Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 22 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 January 2020, Leicester 4 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        22   64  +38      14.59    99.80     5.79   101.32     4.57    64.71    99.65   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         24   51  +38      -5.06    19.02    -3.42    82.84     4.36    61.42     0.35    94.39    99.84    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        24   48  +28       6.65    82.98    15.21    71.96     5.12    35.27     0.00     5.46    84.86    96.37    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          24   40   +9      -1.80    39.55    -4.29    63.01     5.05    14.68     0.00     0.12     9.35    51.16    89.01     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   34   +9      -4.45    25.54    -1.13    59.78     5.28    16.75     0.00     0.02     3.78    27.29    74.73     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        24   34   +6      -7.88    12.52    -7.54    57.85     5.14    12.86     0.00     0.00     1.52    15.75    61.26     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   34   +4       2.73    65.76     5.32    54.68     5.30     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.49     5.71    32.82     0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        24   33   +2       4.42    74.34     8.93    51.50     5.07     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.59    14.33     0.10R    0.00  
Southampton      24   31  -11       4.97    77.06     1.12    47.44     4.94   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     2.80     1.98R    0.06  
Arsenal          24   30   -2      -6.79    17.18    -7.33    51.68     5.07     1.34     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.36    14.95     0.19R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   30   -6       0.27    52.16    -0.69    47.18     4.91    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     2.82     1.58R    0.02  
Everton          24   30   -7      -1.68    40.91    -3.98    48.11     5.05    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.37     4.49     1.10R    0.02  
Newcastle        24   30  -12       2.96    67.69    -2.89    47.08     4.90   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.29     2.13R    0.05  
Burnley          23   27  -12       2.73    66.93    -0.05    43.07     5.02   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.53    11.11R    0.80  
Brighton         24   25   -7      -0.70    46.85     4.61    39.57     4.77   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    24.73R    2.44  
Aston_Villa      24   25  -14       0.56    54.34     2.46    38.00     4.85   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    41.52R    4.96  
West_Ham         23   23  -11      -4.29    26.99    -3.71    39.41     4.95   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    28.44R    3.49  
Bournemouth      24   23  -14      -3.79    29.46    -3.25    36.95     4.69   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    48.63R    6.94  
Watford          24   23  -15      -3.38    31.69    -3.88    37.50     4.73   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    44.07R    6.49  
Norwich          24   17  -23      -4.18    27.36    -1.29    29.05     4.61   -36.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.37R   74.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 January 2020, Charlton 0 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       28   53  +19       3.44    66.42     1.83    84.85     5.96    30.31    47.22    73.66    97.95    81.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    28   52  +19       5.29    74.52     6.77    82.90     5.88    28.39    31.18    61.53    96.22    71.83P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   49  +12       2.80    62.83     2.33    74.93     5.88    15.88     3.96    12.58    67.10    26.94P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   48  +11       6.29    78.70     5.93    73.84     5.99    12.77     2.99     9.34    59.25    20.31P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   47  +23      -1.01    45.06     8.52    78.11     5.98    32.50    11.62    29.87    84.93    47.86P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         29   46   +8       3.03    64.37     3.11    70.87     5.84    10.24     0.87     3.53    40.10    11.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   45   +3       3.83    68.59    -1.10    70.57     5.94     4.55     0.80     3.15    36.22    10.33P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall        28   44   +4       6.63    80.30     5.16    67.67     5.90     2.68     0.23     1.15    20.19     4.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +2       3.76    68.39    -0.69    68.77     6.09     2.07     0.44     1.87    26.23     6.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   42   +8       1.32    56.82     4.44    68.66     5.99    10.89     0.40     1.81    27.91     7.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   40   +5       0.52    52.74     3.52    65.21     6.06     5.80     0.10     0.47    12.54     2.98P    0.08R    0.00  
Hull            28   39   +4      -0.74    46.82     2.17    64.86     6.01     5.67     0.07     0.43    11.45     2.78P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff         28   39   -2      -0.62    47.23    -3.80    64.67     6.16    -0.56     0.09     0.42    10.26     2.71P    0.13R    0.00  
QPR             28   38   -5       4.09    70.28     2.86    60.25     5.96    -9.30     0.01     0.05     2.37     0.43P    0.97R    0.02  
Reading         28   37   +3       1.47    58.11     7.03    60.56     5.93     1.47     0.01     0.06     3.03     0.61P    0.71R    0.01  
Derby           28   37   -7      -2.75    36.58    -9.19    61.01     5.92    -7.93     0.01     0.06     2.96     0.70P    0.55R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   29   35   -7      -5.11    25.96    -7.99    58.72     5.66    -5.96     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.26P    1.28R    0.04  
