.80    46.78    -3.54    54.21     5.66   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    7.36R    0.29  
Charlton        29   30   -4      -5.45    25.64     2.38    51.81     5.74    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   13.85R    1.24  
Huddersfield    28   29  -13      -2.87    36.30    -3.47    49.09     5.81   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   29.48R    3.60  
Stoke           28   28   -8      -7.57    16.52    -4.05    51.39     5.92    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   16.05R    1.63  
Barnsley        29   24  -19      -8.00    15.90    -6.35    42.87     5.68   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.13R   22.59  
Wigan           28   23  -18      -8.01    14.20    -7.36    43.57     5.77   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.28R   18.90  
Luton           28   21  -27      -6.64    19.59    -8.16    39.49     5.84   -37.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.92R   51.66  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 January 2020, Peterborough 4 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            26   47  +22       1.13    55.70     5.73    79.31     6.00    34.03    44.18    64.24    92.63    72.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   47   +3      11.63    93.74     5.47    70.24     5.71     2.98     2.99     8.53    44.22    13.77P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              26   45  +15       1.86    59.45     3.95    75.61     5.93    24.14    18.28    36.94    80.26    49.23P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             25   44  +10       6.87    83.11     5.67    71.07     6.15    11.74     5.35    13.65    51.57    21.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +17       0.55    53.15     9.80    70.90     5.89    25.17     4.99    13.75    54.65    24.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           25   41  +12      -3.51    31.04    -3.80    73.37     6.14    21.51    10.86    24.70    67.99    38.79P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   41   +8      -0.61    46.56    -3.39    70.68     6.17    13.48     4.82    12.44    50.12    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         27   40  +13      -3.48    32.69     2.94    67.87     5.75    20.36     1.65     5.48    34.15    13.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   39   +4       1.29    57.07    -1.22    67.12     6.20     7.14     1.49     4.59    28.11     9.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            24   37  +12      -2.15    38.12     2.78    69.57     6.27    20.26     3.91    10.42    45.07    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       24   37   +7       0.14    50.88     1.14    66.13     6.30     9.76     1.14     3.66    24.37     8.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         27   37   +3       1.81    59.98     5.62    61.63     5.86     4.97     0.09     0.37     6.74     1.70P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       25   36   -5       3.18    67.77    -2.97    60.09     6.03    -7.91     0.06     0.25     4.26     0.95P    0.07R    0.00  
Gillingham           26   35   +4      -0.48    47.79     3.99    60.36     5.87     5.02     0.06     0.24     4.44     1.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool            25   34   +3      -1.23    43.63     1.52    61.55     5.99     5.50     0.11     0.50     7.15     2.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   -4       1.26    57.47    -2.24    60.06     6.00    -3.77     0.04     0.22     4.10     0.93P    0.08R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   29   -3      -3.48    32.25     2.14    51.62     5.89    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    2.32R    0.00  
Rochdale             26   28  -13      -0.85    46.30    -1.64    47.89     5.70   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    9.10R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   27   -7      -3.47    32.31     0.63    47.94     5.65   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.50R    0.01  
MK_Dons              27   25  -12      -5.82    22.10    -2.79    44.14     5.54   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.74R    0.09  
Tranmere             25   22  -17      -2.57    36.77    -0.71    39.58     5.77   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.24R    0.88  
Southend             26   13  -37     -11.59     4.01   -17.29    29.17     5.39   -53.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.32R   26.45  
Bolton               24    7  -35      -2.01    39.44   -15.34    23.88     5.75   -52.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.54R   72.55  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 January 2020, Colchester 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          28   53  +18       7.66    83.26     7.68    83.37     6.04    26.47    29.23    71.29    97.33    78.11P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           27   53  +11      10.33    91.11     2.75    83.10     6.16    16.99    26.54    66.51    96.40    73.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            27   48  +16       6.13    78.04     8.80    77.23     6.22    20.66     6.91    31.55    82.92    42.85P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         26   47  +16       2.28    61.22     2.36    82.96     6.40    28.62    28.79    68.48    96.21    76.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         28   46  +11      -0.12    49.12    -0.15    75.10     5.99    17.43     3.15    19.86    73.39    35.91P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      28   46  +10       2.68    63.18     2.72    71.92     5.98    11.87     1.04     8.89    52.52    18.73P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   45  +13      -0.03    49.89     3.33    72.27     5.99    16.85     1.31    10.18    57.18    22.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       27   44  +19       3.11    65.70    13.32    73.78     6.15    24.56     2.42    16.09    67.95    28.42P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     28   44   +8       2.09    60.60     2.69    70.65     5.86    10.99     0.49     5.51    44.25    14.58P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        28   41   +2       4.32    71.85     3.97    63.02     5.76    -1.46     0.01     0.30     7.60     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   25   36   +3       1.83    60.42     2.66    65.12     6.49     3.84     0.10     1.18    16.11     4.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          28   36   -9      -2.46    38.14    -9.27    60.16     5.97    -9.42     0.00     0.07     3.15     0.79P    0.05R    0.05  
