Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 19 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 January 2020, Burnley 2 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        22   64  +38      14.49    99.83     5.58   101.28     4.56    64.62    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   48  +37      -5.88    14.98    -3.39    82.16     4.55    62.03     0.25    94.45    99.71    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        23   45  +25       6.40    82.43    14.52    70.58     5.37    32.61     0.00     5.12    76.43    93.16    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          23   39   +9      -1.12    43.04    -3.80    63.76     5.28    15.27     0.00     0.37    15.58    56.38    89.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   34   +9      -4.42    25.71    -1.09    59.81     5.28    16.80     0.00     0.04     5.05    26.45    73.71     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   34   +4       2.90    66.64     5.63    54.54     5.27     3.86     0.00     0.00     0.72     5.20    31.03     0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        23   33   +3       5.18    78.09     8.97    52.00     5.24     0.73     0.00     0.00     0.23     2.05    16.40     0.10R    0.00  
Tottenham        23   31   +5      -8.63    10.33    -7.05    57.31     5.36    13.73     0.00     0.01     2.08    13.89    56.05     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   30   -4       1.25    58.05     0.71    49.29     5.21    -6.01     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.66     7.02     0.71R    0.01  
Arsenal          23   29   -2      -6.67    16.86    -7.77    51.68     5.27     0.66     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.59    15.55     0.22R    0.00  
Everton          23   29   -7      -1.21    43.51    -3.98    48.94     5.26    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.47     6.29     0.88R    0.03  
Newcastle        23   29  -12       3.09    68.80    -3.34    47.06     5.09   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.50     2.49R    0.10  
Southampton      23   28  -13       3.70    71.74    -0.18    45.16     5.15   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.23     5.62R    0.33  
Burnley          23   27  -12       2.68    66.86    -0.17    43.06     5.02   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55    10.42R    0.64  
Brighton         23   25   -5       0.00    51.10     5.50    41.12     5.02   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    16.10R    1.40  
West_Ham         22   23   -8      -4.11    27.61    -2.82    40.51     5.16   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    20.91R    2.30  
Watford          23   23  -14      -2.27    37.47    -3.27    38.90     5.01   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    32.48R    4.28  
Aston_Villa      23   22  -15      -0.80    46.44     1.99    36.28     5.06   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    54.35R    9.91  
Bournemouth      23   20  -16      -4.88    23.62    -4.43    35.19     4.94   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    62.51R   13.28  
Norwich          23   17  -22      -3.48    30.54    -1.57    29.39     4.72   -37.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.17R   67.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 January 2020, Nott'm_Forest 3 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       27   53  +20       4.90    73.41     2.87    87.34     6.13    33.20    59.42    82.26    99.01    87.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    28   52  +19       5.10    73.81     6.48    83.02     5.87    28.58    24.11    59.23    96.40    70.67P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   48  +12       3.28    65.64     2.45    75.35     6.10    15.93     3.46    12.73    68.89    27.28P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   47  +23      -0.81    45.95     8.80    77.94     5.98    32.29     8.21    25.31    84.39    45.01P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   27   47  +11       6.53    79.73     5.75    74.93     6.16    13.81     3.08    11.13    65.96    23.31P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   45   +3       3.77    68.39    -1.18    70.63     5.98     4.62     0.54     2.68    36.82     9.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall        28   44   +4       6.52    79.90     5.07    67.72     5.95     2.74     0.16     0.96    21.00     4.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +2       3.74    68.46    -0.68    68.78     6.07     2.11     0.33     1.54    26.57     6.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         28   43   +5       2.62    63.17     1.94    68.68     6.05     6.38     0.26     1.43    27.35     6.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   42   +8       1.27    56.43     4.36    68.68     6.01    10.88     0.27     1.52    28.11     7.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   40   +5       0.61    53.57     3.69    65.13     6.08     5.65     0.05     0.40    12.55     3.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Hull            28   39   +4      -0.69    46.93     2.24    64.89     6.01     5.70     0.05     0.31    11.36     2.66P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff         28   39   -2      -0.76    46.53    -3.99    64.81     6.15    -0.38     0.06     0.37    10.77     2.77P    0.12R    0.01  
QPR             28   38   -5       4.07    70.11     2.90    60.30     6.01    -9.33     0.00     0.02     2.52     0.44P    1.13R    0.03  
Derby           28   37   -7      -2.59    37.41    -8.99    60.97     5.96    -8.01     0.00     0.04     3.10     0.78P    0.67R    0.01  
Reading         27   36   +3       1.51    58.38     6.62    60.51     6.11     0.83     0.00     0.05     3.20     0.68P    0.90R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   28   34   -7      -4.61    27.73    -7.78    59.54     5.90    -5.34     0.00     0.01     1.72     0.42P    1.14R    0.04  
