Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 8 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 2 January 2020, Liverpool 2 0 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 20 58 +35 12.75 99.59 4.72 99.11 5.02 63.38 98.30 99.95 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 21 45 +27 9.31 92.60 16.63 75.43 5.76 37.92 0.09 14.85 88.00 97.57 99.87 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 44 +32 -4.74 19.29 -3.53 83.08 4.86 60.75 1.61 84.74 99.37 99.95 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 21 36 +7 -0.30 47.78 -4.23 64.70 5.71 15.08 0.00 0.40 8.80 55.42 90.02 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 31 +7 -3.96 27.65 -1.95 59.49 5.62 14.71 0.00 0.03 1.71 19.43 68.89 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 30 +6 -7.14 13.51 -6.60 59.35 5.75 15.23 0.00 0.04 1.75 19.54 67.71 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 21 30 +3 2.23 64.03 5.40 53.52 5.69 3.15 0.00 0.00 0.17 3.34 24.52 0.12R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 21 29 +2 4.00 73.81 8.28 50.11 5.72 -1.26 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.98 10.72 0.75R 0.03 Crystal_Palace 21 28 -4 1.44 59.36 -0.49 48.56 5.51 -8.62 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.41 5.92 1.45R 0.04 Arsenal 21 27 -2 -5.63 19.71 -7.36 53.19 5.72 1.88 0.00 0.00 0.13 2.83 22.89 0.22R 0.00 Everton 21 25 -8 -1.93 38.66 -4.09 47.90 5.73 -8.93 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.38 5.21 2.39R 0.11 Southampton 21 25 -13 2.90 68.47 -1.16 43.79 5.52 -21.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.98 11.16R 0.77 Newcastle 21 25 -13 1.63 61.15 -4.35 44.70 5.47 -18.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.29 7.95R 0.44 Brighton 21 24 -4 1.41 59.84 6.13 42.92 5.49 -10.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.72 11.87R 0.86 Burnley 21 24 -10 1.04 57.46 -0.29 41.71 5.36 -19.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.40 17.77R 1.53 West_Ham 20 22 -7 -2.71 34.19 -2.22 42.22 5.65 -15.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.65 15.76R 1.49 Aston_Villa 21 21 -10 -0.92 45.58 3.03 37.32 5.43 -22.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 46.87R 6.99 Bournemouth 21 20 -12 -2.91 33.22 -1.64 38.92 5.47 -20.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 34.40R 4.90 Watford 21 19 -17 -3.16 31.24 -5.40 36.21 5.37 -27.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 56.07R 11.90 Norwich 21 14 -19 -5.09 21.07 -0.88 28.54 5.22 -36.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.23R 70.93Championship (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 2 January 2020, Derby 2 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 26 52 +22 7.29 83.35 8.51 87.54 6.29 34.31 42.18 80.08 99.18 86.06P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 26 52 +20 5.35 75.62 2.93 88.35 6.36 34.14 49.20 82.82 99.36 88.06P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 26 43 +21 -1.10 43.91 8.26 77.69 6.40 31.91 5.08 18.94 83.83 41.11P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 25 43 +9 6.38 80.46 5.48 73.96 6.58 12.30 1.63 6.89 62.51 19.07P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 26 42 +10 0.90 54.39 1.71 71.99 6.61 13.76 0.85 