Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 4 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 2 January 2020, Liverpool 2 0 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 20 58 +35 12.70 99.58 4.63 99.13 5.06 63.44 98.41 99.97 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 21 45 +27 9.28 92.73 16.56 75.50 5.72 38.06 0.08 15.14 88.48 97.72 99.89 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 44 +32 -4.59 20.18 -3.25 83.02 4.85 60.56 1.51 84.43 99.32 99.95 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 21 36 +7 -0.12 48.91 -3.97 64.51 5.71 14.78 0.00 0.39 8.51 54.37 89.50 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 31 +7 -4.00 27.16 -2.01 59.39 5.61 14.61 0.00 0.02 1.61 19.20 68.06 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 30 +6 -7.26 12.88 -6.85 59.49 5.74 15.46 0.00 0.04 1.75 20.38 68.39 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 21 30 +3 2.16 63.52 5.27 53.57 5.71 3.24 0.00 0.00 0.14 3.41 25.05 0.11R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 21 29 +2 3.89 73.14 8.12 50.23 5.71 -1.12 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.14 11.11 0.66R 0.02 Crystal_Palace 21 28 -4 1.49 59.78 -0.43 48.54 5.52 -8.62 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.45 5.80 1.48R 0.04 Arsenal 21 27 -2 -5.55 20.12 -7.18 53.14 5.75 1.81 0.00 0.00 0.11 2.82 22.70 0.24R 0.01 Everton 21 25 -8 -2.01 38.30 -4.23 47.95 5.75 -8.84 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.45 5.28 2.54R 0.09 Southampton 21 25 -13 3.02 69.38 -1.01 43.67 5.47 -21.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.80 11.37R 0.81 Newcastle 21 25 -13 1.61 61.28 -4.42 44.75 5.50 -18.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.48 7.87R 0.46 Brighton 21 24 -4 1.43 60.01 6.20 42.94 5.46 -10.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.68 11.58R 0.86 Burnley 21 24 -10 1.05 57.49 -0.24 41.71 5.36 -19.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.37 18.05R 1.55 West_Ham 20 22 -7 -2.80 33.95 -2.34 42.23 5.63 -15.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.69 15.69R 1.48 Aston_Villa 21 21 -10 -0.81 46.33 3.19 37.28 5.43 -22.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 46.69R 7.08 Bournemouth 21 20 -12 -3.02 32.49 -1.83 38.94 5.48 -20.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 34.09R 4.73 Watford 21 19 -17 -3.12 31.62 -5.34 36.16 5.33 -27.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 56.28R 11.92 Norwich 21 14 -19 -5.09 20.97 -0.87 28.51 5.19 -36.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.33R 70.95Championship (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 2 January 2020, Derby 2 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 26 52 +22 7.30 83.18 8.57 87.40 6.27 34.07 41.61 79.69 99.10 85.77P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 26 52 +20 5.45 76.03 3.08 88.36 6.32 34.15 49.70 83.18 99.34 88.45P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 26 43 +21 -1.17 43.62 8.16 77.74 6.37 32.00 5.27 18.84 84.27 40.96P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 25 43 +9 6.27 80.13 5.30 74.09 6.60 12.48 1.49 7.20 63.13 19.46P 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 26 42 +10 0.76 53.47 1.49 72.05 6.56 13.85 