Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 13 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 January 2020, Aston_Villa 1 6 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 21 61 +36 13.85 99.78 5.07 100.28 4.79 63.63 98.90 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 47 +37 -4.63 20.18 -2.08 83.80 4.67 64.33 1.09 92.85 99.65 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 22 45 +26 7.71 87.62 15.30 72.88 5.54 35.03 0.01 6.59 78.12 94.75 99.65 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 22 39 +10 0.17 50.62 -3.08 65.89 5.50 17.46 0.00 0.53 16.41 63.41 93.69 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 34 +11 -3.93 27.61 -0.57 60.52 5.42 17.74 0.00 0.03 3.70 22.68 75.37 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 22 32 +3 5.24 78.69 8.57 51.87 5.45 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.46 15.23 0.15R 0.00 Wolverhampton 22 31 +3 1.66 60.12 5.17 52.86 5.51 2.76 0.00 0.00 0.18 2.05 20.06 0.12R 0.00 Tottenham 22 30 +5 -8.02 11.05 -6.83 58.40 5.51 14.90 0.00 0.01 1.66 13.19 61.34 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 22 29 -4 1.05 57.14 -0.57 48.46 5.29 -8.22 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.28 4.89 1.07R 0.01 Arsenal 22 28 -2 -6.11 18.52 -7.53 52.65 5.52 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.14 1.66 18.76 0.18R 0.01 Everton 22 28 -7 -0.79 45.79 -3.82 49.23 5.49 -8.23 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.40 6.80 1.01R 0.02 Southampton 22 28 -12 4.70 77.18 0.14 46.55 5.38 -18.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 2.36 3.75R 0.14 Newcastle 22 26 -13 1.43 59.58 -4.20 44.81 5.27 -18.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.01 6.34R 0.26 Brighton 22 24 -5 0.59 55.05 5.89 41.77 5.26 -11.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 14.46R 0.84 Burnley 22 24 -13 0.88 56.49 -1.30 40.67 5.18 -22.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 21.72R 1.67 West_Ham 21 22 -8 -3.80 28.54 -2.85 40.82 5.46 -16.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 20.25R 1.76 Watford 22 22 -14 -2.28 36.88 -3.71 38.69 5.21 -22.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 34.30R 3.70 Aston_Villa 22 21 -15 -0.59 47.37 1.90 36.40 5.27 -26.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 52.58R 7.54 Bournemouth 22 20 -15 -3.62 29.46 -3.46 36.81 5.20 -24.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 48.66R 7.25 Norwich 22 14 -23 -4.97 21.85 -2.04 27.55 4.98 -39.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.41R 76.80Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 January 2020, Cardiff 0 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 27 53 +20 4.96 73.28 2.90 87.35 6.13 33.17 52.03 80.01 99.14 85.97P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 52 +20 6.33 79.37 7.24 85.14 6.05 30.74 33.53 68.96 98.17 77.83P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 27 46 +23 -0.53 46.81 8.63 78.86 6.19 33.16 9.15 27.24 87.83 47.19P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 27 45 +11 2.16 60.43 2.20 74.02 6.35 15.33 1.98 8.01 62.61 21.98P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 26 44 +9 5.88 78.19 5.27 73.61 6.36 12.34 1.76 6.91 59.05 18.40P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 