4.42 51.95 16.73P 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 26 41 +2 3.04 65.59 -1.34 69.44 6.42 3.69 0.24 1.55 34.09 8.69P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 26 40 +2 5.99 79.41 4.23 66.12 6.31 0.19 0.10 0.49 17.82 3.64P 0.09R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 26 39 +11 -0.19 49.45 5.58 69.05 6.41 14.82 0.26 1.54 35.14 9.90P 0.03R 0.00 Hull 26 39 +6 1.40 57.45 3.29 67.99 6.47 8.18 0.18 1.10 28.02 6.75P 0.07R 0.00 Preston 26 39 +4 1.71 59.15 1.49 67.73 6.44 5.77 0.11 0.88 26.23 6.33P 0.07R 0.00 Bristol_City 26 38 -1 1.59 58.44 -1.87 65.77 6.49 -0.57 0.05 0.43 17.16 3.84P 0.17R 0.00 Cardiff 26 37 -2 0.05 50.53 -3.89 65.86 6.58 0.02 0.07 0.50 17.46 4.20P 0.19R 0.01 Blackburn 26 36 +0 0.87 55.21 1.05 62.50 6.43 -1.46 0.02 0.11 7.91 1.60P 0.66R 0.03 Reading 25 35 +5 2.52 64.07 7.61 62.51 6.49 3.23 0.02 0.15 8.48 1.65P 0.71R 0.02 QPR 26 35 -4 3.05 65.90 2.78 59.01 6.35 -10.16 0.01 0.04 2.57 0.43P 2.83R 0.17 Middlesbrough 26 33 -6 -3.15 33.96 -7.15 61.23 6.25 -4.36 0.00 0.04 4.59 1.16P 1.07R 0.06 Derby 26 33 -8 -3.65 31.67 -9.60 59.48 6.38 -9.31 0.00 0.03 3.08 0.69P 2.32R 0.16 Birmingham 26 29 -12 -1.62 42.24 -4.16 52.53 6.27 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 17.86R 2.51 Charlton 26 28 -3 -4.15 29.97 2.30 52.95 6.37 -6.82 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 15.24R 2.13 Huddersfield 26 28 -12 -2.03 40.19 -3.51 50.34 6.23 -19.63 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 28.66R 5.05 Stoke 26 24 -9 -8.83 11.74 -4.90 49.32 6.30 -12.19 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 31.89R 6.56 Wigan 26 23 -15 -6.58 18.42 -6.27 46.32 6.16 -21.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.16R 14.94 Barnsley 26 21 -16 -8.18 13.85 -5.30 44.15 6.33 -23.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.05R 25.85 Luton 26 21 -24 -5.12 25.12 -7.25 42.07 6.25 -35.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.93R 42.51League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 January 2020, Doncaster 2 0 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wycombe 24 44 +10 10.40 92.77 8.77 72.12 6.36 11.14 9.31 19.50 58.61 26.22P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 24 41 +17 -0.22 48.42 3.95 75.52 6.51 28.17 25.37 42.14 79.40 52.98P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 23 40 +9 5.93 80.44 5.09 69.92 6.56 10.88 5.77 13.07 45.76 19.69P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 23 39 +19 2.09 61.53 10.82 73.74 6.59 28.32 17.59 32.28 71.25 42.12P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 23 38 +11 0.81 54.45 2.63 72.96 6.61 20.48 13.77 26.40 65.64 37.41P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 24 36 +10 -1.91 39.52 2.22 68.83 6.37 18.66 4.30 10.10 42.33 18.40P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 22 36 +8 1.48 58.44 1.41 68.46 6.78 11.62 4.32 9.80 38.55 16.52P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 36 +0 4.04 71.98 -0.91 63.19 6.52 -2.44 0.72 1.93 13.05 3.97P 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 23 35 +7 -4.90 23.94 -5.93 70.19 6.56 16.53 6.50 14.53 49.41 25.82P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 23 35 +6 -2.59 35.64 -3.53 68.69 6.57 13.36 4.14 10.05 39.83 