Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 14 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 January 2020, Aston_Villa 1 6 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 21 61 +36 13.94 99.78 5.23 100.26 4.80 63.60 98.84 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 47 +37 -4.72 19.03 -2.24 83.91 4.65 64.57 1.15 92.95 99.65 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 22 45 +26 7.69 87.67 15.32 72.89 5.54 35.05 0.01 6.42 78.12 94.57 99.67 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 22 39 +10 0.15 50.35 -3.11 65.89 5.49 17.49 0.00 0.56 16.51 63.64 93.68 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 34 +11 -3.96 27.45 -0.60 60.52 5.42 17.67 0.00 0.06 3.58 22.37 75.72 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 22 32 +3 5.33 79.19 8.69 51.78 5.45 -0.18 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.30 14.89 0.16R 0.00 Wolverhampton 22 31 +3 1.58 59.96 5.02 52.86 5.48 2.78 0.00 0.00 0.15 2.01 20.12 0.11R 0.00 Tottenham 22 30 +5 -7.99 11.46 -6.76 58.37 5.54 14.84 0.00 0.01 1.74 13.50 61.29 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 22 29 -4 1.12 57.60 -0.48 48.35 5.29 -8.37 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.24 4.59 1.19R 0.01 Arsenal 22 28 -2 -6.06 19.02 -7.46 52.59 5.52 1.51 0.00 0.00 0.12 1.80 18.76 0.20R 0.00 Everton 22 28 -7 -0.86 45.22 -3.99 49.35 5.51 -8.06 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.46 7.06 0.96R 0.03 Southampton 22 28 -12 4.75 77.21 0.21 46.60 5.36 -18.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 2.34 3.51R 0.12 Newcastle 22 26 -13 1.36 59.53 -4.35 44.88 5.28 -18.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.05 6.13R 0.25 Brighton 22 24 -5 0.57 54.64 5.80 41.80 5.25 -11.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 14.32R 0.90 Burnley 22 24 -13 0.89 56.57 -1.27 40.69 5.18 -22.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.21 21.74R 1.61 West_Ham 21 22 -8 -3.68 29.34 -2.63 40.71 5.39 -17.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 20.68R 1.71 Watford 22 22 -14 -2.25 37.09 -3.66 38.71 5.18 -22.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 34.41R 3.69 Aston_Villa 22 21 -15 -0.67 46.95 1.75 36.49 5.30 -26.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 52.30R 7.29 Bournemouth 22 20 -15 -3.77 28.63 -3.71 36.81 5.21 -24.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 48.84R 7.05 Norwich 22 14 -23 -4.85 22.28 -1.77 27.46 5.00 -39.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.44R 77.35Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 January 2020, Cardiff 0 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 27 53 +20 4.96 73.52 2.93 87.35 6.11 33.18 51.84 80.23 99.14 86.26P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 52 +20 6.30 78.95 7.12 85.19 6.12 30.81 33.49 68.96 98.23 77.79P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 27 46 +23 -0.49 47.05 8.65 78.87 6.18 33.15 9.27 27.11 87.80 47.09P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 27 45 +11 2.09 60.28 2.08 74.04 6.27 15.39 2.04 7.94 62.73 21.91P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 26 44 +9 5.93 78.30 5.34 73.66 6.35 12.39 1.70 6.91 59.36 