Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 31 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 December 2019, Arsenal 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        19   55  +33      12.19    99.54     4.37    98.50     5.19    63.19    98.00    99.95   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   42  +24       8.65    91.55    15.16    73.72     5.96    34.75     0.08    11.58    76.53    92.42    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   41  +31      -5.37    15.81    -2.95    82.73     4.96    62.09     1.92    87.21    98.88    99.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          20   35   +7       0.39    52.10    -3.80    65.61     5.94    15.88     0.00     0.92    14.05    51.25    88.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   31   +9      -3.08    31.22    -0.74    61.27     5.82    17.41     0.00     0.14     4.41    22.74    72.45     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        20   30   +7      -5.77    17.74    -5.75    61.75     5.91    17.91     0.00     0.18     5.33    26.28    75.32     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    20   30   +4       3.40    70.90     6.01    55.52     5.95     5.07     0.00     0.01     0.59     4.78    30.16     0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   29   +4       4.35    75.68     8.54    50.56     5.84    -0.98     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.85     9.26     0.48R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   -4       1.98    63.01    -0.21    49.20     5.76    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.41     5.61     1.01R    0.03  
Everton          20   25   -7      -1.40    41.78    -4.76    48.23     5.80    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25     4.09     1.73R    0.06  
Newcastle        20   25  -10       1.97    63.17    -2.95    46.24     5.73   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.88     3.72R    0.17  
Arsenal          20   24   -4      -6.71    14.88    -8.43    51.16     5.93    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.00    11.02     0.52R    0.02  
Burnley          20   24   -9       2.39    66.05     0.70    43.49     5.64   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.65     9.24R    0.71  
Brighton         20   23   -4       1.48    60.70     5.80    42.79     5.59   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.52     9.82R    0.72  
Southampton      20   22  -14       1.25    59.54    -1.97    41.15     5.68   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24    18.88R    2.05  
Bournemouth      20   20   -8      -2.79    33.39     0.22    40.93     5.73   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    17.97R    2.00  
West_Ham         19   19  -11      -3.32    30.07    -4.62    40.01     5.84   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    24.08R    3.18  
Aston_Villa      20   18  -11      -2.38    35.86     2.34    35.16     5.59   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    56.38R   11.23  
Watford          20   16  -18      -4.67    22.33    -6.21    34.06     5.55   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    64.99R   17.90  
Norwich          20   13  -19      -4.79    21.63    -0.76    28.47     5.42   -36.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.14R   61.91  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 December 2019, Derby 2 1 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    25   51  +22       7.85    85.76     8.78    87.45     6.44    33.59    40.06    79.83    98.98    85.57P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       25   51  +20       5.83    78.55     3.11    89.05     6.48    34.68    53.23    85.49    99.31    89.68P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          25   42  +11       2.08    60.59     2.43    74.12     6.74    15.84     1.74     8.02    62.64    22.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   40  +17      -1.43    42.04     6.30    75.18     6.57    26.54     2.28    10.96    71.15    29.83P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   24   40   +8       5.40    77.41     5.37    72.34     6.73    11.31     1.00     4.84    50.96    15.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   39  +12       1.21    56.63     6.61    71.09     6.63    16.80     0.65     3.58    46.01    14.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         25   39   +6       2.65    64.03     2.86    69.62     6.66     8.57     0.36     1.95    35.76     9.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City    25   38   +3       1.83    59.88     0.40    67.94     6.68     4.71     0.16     1.29    26.72     6.74P    0.06R    0.01  
Swansea         25   38   +1       1.78    59.85    -1.80    68.15     6.54     3.18     0.16     1.20    26.33     6.85P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   37   +3      -0.22    48.94    -1.40    68.75     6.83     7.34     0.23     1.59    31.39     9.12P    0.06R    0.00  
Millwall        25   37   +0       5.43    77.39     3.78    64.61     6.48    -1.65     0.03     0.30    12.20     2.46P    0.28R    0.01  
Hull            25   36   +5      -0.07    49.76     2.58    65.55     6.65     5.90     0.06     0.56    17.22     4.25P    0.22R    0.01  
Blackburn       25   36   +1       1.76    59.53     1.36    63.70     6.61    -0.62     0.05     0.28    10.48     2.36P    0.45R    0.02  
Reading         24   32   +4       0.94    55.77     6.71    59.99     6.65     0.89     0.01     0.07     4.33     0.84P    1.98R    0.18  
QPR             25   32   -9       2.87    66.01     0.06    56.02     6.47   -17.34     0.00     0.01     0.93     0.15P    7.90R    0.86  
Middlesbrough   25   30   -8      -4.35    27.52    -8.51    58.88     6.42    -7.36     0.00     0.02     2.31     0.58P    2.81R    0.20  
Derby           25   30   -9      -4.70    26.23    -9.78    58.07     6.52    -9.99     0.00     0.01     1.97     0.50P    3.87R    0.38  