0.88 4.46 52.48 16.97P 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 26 41 +2 3.01 65.58 -1.36 69.50 6.31 3.76 0.26 1.44 34.35 8.79P 0.02R 0.00 Millwall 26 40 +2 6.07 79.42 4.33 66.09 6.32 0.12 0.06 0.47 17.52 3.41P 0.11R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 26 39 +11 0.18 51.09 6.14 68.77 6.38 14.44 0.22 1.43 33.61 9.22P 0.04R 0.00 Hull 26 39 +6 1.31 56.93 3.15 67.96 6.46 8.16 0.18 0.99 27.93 6.69P 0.06R 0.00 Preston 26 39 +4 1.61 58.63 1.38 67.71 6.45 5.78 0.12 0.94 26.41 6.47P 0.07R 0.00 Bristol_City 26 38 -1 1.66 59.03 -1.78 65.74 6.46 -0.58 0.07 0.45 17.00 3.74P 0.18R 0.00 Cardiff 26 37 -2 0.14 51.03 -3.73 65.78 6.62 -0.10 0.10 0.53 17.65 4.36P 0.27R 0.01 Blackburn 26 36 +0 0.77 54.36 0.90 62.58 6.45 -1.33 0.02 0.13 8.02 1.69P 0.62R 0.03 Reading 25 35 +5 2.65 64.70 7.83 62.38 6.52 3.02 0.03 0.17 8.19 1.68P 0.81R 0.03 QPR 26 35 -4 3.13 66.24 2.86 58.88 6.35 -10.34 0.00 0.03 2.38 0.37P 3.10R 0.22 Middlesbrough 26 33 -6 -3.28 33.51 -7.28 61.33 6.25 -4.24 0.00 0.04 4.96 1.24P 1.04R 0.04 Derby 26 33 -8 -3.76 31.27 -9.76 59.58 6.33 -9.12 0.00 0.02 3.05 0.63P 2.11R 0.09 Birmingham 26 29 -12 -1.58 42.60 -4.02 52.53 6.30 -18.17 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.02P 18.42R 2.61 Charlton 26 28 -3 -4.06 30.21 2.46 52.88 6.31 -6.92 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 15.13R 2.15 Huddersfield 26 28 -12 -2.07 40.10 -3.61 50.39 6.25 -19.60 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 28.58R 5.28 Stoke 26 24 -9 -8.96 11.37 -5.12 49.44 6.33 -12.03 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 31.44R 6.50 Wigan 26 23 -15 -6.62 18.10 -6.30 46.38 6.14 -21.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 53.11R 14.82 Barnsley 26 21 -16 -8.31 13.32 -5.55 44.29 6.37 -23.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 65.74R 25.16 Luton 26 21 -24 -5.01 25.79 -7.14 42.05 6.22 -35.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.14R 43.06League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 January 2020, Sunderland 3 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wycombe 24 44 +10 10.29 92.54 8.64 72.19 6.33 11.25 9.36 20.02 59.51 26.84P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 24 41 +17 -0.07 49.02 4.13 75.53 6.49 28.12 25.45 42.39 79.79 53.15P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 23 40 +9 5.92 80.36 5.08 69.87 6.60 10.79 5.95 13.31 45.89 20.02P 0.00R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 23 39 +19 2.10 61.91 10.91 73.71 6.55 28.27 17.41 32.15 71.65 42.15P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 23 38 +11 0.85 54.58 2.69 72.94 6.62 20.41 14.12 26.79 65.60 37.64P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 24 36 +10 -1.97 39.38 2.07 68.84 6.44 18.66 4.62 10.76 42.72 19.11P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 22 36 +8 1.55 59.10 1.54 68.49 6.80 11.63 4.54 10.40 39.05 17.16P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 36 +0 4.08 72.37 -0.77 63.15 6.47 -2.49 0.64 1.81 13.10 3.87P 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 23 35 +7 -4.94 23.64 -6.00 70.24 6.57 16.68 6.71 14.84 50.07 26.03P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 23 35 +6 -2.68 35.25 -3.68 68.79 6.67 13.54 4.54 10.74 41.31 19.35P 