Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 16 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 January 2020, Aston_Villa 1 6 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 21 61 +36 13.90 99.76 5.21 100.21 4.82 63.48 98.81 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 47 +37 -4.84 18.99 -2.48 83.90 4.68 64.65 1.18 93.29 99.62 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 22 45 +26 7.75 88.00 15.38 72.79 5.53 34.95 0.01 6.15 77.52 94.47 99.67 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 22 39 +10 0.05 49.82 -3.27 65.92 5.47 17.55 0.00 0.53 17.08 63.58 93.78 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 34 +11 -3.92 27.83 -0.59 60.58 5.44 17.82 0.00 0.03 3.65 22.79 75.71 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 22 32 +3 5.22 78.63 8.53 51.85 5.43 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.12 1.37 14.94 0.16R 0.00 Wolverhampton 22 31 +3 1.62 60.24 5.08 52.95 5.48 2.88 0.00 0.00 0.16 2.12 20.36 0.10R 0.00 Tottenham 22 30 +5 -7.85 11.91 -6.59 58.36 5.52 14.82 0.00 0.01 1.68 13.11 61.29 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 22 29 -4 1.05 56.70 -0.53 48.38 5.27 -8.33 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.25 4.47 1.20R 0.01 Arsenal 22 28 -2 -6.06 18.66 -7.38 52.59 5.49 1.48 0.00 0.00 0.12 1.76 18.23 0.18R 0.00 Everton 22 28 -7 -0.98 44.68 -4.12 49.45 5.49 -7.93 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.45 7.33 0.86R 0.01 Southampton 22 28 -12 4.76 77.50 0.20 46.53 5.36 -18.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 2.31 3.71R 0.11 Newcastle 22 26 -13 1.45 59.76 -4.19 44.81 5.26 -18.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.07 6.46R 0.28 Brighton 22 24 -5 0.55 54.59 5.84 41.86 5.23 -11.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 13.94R 0.75 Burnley 22 24 -13 0.88 56.79 -1.31 40.74 5.14 -22.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 21.04R 1.55 West_Ham 21 22 -8 -3.71 29.09 -2.67 40.81 5.42 -16.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 20.13R 1.69 Watford 22 22 -14 -2.33 36.92 -3.73 38.69 5.23 -22.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 34.67R 3.55 Aston_Villa 22 21 -15 -0.51 48.14 2.03 36.31 5.27 -26.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 53.47R 7.44 Bournemouth 22 20 -15 -3.72 29.06 -3.60 36.83 5.20 -24.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 48.30R 6.78 Norwich 22 14 -23 -4.85 22.38 -1.79 27.39 4.97 -39.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.75R 77.82Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 January 2020, Cardiff 0 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 27 53 +20 4.88 73.14 2.80 87.44 6.15 33.33 52.22 80.28 99.16 86.46P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 52 +20 6.32 79.23 7.22 85.20 6.10 30.80 33.63 69.17 98.18 78.07P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 27 46 +23 -0.51 46.98 8.60 78.88 6.19 33.16 9.00 27.08 87.85 47.33P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 27 45 +11 2.30 61.04 2.41 73.90 6.34 15.19 1.89 7.90 62.02 21.53P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 26 44 +9 6.02 78.53 5.46 73.54 6.36 12.27 1.62 6.82 58.97 18.26P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 27 42 +13 1.26 