Birmingham      28   33  -11      -0.59    47.98    -3.56    54.09     5.84   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P    8.57R    0.52  
Charlton        28   29   -4      -5.26    25.91     2.35    52.01     6.01    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   14.26R    1.58  
Huddersfield    28   29  -13      -2.95    35.97    -3.58    49.10     5.80   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.63R    3.85  
Stoke           27   25   -9      -9.27    10.99    -5.16    48.82     6.11   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.68R    4.70  
Barnsley        28   24  -16      -7.79    15.94    -5.26    44.72     5.96   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.53R   15.54  
Wigan           28   23  -18      -8.17    13.76    -7.63    43.69     5.77   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.49R   19.55  
Luton           28   21  -27      -6.39    20.61    -7.73    39.45     5.82   -38.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.70R   54.14  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2020, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            26   47  +22       0.98    54.67     5.55    79.35     6.01    34.12    44.00    63.73    92.74    72.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   47   +7      11.56    93.97     7.17    71.74     5.93     7.12     5.40    13.68    54.52    20.25P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              26   45  +15       2.06    60.62     4.20    75.52     5.93    23.98    17.39    36.25    79.74    48.55P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             25   44  +10       6.83    82.72     5.58    71.16     6.16    11.89     5.28    13.40    51.89    21.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +17       0.66    53.38     9.95    70.84     5.91    25.05     4.70    13.05    54.07    23.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           25   41  +12      -3.45    31.37    -3.67    73.40     6.13    21.55    10.65    24.05    68.17    38.56P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   41   +8      -0.52    46.91    -3.25    70.74     6.14    13.53     4.72    12.43    50.35    22.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   39   +4       1.32    57.30    -1.18    67.09     6.15     7.12     1.37     4.32    27.36     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            24   37  +12      -2.14    38.37     2.77    69.58     6.27    20.23     3.82    10.20    44.88    19.61P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   37   +9      -3.70    31.52     1.28    66.21     5.95    16.19     1.05     3.37    24.74     8.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       24   37   +7       0.09    50.56     1.07    66.18     6.34     9.85     1.23     3.84    24.53     8.65P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         27   37   +3       1.69    59.29     5.39    61.61     5.88     4.90     0.11     0.47     6.65     1.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       25   36   -5       3.14    67.33    -3.03    60.12     6.05    -7.82     0.07     0.31     4.21     1.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Gillingham           26   35   +4      -0.46    48.05     3.97    60.31     5.89     4.97     0.05     0.22     4.47     1.09P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool            25   34   +3      -1.17    43.85     1.56    61.58     6.04     5.58     0.09     0.46     7.43     2.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   -4       1.11    56.78    -2.48    60.07     6.00    -3.68     0.04     0.22     4.11     0.97P    0.07R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   29   -3      -3.36    32.93     2.25    51.52     5.88    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    2.39R    0.00  
Rochdale             26   28  -13      -0.86    46.50    -1.63    47.92     5.74   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.81R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   27   -7      -3.67    31.33     0.31    47.99     5.66   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.31R    0.01  
MK_Dons              27   25  -12      -5.87    21.91    -2.92    44.21     5.54   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.80R    0.07  
Tranmere             25   22  -17      -2.28    38.02    -0.28    39.41     5.74   -30.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.50R    0.86  
Southend             26   13  -37     -11.53     4.35   -17.22    29.07     5.39   -53.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.29R   26.68  
Bolton               24    7  -35      -2.03    39.33   -15.37    23.83     5.67   -52.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.64R   72.36  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2020, Bradford 2 2 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          28   53  +18       7.80    83.83     7.90    83.27     6.02    26.34    27.32    68.85    97.19    76.05P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           27   53  +11      10.07    90.53     2.40    83.25     6.13    17.19    26.16    65.51    96.53    73.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            26   47  +16       6.44    79.65     8.68    78.13     6.40    21.42     8.89    35.27    85.04    46.66P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         26   47  +16       2.10    60.33     2.04    83.04     6.42    28.73    28.24    67.11    96.12    76.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         27   45  +11       0.17    50.53    -0.25    75.39     6.20    17.31     3.46    20.24    72.97    35.83P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      27   45  +10       3.19    66.07     2.92    72.67     6.23    12.43     1.50    10.58    55.94    20.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       27   44  +19       3.14    65.76    13.39    73.76     6.14    24.52     2.20    14.69    66.41    27.03P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   44  +13       0.38    51.99     3.41    72.65     6.21    16.88     1.63    11.34    57.40    23.59P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     28   44   +8       2.16    61.10     2.80    70.60     5.91    10.89     0.51     5.00    42.58    13.80P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        28   41   +2       4.20    70.85     3.80    63.07     5.81    -1.38     0.02     0.26     7.23     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   25   36   +3       1.93    61.01     2.84    65.11     6.47     3.81     0.07     1.02    15.16     3.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          28   36   -9      -2.48    38.01    -9.27    60.17     6.01    -9.43     0.00     0.06     2.91     0.68P    0.04R    0.04  
