Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 29 December 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 December 2019, Arsenal 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        19   55  +33      12.25    99.59     4.57    98.49     5.19    63.06    97.95    99.94   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   42  +24       8.60    91.48    15.14    73.77     5.95    34.83     0.07    11.86    76.57    92.46    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   41  +31      -5.44    15.49    -3.08    82.70     4.97    62.05     1.98    87.02    98.82    99.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          20   35   +7       0.39    52.10    -3.77    65.59     5.91    15.87     0.00     0.86    13.76    51.01    89.10     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   31   +9      -3.16    31.00    -0.86    61.37     5.88    17.54     0.00     0.17     4.69    23.23    73.32     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   30   +7      -5.74    17.75    -5.73    61.72     5.94    17.90     0.00     0.15     5.33    26.18    74.96     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    20   30   +4       3.45    70.95     6.09    55.42     5.97     4.93     0.00     0.01     0.60     4.61    29.70     0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   29   +4       4.25    75.20     8.38    50.65     5.79    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.83     9.13     0.39R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   -4       2.02    63.24    -0.14    49.06     5.72    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.35     5.20     1.04R    0.05  
Everton          20   25   -7      -1.39    41.97    -4.74    48.21     5.85   -10.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28     4.28     1.78R    0.06  
Newcastle        20   25  -10       2.06    63.77    -2.81    46.21     5.70   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.84     3.75R    0.17  
Arsenal          20   24   -4      -6.68    14.87    -8.36    51.14     6.00    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.06    11.17     0.56R    0.02  
Burnley          20   24   -9       2.41    66.11     0.69    43.48     5.62   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.71     9.36R    0.61  
Brighton         20   23   -4       1.49    60.80     5.76    42.80     5.68   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.51    10.35R    0.73  
Southampton      20   22  -14       1.18    58.84    -2.14    41.28     5.68   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24    18.10R    1.83  
Bournemouth      20   20   -8      -2.75    33.29     0.27    40.88     5.73   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    17.93R    1.94  
West_Ham         19   19  -11      -3.18    31.02    -4.36    39.87     5.81   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    24.93R    3.13  
Aston_Villa      20   18  -11      -2.54    35.22     2.11    35.31     5.64   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    55.34R   11.36  
Watford          20   16  -18      -4.69    22.30    -6.22    34.10     5.54   -29.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.06R   17.57  
Norwich          20   13  -19      -4.78    21.96    -0.80    28.47     5.35   -36.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.35R   62.53  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 December 2019, Birmingham 4 5 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    25   51  +22       7.68    85.15     8.58    87.54     6.45    33.72    40.92    80.27    99.04    85.94P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       25   51  +20       5.92    78.69     3.23    88.94     6.53    34.52    52.33    85.03    99.28    89.56P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          25   42  +11       2.10    60.84     2.42    74.24     6.74    16.09     1.82     8.27    63.40    22.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   40  +17      -1.39    42.48     6.35    75.15     6.59    26.47     2.32    10.82    70.77    29.59P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   24   40   +8       5.32    76.78     5.31    72.44     6.77    11.47     0.96     4.89    51.97    15.20P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   39  +12       1.39    57.79     6.90    70.87     6.62    16.48     0.58     3.30    44.66    13.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         25   39   +6       2.70    64.34     2.92    69.63     6.60     8.56     0.28     2.01    35.59     9.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    25   38   +3       1.87    60.17     0.42    67.94     6.67     4.69     0.18     1.25    26.28     6.64P    0.07R    0.01  
Swansea         25   38   +1       1.79    59.81    -1.79    68.16     6.55     3.17     0.18     1.16    26.55     6.82P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   37   +3      -0.36    48.08    -1.61    68.80     6.78     7.41     0.28     1.74    31.47     9.21P    0.06R    0.00  
Millwall        25   37   +0       5.36    77.30     3.69    64.64     6.51    -1.53     0.03     0.30    12.40     2.33P    0.29R    0.01  
Hull            25   36   +5      -0.03    49.97     2.59    65.50     6.65     5.87     0.07     0.62    16.97     4.17P    0.24R    0.01  
Blackburn       25   36   +1       1.73    59.62     1.29    63.76     6.65    -0.53     0.03     0.25    10.94     2.49P    0.48R    0.02  
Reading         24   32   +4       0.91    55.62     6.65    59.94     6.66     0.80     0.00     0.05     4.32     0.84P    1.99R    0.18  
QPR             25   32   -9       3.00    66.61     0.23    55.90     6.44   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.14P    8.06R    0.91  
Middlesbrough   25   30   -8      -4.25    28.24    -8.38    58.81     6.42    -7.46     0.00     0.02     2.31     0.59P    2.91R    0.23  
Birmingham      25   29  -11      -0.31    49.14    -3.43    54.49     6.45   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.06P   11.52R    1.55  