56.52 7.29 71.47 6.20 17.96 0.83 3.78 48.16 14.32P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 27 42 +2 2.66 63.31 -1.42 69.46 6.16 4.29 0.29 1.60 32.14 8.33P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 27 41 +2 5.90 78.23 4.52 65.79 6.12 0.32 0.05 0.42 14.94 2.87P 0.08R 0.00 Bristol_City 27 41 +1 2.64 63.43 -0.71 67.66 6.27 1.90 0.16 0.96 23.33 5.48P 0.04R 0.00 Preston 27 40 +4 1.26 56.66 1.36 67.56 6.24 6.08 0.15 0.81 23.87 5.80P 0.04R 0.00 Hull 27 39 +5 0.32 51.89 2.68 66.26 6.24 6.69 0.08 0.54 18.14 4.14P 0.10R 0.00 Cardiff 27 38 -2 -0.43 48.30 -4.03 65.28 6.32 -0.23 0.04 0.38 13.68 3.35P 0.16R 0.00 Blackburn 27 37 +0 0.50 53.04 0.99 61.94 6.18 -1.71 0.01 0.09 5.57 1.12P 0.59R 0.02 Reading 26 36 +5 2.14 61.76 7.59 62.06 6.27 3.10 0.01 0.09 6.26 1.17P 0.63R 0.03 QPR 27 35 -6 2.74 64.48 2.53 58.00 6.17 -11.49 0.00 0.01 1.42 0.24P 3.57R 0.20 Middlesbrough 27 34 -6 -3.82 30.99 -7.55 60.70 6.07 -4.62 0.00 0.03 3.31 0.78P 0.98R 0.04 Derby 27 34 -8 -3.82 31.27 -9.37 59.42 6.17 -8.95 0.00 0.03 2.37 0.63P 1.79R 0.09 Birmingham 27 32 -11 -0.21 49.64 -3.46 54.36 6.04 -16.83 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.06P 9.76R 0.80 Charlton 27 29 -3 -4.31 29.63 2.64 53.06 6.15 -6.03 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.04P 12.84R 1.48 Huddersfield 27 28 -13 -2.97 35.63 -3.91 48.99 6.03 -20.59 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 34.06R 5.85 Stoke 27 25 -9 -9.29 10.73 -5.19 48.81 6.10 -12.30 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 32.83R 5.91 Barnsley 27 24 -15 -7.20 17.71 -5.37 45.88 6.13 -22.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 54.20R 14.58 Wigan 27 23 -17 -7.26 16.30 -7.29 44.55 5.91 -23.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.37R 19.50 Luton 27 21 -25 -6.16 20.93 -7.79 40.44 6.01 -36.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.95R 51.50League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 January 2020, Burton_Albion 1 0 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Rotherham 25 44 +19 0.79 53.72 4.82 77.88 6.25 31.35 37.50 56.40 88.25 65.84P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 25 44 +6 10.51 92.66 7.05 70.54 6.14 6.75 4.99 12.14 47.82 17.83P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 25 42 +14 0.94 54.93 3.96 74.37 6.11 23.71 16.36 32.37 74.50 44.39P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 24 41 +9 5.22 77.02 4.67 68.82 6.35 9.81 3.46 8.79 38.62 14.95P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 40 +17 0.95 55.07 9.82 71.18 6.14 25.07 7.03 17.20 56.91 26.82P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 25 39 +4 1.37 57.74 -1.09 67.12 6.17 7.17 1.78 5.05 28.23 10.21P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 24 38 +11 -4.59 25.53 -4.03 71.94 6.36 20.79 9.14 20.16 60.14 33.26P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 24 38 +7 -1.71 40.28 -3.64 69.62 6.44 13.30 4.75 11.55 44.54 20.26P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 23 37 +13 -0.84 45.11 3.65 71.68 6.43 22.38 8.94 19.50 58.98 30.51P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 25 37 +10 -2.43 37.11 1.98 67.95 6.19 17.82 2.70 7.22 35.90 14.33P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 23 36 +7 0.65 53.56 1.29 67.15 6.55 10.70 