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 24 34 +4 -0.21 49.17 2.02 62.91 6.27 6.52 0.44 1.42 12.34 3.91P 0.03R 0.00 Gillingham 24 33 +4 0.03 50.41 3.68 60.50 6.35 4.13 0.20 0.63 6.56 1.85P 0.13R 0.00 Burton_Albion 23 33 +2 -1.04 44.16 -1.90 64.59 6.64 6.18 1.20 3.20 19.23 7.03P 0.01R 0.00 Shrewsbury 22 32 -2 2.35 64.14 -1.72 61.74 6.56 -2.34 0.36 1.11 9.32 2.63P 0.10R 0.00 Doncaster 21 31 +9 -2.62 35.01 1.78 68.20 6.94 17.95 4.39 10.12 39.33 18.14P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 24 30 -2 0.85 55.62 3.54 57.94 6.49 -1.10 0.05 0.22 3.21 0.77P 0.47R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 24 29 +1 -1.75 40.97 4.41 55.18 6.29 -0.95 0.02 0.07 1.24 0.32P 0.98R 0.00 Rochdale 24 25 -14 -0.71 47.00 -1.96 47.48 6.13 -22.32 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 13.02R 0.11 AFC_Wimbledon 24 24 -7 -4.26 27.46 -0.10 46.60 6.09 -14.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 14.53R 0.09 MK_Dons 24 24 -10 -4.15 28.60 -2.71 45.85 6.17 -18.76 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 18.33R 0.16 Tranmere 23 21 -16 -1.37 43.10 -0.44 40.59 6.22 -31.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 56.14R 1.54 Southend 24 9 -38 -12.73 1.88 -17.85 27.12 5.80 -55.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.90R 53.45 Bolton 21 7 -28 -0.86 45.95 -13.34 27.80 6.45 -45.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.31R 44.64 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 January 2020, Cheltenham 3 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Swindon 26 50 +18 7.56 84.16 7.95 83.68 6.41 27.35 36.49 73.87 97.47 79.93P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 25 47 +8 8.38 87.51 1.64 79.99 6.48 14.13 15.95 48.94 91.01 58.93P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 24 44 +17 5.92 78.80 9.24 77.99 6.82 22.62 12.15 40.30 85.68 50.92P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 25 44 +12 1.77 59.28 0.57 78.34 6.59 20.03 11.47 40.98 86.74 54.53P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 25 41 +18 3.30 67.25 12.91 73.34 6.50 23.24 3.27 17.37 67.34 28.84P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 24 41 +11 1.19 56.27 0.59 79.35 6.92 23.04 16.18 48.28 89.20 60.25P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 26 41 +8 2.24 61.94 3.26 70.69 6.25 11.48 1.05 7.71 48.06 17.21P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 25 40 +12 -0.16 49.07 3.40 72.52 6.62 17.54 2.53 14.81 61.39 27.27P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 25 39 +6 1.82 59.66 1.73 69.53 6.61 8.60 0.85 6.43 41.10 14.10P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 25 35 +1 2.94 66.26 3.74 61.43 6.38 -2.03 0.02 0.36 7.12 1.56P 0.02R 0.02 Walsall 26 33 -8 -3.03 34.66 -8.76 60.16 6.37 -8.01 0.01 0.14 4.63 1.13P 0.08R 0.08 Salford_City 26 32 -4 3.10 66.80 6.26 54.28 6.21 -11.76 0.00 0.01 0.65 0.10P 0.84R 0.84 Cambridge_Utd 26 31 -1 -1.05 45.00 3.77 55.77 6.19 -4.39 0.00 0.02 1.12 0.23P 0.37R 0.37 Scunthorpe 26 31 -2 -8.36 14.06 -7.46 61.69 6.51 2.82 0.01 0.40 8.33 2.64P 0.04R 0.04 Newport_County 23 30 +0 -0.71 46.43 0.62 60.42 6.75 -1.06 0.01 0.31 6.30 1.52P 0.11R 0.11 Crawley_Town 26 29 -3 -2.54 37.13 2.93 54.02 6.28 -6.77 0.00 0.01 0.51 0.08P 0.99R 0.99 