27 42 +13 1.21 56.26 7.21 71.57 6.24 18.11 0.78 3.88 48.70 14.74P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 27 42 +2 2.64 63.57 -1.44 69.52 6.13 4.36 0.29 1.62 32.14 8.42P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 27 41 +2 5.82 78.00 4.46 65.77 6.11 0.23 0.05 0.40 14.70 2.78P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_City 27 41 +1 2.64 63.38 -0.79 67.71 6.28 1.88 0.15 0.98 23.17 5.53P 0.03R 0.00 Preston 27 40 +4 1.45 57.56 1.64 67.35 6.24 5.83 0.12 0.78 22.49 5.30P 0.04R 0.00 Hull 27 39 +5 0.39 51.97 2.77 66.28 6.28 6.73 0.07 0.55 18.06 4.30P 0.09R 0.00 Cardiff 27 38 -2 -0.46 47.92 -4.10 65.38 6.38 -0.07 0.06 0.39 14.12 3.37P 0.15R 0.00 Blackburn 27 37 +0 0.46 52.84 0.93 61.97 6.22 -1.63 0.01 0.07 5.61 1.16P 0.54R 0.01 Reading 26 36 +5 2.13 61.66 7.57 62.12 6.32 3.21 0.01 0.11 6.56 1.31P 0.58R 0.03 QPR 27 35 -6 2.66 64.19 2.38 58.11 6.21 -11.23 0.00 0.02 1.60 0.26P 3.38R 0.22 Middlesbrough 27 34 -6 -3.71 31.64 -7.40 60.63 6.08 -4.75 0.00 0.04 3.20 0.78P 1.07R 0.05 Derby 27 34 -8 -3.77 31.68 -9.30 59.39 6.18 -8.98 0.01 0.02 2.33 0.56P 1.84R 0.08 Birmingham 27 32 -11 -0.09 50.27 -3.36 54.22 6.06 -16.99 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 10.21R 0.79 Charlton 27 29 -3 -4.35 29.39 2.62 53.09 6.16 -6.02 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 12.86R 1.53 Huddersfield 27 28 -13 -2.77 36.61 -3.66 48.88 5.99 -20.72 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 34.53R 5.74 Stoke 27 25 -9 -9.35 10.74 -5.27 48.85 6.13 -12.27 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 32.22R 5.92 Barnsley 27 24 -15 -7.08 18.17 -5.18 45.77 6.17 -22.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.94R 15.00 Wigan 27 23 -17 -7.42 15.83 -7.52 44.69 5.90 -23.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.44R 18.65 Luton 27 21 -25 -6.20 21.00 -7.77 40.41 6.01 -36.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.01R 51.99League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2020, Bristol_Rovers 0 2 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Rotherham 25 44 +19 0.73 53.37 4.80 77.97 6.27 31.45 36.56 56.01 89.01 65.69P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 25 44 +6 10.61 92.79 7.21 70.52 6.15 6.73 4.65 11.43 47.88 17.17P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 24 41 +14 0.96 54.94 3.47 74.74 6.39 23.74 18.03 34.34 75.39 46.09P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 24 41 +9 5.44 77.79 4.98 68.77 6.35 9.71 3.29 8.61 38.44 14.58P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 24 39 +17 1.34 57.31 9.86 71.67 6.39 25.24 8.66 19.54 59.55 29.23P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 24 38 +11 -4.79 24.71 -4.23 72.12 6.37 21.08 9.18 20.71 61.54 34.25P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 24 38 +7 -1.72 40.38 -3.64 69.69 6.40 13.41 4.41 10.85 45.41 20.03P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 23 37 +13 -0.79 45.27 3.72 71.63 6.52 22.25 8.54 19.05 58.80 29.73P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 25 37 +10 -2.45 36.89 1.98 67.90 6.24 17.65 2.49 7.04 36.32 14.40P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 23 36 +7 0.71 54.11 1.40 67.04 6.56 10.49 2.16 5.81 30.20 11.33P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 24 36 +3 0.25 