Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 2 January 2020 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 2 January 2020, Liverpool 2 0 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        20   58  +35      12.81    99.66     4.85    99.00     5.10    63.17    98.29    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        21   45  +27       9.18    92.48    16.41    75.47     5.73    38.01     0.07    15.23    88.20    97.46    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         21   44  +32      -4.58    20.10    -3.18    82.98     4.86    60.60     1.63    84.29    99.28    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          21   36   +7      -0.31    47.54    -4.26    64.67     5.71    15.08     0.00     0.43     8.57    55.30    89.94     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          21   31   +7      -4.07    26.59    -2.12    59.42     5.60    14.65     0.00     0.04     1.65    18.93    68.29     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        21   30   +6      -7.24    12.90    -6.81    59.53     5.74    15.49     0.00     0.04     1.92    20.17    68.81     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   30   +3       2.17    63.75     5.28    53.58     5.76     3.24     0.00     0.00     0.19     3.53    25.20     0.14R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        21   29   +2       3.98    73.48     8.24    50.15     5.67    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.98    10.58     0.73R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   21   28   -4       1.52    59.92    -0.41    48.57     5.46    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38     5.79     1.45R    0.02  
Arsenal          21   27   -2      -5.50    20.39    -7.15    53.10     5.74     1.72     0.00     0.00     0.13     2.75    22.33     0.27R    0.01  
Everton          21   25   -8      -2.01    38.27    -4.24    47.95     5.71    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38     5.09     2.42R    0.08  
Southampton      21   25  -13       3.01    69.12    -0.98    43.76     5.49   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.92    10.81R    0.80  
Newcastle        21   25  -13       1.56    60.76    -4.41    44.73     5.46   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.22     7.77R    0.48  
Brighton         21   24   -4       1.48    60.23     6.25    42.86     5.48   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.72    12.09R    0.87  
Burnley          21   24  -10       1.18    58.36    -0.10    41.62     5.39   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40    18.33R    1.56  
West_Ham         20   22   -7      -2.82    33.67    -2.39    42.28     5.64   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.64    15.60R    1.49  
Aston_Villa      21   21  -10      -0.89    45.79     3.09    37.30     5.43   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    46.98R    6.76  
Bournemouth      21   20  -12      -2.99    32.48    -1.84    39.03     5.48   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    33.35R    4.57  
Watford          21   19  -17      -3.15    31.37    -5.37    36.18     5.36   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    56.62R   11.88  
Norwich          21   14  -19      -5.07    21.09    -0.87    28.47     5.17   -36.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.45R   71.46  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 2 January 2020, Derby 2 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    26   52  +22       7.27    83.23     8.55    87.43     6.29    34.17    42.01    79.97    99.16    85.87P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       26   52  +20       5.48    76.15     3.12    88.31     6.35    34.10    49.21    82.96    99.33    88.24P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       26   43  +21      -0.99    44.60     8.41    77.63     6.34    31.83     5.04    18.37    83.98    40.37P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   25   43   +9       6.33    80.10     5.40    73.98     6.57    12.32     1.64     7.19    62.40    19.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          26   42  +10       0.77    53.87     1.54    72.08     6.55    13.88     1.00     4.52    52.73    17.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         26   41   +2       3.13    66.08    -1.27    69.48     6.38     3.74     0.27     1.54    34.35     8.69P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall        26   40   +2       5.94    78.93     4.20    66.10     6.32     0.14     0.07     0.50    17.58     3.52P    0.11R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       26   39  +11      -0.02    50.28     5.84    68.89     6.42    14.58     0.27     1.64    34.27     9.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull            26   39   +6       1.38    57.10     3.21    67.99     6.48     8.19     0.20     1.15    28.36     7.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston         26   39   +4       1.83    59.59     1.75    67.62     6.45     5.61     0.11     0.81    25.73     6.30P    0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City    26   38   -1       1.68    59.08    -1.74    65.72     6.43    -0.63     0.05     0.45    16.81     3.68P    0.18R    0.00  
Cardiff         26   37   -2       0.01    50.24    -3.89    65.90     6.62     0.11     0.08     0.54    18.28     4.51P    0.22R    0.01  
Blackburn       26   36   +0       0.95    55.42     1.18    62.40     6.38    -1.56     0.01     0.13     7.56     1.64P    0.68R    0.04  
Reading         25   35   +5       2.51    63.80     7.58    62.52     6.51     3.22     0.02     0.17     8.63     1.81P    0.78R    0.04  
QPR             26   35   -4       3.22    67.04     2.99    58.84     6.33   -10.40     0.00     0.01     2.40     0.37P    3.20R    0.20  
Middlesbrough   26   33   -6      -3.13    33.81    -7.12    61.27     6.23    -4.37     0.01     0.03     4.78     1.12P    1.12R    0.06  
Derby           26   33   -8      -3.61    31.90    -9.54    59.46     6.36    -9.33     0.00     0.01     2.97     0.70P    2.28R    0.14  