Charlton        24   28   -1      -2.41    37.94     2.90    55.38     6.74    -5.30     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.27P    8.79R    1.11  
Huddersfield    25   28   -9      -1.50    42.72    -2.11    52.47     6.46   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P   18.05R    2.96  
Derby           24   27  -10      -5.82    21.14   -10.05    56.63     6.75   -10.75     0.00     0.01     1.35     0.37P    6.67R    0.75  
Stoke           25   21  -12      -9.81     8.54    -7.05    46.98     6.44   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   46.19R   13.03  
Barnsley        25   21  -15      -7.37    15.81    -5.19    45.20     6.54   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.76R   21.28  
Luton           25   21  -22      -4.62    26.71    -6.79    43.49     6.49   -33.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.59R   32.59  
Wigan           25   20  -16      -8.00    12.55    -7.08    44.20     6.34   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.24R   25.34  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 December 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              23   43  +10      10.68    93.71     8.69    72.51     6.55    11.18    10.58    21.53    60.88    28.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           22   39  +20       3.06    67.06    11.21    75.15     6.77    29.34    23.27    39.36    77.33    49.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            23   38  +16      -1.35    42.25     3.74    74.35     6.71    27.77    19.32    34.94    73.89    46.42P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              22   37  +11       1.20    56.70     2.69    73.27     6.82    20.37    14.88    28.22    66.83    39.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             22   37   +6       5.21    77.96     3.44    67.87     6.72     7.31     3.22     7.80    33.97    13.10P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         23   36  +11      -0.85    45.31     2.71    70.55     6.59    20.25     7.08    15.82    52.84    25.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       22   36   +3       4.57    75.10     0.83    65.50     6.73     2.02     1.51     4.02    22.33     7.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       21   35   +8       1.87    60.78     1.45    68.92     7.00    11.73     5.02    11.48    41.45    18.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           22   34   +6      -2.13    37.81    -3.30    69.03     6.88    13.35     4.88    11.38    42.47    19.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            23   34   +5       0.55    53.52     2.09    64.03     6.42     7.08     0.81     2.29    16.43     5.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           23   32   +4       0.44    53.34     3.77    60.87     6.57     4.08     0.27     0.85     7.92     2.32P    0.08R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   32   -2       2.45    64.75    -1.59    61.66     6.57    -2.40     0.28     0.93     8.96     2.58P    0.08R    0.00  
Sunderland           21   31   +5      -5.27    20.95    -6.55    69.14     6.99    14.79     5.29    12.15    43.61    22.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   30   +1      -2.07    38.38    -2.01    63.08     6.77     5.40     0.68     2.00    14.35     5.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   29   +2      -0.42    48.36     5.34    57.46     6.52     1.49     0.05     0.19     3.01     0.73P    0.49R    0.00  
Doncaster            20   28   +8      -3.85    28.02     1.40    66.39     7.19    16.62     2.78     6.81    30.53    13.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         22   27   -1      -0.02    50.67     3.55    57.09     6.87    -1.01     0.08     0.25     3.14     0.81P    0.75R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   23   -7      -3.53    30.79     0.45    47.65     6.32   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   11.03R    0.08  
Rochdale             23   22  -15      -2.26    38.08    -2.78    44.97     6.28   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.02R    0.39  
Tranmere             22   21  -13      -1.00    45.19     0.68    42.44     6.48   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.96R    1.07  
MK_Dons              23   21  -13      -4.81    24.69    -4.20    43.34     6.32   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.60R    0.60  
Southend             23    8  -38     -12.54     1.71   -18.04    26.68     5.98   -57.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.49R   59.60  
Bolton               20    7  -27       0.02    51.68   -13.58    28.95     6.62   -44.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.39R   38.26  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 December 2019, Bradford 2 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Swindon          24   46  +17       6.74    82.12     7.57    81.84     6.87    25.51    30.68    65.53    94.42    72.84P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           24   44   +7       6.84    82.75     0.73    78.19     6.80    12.99    13.04    41.68    85.04    52.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            23   41  +14       5.50    77.67     8.07    76.25     7.06    19.45     9.81    33.84    78.57    43.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         23   40  +11       1.17    56.30     0.52    77.85     7.03    20.24    13.86    42.56    84.21    55.14P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     24   40   +9       3.61    69.45     3.80    73.14     6.70    13.49     3.64    18.00    63.60    29.17P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   38  +12       0.97    55.45     3.90    74.14     6.96    18.83     5.86    24.07    69.76    36.51P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         22   38  +10       1.29    57.00     0.11    79.18     7.26    22.15    19.08    50.27    87.88    61.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       23   37  +15       3.16    67.40    11.57    71.88     6.93    19.97     3.08    15.37    58.69    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      24   36   +5       0.63    53.85     1.38    68.24     6.79     8.03     0.77     5.87    35.04    12.44P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        24   34   +1       3.49    69.50     4.00    62.16     6.60    -1.49     0.05     0.74     9.51     2.41P    0.04R    0.04  