Birmingham      25   29  -11      -0.32    49.01    -3.42    54.39     6.44   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.08P   11.64R    1.58  
Charlton        25   28   -2      -3.14    34.53     2.87    54.05     6.57    -6.31     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.14P   11.69R    1.61  
Huddersfield    25   28   -9      -1.63    42.12    -2.26    52.61     6.46   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   17.18R    2.79  
Stoke           25   21  -12      -9.58     9.03    -6.74    46.87     6.44   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   47.32R   13.62  
Barnsley        25   21  -15      -7.45    15.36    -5.34    45.28     6.57   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.47R   21.42  
Luton           25   21  -22      -4.70    26.44    -6.92    43.58     6.46   -32.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.44R   32.27  
Wigan           25   20  -16      -7.99    12.71    -7.05    44.16     6.25   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.54R   25.05  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              23   43  +10      10.74    93.74     8.82    72.48     6.53    11.11    10.28    21.46    60.73    28.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           22   39  +20       3.04    66.97    11.25    75.16     6.73    29.39    23.67    39.67    77.58    49.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            23   38  +16      -1.12    43.39     4.07    74.23     6.74    27.57    19.22    34.81    73.14    46.15P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              22   37  +11       1.29    57.16     2.85    73.15     6.79    20.23    14.26    27.32    66.53    38.39P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             22   37   +6       5.24    78.50     3.49    67.89     6.71     7.28     3.18     7.73    34.31    13.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         23   36  +11      -0.78    45.71     2.86    70.51     6.63    20.14     7.29    16.17    52.68    25.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       22   36   +3       4.63    75.35     0.95    65.37     6.68     1.81     1.59     3.86    21.59     7.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       21   35   +8       2.05    61.98     1.74    68.76     6.98    11.50     4.97    11.22    40.60    17.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           22   34   +6      -2.28    37.03    -3.57    69.09     6.84    13.45     5.03    11.56    42.75    20.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            23   34   +5       0.59    53.65     2.13    63.99     6.44     7.03     0.76     2.33    16.56     5.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           23   32   +4       0.33    52.33     3.59    60.97     6.52     4.22     0.22     0.84     7.93     2.25P    0.12R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   32   -2       2.40    64.54    -1.69    61.71     6.58    -2.36     0.30     0.99     9.30     2.61P    0.07R    0.00  
Sunderland           21   31   +5      -5.33    20.75    -6.68    69.20     6.94    14.97     5.53    12.40    44.15    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   30   +1      -2.15    37.78    -2.12    63.16     6.85     5.52     0.76     2.24    15.07     5.48P    0.06R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   29   +2      -0.46    48.16     5.31    57.42     6.53     1.42     0.05     0.22     2.92     0.73P    0.48R    0.00  
Doncaster            20   28   +8      -3.94    27.53     1.25    66.49     7.14    16.81     2.81     6.97    30.99    13.60P    0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         22   27   -1      -0.06    50.66     3.43    57.15     6.85    -0.87     0.05     0.22     3.11     0.84P    0.73R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   23   -7      -3.62    30.26     0.30    47.78     6.25   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   10.49R    0.12  
Rochdale             23   22  -15      -2.36    37.31    -2.98    45.07     6.28   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.75R    0.38  
Tranmere             22   21  -13      -0.99    45.21     0.65    42.42     6.48   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.46R    1.04  
MK_Dons              23   21  -13      -4.83    24.84    -4.25    43.35     6.31   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.62R    0.50  
Southend             23    8  -38     -12.63     1.60   -18.21    26.75     5.97   -57.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.52R   58.83  
Bolton               20    7  -27       0.22    53.02   -13.20    28.79     6.61   -44.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.65R   39.13  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 December 2019, Bradford 2 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          24   46  +17       6.70    82.31     7.57    81.84     6.80    25.46    30.37    65.57    94.63    72.87P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           24   44   +7       6.66    81.99     0.49    78.32     6.78    13.14    13.31    42.51    85.46    52.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            23   41  +14       5.52    77.73     8.08    76.23     7.07    19.48     9.79    34.02    78.79    44.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         23   40  +11       1.22    56.52     0.60    77.78     7.05    20.14    13.59    42.02    83.99    54.56P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     24   40   +9       3.65    69.42     3.87    73.09     6.70    13.41     3.60    17.30    63.37    28.06P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   38  +12       0.87    54.50     3.83    74.32     6.96    19.02     6.02    24.75    70.53    37.51P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         22   38  +10       1.35    57.48     0.23    79.16     7.37    22.14    19.31    50.16    87.58    61.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       23   37  +15       3.11    67.07    11.50    71.83     6.94    19.97     3.05    15.17    58.20    25.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      24   36   +5       0.73    54.09     1.49    68.11     6.85     7.88     0.78     5.65    34.62    12.34P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        24   34   +1       3.52    69.54     4.01    62.13     6.58    -1.48     0.05     0.72     9.58     2.25P    0.04R    0.04  
