Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 30 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 December 2019, Arsenal 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        19   55  +33      12.20    99.52     4.44    98.46     5.22    63.06    97.88    99.94   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   42  +24       8.67    91.75    15.26    73.71     5.94    34.71     0.08    11.76    76.34    92.34    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   41  +31      -5.44    15.54    -3.10    82.69     5.00    62.07     2.04    87.09    98.89    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          20   35   +7       0.42    52.31    -3.74    65.56     5.90    15.83     0.00     0.85    13.93    50.72    89.05     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   31   +9      -3.12    31.00    -0.79    61.34     5.86    17.49     0.00     0.15     4.66    23.54    72.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   30   +7      -5.84    17.39    -5.86    61.82     5.92    18.04     0.00     0.20     5.48    26.26    75.35     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    20   30   +4       3.42    71.02     6.05    55.42     5.94     4.94     0.00     0.00     0.49     4.61    29.59     0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   29   +4       4.23    74.95     8.37    50.71     5.83    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.83     9.48     0.44R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   -4       2.01    63.37    -0.16    49.16     5.70    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.35     5.22     0.95R    0.04  
Everton          20   25   -7      -1.42    41.53    -4.83    48.16     5.83   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30     4.06     1.90R    0.10  
Newcastle        20   25  -10       1.98    63.47    -2.94    46.26     5.68   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.76     3.78R    0.18  
Arsenal          20   24   -4      -6.74    14.72    -8.49    51.22     5.97    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.04    11.28     0.55R    0.02  
Burnley          20   24   -9       2.46    66.52     0.76    43.40     5.61   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.65     9.40R    0.60  
Brighton         20   23   -4       1.49    60.76     5.79    42.72     5.64   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.53    10.26R    0.72  
Southampton      20   22  -14       1.26    59.45    -2.04    41.25     5.64   -23.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    18.14R    1.87  
Bournemouth      20   20   -8      -2.71    33.82     0.40    40.84     5.73   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    18.31R    2.02  
West_Ham         19   19  -11      -3.29    30.24    -4.54    39.97     5.82   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    24.39R    3.21  
Aston_Villa      20   18  -11      -2.26    36.67     2.58    35.14     5.64   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.41R   12.01  
Watford          20   16  -18      -4.63    22.30    -6.11    34.15     5.55   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    64.61R   17.29  
Norwich          20   13  -19      -4.93    20.94    -1.06    28.54     5.40   -36.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.82R   61.95  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 December 2019, Derby 2 1 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    25   51  +22       7.61    84.89     8.47    87.55     6.44    33.77    41.06    80.26    98.97    85.92P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       25   51  +20       5.94    78.67     3.25    88.86     6.54    34.42    51.87    84.57    99.25    89.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          25   42  +11       2.03    60.48     2.32    74.27     6.79    16.06     1.90     8.55    63.22    22.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       25   40  +17      -1.34    42.73     6.45    75.15     6.61    26.48     2.49    10.96    70.38    29.80P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   24   40   +8       5.20    76.50     5.12    72.49     6.68    11.57     0.95     4.76    52.44    15.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   39  +12       1.35    57.62     6.85    70.93     6.62    16.56     0.63     3.39    45.20    13.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         25   39   +6       2.71    64.24     2.95    69.64     6.61     8.60     0.33     2.08    35.48     9.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    25   38   +3       1.84    60.06     0.38    68.01     6.66     4.80     0.18     1.32    26.75     6.95P    0.06R    0.00  
Swansea         25   38   +1       1.84    59.68    -1.71    68.09     6.58     3.07     0.15     1.13    26.06     6.65P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   37   +3      -0.36    48.27    -1.68    68.87     6.85     7.52     0.28     1.79    31.85     9.44P    0.08R    0.00  
Millwall        25   37   +0       5.38    77.38     3.72    64.62     6.51    -1.59     0.02     0.33    12.07     2.46P    0.27R    0.01  
Hull            25   36   +5       0.01    50.21     2.68    65.50     6.68     5.84     0.09     0.53    16.99     4.00P    0.21R    0.01  
Blackburn       25   36   +1       1.75    59.68     1.32    63.75     6.59    -0.56     0.03     0.24    10.63     2.28P    0.43R    0.02  
Reading         24   32   +4       1.02    56.29     6.81    59.86     6.67     0.69     0.01     0.05     4.26     0.76P    1.99R    0.15  
QPR             25   32   -9       3.09    67.01     0.42    55.79     6.46   -17.67     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.15P    8.26R    0.93  
Middlesbrough   25   30   -8      -4.22    28.30    -8.34    58.85     6.44    -7.43     0.00     0.02     2.35     0.56P    2.83R    0.27  
Derby           25   30   -9      -4.67    26.44    -9.69    58.08     6.51    -9.97     0.00     0.01     1.86     0.48P    3.90R    0.34  