51.58 -1.30 66.07 6.39 6.99 1.26 3.79 24.11 8.60P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 24 36 -2 3.37 68.68 -1.82 61.36 6.29 -5.19 0.21 0.68 7.43 1.85P 0.05R 0.00 Blackpool 24 34 +4 -0.28 48.75 1.96 62.98 6.22 6.62 0.32 1.24 12.04 3.62P 0.02R 0.00 Gillingham 25 34 +4 -0.14 49.84 4.01 60.74 6.10 5.03 0.12 0.42 6.04 1.55P 0.08R 0.00 Shrewsbury 24 33 -4 1.44 58.59 -2.56 59.71 6.18 -4.72 0.05 0.29 4.31 1.06P 0.13R 0.00 Lincoln_City 25 31 -2 0.49 53.36 3.50 58.12 6.31 -0.37 0.06 0.18 2.97 0.72P 0.37R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 25 29 -2 -1.86 40.72 3.51 53.95 6.11 -3.87 0.01 0.02 0.52 0.10P 1.53R 0.00 Rochdale 25 28 -12 0.02 51.17 -1.40 48.93 5.88 -20.58 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 8.30R 0.01 MK_Dons 25 25 -10 -4.39 28.12 -2.58 46.16 5.98 -17.73 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 16.63R 0.04 AFC_Wimbledon 25 24 -8 -5.04 24.34 -0.16 45.86 5.90 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.43R 0.06 Tranmere 24 22 -16 -1.66 41.53 -0.49 40.45 5.98 -30.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.37R 0.80 Southend 25 10 -38 -13.25 1.76 -18.30 26.53 5.54 -55.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.38R 49.93 Bolton 22 7 -30 -1.29 43.47 -13.91 26.30 6.17 -47.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.71R 49.16 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2020, Carlisle 0 3 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 27 53 +20 8.51 86.53 8.88 85.37 6.18 29.45 42.25 80.00 98.59 84.79P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 26 50 +10 8.98 88.30 2.16 81.72 6.39 16.33 18.96 56.32 93.62 65.28P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 26 44 +20 4.08 70.34 13.71 75.16 6.35 25.52 3.97 21.95 74.51 34.60P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 25 44 +15 5.36 75.97 8.50 76.33 6.69 20.21 5.82 27.63 77.35 38.71P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 25 44 +14 1.49 57.50 1.63 81.47 6.66 26.76 20.18 58.20 93.30 68.88P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 26 44 +11 0.63 52.85 -0.14 76.33 6.44 18.14 5.00 26.24 77.05 41.23P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 27 44 +9 3.41 66.97 3.68 72.87 6.12 13.20 1.47 10.86 58.65 22.11P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 26 42 +7 2.81 64.51 1.84 71.21 6.39 9.68 0.97 7.91 47.16 16.65P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 26 41 +12 -0.83 45.80 3.05 71.60 6.39 16.72 1.29 9.60 51.80 20.85P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 26 38 +2 4.22 71.98 4.22 63.46 6.23 -0.49 0.03 0.54 9.75 2.21P 0.01R 0.01 Newport_County 24 33 +1 0.63 53.91 1.28 62.87 6.62 1.00 0.05 0.59 9.55 2.51P 0.02R 0.02 Walsall 27 33 -10 -3.68 32.08 -9.69 58.69 6.24 -10.19 0.00 0.05 2.10 0.54P 0.09R 0.09 Crawley_Town 27 32 -2 -1.07 44.97 3.65 56.29 6.07 -4.82 0.00 0.02 0.84 0.17P 0.26R 0.26 Salford_City 27 32 -5 2.26 62.89 6.15 52.78 5.98 -13.01 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 1.11R 1.11 Scunthorpe 27 31 -3 -9.15 12.61 -7.61 59.57 6.33 0.68 0.01 0.09 3.54 1.05P 0.07R 0.07 Cambridge_Utd 27 31 -3 -1.34 43.51 3.30 54.46 5.98 -6.35 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08P 0.48R 0.48 Macclesfield 25 30 -3 1.78 61.05 5.12 52.29 6.18 -12.21 0.00 