Salford_City     28   35   -4       3.52    68.08     6.54    55.56     5.88   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P    0.40R    0.40  
Scunthorpe       28   32   -3      -9.50    12.23    -7.59    59.72     6.11     1.49     0.00     0.06     3.27     0.96P    0.08R    0.08  
Crawley_Town     28   32   -3      -2.02    40.46     3.34    55.03     5.88    -5.69     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P    0.50R    0.50  
Macclesfield     27   31   -4       0.81    55.54     5.24    51.29     5.82   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    2.15R    2.15  
Cambridge_Utd    28   31   -7      -1.64    42.36     0.87    52.19     5.76   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.37R    1.37  
Grimsby          26   30   -5      -1.35    43.60     0.25    52.77     5.99   -11.12     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P    1.40R    1.40  
Oldham           28   29  -15      -7.13    18.07   -11.76    51.19     5.88   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    2.33R    2.33  
Leyton_Orient    28   28  -11      -2.51    38.23     0.90    47.70     5.77   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.92R    7.92  
Mansfield        28   27   -8     -13.62     3.98   -11.28    53.26     5.98    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    1.21R    1.21  
Carlisle         27   26  -20      -5.55    23.41   -11.73    49.56     6.13   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.42R    5.42  
Stevenage        28   22  -12     -12.63     4.21    -7.40    44.54     5.78   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.62R   17.62  
Morecambe        28   22  -26      -4.79    25.67    -8.23    39.62     5.56   -36.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.55R   59.55  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2020, AFC_Fylde 2 3 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             29   58  +29       8.39    84.90    14.19    85.47     5.84    35.28    62.60    97.63    71.04P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     31   55  +12       5.93    75.59     2.11    77.47     5.45    14.76     8.29    73.92    21.90P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             31   53  +18      -2.25    39.00    -1.51    79.69     5.39    27.40    16.75    87.28    39.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            31   50  +11       3.55    66.02     5.28    73.56     5.50    15.50     2.05    48.80    11.05P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       30   48  +13       3.68    67.41     8.30    72.14     5.63    16.29     1.67    39.33     9.27P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       30   47  +15      -6.02    23.57    -2.86    75.52     5.61    24.93     5.48    65.98    25.73P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            30   46   +0       6.89    80.00     2.83    67.65     5.57    -0.31     0.18    12.46     2.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport          31   46   -2       7.62    80.97     4.81    63.48     5.46    -6.97     0.03     3.31     0.51P    0.43R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     29   45  +12      -0.95    45.16     2.81    73.31     5.84    19.41     2.71    48.65    14.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             30   44   -5       8.34    83.63     3.76    62.48     5.63   -10.65     0.03     2.57     0.39P    1.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool         31   41   +1      -0.75    47.19     2.59    61.99     5.39     1.55     0.00     1.96     0.36P    0.78R    0.01  
Dover_Athletic     29   41   -2       1.17    56.11    -1.97    63.23     5.79    -3.60     0.02     3.50     0.61P    0.71R    0.00  
Torquay            31   41   -5       3.59    66.60     4.48    59.21     5.46    -9.26     0.00     0.62     0.10P    3.31R    0.04  
Barnet             28   40   +6      -2.14    39.61     0.39    66.15     6.03     8.19     0.18    11.16     2.66P    0.17R    0.00  
Sutton_United      31   40   +3      -2.84    36.98     2.56    61.66     5.43     4.62     0.01     1.71     0.35P    0.85R    0.01  
Aldershot          30   38   -6       2.01    60.47     1.59    56.95     5.48   -10.40     0.00     0.25     0.03P    7.77R    0.11  
Eastleigh          29   37   -6      -0.43    48.52    -2.03    58.81     5.74    -8.48     0.00     0.65     0.12P    4.58R    0.07  
Wrexham            31   35   -3      -9.89    11.75    -6.64    55.24     5.33    -3.38     0.00     0.09     0.02P   10.25R    0.20  
Maidenhead         31   35  -11       0.67    54.33     1.93    52.80     5.32   -15.45     0.00     0.02     0.00P   24.96R    1.05  
Dag_&_Red          30   33   -7      -6.11    22.95    -4.13    52.51     5.45   -10.44     0.00     0.02     0.01P   24.88R    0.84  
Chesterfield       31   33  -12      -7.87    17.75    -9.20    52.85     5.40   -13.35     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.19R    1.10  
AFC_Fylde          29   30  -12     -10.55     9.69   -12.98    54.36     5.90   -10.50     0.00     0.07     0.01P   17.91R    0.75  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   25  -22     -11.01     8.59   -13.36    44.78     5.56   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.84R   16.33  
Chorley            31   25  -27      -2.28    39.99    -2.94    37.94     4.93   -39.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.30R   79.50