Birmingham      29   34  -11      -0.72    46.97    -3.34    54.12     5.68   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    7.98R    0.38  
Charlton        29   30   -4      -5.32    25.75     2.62    51.72     5.74    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.41R    1.21  
Huddersfield    28   29  -13      -2.99    35.64    -3.64    49.19     5.78   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.28R    3.49  
Stoke           28   28   -8      -7.75    15.81    -4.35    51.50     5.95    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   16.15R    1.66  
Barnsley        29   24  -19      -8.05    15.55    -6.55    42.99     5.70   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.43R   22.37  
Wigan           28   23  -18      -8.17    13.90    -7.63    43.67     5.75   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.95R   18.50  
Luton           28   21  -27      -6.54    19.74    -8.00    39.49     5.86   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.97R   52.28  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 January 2020, Peterborough 4 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            26   47  +22       1.22    55.99     5.91    79.22     6.02    33.88    43.62    63.48    92.30    72.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   47   +3      11.70    94.11     5.58    70.14     5.68     2.85     2.85     8.25    43.66    13.50P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              26   45  +15       1.85    59.33     3.93    75.61     5.94    24.16    18.62    37.36    80.15    49.26P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             25   44  +10       6.98    83.45     5.81    71.10     6.15    11.77     5.41    13.55    51.71    21.12P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +17       0.68    53.46     9.98    70.87     5.90    25.15     4.86    13.67    54.32    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           25   41  +12      -3.61    30.28    -3.94    73.46     6.12    21.65    11.02    24.81    68.69    39.42P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   41   +8      -0.59    46.49    -3.39    70.73     6.15    13.50     4.83    12.67    50.23    22.65P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         27   40  +13      -3.48    32.81     2.97    67.91     5.73    20.40     1.71     5.55    34.30    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   39   +4       1.27    56.99    -1.27    67.16     6.15     7.24     1.47     4.46    28.07     9.89P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            24   37  +12      -2.14    38.35     2.80    69.50     6.29    20.14     3.82    10.36    44.71    19.71P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       24   37   +7       0.18    50.99     1.15    66.15     6.39     9.76     1.33     3.95    24.38     8.58P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         27   37   +3       1.68    59.26     5.42    61.73     5.91     5.13     0.12     0.47     7.11     1.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       25   36   -5       3.06    66.95    -3.16    60.15     6.09    -7.83     0.10     0.34     4.53     1.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Gillingham           26   35   +4      -0.43    48.18     4.04    60.34     5.90     4.98     0.06     0.23     4.41     1.06P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool            25   34   +3      -1.24    43.59     1.50    61.54     6.06     5.52     0.12     0.60     7.30     2.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   -4       1.27    57.38    -2.29    59.98     5.99    -3.81     0.05     0.26     4.00     1.04P    0.08R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   29   -3      -3.24    33.48     2.44    51.47     5.84    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    2.38R    0.00  
Rochdale             26   28  -13      -0.99    45.66    -1.76    47.96     5.71   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.87R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   27   -7      -3.66    31.31     0.38    47.97     5.68   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    7.43R    0.01  
MK_Dons              27   25  -12      -5.85    22.35    -2.83    44.16     5.52   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.73R    0.06  
Tranmere             25   22  -17      -2.52    36.85    -0.68    39.60     5.77   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.45R    0.88  
Southend             26   13  -37     -11.46     4.29   -17.06    29.07     5.39   -53.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.33R   27.10  
Bolton               24    7  -35      -2.14    38.68   -15.54    23.95     5.71   -52.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.59R   71.93  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 January 2020, Colchester 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          28   53  +18       7.79    83.77     7.86    83.32     5.99    26.42    28.57    71.34    97.38    77.91P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           27   53  +11      10.11    90.56     2.45    83.23     6.14    17.14    27.12    67.13    96.50    74.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            27   48  +16       5.99    77.42     8.56    77.31     6.22    20.76     7.08    32.12    82.97    43.54P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         26   47  +16       2.17    60.82     2.13    82.95     6.42    28.60    28.67    68.22    96.27    76.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         28   46  +11      -0.25    48.53    -0.36    75.18     5.97    17.52     3.12    19.65    74.04    35.91P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      28   46  +10       2.79    63.92     2.90    71.87     5.98    11.75     1.05     8.49    52.24    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   45  +13      -0.08    49.59     3.32    72.23     5.99    16.84     1.27     9.94    56.75    22.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       27   44  +19       3.06    65.42    13.28    73.75     6.15    24.55     2.41    15.86    67.74    28.32P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     28   44   +8       1.98    59.89     2.54    70.74     5.89    11.10     0.58     5.66    44.70    14.91P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        28   41   +2       4.41    71.77     4.09    63.00     5.77    -1.49     0.03     0.30     7.59     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   25   36   +3       1.91    60.75     2.77    65.06     6.42     3.77     0.09     1.11    15.59     4.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          28   36   -9      -2.62    37.51    -9.48    60.29     6.03    -9.25     0.00     0.10     3.22     0.78P    0.03R    0.03  