18.22P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 22 34 +11 -1.86 39.48 2.52 69.80 6.68 19.97 6.16 13.94 48.09 23.26P 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 24 34 +4 -0.26 48.74 1.93 62.96 6.28 6.61 0.44 1.48 12.20 3.94P 0.04R 0.00 Gillingham 24 33 +4 0.04 50.90 3.67 60.49 6.36 4.07 0.18 0.60 6.61 1.77P 0.11R 0.00 Burton_Albion 23 33 +2 -1.10 44.20 -1.95 64.64 6.63 6.27 1.19 3.32 19.21 7.05P 0.02R 0.00 Shrewsbury 23 32 -4 1.84 61.10 -2.51 60.44 6.36 -4.21 0.15 0.55 5.76 1.58P 0.14R 0.00 Lincoln_City 24 30 -2 0.77 55.20 3.43 58.06 6.47 -0.95 0.08 0.24 3.04 0.78P 0.41R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 24 29 +1 -1.73 41.06 4.47 55.20 6.30 -0.95 0.01 0.06 1.19 0.25P 0.91R 0.00 Rochdale 24 25 -14 -0.69 47.13 -1.93 47.51 6.11 -22.27 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 12.76R 0.09 AFC_Wimbledon 24 24 -7 -4.27 27.56 -0.10 46.61 6.09 -14.17 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 14.32R 0.10 MK_Dons 24 24 -10 -4.06 29.15 -2.60 45.84 6.16 -18.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 18.48R 0.14 Tranmere 23 21 -16 -1.34 43.18 -0.36 40.56 6.21 -31.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.42R 1.64 Southend 24 9 -38 -12.79 1.90 -17.88 27.19 5.82 -55.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.86R 52.32 Bolton 21 7 -28 -0.76 46.36 -13.21 27.62 6.43 -45.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.50R 45.71 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 January 2020, Cheltenham 3 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 26 50 +18 7.75 84.66 8.24 83.58 6.42 27.15 36.23 73.04 97.20 79.00P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 25 47 +8 8.35 86.86 1.59 80.03 6.58 14.26 16.41 49.11 90.91 58.92P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 24 44 +17 5.90 78.60 9.21 78.03 6.81 22.67 12.31 40.56 85.84 50.98P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 25 44 +12 1.96 60.22 0.82 78.24 6.63 19.93 11.49 40.56 86.47 53.88P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 25 41 +18 3.10 66.03 12.68 73.49 6.55 23.49 3.55 18.22 67.93 30.07P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 24 41 +11 1.17 55.96 0.56 79.37 6.87 23.09 15.56 48.51 89.22 60.42P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 26 41 +8 2.13 61.54 3.05 70.81 6.27 11.61 1.02 7.94 48.98 17.64P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 25 40 +12 -0.09 49.42 3.50 72.45 6.58 17.40 2.51 14.52 60.54 26.95P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 25 39 +6 1.72 59.23 1.59 69.57 6.59 8.67 0.84 6.29 41.15 14.14P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 25 35 +1 3.06 66.99 3.95 61.33 6.38 -2.16 0.02 0.30 6.85 1.46P 0.03R 0.03 Walsall 26 33 -8 -3.20 33.98 -8.97 60.18 6.39 -7.94 0.01 0.17 4.73 1.18P 0.05R 0.05 Salford_City 26 32 -4 3.05 66.59 6.24 54.34 6.26 -11.68 0.00 0.01 0.71 0.11P 0.85R 0.85 Cambridge_Utd 26 31 -1 -0.80 46.21 4.10 55.60 6.21 -4.64 0.00 0.02 1.05 0.18P 0.43R 0.43 Scunthorpe 26 31 -2 -8.23 14.63 -7.25 61.61 6.52 2.73 0.02 0.35 8.33 2.60P 0.07R 0.07 Newport_County 23 30 +0 -0.66 46.88 0.68 60.38 6.80 -1.16 0.03 0.34 6.35 1.61P 0.10R 0.10 Crawley_Town 26 29 -3 -2.67 36.74 2.74 54.12 6.28 -6.55 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.10P 