18.45P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 27 42 +13 1.07 55.61 6.98 71.66 6.22 18.27 0.85 3.92 49.54 15.26P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 27 42 +2 2.74 63.94 -1.30 69.39 6.15 4.21 0.31 1.58 31.67 8.01P 0.02R 0.00 Millwall 27 41 +2 5.82 78.11 4.43 65.79 6.10 0.27 0.06 0.42 14.55 2.86P 0.07R 0.00 Bristol_City 27 41 +1 2.79 64.08 -0.60 67.53 6.28 1.69 0.13 0.85 22.64 5.24P 0.03R 0.00 Preston 27 40 +4 1.39 57.11 1.58 67.41 6.19 5.88 0.12 0.76 22.79 5.36P 0.04R 0.00 Hull 27 39 +5 0.26 51.53 2.61 66.40 6.24 6.90 0.10 0.64 18.60 4.41P 0.07R 0.00 Cardiff 27 38 -2 -0.24 49.28 -3.77 65.16 6.37 -0.41 0.05 0.39 13.25 3.28P 0.19R 0.00 Blackburn 27 37 +0 0.41 52.47 0.87 62.01 6.18 -1.62 0.01 0.09 5.67 1.19P 0.52R 0.03 Reading 26 36 +5 2.24 62.10 7.73 62.00 6.33 3.02 0.03 0.12 6.47 1.29P 0.67R 0.02 QPR 27 35 -6 2.69 64.08 2.51 57.99 6.19 -11.45 0.00 0.01 1.48 0.24P 3.50R 0.18 Middlesbrough 27 34 -6 -3.80 31.36 -7.48 60.71 6.07 -4.62 0.00 0.02 3.32 0.71P 1.03R 0.05 Derby 27 34 -8 -3.90 31.05 -9.44 59.37 6.17 -8.97 0.00 0.02 2.21 0.53P 1.78R 0.09 Birmingham 27 32 -11 -0.28 49.26 -3.61 54.35 6.08 -16.79 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.04P 10.07R 0.78 Charlton 27 29 -3 -4.27 29.73 2.70 53.02 6.17 -6.12 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.05P 13.09R 1.42 Huddersfield 27 28 -13 -2.82 36.33 -3.75 49.00 5.97 -20.58 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 33.80R 5.62 Stoke 27 25 -9 -9.40 10.31 -5.35 48.96 6.12 -12.08 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 31.69R 5.73 Barnsley 27 24 -15 -7.17 17.75 -5.32 45.83 6.17 -22.16 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 54.43R 14.91 Wigan 27 23 -17 -7.28 16.07 -7.37 44.57 5.90 -23.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.58R 19.05 Luton 27 21 -25 -6.04 21.57 -7.54 40.36 5.99 -36.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.41R 52.12League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 January 2020, Burton_Albion 1 0 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Rotherham 25 44 +19 0.90 54.68 4.97 77.80 6.23 31.20 37.00 55.74 88.36 65.41P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 25 44 +6 10.52 92.75 7.08 70.49 6.12 6.75 4.74 11.99 47.36 17.74P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 25 42 +14 0.89 54.71 3.93 74.43 6.13 23.81 16.55 32.97 74.61 44.87P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 24 41 +9 5.34 77.57 4.86 68.67 6.30 9.63 3.32 8.40 37.51 14.13P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 40 +17 0.91 55.07 9.76 71.21 6.11 25.13 7.02 17.12 57.17 27.04P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 25 39 +4 1.26 56.98 -1.29 67.22 6.17 7.29 1.98 5.36 29.13 10.63P 0.00R 0.00 Sunderland 24 38 +11 -4.77 24.68 -4.33 72.08 6.39 21.05 9.67 21.10 61.33 34.00P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 24 38 +7 -1.52 41.52 -3.41 69.57 6.36 13.20 4.56 10.97 44.19 19.84P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 23 37 +13 -0.82 45.29 3.62 71.68 6.47 22.38 9.13 19.66 59.15 30.55P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 25 37 +10 -2.46 37.06 1.94 67.99 6.21 17.87 2.86 7.47 36.17 14.86P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 