Macclesfield 24 29 -3 2.14 63.05 5.12 52.48 6.36 -12.40 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.03P 1.67R 1.67 Grimsby 24 29 -4 -0.05 50.44 0.76 54.34 6.39 -10.33 0.00 0.02 0.78 0.15P 0.93R 0.93 Mansfield 26 27 -5 -11.79 5.56 -9.70 56.26 6.40 -2.28 0.00 0.04 1.51 0.43P 0.49R 0.49 Leyton_Orient 25 26 -10 -1.20 44.45 0.85 49.53 6.43 -18.31 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 5.33R 5.33 Oldham 25 26 -15 -6.04 20.56 -11.63 52.64 6.52 -18.14 0.00 0.01 0.37 0.10P 2.10R 2.10 Carlisle 25 25 -17 -4.98 25.07 -10.47 51.18 6.51 -20.78 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 3.50R 3.50 Stevenage 25 18 -15 -11.45 4.58 -8.81 43.89 6.40 -18.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.75R 20.75 Morecambe 25 18 -24 -6.03 18.94 -8.49 38.68 6.11 -36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 62.78R 62.78National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 January 2020, Barnet 1 1 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barrow 28 55 +27 7.52 82.69 13.38 83.99 6.08 33.54 49.96 95.06 60.92P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 30 52 +18 -1.32 43.03 -0.51 80.67 5.63 28.26 23.62 88.97 44.34P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 30 52 +10 5.01 72.49 1.33 75.70 5.70 12.52 5.63 60.92 16.70P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 30 50 +13 4.06 68.40 5.89 75.06 5.69 17.68 4.64 58.55 15.34P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 29 46 +15 -5.37 25.61 -2.56 76.53 5.87 26.03 8.75 70.41 29.25P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 28 45 +14 -0.24 48.88 3.86 75.34 6.02 22.38 6.11 61.78 20.63P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 45 +11 2.65 63.11 7.21 69.83 5.82 13.29 0.77 24.43 5.35P 0.01R 0.00 Stockport 30 45 -2 7.92 82.45 4.92 63.76 5.73 -7.24 0.05 4.14 0.61P 0.45R 0.00 Woking 29 44 -2 8.41 84.29 4.81 63.90 5.79 -7.51 0.04 4.38 0.62P 0.57R 0.00 Halifax 29 43 -3 6.28 78.71 1.23 65.83 5.80 -3.59 0.09 7.61 1.20P 0.18R 0.00 Barnet 28 40 +6 -2.00 40.31 0.57 66.27 6.05 8.28 0.21 11.04 2.65P 0.15R 0.00 Sutton_United 30 39 +3 -2.33 39.35 2.81 61.99 5.63 4.56 0.01 2.14 0.43P 0.94R 0.02 Dover_Athletic 27 39 -2 1.49 58.16 -2.57 63.65 6.23 -4.20 0.08 4.99 0.99P 0.98R 0.01 Torquay 30 38 -6 2.22 60.94 3.87 56.90 5.70 -11.40 0.00 0.26 0.03P 8.49R 0.23 Eastleigh 27 37 -3 1.54 58.51 -0.24 61.97 6.22 -4.90 0.04 3.00 0.54P 1.93R 0.03 Aldershot 29 37 -6 2.66 63.87 1.84 57.75 5.66 -9.71 0.00 0.36 0.07P 6.35R 0.11 Hartlepool 28 36 +0 -1.67 42.28 1.49 60.37 6.01 -0.65 0.00 1.53 0.23P 2.67R 0.05 Maidenhead 30 35 -8 1.01 55.93 3.11 54.28 5.52 -12.19 0.00 0.05 0.01P 16.86R 0.61 Dag_&_Red 30 33 -7 -6.18 22.82 -4.17 52.54 5.45 -10.42 0.00 0.02 0.00P 24.54R 0.82 Wrexham 30 32 -6 -10.30 10.25 -7.84 53.65 5.55 -6.36 0.00 0.03 0.00P 17.77R 0.61 AFC_Fylde 28 30 -11 -9.38 11.99 -12.28 56.39 6.12 -8.56 0.00 0.33 0.08P 10.95R 0.44 Chesterfield 30 30 -14 -8.87 14.22 -10.11 50.72 5.59 -16.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.53R 2.82 Ebbsfleet_United 29 25 -20 -10.23 10.00 -12.31 46.24 5.78 -23.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.58R 12.12 Chorley 30 24 -27 -2.22 39.99 -3.73 37.76 5.09 -39.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.04R 82.15