0.91R 0.91 Macclesfield 24 29 -3 2.12 62.98 5.05 52.56 6.32 -12.30 0.00 0.01 0.37 0.05P 1.80R 1.80 Grimsby 24 29 -4 -0.05 50.52 0.72 54.47 6.41 -10.18 0.00 0.01 0.79 0.13P 0.88R 0.88 Mansfield 26 27 -5 -12.02 5.32 -10.00 56.25 6.36 -2.30 0.00 0.02 1.41 0.43P 0.42R 0.42 Leyton_Orient 25 26 -10 -1.05 45.44 1.13 49.41 6.42 -18.54 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.02P 5.45R 5.45 Oldham 25 26 -15 -5.96 20.97 -11.56 52.52 6.47 -18.31 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.08P 2.14R 2.14 Carlisle 25 25 -17 -4.93 25.17 -10.42 51.18 6.48 -20.80 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 3.60R 3.60 Stevenage 25 18 -15 -11.53 4.44 -8.95 44.00 6.32 -18.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.29R 20.29 Morecambe 25 18 -24 -6.13 18.44 -8.68 38.69 6.09 -36.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.99R 62.99National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 January 2020, Hartlepool 2 1 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 28 55 +27 7.49 82.53 13.34 83.96 6.08 33.52 49.81 95.04 60.72P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 30 52 +18 -1.60 41.84 -0.94 80.69 5.62 28.32 23.90 89.35 44.96P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 30 52 +10 4.88 71.87 1.08 75.82 5.70 12.70 5.95 61.77 17.22P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 30 50 +13 4.10 68.47 5.93 75.01 5.73 17.61 4.70 58.37 15.43P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 29 46 +15 -5.22 26.21 -2.28 76.45 5.86 25.88 8.37 70.24 28.44P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 28 45 +14 -0.10 49.43 4.04 75.38 6.01 22.38 6.02 61.74 20.67P 0.00R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 45 +11 2.68 62.96 7.28 69.84 5.80 13.31 0.72 24.19 5.39P 0.01R 0.00 Stockport 30 45 -2 7.80 82.48 4.70 63.81 5.66 -7.15 0.04 4.04 0.57P 0.43R 0.00 Woking 29 44 -2 8.07 83.30 4.22 64.10 5.84 -7.17 0.06 4.71 0.71P 0.52R 0.00 Halifax 29 43 -3 6.45 79.52 1.43 65.78 5.75 -3.62 0.09 7.29 1.17P 0.19R 0.00 Barnet 28 40 +6 -2.04 40.21 0.54 66.28 6.02 8.29 0.21 10.89 2.47P 0.18R 0.00 Sutton_United 30 39 +3 -2.54 38.16 2.54 62.12 5.67 4.70 0.01 2.34 0.44P 0.88R 0.00 Hartlepool 29 39 +1 -0.19 49.55 2.21 61.89 5.75 0.17 0.02 2.28 0.39P 1.23R 0.02 Dover_Athletic 27 39 -2 1.64 58.89 -2.37 63.59 6.24 -4.29 0.09 4.98 0.98P 0.93R 0.01 Torquay 30 38 -6 2.45 61.84 4.27 56.83 5.68 -11.52 0.00 0.32 0.06P 8.65R 0.22 Eastleigh 28 37 -4 0.56 53.31 -0.58 60.58 6.04 -5.92 0.02 1.60 0.26P 2.76R 0.05 Aldershot 29 37 -6 2.67 64.08 1.92 57.70 5.70 -9.82 0.00 0.44 0.06P 6.59R 0.11 Maidenhead 30 35 -8 0.86 55.47 2.90 54.36 5.52 -12.06 0.00 0.06 0.00P 16.59R 0.57 Dag_&_Red 30 33 -7 -6.34 22.06 -4.40 52.63 5.47 -10.30 0.00 0.03 0.00 23.92R 0.87 Wrexham 30 32 -6 -10.26 10.26 -7.82 53.55 5.52 -6.48 0.00 0.04 0.01P 18.06R 0.59 AFC_Fylde 28 30 -11 -9.25 12.12 -12.08 56.34 6.13 -8.65 0.00 0.28 0.05P 11.44R 0.50 Chesterfield 30 30 -14 -8.80 14.22 -10.05 50.70 5.59 -16.20 0.00 0.01 0.00 38.93R 2.79 Ebbsfleet_United 29 25 -20 -10.27 9.80 -12.35 46.22 5.81 -23.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.52R 11.95 Chorley 30 24 -27 -2.10 40.90 -3.53 37.73 5.09 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.17R 82.33