Salford_City     24   32   -2       4.95    76.01     7.06    57.11     6.70    -9.60     0.01     0.14     2.52     0.48P    0.49R    0.49  
Cambridge_Utd    24   31   +1       1.16    57.40     5.00    58.73     6.63    -2.04     0.01     0.21     4.06     0.90P    0.20R    0.20  
Newport_County   22   29   +0      -0.45    47.79     0.57    60.82     7.03    -1.02     0.06     0.64     8.17     2.21P    0.14R    0.14  
Scunthorpe       24   28   -2      -8.46    12.92    -7.28    61.41     6.96     2.78     0.06     0.77     9.78     3.23P    0.11R    0.11  
Crawley_Town     24   27   -3      -2.34    37.94     2.25    54.03     6.59    -7.83     0.00     0.04     0.88     0.19P    1.32R    1.32  
Walsall          24   27  -10      -5.29    23.75    -9.29    56.93     6.87    -9.91     0.01     0.10     2.37     0.65P    0.69R    0.69  
Leyton_Orient    24   26   -9      -0.14    50.20     1.50    50.38     6.66   -18.19     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.03P    5.27R    5.27  
Oldham           23   26  -10      -5.00    23.82    -9.21    56.09     6.94   -12.11     0.00     0.07     1.83     0.48P    0.87R    0.87  
Macclesfield     22   25   -4       0.95    57.01     4.36    50.57     6.75   -14.28     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.04P    4.34R    4.34  
Carlisle         24   25  -14      -4.71    25.86    -9.30    52.72     6.72   -17.50     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.11P    2.63R    2.63  
Mansfield        24   24   -5     -11.84     4.84    -9.45    56.69     6.77    -1.29     0.00     0.07     2.38     0.71P    0.55R    0.55  
Grimsby          22   23   -6      -3.02    32.99    -0.74    50.40     6.76   -13.37     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P    4.79R    4.79  
Morecambe        24   18  -23      -5.32    21.47    -8.38    39.23     6.22   -36.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.43R   60.43  
Stevenage        23   17  -14     -10.52     5.44    -8.73    45.13     6.74   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    18.11R   18.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 December 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 2 Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barrow             26   49  +19       7.32    82.85    10.07    79.58     6.53    23.72    29.41    83.64    41.89P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil             28   48  +16      -1.81    40.76    -1.47    79.99     6.15    27.25    32.17    86.95    50.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            28   47  +11       4.65    71.37     5.22    74.36     6.17    14.90     7.35    56.96    17.70P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     28   46   +8       2.65    62.73     0.62    72.79     6.15    10.96     4.80    46.17    13.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport          28   44   +0       8.64    85.22     5.38    65.56     6.20    -5.15     0.43    10.27     1.91P    0.43R    0.00  
Notts_County       27   42  +14      -5.98    22.26    -2.65    76.23     6.34    26.50    14.75    70.88    34.33P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     26   41  +11      -0.22    48.67     2.77    73.58     6.46    18.61     7.12    53.54    19.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       27   41   +9       2.26    61.42     6.62    68.51     6.29    11.19     1.30    23.12     5.80P    0.10R    0.00  
Woking             27   41   +1       6.98    80.53     5.77    64.73     6.34    -2.68     0.35     8.84     1.77P    0.74R    0.02  
Halifax            27   41   -3       7.12    82.56     1.54    66.28     6.18    -4.02     0.40    11.95     2.18P    0.33R    0.01  
Dover_Athletic     26   39   +1       2.04    60.78    -0.82    65.52     6.46    -0.50     0.57    11.22     2.64P    0.61R    0.01  
Barnet             26   38   +6      -1.46    42.53     0.36    67.43     6.46     8.88     0.99    19.17     5.37P    0.18R    0.00  
Eastleigh          26   37   -1       2.24    61.87     0.71    63.94     6.50    -1.98     0.25     7.55     1.58P    1.30R    0.03  
Torquay            28   37   -4       3.15    65.16     4.68    58.27     6.09   -10.20     0.01     1.00     0.18P    7.29R    0.41  
Hartlepool         27   36   +1      -0.69    47.18     1.94    61.92     6.27     0.53     0.06     4.12     0.89P    2.04R    0.07  
Sutton_United      28   36   +0      -1.60    42.44     1.23    61.44     6.07     1.14     0.02     3.17     0.59P    2.16R    0.07  
Maidenhead         28   34   -7       2.15    61.83     3.39    54.86     5.89   -13.25     0.00     0.16     0.03P   17.43R    1.37  
Dag_&_Red          28   31   -7      -5.51    24.52    -4.13    53.52     5.94   -10.18     0.00     0.07     0.01P   23.06R    1.86  
Aldershot          27   31   -9       0.25    52.29     0.04    53.31     6.03   -14.40     0.00     0.11     0.01P   25.68R    2.57  
AFC_Fylde          27   30  -10      -8.45    14.23   -11.84    57.86     6.38    -7.43     0.01     0.95     0.26P    9.00R    0.65  
Wrexham            28   29   -7      -9.90    10.34    -7.88    53.99     6.01    -6.49     0.00     0.13     0.03P   19.40R    1.83  
Chesterfield       28   27  -12      -9.99    10.45    -9.45    50.21     6.04   -14.55     0.00     0.03     0.00P   43.52R    7.08  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   24  -13     -10.85     8.19    -9.18    48.87     6.31   -15.28     0.00     0.01     0.01P   52.19R   10.57  
Chorley            28   24  -24      -1.03    46.10    -2.90    40.15     5.55   -37.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.53R   73.46