2.42 6.34 30.91 11.95P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 24 36 -2 3.31 68.31 -1.97 61.37 6.23 -5.11 0.25 0.69 7.15 1.84P 0.05R 0.00 Blackpool 24 34 +4 -0.26 49.08 1.97 63.01 6.25 6.65 0.40 1.42 12.33 3.77P 0.02R 0.00 Gillingham 25 34 +4 -0.10 49.98 3.99 60.71 6.12 4.98 0.13 0.50 5.92 1.50P 0.07R 0.00 Lincoln_City 26 34 +2 0.48 53.15 5.13 59.96 6.12 3.90 0.09 0.35 4.87 1.29P 0.12R 0.00 Shrewsbury 24 33 -4 1.41 58.49 -2.59 59.80 6.16 -4.56 0.06 0.32 4.35 1.11P 0.15R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 25 29 -2 -2.02 39.67 3.25 54.03 6.08 -3.69 0.00 0.01 0.52 0.12P 1.30R 0.00 Rochdale 25 28 -12 -0.01 50.91 -1.54 48.94 5.91 -20.52 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 7.88R 0.01 MK_Dons 26 25 -11 -4.98 25.62 -2.43 45.19 5.74 -18.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.22R 0.05 AFC_Wimbledon 25 24 -8 -4.99 24.37 -0.15 45.89 5.89 -14.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.02R 0.05 Tranmere 24 22 -16 -1.70 41.27 -0.53 40.52 5.98 -30.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.53R 0.48 Southend 25 10 -38 -13.27 1.76 -18.26 26.51 5.56 -55.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.31R 42.77 Bolton 23 7 -34 -1.31 43.45 -15.35 24.80 5.90 -52.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.32R 56.64 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 January 2020, Morecambe 2 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 27 53 +20 8.48 86.13 8.87 85.30 6.20 29.35 42.18 79.76 98.52 84.60P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 26 50 +10 9.00 88.28 2.20 81.64 6.33 16.19 18.56 56.19 94.07 65.15P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 26 44 +20 4.17 70.87 13.85 75.19 6.36 25.56 4.21 22.47 74.91 34.73P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 25 44 +15 5.25 75.83 8.36 76.37 6.66 20.25 5.92 27.91 77.91 39.03P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 25 44 +14 1.49 57.62 1.64 81.46 6.62 26.74 20.35 58.43 93.54 69.23P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 26 44 +11 0.77 53.73 0.05 76.30 6.45 18.08 5.04 26.10 77.77 41.55P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 27 44 +9 3.45 67.43 3.68 72.87 6.10 13.21 1.41 11.00 59.10 22.40P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 26 42 +7 2.95 64.95 2.07 71.09 6.41 9.49 1.00 7.70 47.22 16.59P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 26 41 +12 -0.74 45.97 3.17 71.63 6.37 16.73 1.28 9.53 52.96 20.80P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 27 38 +1 3.15 66.39 3.71 61.60 5.97 -2.21 0.02 0.19 5.26 1.10P 0.01R 0.01 Newport_County 24 33 +1 0.70 54.55 1.35 62.88 6.66 1.00 0.04 0.57 10.20 2.65P 0.01R 0.01 Walsall 27 33 -10 -3.51 32.81 -9.46 58.60 6.17 -10.31 0.00 0.04 1.99 0.47P 0.17R 0.17 Crawley_Town 27 32 -2 -1.30 43.91 3.35 56.40 6.11 -4.69 0.00 0.01 0.87 0.16P 0.30R 0.30 Salford_City 27 32 -5 2.19 62.32 6.07 52.83 6.05 -12.97 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 1.43R 1.43 Scunthorpe 27 31 -3 -9.30 11.98 -7.78 59.64 6.30 0.79 0.01 0.09 3.49 1.10P 0.10R 0.10 Cambridge_Utd 27 31 -3 -1.42 43.18 3.16 54.52 5.99 -6.26 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.08P 0.65R 0.65 Macclesfield 25 30 -3 1.79 61.09 5.18 52.17 6.20 