Salford_City     28   35   -4       3.79    69.49     7.07    55.40     5.85   -10.55     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.06P    0.41R    0.41  
Scunthorpe       28   32   -3      -9.53    12.04    -7.63    59.76     6.13     1.54     0.00     0.05     3.04     0.86P    0.07R    0.07  
Crawley_Town     28   32   -3      -2.00    40.82     3.35    55.02     5.87    -5.72     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P    0.53R    0.53  
Cambridge_Utd    28   31   -7      -1.66    41.98     0.92    52.21     5.74   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    1.43R    1.43  
Macclesfield     26   30   -4       1.07    56.96     5.09    51.23     6.03   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    2.53R    2.53  
Grimsby          26   30   -5      -1.31    43.88     0.30    52.72     6.04   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    1.42R    1.42  
Oldham           28   29  -15      -7.16    18.01   -11.75    51.21     5.87   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    2.37R    2.37  
Mansfield        28   27   -8     -13.58     3.97   -11.22    53.26     6.06    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    1.38R    1.38  
Leyton_Orient    27   27  -11      -2.29    39.23     0.76    47.67     6.00   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.69R    8.69  
Carlisle         27   26  -20      -5.52    23.31   -11.64    49.52     6.04   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.51R    5.51  
Stevenage        28   22  -12     -12.69     4.26    -7.48    44.60     5.79   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   17.70R   17.70  
Morecambe        28   22  -26      -4.89    25.78    -8.41    39.85     5.58   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.90R   57.90  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2020, AFC_Fylde 2 3 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             29   58  +29       8.46    84.96    14.29    85.46     5.86    35.26    62.17    97.67    70.95P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     31   55  +12       5.77    74.92     1.87    77.59     5.46    14.99     8.79    74.25    22.26P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             31   53  +18      -1.98    40.39    -1.08    79.62     5.43    27.25    16.81    86.87    39.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            31   50  +11       3.45    65.66     5.11    73.52     5.50    15.48     2.04    48.52    11.20P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       30   48  +13       3.60    66.69     8.17    72.23     5.64    16.44     1.62    39.80     9.32P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       30   47  +15      -5.88    24.24    -2.64    75.45     5.64    24.85     5.44    65.47    25.06P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax            30   46   +0       6.80    80.02     2.65    67.78     5.58    -0.14     0.17    13.03     2.12P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport          31   46   -2       7.75    81.78     4.97    63.52     5.42    -6.92     0.03     3.25     0.45P    0.39R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     29   45  +12      -1.00    44.92     2.76    73.30     5.85    19.37     2.65    48.45    14.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking             30   44   -5       8.34    83.94     3.82    62.41     5.62   -10.73     0.02     2.48     0.36P    0.93R    0.00  
Hartlepool         31   41   +1      -0.96    45.62     2.27    62.07     5.39     1.71     0.01     1.98     0.40P    0.75R    0.01  
Dover_Athletic     29   41   -2       1.13    55.81    -2.08    63.28     5.81    -3.53     0.04     3.51     0.68P    0.69R    0.00  
Torquay            31   41   -5       3.62    66.44     4.54    59.13     5.50    -9.39     0.00     0.63     0.08P    3.33R    0.03  
Barnet             28   40   +6      -2.21    39.10     0.32    66.23     6.06     8.28     0.19    11.34     2.66P    0.19R    0.00  
Sutton_United      31   40   +3      -2.88    37.18     2.46    61.60     5.43     4.56     0.01     1.74     0.34P    0.90R    0.01  
Aldershot          30   38   -6       1.93    60.31     1.49    56.96     5.45   -10.37     0.00     0.21     0.03P    7.55R    0.09  
Eastleigh          29   37   -6      -0.23    49.51    -1.72    58.74     5.77    -8.58     0.00     0.62     0.10P    4.71R    0.07  
Wrexham            31   35   -3      -9.87    11.94    -6.66    55.20     5.34    -3.41     0.00     0.08     0.01P   10.43R    0.18  
Maidenhead         31   35  -11       0.56    53.65     1.73    52.92     5.30   -15.33     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.11R    0.83  
Dag_&_Red          30   33   -7      -6.10    23.00    -4.15    52.51     5.43   -10.47     0.00     0.02     0.00P   24.72R    0.77  
Chesterfield       31   33  -12      -7.77    18.44    -9.03    52.76     5.40   -13.45     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.69R    1.02  
AFC_Fylde          29   30  -12     -10.55     9.43   -12.96    54.31     5.87   -10.61     0.00     0.07     0.01P   17.97R    0.81  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   25  -22     -10.76     9.15   -13.00    44.65     5.56   -26.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.33R   17.14  
Chorley            31   25  -27      -2.39    39.82    -3.14    37.99     4.94   -39.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.24R   79.04