Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 14 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 January 2020, Aston_Villa 1 6 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        21   61  +36      13.94    99.78     5.23   100.26     4.80    63.60    98.84   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         22   47  +37      -4.72    19.03    -2.24    83.91     4.65    64.57     1.15    92.95    99.65    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        22   45  +26       7.69    87.67    15.32    72.89     5.54    35.05     0.01     6.42    78.12    94.57    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          22   39  +10       0.15    50.35    -3.11    65.89     5.49    17.49     0.00     0.56    16.51    63.64    93.68     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          22   34  +11      -3.96    27.45    -0.60    60.52     5.42    17.67     0.00     0.06     3.58    22.37    75.72     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        22   32   +3       5.33    79.19     8.69    51.78     5.45    -0.18     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.30    14.89     0.16R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    22   31   +3       1.58    59.96     5.02    52.86     5.48     2.78     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.01    20.12     0.11R    0.00  
Tottenham        22   30   +5      -7.99    11.46    -6.76    58.37     5.54    14.84     0.00     0.01     1.74    13.50    61.29     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   29   -4       1.12    57.60    -0.48    48.35     5.29    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     4.59     1.19R    0.01  
Arsenal          22   28   -2      -6.06    19.02    -7.46    52.59     5.52     1.51     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.80    18.76     0.20R    0.00  
Everton          22   28   -7      -0.86    45.22    -3.99    49.35     5.51    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.46     7.06     0.96R    0.03  
Southampton      22   28  -12       4.75    77.21     0.21    46.60     5.36   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.34     3.51R    0.12  
Newcastle        22   26  -13       1.36    59.53    -4.35    44.88     5.28   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.05     6.13R    0.25  
Brighton         22   24   -5       0.57    54.64     5.80    41.80     5.25   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29    14.32R    0.90  
Burnley          22   24  -13       0.89    56.57    -1.27    40.69     5.18   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    21.74R    1.61  
West_Ham         21   22   -8      -3.68    29.34    -2.63    40.71     5.39   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25    20.68R    1.71  
Watford          22   22  -14      -2.25    37.09    -3.66    38.71     5.18   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    34.41R    3.69  
Aston_Villa      22   21  -15      -0.67    46.95     1.75    36.49     5.30   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    52.30R    7.29  
Bournemouth      22   20  -15      -3.77    28.63    -3.71    36.81     5.21   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    48.84R    7.05  
Norwich          22   14  -23      -4.85    22.28    -1.77    27.46     5.00   -39.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.44R   77.35  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 January 2020, Cardiff 0 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       27   53  +20       4.96    73.52     2.93    87.35     6.11    33.18    51.84    80.23    99.14    86.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    27   52  +20       6.30    78.95     7.12    85.19     6.12    30.81    33.49    68.96    98.23    77.79P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       27   46  +23      -0.49    47.05     8.65    78.87     6.18    33.15     9.27    27.11    87.80    47.09P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          27   45  +11       2.09    60.28     2.08    74.04     6.27    15.39     2.04     7.94    62.73    21.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   26   44   +9       5.93    78.30     5.34    73.66     6.35    12.39     1.70     6.91    59.36    18.45P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       27   42  +13       1.07    55.61     6.98    71.66     6.22    18.27     0.85     3.92    49.54    15.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         27   42   +2       2.74    63.94    -1.30    69.39     6.15     4.21     0.31     1.58    31.67     8.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall        27   41   +2       5.82    78.11     4.43    65.79     6.10     0.27     0.06     0.42    14.55     2.86P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_City    27   41   +1       2.79    64.08    -0.60    67.53     6.28     1.69     0.13     0.85    22.64     5.24P    0.03R    0.00  
Preston         27   40   +4       1.39    57.11     1.58    67.41     6.19     5.88     0.12     0.76    22.79     5.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull            27   39   +5       0.26    51.53     2.61    66.40     6.24     6.90     0.10     0.64    18.60     4.41P    0.07R    0.00  
Cardiff         27   38   -2      -0.24    49.28    -3.77    65.16     6.37    -0.41     0.05     0.39    13.25     3.28P    0.19R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   37   +0       0.41    52.47     0.87    62.01     6.18    -1.62     0.01     0.09     5.67     1.19P    0.52R    0.03  
Reading         26   36   +5       2.24    62.10     7.73    62.00     6.33     3.02     0.03     0.12     6.47     1.29P    0.67R    0.02  
QPR             27   35   -6       2.69    64.08     2.51    57.99     6.19   -11.45     0.00     0.01     1.48     0.24P    3.50R    0.18  
Middlesbrough   27   34   -6      -3.80    31.36    -7.48    60.71     6.07    -4.62     0.00     0.02     3.32     0.71P    1.03R    0.05  
Derby           27   34   -8      -3.90    31.05    -9.44    59.37     6.17    -8.97     0.00     0.02     2.21     0.53P    1.78R    0.09  