0.01 0.25 0.04P 1.39R 1.39 Grimsby 25 30 -4 -0.51 48.05 0.61 54.01 6.21 -10.30 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.08P 0.65R 0.65 Mansfield 27 27 -6 -12.89 4.56 -10.31 54.46 6.21 -3.94 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.13P 0.62R 0.62 Leyton_Orient 26 27 -10 -1.30 44.21 1.30 48.74 6.22 -19.05 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 5.40R 5.40 Oldham 26 27 -15 -6.44 19.57 -11.65 52.22 6.34 -18.21 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06P 1.78R 1.78 Carlisle 26 25 -20 -5.28 23.84 -11.86 49.65 6.25 -24.04 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 4.64R 4.64 Morecambe 26 19 -24 -6.12 18.95 -8.16 38.86 5.89 -35.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.18R 57.18 Stevenage 26 18 -16 -12.72 3.27 -9.69 42.37 6.19 -19.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.27R 26.27National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2020, Dover_Athletic 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 28 55 +27 7.75 83.33 13.72 83.88 6.06 33.34 48.79 95.09 59.99P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 30 52 +18 -1.59 41.78 -0.98 80.81 5.62 28.49 24.66 89.66 45.70P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 30 52 +10 4.90 71.96 1.09 75.80 5.70 12.67 5.80 61.68 16.90P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 30 50 +13 4.19 69.01 6.08 74.98 5.69 17.58 4.53 58.39 14.89P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 29 46 +15 -5.19 26.24 -2.32 76.52 5.87 26.01 8.91 70.47 29.04P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 28 45 +14 -0.23 48.80 3.89 75.37 6.01 22.39 6.05 61.89 20.69P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 45 +11 2.55 62.35 7.11 69.89 5.78 13.39 0.73 24.64 5.39P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 30 45 -2 7.73 82.19 4.61 63.80 5.70 -7.16 0.04 4.15 0.62P 0.49R 0.00 Woking 29 44 -2 8.29 83.82 4.62 63.95 5.86 -7.37 0.07 4.70 0.74P 0.53R 0.00 Halifax 29 43 -3 6.37 79.17 1.28 65.86 5.75 -3.52 0.10 7.59 1.22P 0.20R 0.00 Barnet 28 40 +6 -2.15 39.48 0.38 66.32 6.05 8.36 0.24 11.25 2.82P 0.14R 0.00 Hartlepool 30 40 +1 -0.67 47.62 2.03 61.72 5.56 0.47 0.01 1.88 0.34P 1.05R 0.02 Dover_Athletic 28 40 -2 1.35 57.17 -2.28 62.99 5.97 -4.63 0.06 3.65 0.71P 1.01R 0.00 Sutton_United 30 39 +3 -2.48 38.74 2.59 62.12 5.64 4.76 0.01 2.30 0.47P 0.82R 0.01 Torquay 30 38 -6 2.57 62.36 4.50 56.76 5.66 -11.65 0.00 0.26 0.04P 8.71R 0.20 Eastleigh 28 37 -4 0.36 52.47 -0.88 60.72 5.99 -5.67 0.01 1.60 0.25P 2.62R 0.03 Aldershot 29 37 -6 2.61 63.60 1.77 57.73 5.67 -9.74 0.00 0.37 0.08P 6.29R 0.14 Maidenhead 30 35 -8 1.04 56.17 3.16 54.23 5.52 -12.26 0.00 0.07 0.01P 16.98R 0.59 Dag_&_Red 30 33 -7 -6.25 22.44 -4.29 52.60 5.44 -10.36 0.00 0.01 0.00P 23.77R 0.82 Wrexham 30 32 -6 -10.36 10.20 -7.97 53.61 5.55 -6.39 0.00 0.04 0.01P 18.09R 0.53 AFC_Fylde 28 30 -11 -9.42 11.76 -12.37 56.39 6.11 -8.54 0.00 0.31 0.09P 11.22R 0.47 Chesterfield 30 30 -14 -8.87 14.39 -10.17 50.78 5.61 -16.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.31R 2.73 Ebbsfleet_United 29 25 -20 -10.18 9.99 -12.14 46.09 5.78 -23.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.76R 12.07 Chorley 30 24 -27 -2.02 41.19 -3.43 37.66 5.11 -40.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.02R 82.39