23 36 +7 0.75 54.33 1.44 67.04 6.56 10.53 2.28 6.12 30.21 11.55P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 24 36 -2 3.26 68.22 -2.03 61.39 6.22 -5.09 0.23 0.68 7.14 1.85P 0.05R 0.00 Blackpool 24 34 +4 -0.23 48.96 2.01 62.93 6.27 6.58 0.42 1.33 12.00 3.64P 0.03R 0.00 Gillingham 25 34 +4 -0.16 49.72 3.93 60.75 6.10 5.07 0.11 0.49 6.10 1.58P 0.06R 0.00 Lincoln_City 26 34 +2 0.48 53.31 5.12 59.94 6.07 3.86 0.07 0.32 4.61 1.12P 0.09R 0.00 Shrewsbury 24 33 -4 1.38 58.22 -2.64 59.87 6.13 -4.51 0.07 0.28 4.39 1.08P 0.10R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 25 29 -2 -1.97 40.03 3.28 54.00 6.07 -3.71 0.00 0.01 0.54 0.10P 1.35R 0.00 Rochdale 25 28 -12 0.06 51.41 -1.39 48.87 5.86 -20.68 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 8.07R 0.01 MK_Dons 26 25 -11 -5.08 24.95 -2.61 45.28 5.74 -17.92 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 18.97R 0.04 AFC_Wimbledon 25 24 -8 -5.11 24.02 -0.28 45.93 5.92 -14.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.82R 0.02 Tranmere 24 22 -16 -1.71 41.03 -0.54 40.50 5.99 -30.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.83R 0.58 Southend 25 10 -38 -13.17 1.85 -18.07 26.47 5.55 -56.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.33R 43.18 Bolton 23 7 -34 -1.36 43.16 -15.35 24.87 5.93 -51.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.28R 56.17 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 January 2020, Morecambe 2 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 27 53 +20 8.60 86.67 9.02 85.29 6.23 29.30 42.18 79.65 98.43 84.46P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 26 50 +10 9.02 88.37 2.21 81.66 6.40 16.24 18.92 56.34 93.79 65.29P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 26 44 +20 4.09 70.46 13.74 75.20 6.39 25.62 4.20 22.57 74.64 34.72P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 25 44 +15 5.17 75.24 8.23 76.51 6.65 20.44 6.19 28.47 78.82 39.83P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 25 44 +14 1.53 57.23 1.70 81.43 6.65 26.71 20.19 58.08 93.25 69.00P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 26 44 +11 0.80 54.16 0.12 76.24 6.40 18.02 4.69 25.49 77.41 40.88P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 27 44 +9 3.36 66.90 3.63 72.92 6.09 13.26 1.38 11.07 59.36 22.44P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 26 42 +7 2.94 65.14 2.01 71.18 6.39 9.63 0.93 7.81 47.16 16.44P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 26 41 +12 -0.78 45.87 3.10 71.64 6.36 16.77 1.27 9.54 52.90 20.98P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 27 38 +1 3.22 66.89 3.77 61.53 6.02 -2.30 0.01 0.25 5.49 1.21P 0.01R 0.01 Newport_County 24 33 +1 0.80 54.83 1.52 62.80 6.65 0.88 0.04 0.56 9.89 2.54P 0.02R 0.02 Walsall 27 33 -10 -3.71 32.21 -9.73 58.72 6.19 -10.16 0.00 0.05 2.19 0.57P 0.12R 0.12 Crawley_Town 27 32 -2 -1.28 44.07 3.36 56.41 6.10 -4.69 0.00 0.01 0.94 0.17P 0.36R 0.36 Salford_City 27 32 -5 2.01 61.49 5.76 52.97 6.02 -12.71 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.01P 1.43R 1.43 Scunthorpe 27 31 -3 -9.44 11.73 -7.97 59.70 6.30 0.94 0.00 0.09 3.72 1.01P 0.08R 0.08 Cambridge_Utd 27 31 -3 -1.33 43.59 3.29 54.44 5.99 -6.36 0.00 0.01 0.42 0.09P 