Birmingham      27   32  -11      -0.28    49.26    -3.61    54.35     6.08   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   10.07R    0.78  
Charlton        27   29   -3      -4.27    29.73     2.70    53.02     6.17    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   13.09R    1.42  
Huddersfield    27   28  -13      -2.82    36.33    -3.75    49.00     5.97   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.80R    5.62  
Stoke           27   25   -9      -9.40    10.31    -5.35    48.96     6.12   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   31.69R    5.73  
Barnsley        27   24  -15      -7.17    17.75    -5.32    45.83     6.17   -22.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.43R   14.91  
Wigan           27   23  -17      -7.28    16.07    -7.37    44.57     5.90   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.58R   19.05  
Luton           27   21  -25      -6.04    21.57    -7.54    40.36     5.99   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.41R   52.12  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 January 2020, Burton_Albion 1 0 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Rotherham            25   44  +19       0.90    54.68     4.97    77.80     6.23    31.20    37.00    55.74    88.36    65.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   44   +6      10.52    92.75     7.08    70.49     6.12     6.75     4.74    11.99    47.36    17.74P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              25   42  +14       0.89    54.71     3.93    74.43     6.13    23.81    16.55    32.97    74.61    44.87P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             24   41   +9       5.34    77.57     4.86    68.67     6.30     9.63     3.32     8.40    37.51    14.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   40  +17       0.91    55.07     9.76    71.21     6.11    25.13     7.02    17.12    57.17    27.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   39   +4       1.26    56.98    -1.29    67.22     6.17     7.29     1.98     5.36    29.13    10.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           24   38  +11      -4.77    24.68    -4.33    72.08     6.39    21.05     9.67    21.10    61.33    34.00P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           24   38   +7      -1.52    41.52    -3.41    69.57     6.36    13.20     4.56    10.97    44.19    19.84P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            23   37  +13      -0.82    45.29     3.62    71.68     6.47    22.38     9.13    19.66    59.15    30.55P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         25   37  +10      -2.46    37.06     1.94    67.99     6.21    17.87     2.86     7.47    36.17    14.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       23   36   +7       0.75    54.33     1.44    67.04     6.56    10.53     2.28     6.12    30.21    11.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       24   36   -2       3.26    68.22    -2.03    61.39     6.22    -5.09     0.23     0.68     7.14     1.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool            24   34   +4      -0.23    48.96     2.01    62.93     6.27     6.58     0.42     1.33    12.00     3.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham           25   34   +4      -0.16    49.72     3.93    60.75     6.10     5.07     0.11     0.49     6.10     1.58P    0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         26   34   +2       0.48    53.31     5.12    59.94     6.07     3.86     0.07     0.32     4.61     1.12P    0.09R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   33   -4       1.38    58.22    -2.64    59.87     6.13    -4.51     0.07     0.28     4.39     1.08P    0.10R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   29   -2      -1.97    40.03     3.28    54.00     6.07    -3.71     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.10P    1.35R    0.00  
Rochdale             25   28  -12       0.06    51.41    -1.39    48.87     5.86   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    8.07R    0.01  
MK_Dons              26   25  -11      -5.08    24.95    -2.61    45.28     5.74   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.97R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   24   -8      -5.11    24.02    -0.28    45.93     5.92   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.82R    0.02  
Tranmere             24   22  -16      -1.71    41.03    -0.54    40.50     5.99   -30.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.83R    0.58  
Southend             25   10  -38     -13.17     1.85   -18.07    26.47     5.55   -56.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.33R   43.18  
Bolton               23    7  -34      -1.36    43.16   -15.35    24.87     5.93   -51.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R   56.17  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 January 2020, Morecambe 2 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          27   53  +20       8.60    86.67     9.02    85.29     6.23    29.30    42.18    79.65    98.43    84.46P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           26   50  +10       9.02    88.37     2.21    81.66     6.40    16.24    18.92    56.34    93.79    65.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       26   44  +20       4.09    70.46    13.74    75.20     6.39    25.62     4.20    22.57    74.64    34.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            25   44  +15       5.17    75.24     8.23    76.51     6.65    20.44     6.19    28.47    78.82    39.83P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         25   44  +14       1.53    57.23     1.70    81.43     6.65    26.71    20.19    58.08    93.25    69.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         26   44  +11       0.80    54.16     0.12    76.24     6.40    18.02     4.69    25.49    77.41    40.88P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   44   +9       3.36    66.90     3.63    72.92     6.09    13.26     1.38    11.07    59.36    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      26   42   +7       2.94    65.14     2.01    71.18     6.39     9.63     0.93     7.81    47.16    16.44P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       26   41  +12      -0.78    45.87     3.10    71.64     6.36    16.77     1.27     9.54    52.90    20.98P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        27   38   +1       3.22    66.89     3.77    61.53     6.02    -2.30     0.01     0.25     5.49     1.21P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   24   33   +1       0.80    54.83     1.52    62.80     6.65     0.88     0.04     0.56     9.89     2.54P    0.02R    0.02  