Salford_City     24   32   -2       5.02    76.43     7.14    57.04     6.72    -9.71     0.01     0.12     2.42     0.45P    0.49R    0.49  
Cambridge_Utd    24   31   +1       1.31    58.01     5.21    58.62     6.59    -2.18     0.01     0.20     3.88     0.88P    0.20R    0.20  
Newport_County   22   29   +0      -0.47    47.79     0.50    60.93     7.06    -0.91     0.05     0.66     8.52     2.30P    0.14R    0.14  
Scunthorpe       24   28   -2      -8.35    12.97    -7.12    61.31     6.96     2.65     0.05     0.77     9.61     3.20P    0.11R    0.11  
Crawley_Town     24   27   -3      -2.25    38.56     2.37    54.00     6.64    -7.89     0.00     0.04     0.87     0.18P    1.54R    1.54  
Walsall          24   27  -10      -5.41    22.84    -9.47    57.04     6.80    -9.78     0.00     0.12     2.40     0.65P    0.54R    0.54  
Leyton_Orient    24   26   -9      -0.24    49.70     1.40    50.48     6.63   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    5.00R    5.00  
Oldham           23   26  -10      -5.08    23.62    -9.33    56.15     6.96   -12.04     0.01     0.10     2.12     0.56P    0.80R    0.80  
Macclesfield     22   25   -4       0.87    56.30     4.22    50.62     6.78   -14.23     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P    4.63R    4.63  
Carlisle         24   25  -14      -4.65    26.01    -9.20    52.66     6.69   -17.64     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.08P    2.68R    2.68  
Mansfield        24   24   -5     -11.61     5.11    -9.10    56.51     6.78    -1.55     0.00     0.10     2.12     0.65P    0.71R    0.71  
Grimsby          22   23   -6      -3.08    32.75    -0.79    50.39     6.80   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    5.04R    5.04  
Morecambe        24   18  -23      -5.45    20.96    -8.63    39.42     6.27   -36.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.75R   59.75  
Stevenage        23   17  -14     -10.60     5.21    -8.87    45.19     6.81   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   18.33R   18.33  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             26   49  +19       7.30    82.86    10.07    79.54     6.54    23.61    29.15    83.28    41.31P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             28   48  +16      -1.77    40.88    -1.41    79.97     6.13    27.25    32.12    86.78    49.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            28   47  +11       4.61    71.22     5.14    74.34     6.15    14.89     7.33    57.05    17.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     28   46   +8       2.56    62.22     0.50    72.81     6.16    11.02     4.99    46.27    14.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport          28   44   +0       8.83    86.01     5.60    65.51     6.14    -5.22     0.38    10.02     1.70P    0.40R    0.00  
Notts_County       27   42  +14      -5.89    22.66    -2.54    76.19     6.37    26.43    14.72    70.46    34.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     26   41  +11      -0.44    47.84     2.46    73.71     6.46    18.79     7.38    54.42    19.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       27   41   +9       2.26    61.63     6.56    68.59     6.26    11.30     1.33    23.31     5.87P    0.09R    0.00  
Woking             27   41   +1       6.83    79.90     5.61    64.86     6.30    -2.47     0.32     8.89     1.79P    0.72R    0.03  
Halifax            27   41   -3       6.86    81.62     1.17    66.41     6.16    -3.77     0.41    12.30     2.35P    0.31R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     26   39   +1       2.07    60.94    -0.78    65.48     6.44    -0.58     0.52    11.09     2.56P    0.57R    0.02  
Barnet             26   38   +6      -1.30    43.77     0.60    67.34     6.50     8.76     1.02    18.99     5.21P    0.27R    0.01  
Eastleigh          26   37   -1       2.25    61.80     0.71    63.92     6.41    -2.00     0.21     7.37     1.53P    1.22R    0.03  
Torquay            28   37   -4       3.03    64.87     4.47    58.36     6.16   -10.04     0.01     1.12     0.19P    7.36R    0.39  
Hartlepool         27   36   +1      -0.56    47.85     2.13    61.83     6.27     0.38     0.07     4.19     0.86P    2.01R    0.08  
Sutton_United      28   36   +0      -1.48    42.93     1.40    61.41     6.07     1.08     0.03     3.08     0.62P    2.17R    0.12  
Maidenhead         28   34   -7       2.04    60.87     3.19    54.90     5.93   -13.14     0.00     0.18     0.03P   17.35R    1.34  
Dag_&_Red          28   31   -7      -5.42    25.19    -4.00    53.50     5.95   -10.24     0.00     0.12     0.03P   23.20R    1.99  
Aldershot          27   31   -9       0.20    51.90     0.07    53.23     6.02   -14.44     0.00     0.10     0.02P   26.01R    2.61  
AFC_Fylde          27   30  -10      -8.23    14.84   -11.55    57.78     6.33    -7.54     0.01     0.83     0.20P    9.01R    0.60  
Wrexham            28   29   -7      -9.93    10.37    -7.95    54.01     5.99    -6.48     0.00     0.13     0.03P   19.22R    1.78  
Chesterfield       28   27  -12     -10.02    10.41    -9.49    50.21     6.00   -14.60     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.43R    6.68  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   24  -13     -10.74     8.39    -9.01    48.82     6.29   -15.38     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.22R   10.58  
Chorley            28   24  -24      -1.04    46.09    -2.94    40.09     5.57   -37.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.43R   73.74