0.63R 0.63 Macclesfield 25 30 -3 1.84 61.08 5.24 52.10 6.18 -12.46 0.00 0.01 0.25 0.05P 2.02R 2.02 Grimsby 25 30 -4 -0.44 48.26 0.70 54.01 6.15 -10.32 0.00 0.01 0.42 0.07P 0.92R 0.92 Oldham 27 28 -15 -6.69 19.11 -11.58 51.90 6.06 -18.11 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.04P 2.03R 2.03 Mansfield 27 27 -6 -13.02 4.25 -10.48 54.53 6.23 -3.86 0.00 0.01 0.55 0.17P 0.87R 0.87 Leyton_Orient 26 27 -10 -1.31 44.02 1.29 48.81 6.17 -18.90 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 6.68R 6.68 Carlisle 26 25 -20 -5.22 24.29 -11.72 49.56 6.25 -24.21 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02P 5.71R 5.71 Morecambe 27 22 -23 -4.73 26.02 -7.59 40.89 5.73 -33.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.31R 45.31 Stevenage 27 19 -16 -12.96 3.26 -9.63 41.81 5.94 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.82R 33.82National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2020, Dover_Athletic 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 28 55 +27 7.57 82.72 13.42 84.01 6.09 33.58 49.89 95.22 61.14P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 30 52 +18 -1.42 42.93 -0.71 80.70 5.63 28.32 24.01 89.45 45.08P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 30 52 +10 4.93 72.29 1.17 75.77 5.68 12.62 5.67 61.76 16.66P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 30 50 +13 4.11 68.35 5.94 75.02 5.72 17.60 4.61 58.84 15.42P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 29 46 +15 -5.19 26.41 -2.27 76.47 5.87 25.91 8.62 70.33 28.94P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 28 45 +14 -0.21 48.88 3.90 75.35 6.05 22.37 5.93 62.37 20.42P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 45 +11 2.68 63.05 7.28 69.81 5.82 13.29 0.80 24.46 5.54P 0.01R 0.00 Stockport 30 45 -2 7.86 82.40 4.80 63.79 5.69 -7.23 0.05 4.05 0.55P 0.52R 0.00 Woking 29 44 -2 8.45 84.29 4.90 63.96 5.82 -7.40 0.08 4.55 0.70P 0.52R 0.00 Halifax 29 43 -3 6.49 79.53 1.48 65.70 5.76 -3.70 0.06 7.22 1.09P 0.24R 0.00 Barnet 28 40 +6 -2.05 40.10 0.53 66.19 6.07 8.20 0.20 10.82 2.52P 0.18R 0.00 Hartlepool 30 40 +1 -0.78 46.66 1.91 61.76 5.60 0.56 0.01 2.03 0.33P 1.07R 0.01 Dover_Athletic 28 40 -2 1.18 56.22 -2.49 63.07 6.04 -4.51 0.05 3.81 0.73P 1.01R 0.01 Sutton_United 30 39 +3 -2.45 38.51 2.62 62.07 5.63 4.70 0.01 2.31 0.43P 0.86R 0.01 Torquay 30 38 -6 2.50 62.21 4.29 56.81 5.65 -11.55 0.00 0.23 0.02P 8.79R 0.19 Eastleigh 28 37 -4 0.55 53.33 -0.52 60.61 6.03 -5.88 0.01 1.73 0.28P 2.74R 0.04 Aldershot 29 37 -6 2.52 62.94 1.63 57.84 5.68 -9.60 0.00 0.43 0.06P 6.07R 0.12 Maidenhead 30 35 -8 0.94 55.73 3.01 54.32 5.51 -12.11 0.00 0.05 0.00P 16.90R 0.62 Dag_&_Red 30 33 -7 -6.25 22.41 -4.28 52.58 5.45 -10.37 0.00 0.02 0.01P 24.17R 0.82 Wrexham 30 32 -6 -10.50 10.00 -8.15 53.68 5.55 -6.29 0.00 0.05 0.01P 17.70R 0.58 AFC_Fylde 28 30 -11 -9.37 12.00 -12.29 56.34 6.10 -8.57 0.00 0.28 0.06P 11.28R 0.43 Chesterfield 30 30 -14 -8.77 14.39 -10.05 50.69 5.56 -16.21 0.00 0.01 0.00 38.82R 2.87 Ebbsfleet_United 29 25 -20 -10.28 9.91 -12.31 46.17 5.76 -23.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.07R 12.09 Chorley 30 24 -27 -2.24 40.08 -3.80 37.81 5.11 -39.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.06R 82.21