Walsall          27   33  -10      -3.71    32.21    -9.73    58.72     6.19   -10.16     0.00     0.05     2.19     0.57P    0.12R    0.12  
Crawley_Town     27   32   -2      -1.28    44.07     3.36    56.41     6.10    -4.69     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.17P    0.36R    0.36  
Salford_City     27   32   -5       2.01    61.49     5.76    52.97     6.02   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.01P    1.43R    1.43  
Scunthorpe       27   31   -3      -9.44    11.73    -7.97    59.70     6.30     0.94     0.00     0.09     3.72     1.01P    0.08R    0.08  
Cambridge_Utd    27   31   -3      -1.33    43.59     3.29    54.44     5.99    -6.36     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.09P    0.63R    0.63  
Macclesfield     25   30   -3       1.84    61.08     5.24    52.10     6.18   -12.46     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P    2.02R    2.02  
Grimsby          25   30   -4      -0.44    48.26     0.70    54.01     6.15   -10.32     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.07P    0.92R    0.92  
Oldham           27   28  -15      -6.69    19.11   -11.58    51.90     6.06   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    2.03R    2.03  
Mansfield        27   27   -6     -13.02     4.25   -10.48    54.53     6.23    -3.86     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.17P    0.87R    0.87  
Leyton_Orient    26   27  -10      -1.31    44.02     1.29    48.81     6.17   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    6.68R    6.68  
Carlisle         26   25  -20      -5.22    24.29   -11.72    49.56     6.25   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P    5.71R    5.71  
Morecambe        27   22  -23      -4.73    26.02    -7.59    40.89     5.73   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.31R   45.31  
Stevenage        27   19  -16     -12.96     3.26    -9.63    41.81     5.94   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.82R   33.82  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2020, Dover_Athletic 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             28   55  +27       7.57    82.72    13.42    84.01     6.09    33.58    49.89    95.22    61.14P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             30   52  +18      -1.42    42.93    -0.71    80.70     5.63    28.32    24.01    89.45    45.08P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     30   52  +10       4.93    72.29     1.17    75.77     5.68    12.62     5.67    61.76    16.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            30   50  +13       4.11    68.35     5.94    75.02     5.72    17.60     4.61    58.84    15.42P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County       29   46  +15      -5.19    26.41    -2.27    76.47     5.87    25.91     8.62    70.33    28.94P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     28   45  +14      -0.21    48.88     3.90    75.35     6.05    22.37     5.93    62.37    20.42P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       29   45  +11       2.68    63.05     7.28    69.81     5.82    13.29     0.80    24.46     5.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport          30   45   -2       7.86    82.40     4.80    63.79     5.69    -7.23     0.05     4.05     0.55P    0.52R    0.00  
Woking             29   44   -2       8.45    84.29     4.90    63.96     5.82    -7.40     0.08     4.55     0.70P    0.52R    0.00  
Halifax            29   43   -3       6.49    79.53     1.48    65.70     5.76    -3.70     0.06     7.22     1.09P    0.24R    0.00  
Barnet             28   40   +6      -2.05    40.10     0.53    66.19     6.07     8.20     0.20    10.82     2.52P    0.18R    0.00  
Hartlepool         30   40   +1      -0.78    46.66     1.91    61.76     5.60     0.56     0.01     2.03     0.33P    1.07R    0.01  
Dover_Athletic     28   40   -2       1.18    56.22    -2.49    63.07     6.04    -4.51     0.05     3.81     0.73P    1.01R    0.01  
Sutton_United      30   39   +3      -2.45    38.51     2.62    62.07     5.63     4.70     0.01     2.31     0.43P    0.86R    0.01  
Torquay            30   38   -6       2.50    62.21     4.29    56.81     5.65   -11.55     0.00     0.23     0.02P    8.79R    0.19  
Eastleigh          28   37   -4       0.55    53.33    -0.52    60.61     6.03    -5.88     0.01     1.73     0.28P    2.74R    0.04  
Aldershot          29   37   -6       2.52    62.94     1.63    57.84     5.68    -9.60     0.00     0.43     0.06P    6.07R    0.12  
Maidenhead         30   35   -8       0.94    55.73     3.01    54.32     5.51   -12.11     0.00     0.05     0.00P   16.90R    0.62  
Dag_&_Red          30   33   -7      -6.25    22.41    -4.28    52.58     5.45   -10.37     0.00     0.02     0.01P   24.17R    0.82  
Wrexham            30   32   -6     -10.50    10.00    -8.15    53.68     5.55    -6.29     0.00     0.05     0.01P   17.70R    0.58  
AFC_Fylde          28   30  -11      -9.37    12.00   -12.29    56.34     6.10    -8.57     0.00     0.28     0.06P   11.28R    0.43  
Chesterfield       30   30  -14      -8.77    14.39   -10.05    50.69     5.56   -16.21     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.82R    2.87  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   25  -20     -10.28     9.91   -12.31    46.17     5.76   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.07R   12.09  
Chorley            30   24  -27      -2.24    40.08    -3.80    37.81     5.11   -39.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.06R   82.21