Birmingham      26   29  -12      -1.59    42.49    -4.08    52.48     6.27   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   18.37R    2.57  
Charlton        26   28   -3      -4.29    29.45     2.13    53.07     6.41    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   14.86R    2.21  
Huddersfield    26   28  -12      -2.00    40.36    -3.51    50.35     6.25   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   28.97R    5.37  
Stoke           26   24   -9      -9.09    10.79    -5.26    49.50     6.33   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   31.33R    6.42  
Wigan           26   23  -15      -6.66    18.10    -6.38    46.35     6.15   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.52R   14.96  
Barnsley        26   21  -16      -8.33    13.45    -5.65    44.25     6.37   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.84R   25.53  
Luton           26   21  -24      -5.18    24.75    -7.47    42.20     6.25   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.39R   42.45  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2020, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              24   44  +10      10.48    92.92     8.91    72.08     6.35    11.04     9.51    20.04    59.32    26.95P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   41  +17      -0.31    48.07     3.73    75.72     6.52    28.44    27.05    44.32    80.93    54.89P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             23   40   +9       5.89    80.21     5.04    69.94     6.55    10.92     5.90    13.26    46.65    20.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           23   39  +19       2.21    62.18    11.04    73.64     6.57    28.14    17.35    32.08    71.69    42.35P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              23   38  +11       0.86    54.60     2.67    72.94     6.59    20.42    13.95    27.06    66.39    37.98P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   36  +10      -1.98    39.17     2.05    68.91     6.44    18.78     4.85    11.33    43.70    19.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   36   +8       1.61    59.20     1.68    68.39     6.81    11.54     4.44    10.31    39.01    17.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       23   36   +0       4.13    72.46    -0.76    63.20     6.48    -2.41     0.64     1.89    13.27     3.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth           23   35   +6      -2.63    35.27    -3.59    68.74     6.62    13.45     4.45    10.49    41.39    18.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            24   34   +4      -0.25    48.96     1.95    62.93     6.30     6.56     0.48     1.61    12.85     4.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham           24   33   +4      -0.02    50.49     3.63    60.60     6.32     4.22     0.19     0.67     7.00     1.93P    0.09R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        23   33   +2      -1.14    43.64    -2.04    64.59     6.65     6.21     1.16     3.35    19.83     7.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland           22   32   +5      -5.59    20.22    -6.49    68.79     6.76    14.90     4.85    11.26    42.27    20.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   32   -2       2.42    64.50    -1.66    61.63     6.57    -2.44     0.36     1.14     9.33     2.82P    0.09R    0.00  
Doncaster            21   31   +9      -2.62    35.24     1.76    68.23     6.95    17.97     4.63    10.65    39.92    18.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         23   30   +0       1.18    57.42     3.91    59.16     6.66     0.66     0.15     0.48     5.22     1.47P    0.31R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   29   +1      -1.78    40.75     4.40    55.16     6.28    -0.96     0.02     0.07     1.16     0.25P    1.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             24   25  -14      -0.76    46.76    -2.04    47.56     6.11   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.73R    0.09  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   24   -7      -4.20    28.04    -0.07    46.59     6.09   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.41R    0.08  
MK_Dons              24   24  -10      -4.22    28.31    -2.90    45.94     6.17   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.41R    0.11  
Tranmere             23   21  -16      -1.27    43.91    -0.27    40.52     6.20   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.57R    1.44  
Southend             24    9  -38     -12.69     1.93   -17.76    27.06     5.85   -55.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.86R   53.17  
Bolton               21    7  -28      -0.78    46.27   -13.20    27.65     6.47   -45.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.40R   45.11  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2020, Bradford 1 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          25   49  +18       8.09    85.97     8.20    84.06     6.62    27.35    40.22    75.77    97.38    81.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           25   47   +8       8.25    86.58     1.46    80.14     6.56    14.38    16.72    51.42    91.25    60.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            24   44  +17       5.81    78.38     9.07    78.12     6.83    22.84    12.30    42.10    85.99    51.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         24   43  +12       2.33    62.31     0.78    78.40     6.83    19.62    12.70    43.06    86.34    55.45P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     25   40   +8       2.51    63.46     3.15    71.32     6.48    11.84     1.45    10.22    52.39    20.32P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       24   39  +12       0.36    52.01     3.61    73.14     6.78    17.87     3.46    18.04    64.68    30.59P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      25   39   +6       1.60    58.63     1.43    69.70     6.62     8.85     0.87     7.19    42.32    15.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       24   38  +15       2.74    64.86    11.48    71.43     6.76    19.84     2.05    12.48    55.62    22.27P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         23   38   +9       0.14    50.56    -0.51    77.22     7.14    20.27    10.09    37.27    82.01    50.55P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        25   35   +1       3.03    66.82     3.90    61.36     6.39    -2.09     0.01     0.40     7.21     1.70P    0.02R    0.02  