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 1.94R 1.94 Grimsby 25 30 -4 -0.51 47.98 0.62 54.09 6.18 -10.19 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.08P 0.84R 0.84 Oldham 27 28 -15 -6.67 19.17 -11.57 51.96 6.09 -18.01 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 2.03R 2.03 Mansfield 27 27 -6 -13.15 4.27 -10.65 54.62 6.20 -3.69 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.14P 0.84R 0.84 Leyton_Orient 26 27 -10 -1.39 43.48 1.12 48.81 6.18 -18.89 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 6.55R 6.55 Carlisle 26 25 -20 -5.22 24.11 -11.74 49.56 6.25 -24.18 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 5.76R 5.76 Morecambe 27 22 -23 -4.83 25.43 -7.69 40.97 5.76 -33.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.01R 45.01 Stevenage 27 19 -16 -12.95 3.24 -9.57 41.78 5.91 -20.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.37R 34.37National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2020, Dover_Athletic 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 28 55 +27 7.54 82.55 13.38 84.00 6.08 33.53 49.89 95.07 60.91P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 30 52 +18 -1.47 42.42 -0.77 80.72 5.61 28.37 24.05 89.48 44.92P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 30 52 +10 4.92 72.15 1.13 75.74 5.74 12.59 5.78 61.56 17.12P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 30 50 +13 3.99 68.14 5.72 75.09 5.70 17.71 4.55 59.19 15.53P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 29 46 +15 -5.07 26.74 -2.06 76.39 5.83 25.75 8.27 70.15 28.31P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 28 45 +14 -0.19 49.01 3.91 75.40 6.02 22.44 6.12 62.29 20.58P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 45 +11 2.75 63.45 7.37 69.80 5.82 13.26 0.77 24.03 5.40P 0.01R 0.00 Stockport 30 45 -2 7.63 81.52 4.46 63.90 5.71 -7.00 0.06 4.27 0.69P 0.53R 0.00 Woking 29 44 -2 8.15 83.50 4.41 64.08 5.86 -7.24 0.06 4.78 0.72P 0.59R 0.00 Halifax 29 43 -3 6.29 78.82 1.28 65.81 5.75 -3.57 0.11 7.28 1.20P 0.23R 0.00 Barnet 28 40 +6 -2.16 39.42 0.37 66.31 6.05 8.36 0.26 11.41 2.76P 0.18R 0.00 Hartlepool 30 40 +1 -0.56 47.74 2.23 61.65 5.57 0.40 0.01 1.90 0.35P 1.02R 0.01 Dover_Athletic 28 40 -2 1.31 56.88 -2.23 62.95 5.99 -4.65 0.06 3.78 0.63P 1.02R 0.00 Sutton_United 30 39 +3 -2.42 38.81 2.72 62.05 5.64 4.62 0.01 2.18 0.43P 0.83R 0.01 Torquay 30 38 -6 2.45 61.90 4.24 56.84 5.65 -11.47 0.00 0.26 0.04P 8.43R 0.20 Eastleigh 28 37 -4 0.50 53.24 -0.63 60.67 6.01 -5.77 0.02 1.63 0.30P 2.63R 0.03 Aldershot 29 37 -6 2.72 63.99 1.97 57.73 5.69 -9.75 0.00 0.39 0.06P 6.33R 0.14 Maidenhead 30 35 -8 0.98 55.67 3.07 54.26 5.53 -12.21 0.00 0.05 0.01P 17.21R 0.62 Dag_&_Red 30 33 -7 -6.15 23.04 -4.16 52.55 5.47 -10.39 0.00 0.02 0.00P 24.22R 0.91 Wrexham 30 32 -6 -10.37 10.07 -8.02 53.60 5.54 -6.41 0.00 0.04 0.01P 17.88R 0.64 AFC_Fylde 28 30 -11 -9.13 12.70 -11.92 56.25 6.15 -8.78 0.00 0.23 0.05P 11.64R 0.52 Chesterfield 30 30 -14 -8.95 14.30 -10.28 50.74 5.60 -16.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.39R 2.83 Ebbsfleet_United 29 25 -20 -10.25 9.79 -12.29 46.17 5.80 -23.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.79R 12.34 Chorley 30 24 -27 -2.29 39.79 -3.88 37.81 5.10 -39.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.07R 81.75