Birmingham      25   29  -11      -0.44    48.45    -3.58    54.52     6.47   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.09P   11.40R    1.39  
Charlton        25   28   -2      -3.46    32.80     2.39    54.26     6.61    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.14P   11.29R    1.53  
Huddersfield    25   28   -9      -1.47    43.04    -2.05    52.48     6.47   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   17.97R    2.94  
Stoke           25   21  -12      -9.63     8.66    -6.85    46.93     6.43   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   46.51R   13.01  
Barnsley        25   21  -15      -7.38    15.62    -5.25    45.26     6.56   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.66R   21.00  
Luton           25   21  -22      -4.63    27.01    -6.78    43.47     6.49   -33.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.79R   32.97  
Wigan           25   20  -16      -8.06    12.40    -7.19    44.16     6.28   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.25R   25.42  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              23   43  +10      10.76    93.96     8.81    72.50     6.52    11.15    10.48    21.54    60.75    28.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           22   39  +20       3.16    67.45    11.39    75.02     6.79    29.17    22.88    39.01    76.77    48.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            23   38  +16      -1.27    42.42     3.85    74.36     6.70    27.79    19.38    35.17    74.19    46.95P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              22   37  +11       1.09    55.99     2.53    73.37     6.78    20.53    15.01    28.52    67.56    39.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             22   37   +6       5.42    78.99     3.74    67.83     6.71     7.20     3.16     7.71    33.90    12.97P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         23   36  +11      -0.91    44.82     2.65    70.62     6.61    20.35     7.56    16.42    53.28    26.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       22   36   +3       4.64    75.40     0.93    65.38     6.70     1.82     1.56     3.97    21.77     7.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       21   35   +8       2.05    61.76     1.79    68.70     7.05    11.41     5.05    11.12    40.49    17.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           22   34   +6      -2.20    37.14    -3.42    69.02     6.76    13.34     4.70    11.04    42.30    19.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            23   34   +5       0.64    54.00     2.23    63.92     6.43     6.95     0.75     2.29    16.23     5.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           23   32   +4       0.40    52.99     3.68    60.92     6.56     4.13     0.26     0.87     8.09     2.35P    0.11R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   32   -2       2.50    64.77    -1.55    61.64     6.57    -2.45     0.32     0.98     9.17     2.57P    0.09R    0.00  
Sunderland           21   31   +5      -5.29    20.76    -6.58    69.12     6.96    14.86     5.33    11.91    43.76    22.25P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   30   +1      -2.19    37.37    -2.20    63.17     6.78     5.53     0.68     2.08    14.89     5.17P    0.04R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   29   +2      -0.46    48.08     5.28    57.51     6.48     1.51     0.04     0.21     3.02     0.73P    0.44R    0.01  
Doncaster            20   28   +8      -3.87    27.70     1.38    66.45     7.10    16.77     2.76     6.89    30.42    13.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         22   27   -1      -0.17    49.70     3.37    57.12     6.92    -0.92     0.08     0.26     3.36     0.88P    0.81R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   23   -7      -3.49    31.09     0.52    47.65     6.31   -13.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   11.10R    0.10  
Rochdale             23   22  -15      -2.35    37.26    -3.00    45.08     6.30   -24.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.07R    0.33  
Tranmere             22   21  -13      -1.05    44.63     0.55    42.44     6.44   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.48R    1.01  
MK_Dons              23   21  -13      -4.91    24.00    -4.42    43.47     6.30   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.70R    0.57  
Southend             23    8  -38     -12.66     1.61   -18.19    26.78     5.98   -57.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.56R   59.21  
Bolton               20    7  -27       0.12    52.47   -13.33    28.84     6.63   -44.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.56R   38.76  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 December 2019, Bradford 2 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          24   46  +17       6.78    82.28     7.62    81.86     6.83    25.52    30.81    65.82    94.65    73.05P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           24   44   +7       6.79    82.53     0.70    78.16     6.78    12.92    12.88    41.76    85.03    52.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            23   41  +14       5.50    77.75     8.08    76.23     7.00    19.41     9.93    33.82    78.92    44.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         23   40  +11       1.19    56.38     0.55    77.79     7.01    20.16    13.52    42.30    84.08    54.69P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     24   40   +9       3.68    69.71     3.89    73.03     6.67    13.33     3.43    17.59    63.06    28.62P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   38  +12       0.90    55.01     3.86    74.29     6.97    19.01     6.11    24.81    70.76    37.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   38  +10       1.43    57.76     0.32    79.08     7.31    22.00    19.16    49.84    87.67    60.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       23   37  +15       2.99    66.40    11.34    71.91     6.94    20.07     3.15    15.84    58.58    25.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      24   36   +5       0.66    53.73     1.44    68.08     6.85     7.87     0.82     5.48    34.24    12.07P    0.01R    0.01  