Salford_City     25   32   -3       4.22    72.56     6.88    55.57     6.45   -10.82     0.01     0.05     1.36     0.25P    0.57R    0.57  
Scunthorpe       25   31   +0      -7.58    15.99    -6.40    63.57     6.73     5.58     0.09     1.24    14.81     5.14P    0.02R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd    25   31   +0       0.24    52.04     4.69    57.30     6.40    -3.21     0.00     0.07     2.29     0.47P    0.24R    0.24  
Newport_County   23   30   +0      -0.77    46.03     0.56    60.53     6.81    -0.95     0.02     0.41     6.91     1.75P    0.09R    0.09  
Walsall          25   30   -9      -4.31    28.59    -9.28    58.50     6.62    -9.03     0.01     0.12     3.29     0.84P    0.23R    0.23  
Crawley_Town     25   28   -3      -2.35    38.05     2.72    54.29     6.46    -6.86     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.13P    0.89R    0.89  
Mansfield        25   27   -4     -10.58     7.37    -8.93    58.39     6.61    -0.16     0.00     0.11     3.61     1.10P    0.20R    0.20  
Macclesfield     23   26   -4       0.76    55.64     4.61    50.57     6.58   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    3.76R    3.76  
Grimsby          23   26   -5      -1.69    40.94    -0.21    51.96     6.53   -12.41     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.06P    2.34R    2.34  
Leyton_Orient    25   26  -10      -0.99    45.78     1.21    49.35     6.43   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    5.41R    5.41  
Oldham           24   26  -12      -5.81    20.89   -10.34    54.36     6.69   -14.60     0.00     0.02     0.89     0.20P    1.16R    1.16  
Carlisle         25   25  -17      -4.78    25.74   -10.22    51.04     6.49   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    3.69R    3.69  
Morecambe        25   18  -24      -6.27    17.92    -8.80    38.84     6.11   -35.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.61R   60.61  
Stevenage        24   17  -15     -11.35     4.30    -9.07    43.98     6.57   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   20.76R   20.76  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2020, AFC_Fylde 0 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             27   52  +20       8.59    86.40    10.52    81.45     6.28    25.07    33.57    89.33    46.32P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             29   51  +18      -1.04    44.35    -0.83    81.39     5.87    28.85    34.05    90.97    52.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            29   50  +14       4.99    72.47     6.14    76.11     5.90    18.16     8.58    66.62    20.38P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     29   49   +9       3.86    67.86     0.95    74.48     5.93    12.15     5.44    54.62    15.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport          29   45   +0       8.11    83.17     4.96    65.58     5.95    -4.40     0.22     8.48     1.50P    0.29R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     27   44  +14       0.06    50.02     3.73    75.42     6.27    21.97     8.81    63.52    23.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County       28   43  +14      -6.26    22.04    -2.39    75.09     6.11    25.24     7.82    63.33    26.50P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       28   42   +9       1.82    59.22     6.43    67.87     6.04    10.85     0.50    17.40     3.98P    0.08R    0.00  
Halifax            28   42   -3       6.64    80.44     1.30    65.72     5.97    -4.20     0.15     8.57     1.49P    0.34R    0.00  
Woking             28   41   -3       7.27    81.25     4.67    62.76     6.05    -7.84     0.07     3.92     0.56P    1.48R    0.03  
Barnet             27   39   +6      -1.71    41.42     0.49    67.15     6.27     9.06     0.54    15.78     4.07P    0.16R    0.00  
Sutton_United      29   39   +4      -1.37    43.76     3.26    63.59     5.92     5.88     0.07     5.26     1.16P    0.74R    0.02  
Dover_Athletic     27   39   -2       1.64    58.71    -2.31    63.77     6.20    -3.98     0.11     5.65     1.16P    0.95R    0.00  
Eastleigh          27   37   -3       1.48    58.03    -0.33    62.05     6.23    -4.74     0.05     3.47     0.61P    2.12R    0.04  
Torquay            29   37   -6       2.72    63.54     4.24    56.95     5.91   -11.96     0.01     0.44     0.07P   10.05R    0.34  
Hartlepool         28   36   +0      -1.57    42.63     1.58    60.24     6.00    -0.89     0.01     1.71     0.34P    3.03R    0.11  
Maidenhead         29   35   -7       1.77    59.81     3.18    55.21     5.75   -11.99     0.00     0.15     0.02P   15.12R    0.74  
Aldershot          28   34   -7       1.10    56.62     0.99    55.56     5.88   -11.48     0.00     0.20     0.02P   14.21R    0.70  
Wrexham            29   32   -5      -9.04    13.01    -7.03    55.56     5.72    -4.54     0.00     0.13     0.03P   11.95R    0.49  
Dag_&_Red          29   32   -7      -5.66    24.40    -3.88    53.34     5.69    -9.85     0.00     0.06     0.01P   21.97R    1.18  
AFC_Fylde          28   30  -11      -9.31    12.21   -12.20    56.39     6.12    -8.58     0.00     0.36     0.10P   11.77R    0.56  
Chesterfield       29   27  -15     -10.22    10.11   -10.65    48.82     5.82   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00P   53.33R    7.34  
Ebbsfleet_United   28   25  -13     -11.33     7.47    -9.40    48.34     6.03   -15.46     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.42R    8.81  
Chorley            29   24  -26      -1.36    44.66    -3.41    38.74     5.30   -39.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.99R   79.63