Salford_City     28   35   -4       3.81    69.45     7.01    55.45     5.87   -10.46     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.09P    0.39R    0.39  
Scunthorpe       28   32   -3      -9.65    11.75    -7.77    59.83     6.13     1.66     0.00     0.07     3.38     0.92P    0.06R    0.06  
Crawley_Town     28   32   -3      -2.14    39.74     3.13    55.13     5.85    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    0.46R    0.46  
Macclesfield     27   31   -4       0.85    55.57     5.28    51.20     5.83   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    2.25R    2.25  
Cambridge_Utd    28   31   -7      -1.45    43.23     1.18    52.09     5.76   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    1.47R    1.47  
Grimsby          26   30   -5      -1.52    42.52     0.01    52.85     5.98   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    1.29R    1.29  
Oldham           28   29  -15      -7.00    18.48   -11.54    51.13     5.85   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    2.36R    2.36  
Leyton_Orient    28   28  -11      -2.50    38.11     0.90    47.65     5.79   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.10R    8.10  
Mansfield        28   27   -8     -13.49     4.17   -11.08    53.18     6.02    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P    1.26R    1.26  
Carlisle         27   26  -20      -5.42    23.87   -11.49    49.47     6.02   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    5.60R    5.60  
Stevenage        28   22  -12     -12.55     4.29    -7.22    44.49     5.79   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.27R   18.27  
Morecambe        28   22  -26      -4.92    25.18    -8.47    39.77     5.52   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.46R   58.46  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2020, AFC_Fylde 2 3 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             29   58  +29       8.34    84.56    14.04    85.63     5.86    35.51    63.55    97.81    72.07P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     31   55  +12       5.85    75.17     1.99    77.50     5.44    14.81     8.31    74.00    21.79P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             31   53  +18      -2.09    39.96    -1.21    79.66     5.42    27.31    16.70    87.10    39.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            31   50  +11       3.64    66.57     5.37    73.54     5.50    15.46     1.90    48.88    11.01P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       30   48  +13       3.89    68.24     8.63    72.04     5.61    16.19     1.41    38.64     8.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County       30   47  +15      -5.78    24.23    -2.44    75.40     5.64    24.77     5.19    65.29    25.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            30   46   +0       6.93    80.17     2.95    67.62     5.59    -0.36     0.15    12.66     2.08P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport          31   46   -2       7.61    81.29     4.79    63.53     5.45    -6.88     0.03     3.43     0.50P    0.46R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     29   45  +12      -1.05    44.76     2.65    73.33     5.80    19.43     2.50    49.00    14.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             30   44   -5       8.22    83.25     3.65    62.49     5.60   -10.62     0.03     2.56     0.30P    0.89R    0.00  
Hartlepool         31   41   +1      -0.80    46.52     2.48    62.01     5.38     1.58     0.00     2.03     0.39P    0.76R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     29   41   -2       1.14    55.78    -2.06    63.29     5.82    -3.54     0.03     3.75     0.75P    0.69R    0.01  
Torquay            31   41   -5       3.41    65.70     4.21    59.26     5.48    -9.17     0.00     0.70     0.09P    3.17R    0.04  
Barnet             28   40   +6      -2.18    39.20     0.32    66.18     6.04     8.20     0.19    11.37     2.68P    0.18R    0.00  
Sutton_United      31   40   +3      -2.80    37.35     2.55    61.63     5.40     4.61     0.01     1.75     0.34P    0.82R    0.01  
Aldershot          30   38   -6       1.89    60.02     1.47    56.98     5.51   -10.33     0.00     0.21     0.02P    7.59R    0.10  
Eastleigh          29   37   -6      -0.29    48.97    -1.85    58.72     5.77    -8.56     0.01     0.64     0.09P    4.81R    0.06  
Wrexham            31   35   -3      -9.92    11.65    -6.71    55.25     5.33    -3.35     0.00     0.06     0.02P   10.32R    0.18  
Maidenhead         31   35  -11       0.67    54.34     1.91    52.82     5.32   -15.46     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.77R    0.94  
Dag_&_Red          30   33   -7      -6.15    22.86    -4.18    52.53     5.42   -10.45     0.00     0.02     0.00P   24.59R    0.73  
Chesterfield       31   33  -12      -7.88    17.69    -9.25    52.77     5.39   -13.41     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.35R    0.97  
AFC_Fylde          29   30  -12     -10.56     9.70   -12.97    54.33     5.91   -10.54     0.00     0.08     0.02P   18.17R    0.89  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   25  -22     -10.85     8.85   -13.15    44.71     5.55   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.09R   16.80  
Chorley            31   25  -27      -2.42    39.44    -3.19    37.97     4.94   -39.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.27R   79.27