Port_Vale        24   34   +1       3.49    69.33     3.98    62.17     6.57    -1.43     0.07     0.70     9.75     2.36P    0.02R    0.02  
Salford_City     24   32   -2       5.13    76.89     7.32    56.95     6.68    -9.82     0.00     0.10     2.36     0.43P    0.48R    0.48  
Cambridge_Utd    24   31   +1       1.21    57.53     5.04    58.75     6.58    -2.00     0.01     0.18     4.13     0.89P    0.23R    0.23  
Newport_County   22   29   +0      -0.42    48.13     0.56    60.90     6.97    -0.96     0.04     0.68     8.15     2.24P    0.12R    0.12  
Scunthorpe       24   28   -2      -8.56    12.41    -7.43    61.49     6.92     2.90     0.07     0.75     9.79     3.29P    0.12R    0.12  
Crawley_Town     24   27   -3      -2.28    37.98     2.31    54.04     6.63    -7.80     0.00     0.03     0.93     0.20P    1.44R    1.44  
Walsall          24   27  -10      -5.43    23.24    -9.52    57.09     6.85    -9.70     0.00     0.10     2.50     0.71P    0.67R    0.67  
Leyton_Orient    24   26   -9      -0.21    50.09     1.39    50.51     6.63   -18.01     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.03P    5.05R    5.05  
Oldham           23   26  -10      -5.02    23.73    -9.20    56.05     6.98   -12.18     0.01     0.11     1.96     0.50P    0.92R    0.92  
Macclesfield     22   25   -4       0.92    56.80     4.26    50.60     6.74   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    4.57R    4.57  
Carlisle         24   25  -14      -4.54    26.22    -9.03    52.60     6.65   -17.75     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.11P    2.80R    2.80  
Mansfield        24   24   -5     -11.77     4.89    -9.31    56.59     6.73    -1.42     0.00     0.06     2.16     0.64P    0.68R    0.68  
Grimsby          22   23   -6      -3.02    33.01    -0.69    50.34     6.79   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    4.92R    4.92  
Morecambe        24   18  -23      -5.47    20.91    -8.63    39.40     6.23   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.85R   59.85  
Stevenage        23   17  -14     -10.59     5.33    -8.84    45.19     6.77   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   18.13R   18.13  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             26   49  +19       7.22    82.39     9.99    79.54     6.49    23.64    29.37    83.33    41.52P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             28   48  +16      -1.71    41.16    -1.30    79.90     6.09    27.11    31.50    86.85    49.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            28   47  +11       4.52    71.09     4.98    74.42     6.17    14.98     7.47    57.44    17.96P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     28   46   +8       2.78    63.49     0.84    72.66     6.18    10.78     4.79    45.41    13.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport          28   44   +0       8.62    85.07     5.33    65.59     6.12    -5.10     0.39    10.40     1.85P    0.36R    0.00  
Notts_County       27   42  +14      -5.91    22.81    -2.54    76.17     6.37    26.39    14.84    70.46    34.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     26   41  +11      -0.37    47.95     2.53    73.72     6.47    18.82     7.46    54.48    19.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       27   41   +9       2.17    61.13     6.45    68.64     6.29    11.37     1.40    23.48     5.97P    0.09R    0.00  
Woking             27   41   +1       7.00    80.81     5.79    64.78     6.26    -2.58     0.32     8.66     1.68P    0.75R    0.02  
Halifax            27   41   -3       7.01    81.90     1.33    66.41     6.22    -3.83     0.45    12.23     2.46P    0.34R    0.01  
Dover_Athletic     26   39   +1       1.98    60.36    -0.89    65.54     6.46    -0.43     0.52    11.58     2.70P    0.62R    0.01  
Barnet             26   38   +6      -1.29    43.46     0.58    67.33     6.47     8.79     1.06    18.79     5.25P    0.24R    0.00  
Eastleigh          26   37   -1       2.22    61.81     0.70    64.03     6.44    -1.88     0.28     7.46     1.51P    1.20R    0.03  
Torquay            28   37   -4       3.10    65.07     4.61    58.32     6.17   -10.14     0.02     1.08     0.18P    7.38R    0.36  
Hartlepool         27   36   +1      -0.73    46.47     1.82    61.93     6.26     0.51     0.10     4.07     0.84P    1.95R    0.08  
Sutton_United      28   36   +0      -1.32    43.84     1.65    61.31     6.05     0.94     0.04     2.78     0.59P    2.15R    0.07  
Maidenhead         28   34   -7       1.90    60.46     2.99    54.92     5.91   -13.10     0.00     0.20     0.03P   17.24R    1.29  
Dag_&_Red          28   31   -7      -5.42    24.64    -3.96    53.52     5.93   -10.18     0.00     0.12     0.02P   22.84R    1.78  
Aldershot          27   31   -9       0.26    52.38     0.14    53.21     6.03   -14.52     0.00     0.10     0.02P   26.15R    2.66  
AFC_Fylde          27   30  -10      -8.36    14.44   -11.73    57.83     6.33    -7.44     0.01     0.93     0.23P    8.77R    0.63  
Wrexham            28   29   -7      -9.81    10.55    -7.78    53.94     5.95    -6.55     0.00     0.12     0.03P   19.55R    1.79  
Chesterfield       28   27  -12      -9.97    10.64    -9.46    50.20     6.03   -14.60     0.00     0.02     0.01P   43.53R    6.69  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   24  -13     -10.94     7.79    -9.30    48.87     6.25   -15.27     0.00     0.03     0.00P   52.05R   10.30  
Chorley            28   24  -24      -0.94    46.57    -2.78    40.03     5.55   -37.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.75R   74.29